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15 - Prognosis: Policy and Process

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  05 June 2012

Robert A. Hinde
Affiliation:
St. John's College, University of Cambridge, U.K.
Alison Clarke-Stewart
Affiliation:
University of California, Irvine
Judy Dunn
Affiliation:
Institute of Psychiatry, London
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Summary

To provide a commentary at the end of a volume with such exceptional contributions, a volume that will certainly be a landmark in the field, is a formidable assignment. Rather than commenting on the obvious elegance and excellence of the chapters, I shall try to comment on the volume as a whole from three perspectives – contributions to policy, to intervention, and to prevention.

Impact on Policy

The chapters have two goals, one aimed toward policy makers with the aim of guiding interventions and the other, the understanding of process to benefit clinicians. So far as policy is concerned, I suggest that these chapters may mark a high point, after which further work of this sort will bring decreasing returns in the form of policy changes. Longitudinal studies will continue to be essential for revealing sleeper and steeling effects, for consequential models, and for assessing resilience. New situations and new problems will arise, and there will be need for new studies in the future. But, given the nature of the variables used in these large-scale studies, the main conclusions are already laid out, and practically every study implies complexity.

All the chapters deal with an extremely complex network of inter-related mutual influences, and an important characteristic of the volume as a whole is that it recognizes complexity more clearly than much of the earlier work.

Type
Chapter
Information
Families Count
Effects on Child and Adolescent Development
, pp. 361 - 370
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2006

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