Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- List of figures
- List of tables
- Preface
- Acknowledgements
- List of abbreviations and acronyms
- Guide to national accounts
- Note on index number relativity
- Introduction
- 1 The research agenda
- 2 An inside view
- 3 Measuring Soviet GNP
- 4 Industry
- 5 GNP and the defence burden
- 6 The Alliance
- 7 War losses
- 8 Conclusion
- Appendix to chapter 2: A Price deflators
- Appendices to chapter 4: B Defence industry production
- Appendices to chapter 4: C civilian industry production
- Appendices to chapter 4: D From gross output to value added
- Appendices to chapter 4: E Cross-checks on defence industry trends
- Appendices to chapter 4: F An input/output table
- Appendices to chapter 4: G Industrial employment
- Appendices to chapter 5: H Agricultural production
- Appendices to chapter 5: I The workforce
- Appendices to chapter 5: J Foreign trade and aid
- Appendices to chapter 5: K Defence outlays
- Appendices to chapter 5: L Defence requirements
- Appendices to chapter 7: M Human capital costs
- Appendices to chapter 7: N The trend in GNP
- Notes
- Bibliography
- Index
- Series list (continued)
Appendices to chapter 7: N The trend in GNP
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 08 June 2010
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- List of figures
- List of tables
- Preface
- Acknowledgements
- List of abbreviations and acronyms
- Guide to national accounts
- Note on index number relativity
- Introduction
- 1 The research agenda
- 2 An inside view
- 3 Measuring Soviet GNP
- 4 Industry
- 5 GNP and the defence burden
- 6 The Alliance
- 7 War losses
- 8 Conclusion
- Appendix to chapter 2: A Price deflators
- Appendices to chapter 4: B Defence industry production
- Appendices to chapter 4: C civilian industry production
- Appendices to chapter 4: D From gross output to value added
- Appendices to chapter 4: E Cross-checks on defence industry trends
- Appendices to chapter 4: F An input/output table
- Appendices to chapter 4: G Industrial employment
- Appendices to chapter 5: H Agricultural production
- Appendices to chapter 5: I The workforce
- Appendices to chapter 5: J Foreign trade and aid
- Appendices to chapter 5: K Defence outlays
- Appendices to chapter 5: L Defence requirements
- Appendices to chapter 7: M Human capital costs
- Appendices to chapter 7: N The trend in GNP
- Notes
- Bibliography
- Index
- Series list (continued)
Summary
One route to an assessment of the long-run impact of the war on Soviet GNP per head is via econometric estimation of the long-run trend, if one can be found to exist; the war period can then be examined for signs of disturbance in the trend.
Index numbers of Russian and Soviet real GNP can be assembled from the work of Paul Gregory (net national product at 1913 prices, 1885–1913 and 1928), Moorsteen and Powell (GNP at 1937 factor cost, 1928–40 and 1950), and the CIA Office of Soviet Analysis (GNP at 1982 factor cost, 1950–85). Comparable population series are likewise taken from Gregory for the period before 1913, from recent Goskomstat revisions of the interwar population, and from official postwar figures. Tables N.1 to N.3 show the underlying data, and table N.4 shows the associated long-run index (see also figures N.1 and N.2).
Assembled in this way, the series embodies three major difficulties. First is the two substantial gaps, the first covering the period of World War I, the Civil War, and postwar recovery under the New Economic Policy, and the second covering World War II and postwar recovery. The reader will recall from chapter 5 that although for the second war period we have real GNP, we have no good annual population figures; we have annual GNP per worker, but this has little meaning, given the violent and anomalous structural changes of the war years.
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- Accounting for WarSoviet Production, Employment, and the Defence Burden, 1940–1945, pp. 295 - 305Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 1996