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Angry and Wrong

The Emotional Dynamics of Partisan Media and Political Misperceptions

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  19 September 2024

Brian Weeks
Affiliation:
University of Michigan

Summary

Type
Element
Information
Online ISBN: 9781009091121
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication: 31 October 2024

1 Introduction

As the violent attacks on the United States Capitol unfolded on January 6, 2021, many of the rioters appeared to be driven by two grievances. They expressed anger at the political system, anger at the outcome of the election, and anger at elected officials. At the same time, many rioters that day were motivated by the false belief that the 2020 presidential election was stolen from President Donald Trump through coordinated, systematic voter fraud. They waved signs with allegations of election fraud, chanted slogans like “Stop the Steal,” and vowed to fight to take back the country as they stormed the Capitol building.

The events of that day reflect two growing, related trends in American politics; many people are angry about politics and some are misinformed. The sources of anger and misperceptions are complex; decades of declining trust in government, increases in racial resentment, and partisan sorting along ideological, cultural, ethnic, and racial dimensions has made the American public angrier (Reference PhoenixPhoenix, 2020; Reference WebsterWebster, 2020). This anger is rampant throughout the political system in the United States. Politicians use anger as a political strategy to generate support for their campaign or to discredit the opposition (Reference WebsterWebster, 2020). Partisan media and online sources of political information use anger-inducing language to describe politics, which can attract audiences, increase engagement with content on social media, and be financially beneficial for the outlet (Reference Berry and SobierajBerry & Sobieraj, 2013; Reference HasellHasell, 2021; Reference Hiaeshutter-Rice and WeeksHiaeshutter-Rice & Weeks, 2021; Reference PeckPeck, 2020; Reference YoungYoung, 2019). The public at large is often angry at people they disagree with politically and willing to express outrage at political opponents (Reference MasonMason, 2016), a pattern of political hostility that has increased in the United States since the early 2000s (Reference Iyengar, Lelkes, Levendusky, Malhotra and WestwoodIyengar et al., 2019). Anger is clearly increasingly prominent in American politics.

At the same time, there is evidence that some Americans are misinformed about the political and social world around them. These political misperceptions, which are defined as personal beliefs that are considered incorrect based on the best available evidence from relevant experts at the time (Reference Vraga and BodeVraga & Bode, 2020), are a significant element of contemporary politics in the United States. Although there is some debate about the degree to which the American public is truly misinformed (Reference GrahamGraham, 2023), there is no question that misinformation, disinformation, false conspiracy theories, and rumors are often believed.Footnote 1 One need only to look at polls registering Americans’ false beliefs to see the potential threat misperceptions pose to politics and society. Two years after the 2020 US presidential election, surveys indicate that nearly one-third of Americans do not believe President Joe Biden legitimately won the election (Reference UniversityMonmouth University, 2022). One in four Americans believed that Covid-19 was a planned conspiracy (Reference Research CenterPew, 2020). Misperceptions are prevalent and problematic.

The simultaneous prominence of anger and misperceptions is not a coincidence. On the one hand, anger can make people more partisan and less rational. Anger can lead people to turn to political information sources that reinforce existing beliefs. It can encourage them to ignore, downplay, or counterargue evidence that challenges their worldview (Reference MacKuen, Wolak, Keele and MarcusMacKuen et al., 2010). Ultimately, anger can make people more susceptible to believing false claims about politics, science, and health if those claims are consistent with their political or ideological views (Reference WeeksWeeks, 2015). On the other hand, much of the political mis- and disinformation in the public sphere directly plays on people’s anger about the political world. The goal of much political disinformation, in fact, is to stoke anger about cultural, political, ideological, racial, or religious differences in society. Given the concurrent prevalence of anger and misperceptions in American politics, I argue that they are inextricably linked; anger promotes misperceptions and misperceptions fuel anger. The big question is, what is making us so angry and so often wrong about politics?

The power and prevalence of anger and false beliefs highlight the need to understand how such feelings develop and persist among the public. Certainly, in the case of beliefs about election fraud in 2020, partisan polarization coupled with consistent claims perpetuated by Donald Trump added to the outrage and misperceptions. There’s little question that partisan sorting, growing distrust in institutions like government and media, along with active attempts by nationalist and foreign actors to undermine democratic societies have fueled both anger and misperceptions (Reference Bennett and LivingstonBennett & Livingston, 2018; Reference JamiesonJamieson, 2020). But other causes may be responsible as well. Notably, partisan media outlets – which tend to explicitly favor one political party or ideology over the other – may also contribute to both anger and false beliefs in American society. For example, consider the case of false beliefs about voter fraud in the 2020 US presidential election. It is notable that in 2020 and early 2021, Fox News – which is considered conservative partisan media – aired hundreds of television segments that mentioned voter or election fraud (Television Archive, n.d.). While not all mentions explicitly claimed that voter fraud took place during the election, some of the references suggested that election misconduct was at work and that allegations of fraud had merit. Such references to voter fraud may have angered audiences of conservative partisan media and promoted beliefs that election fraud was widespread.

