Hostname: page-component-848d4c4894-ttngx Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-06-01T11:51:25.651Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

From Bullets to Ballots: The Emergence of Popular Support for Hugo Chávez

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 January 2018

Abstract

The election of Hugo Chávez as Venezuela's president in 1998, less than seven years after his unsuccessful military coup attempt, marked a pivotal moment in one of the most dramatic political transformations in the nation's history. This article explores public reaction to Chávez's shift, especially the question of why Venezuelans would entrust democratic governance to a man who had once attempted to topple the nation's democratic regime. Two hypotheses are proposed: one of converted militancy and one of democratic ambivalence. Analysis of survey data from 1995 and 1998 demonstrates that Chávez's initial base of support drew heavily on Venezuelans who were ambivalent or hostile toward democracy. By 1998, and consistent with the converted militant hypothesis, Chávez won support from a substantial portion of citizens who valued democracy. Yet democratic ambivalence also contributed to Chávez's winning electoral coalition.

Type
Research
Copyright
Copyright © University of Miami 2002

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Blanco Muǹoz, Agustín. 1998. Habla El Comandante. Caracas: Imprenta de la Universidad Central de Venezuela.Google Scholar
Canache, Damarys. 2002. Venezuela: Public Opinion and Protest in a Fragile Democracy. Coral Gables: North-South Center Press.Google Scholar
Canache, Damarys, and Michael, R. Kulisheck, eds. 1998. Reinventing Legitimacy: Democracy and Political Change in Venezuela. Westport: Greenwood Press.Google Scholar
Carrasquero, José Vicente, and Friedrich, Welsch. 2000. Opinión pública y cultura política en Venezuela: la consolidación del chavismo. In Opinión pública y elecciones en América, ed. Welsch, and Frederick, C. Turner. Caracas: International Political Association. 173–92.Google Scholar
Coppedge, Michael. 1992. Venezuela's Vulnerable Democracy. Journal of Democracy 3: 3345.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Delli Carpini, Michael X., and Scott, Keeter. 1996. What Americans Know About Politics and Why It Matters. New Haven: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
García Márquez, Gabriel. 2000. The Two Faces of Hugo Chávez. NACLA Report on the Americas 33 (May–June): 1821.Google Scholar
Garrido, Alberto. 1999. Guerrilla y conspiración militar en Venezuela. Caracas: Fondo Editorial Nacional.Google Scholar
Handelman, Howard. 2000. The Challenge of Third World Development. Engle-wood Cliffs: Prentice-Hall.Google Scholar
Herbert, Koeneke R.. 2000. La guerra de las encuestas en las campaǹas electorates venezolanas. In Opinión pública y elecciones en América, ed. Friedrich, Welsch and Frederick, C. Turner. Caracas: International Political Association. 157–71.Google Scholar
Lagos, Marta. 2001. Between Stability and Crisis in Latin America. Journal of Democracy 12: 137–45.Google Scholar
López Maya, Margarita. 1998. New Avenues for Popular Representation in Venezuela: La Causa-R and the Movimiento Bolivariano 200. in Canache and Kulisheck 1998. 83–95.Google Scholar
López Maya, Margarita, and Luis, E. Lander. 2000. La popularidad de Chávez. Base para un proyecto popular? Unpublished mss.Google Scholar
Maingón, Thais. 1999. Los espacios ambiguos de la democracia en Venezuela: resultados electorates de 1998. Ciencias de Gobierno 5. 3353.Google Scholar
Muller, Edward N. 1979. Aggressive Political Participation. Princeton: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Santodomingo, Roger. 1999. La conspiración 98. Caracas: Alfadil Ediciones.Google Scholar
Templeton, Andrew. 1995. The Evolution of Popular Opinion. In Lessons of the Venezuelan Experience, ed. Louis, W. Goodman, Johanna Mendelson, Forman, Moisés, Naírn, Joseph, S. Tulchin, and Gary, Bland Washington, DC: Woodrow Wilson Center Press.Google Scholar
Tufte, Edward R. 1974. Data Analysis for Politics and Policy. Englewood Cliffs: Prentice-Hall.Google Scholar
Uzcátegui, José Luis. 1999. Chavéz mago de las emociones: análisis psicosocial de un fenómeno político. Caracas: LithoPolar.Google Scholar
Vivas, Leonardo. 1999. Chávez: la última revolución del siglo. Caracas: Planeta.Google Scholar
Zago, Angela. 1998. La rebelión de los angeles. Caracas: WARP Ediciones.Google Scholar
Zaller, John R. 1992. The Nature and Origins of Mass Opinion. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar