Book contents
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- List of Tables
- Acknowledgments
- Party Acronyms and Candidate Abbreviations
- 1 INTRODUCTION
- 2 ECONOMIC CONDITIONS AND ELECTION RESULTS
- 3 COMPARATIVE CROSS-REGIONAL ANALYSIS
- 4 PAIRED CASE STUDIES
- 5 THE INCUMBENCY HYPOTHESIS
- 6 THE NEW REGIME HYPOTHESIS
- 7 THE OLD REGIME HYPOTHESIS
- 8 COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS
- 9 ECONOMIC VOTING AND POSTCOMMUNIST POLITICS
- Appendix I NATIONAL ELECTION RESULTS
- Appendix II REGRESSION RESULTS AND DOCUMENTATION
- Appendix III ESTIMATED DISTRIBUTIONS OF FIRST DIFFERENCES
- Appendix IV PERCENTAGE OF POSITIVE SIMULATIONS BY PARTY
- Works Cited
- Index
- Titles in the series
8 - COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 24 November 2009
- Frontmatter
- Contents
- List of Tables
- Acknowledgments
- Party Acronyms and Candidate Abbreviations
- 1 INTRODUCTION
- 2 ECONOMIC CONDITIONS AND ELECTION RESULTS
- 3 COMPARATIVE CROSS-REGIONAL ANALYSIS
- 4 PAIRED CASE STUDIES
- 5 THE INCUMBENCY HYPOTHESIS
- 6 THE NEW REGIME HYPOTHESIS
- 7 THE OLD REGIME HYPOTHESIS
- 8 COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS
- 9 ECONOMIC VOTING AND POSTCOMMUNIST POLITICS
- Appendix I NATIONAL ELECTION RESULTS
- Appendix II REGRESSION RESULTS AND DOCUMENTATION
- Appendix III ESTIMATED DISTRIBUTIONS OF FIRST DIFFERENCES
- Appendix IV PERCENTAGE OF POSITIVE SIMULATIONS BY PARTY
- Works Cited
- Index
- Titles in the series
Summary
Having examined the degree of empirical support for each of the standard economic voting hypotheses individually in great detail in the previous three chapters, I turn now to a more synthetic comparative analysis of the findings from across the different models, approaches, and hypotheses. This analysis is structured in three parts. First and foremost, I present a comparative analysis of the empirical support for the Referendum and Transitional Identity Models. As demonstrated in the previous chapters, the cases included in the study generate more consistently strong empirical support for the Transitional Identity Model than for the Referendum Model. In this chapter, I examine how well this conclusion holds under different ways of assessing the empirical evidence. The findings from all these analyses, however, are remarkably consistent. No matter what form of analysis is applied, there is always substantially more empirical support for the Transitional Identity Model than for the Referendum Model.
The second form of comparative analysis presented is an assessment of the evidence supporting the different conditional economic voting hypotheses. In the previous chapters, I examined the degree to which the different conditional hypotheses were useful in explaining the variation in support for each standard economic voting hypothesis individually. In this chapter, I test the overall support for each conditional hypothesis generated across all of the standard hypotheses, thus allowing for a focused assessment of, for example, the support for the personality hypothesis from the different tests offered in Chapters 5, 6, and 7 at one time.
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- Regional Economic VotingRussia, Poland, Hungary, Slovakia, and the Czech Republic, 1990–1999, pp. 244 - 275Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 2006