For the second presidential election in a row the prediction of the “Klarner Model” was within half a percent of the actual result. This model forecast that Obama would receive 51.3% of the two-party vote, while he actually received 51.8%. The model also called all states correctly, with the exception of Florida, which was predicted to be narrowly lost by Obama with 49.7% of the vote. These forecasts were made on July 15, 2012. This success does not indicate the model is better than the other models in the symposium as luck is a major determinant of which model gets closest to the mark. Although the Klarner Model correctly called 49 out of 50 states, that means little in an election where merely calling states on the basis of 2008 results would have called all but two correctly.