Hostname: page-component-848d4c4894-wzw2p Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-05-10T18:28:11.271Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Economic Performance, Job Insecurity and Electoral Choice

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 June 2002

ANTHONY MUGHAN
Affiliation:
Department of Political Science, the Ohio State University, Columbus.
DEAN LACY
Affiliation:
Department of Political Science, the Ohio State University, Columbus.

Abstract

The existing literature on economic voting concentrates on egocentric and sociotropic evaluations of short-term economic performance. Scant attention is paid to other economic concerns people may have. In a neo-liberal economy characterized by global economic competition and a down-sized labour market, one widely-publicized economic concern – and one whose consequences political scientists have largely ignored – is job insecurity. Data from a survey conducted after the 1996 US presidential election show that job insecurity is a novel form of economic discontent that is distinctive in its origins and electoral impact from retrospective evaluations of short-term economic performance. In a multinomial probit model of electoral choice, performance measures offer little explanation of the Perot vote, but sociotropic job insecurity helps to explain why Americans rejected both major-party candidates, as well as abstention, in favour of the third-party alternative, Ross Perot.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© 2002 Cambridge University Press

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)