The potential link between partisan media, anger, and misperceptions is not limited to Republican- or conservative-leaning media. During the 2020 presidential campaign there were claims circulating on social media that Donald Trump conspired with Postmaster General Louis DeJoy to deliberately slow down mail delivery service to undermine mail-in voting and help Trump win the election. While mail did slow down after DeJoy assumed his post, the claim that Trump directed the move for political gain was not supported by evidence (Reference LeeLee, 2020). This claim drew ire among Democrats and was reported by liberal-leaning partisan media outlets. For example, a Daily Kos headline from July 31, 2020 read “Trump’s Scheme to Hobble Vote-by-Mail in Full Swing Under Top GOP Donor-Turned-Postmaster General.” That same day, MSNBC host Rachel Maddow took to Facebook to note that “There’s a ‘growing perception’ that U.S. Postal Service delays are the result of a ‘political effort’ to undermine voting by mail” despite any concrete evidence of such efforts.

What these examples illustrate is that partisan media exposure, political anger, and political misperceptions may be closely linked. Existing evidence indicates that they are indeed related. My prior research shows that frequent users of partisan media are more angry than those who rarely or do not use partisan media (Reference Hasell and WeeksHasell & Weeks, 2016), that political anger promotes false beliefs (Reference WeeksWeeks, 2015), and that use of partisan media is associated with more political misperceptions (Reference Garrett, Weeks and NeoGarrett et al., 2016; Reference Weeks, Menchen-Trevino, Calabrese, Casas and WojcieszakWeeks et al., 2023). These individual pieces point to the power of partisan media to anger and misinform audiences but a larger, more expansive test of the causal role of partisan media, as well as how this process unfolds over time is needed. Open questions persist: are partisan media at least partially responsible for the anger and misinformation that have come to characterize the political system in the United States? If so, do conservative and liberal partisan media exert the same degree of influence on audiences?

The answers to these questions are critically important, particularly given unsettled debates about the influence partisan media have in contemporary American politics and society. Some critics argue that partisan media play a damaging role in American politics, allowing people to use extreme, partisan media at the expense of more moderate, nonpartisan news (Reference SunsteinSunstein, 2007). The concern here is that people will fall into media ecosystems where the only information they see reinforces their existing worldviews, polarizing and misinforming them along the way. Others have challenged this argument and suggest instead that the influence of partisan media is more minimal, particularly given that partisan audiences are small. The overwhelming majority of Americans do not use partisan media on a regular basis; most Americans have somewhat diverse news repertoires and do not exist in like-minded echo chambers or filter bubbles online (see Reference Arguedas, Robertson, Fletcher and NielsenArguedas et al., 2022; Reference Jamieson, Levendusky and PasekJamieson et al., 2023). In fact, audiences for partisan sources remain quite small relative to other, more mainstream news outlets (Reference GuessGuess, 2021). This would suggest that partisan media may appeal to smaller, more fringe audiences that are not reflective of the larger public. Because these audiences remain relatively small, the argument suggests, partisan media are not capable of creating widespread polarization and discord present in the American political system (Reference PriorPrior, 2013; Reference Wojcieszak, de Leeuw and Menchen-TrevinoWojcieszak et al., 2023). Yet a third possibility remains: partisan media audiences are small but democratically troublesome. While direct audiences are modest, angry and misinformed users of partisan media still raise alarm, particularly given the disproportionate influence they potentially have on American politics through their activities on- and offline (Reference PriorPrior, 2013). More evidence of the impact of partisan media is clearly needed.

The purpose of this Element is to better understand if and how partisan media affect false political beliefs by more systematically examining the relationships between partisan media exposure, political anger, and political misperceptions during the 2020 U S presidential election. To do so, I rely on a comprehensive survey of 1,800 American adults who closely resemble the population of the United States and were surveyed at three time periods in the fall of 2020. The survey measured their media exposure – including partisan media – along with their levels of political anger and their beliefs about a series of false claims related to politics, science, and health that were circulating at that time. By surveying the same group of respondents three times during the election season, the data allow me to more precisely test how partisan media introduce, change, and/or reinforce levels of political anger over time. The data here can also be used to examine whether partisan media exposure and political anger bias political beliefs, making people more likely to accept political falsehoods as true. The three waves of data also allow me to test whether people who are angry and/or misinformed are subsequently drawn to partisan media over time, which may further reinforce anger and misperceptions (Reference SlaterSlater, 2007). This approach therefore offers a more stringent causal test of the reciprocal influence of partisan media on anger and misperceptions.

Through these analyses, I find that partisan media matter a great deal. They are influential in shaping their audiences’ anger and beliefs about politics. These effects are persistent even when accounting for other explanations, like political party identification or ideology. Although the audiences for these outlets are relatively small, the people who consistently use partisan media think, feel, and behave differently from those who infrequently or do not use them. Compared to people who are not (or rarely) exposed to ideological media, users of partisan media are angrier at their political opponents and are considerably more willing to believe political falsehoods that reflect well on their own political party or poorly on the opposing party. There is also evidence that the relationships here are often mutually reinforcing; partisan media incite anger and misperceptions, which make it even more likely that audiences seek out these sources again in the future. Such a reinforcing spiral may make it difficult to combat false beliefs, or diminish feelings of political anger, and point to the power partisan media can hold over audiences.

However, the analyses that follow show that the role of partisan media in the United States is asymmetrical and different depending on the ideological alignment of the source. In short, the data indicate that conservative partisan media have a stronger and more consistent impact on audiences’ anger and misperceptions than do liberal media. During the 2020 election, users of conservative partisan media became more angry and inaccurate in their beliefs over time and were angrier and more misinformed than those who used conservative partisan media infrequently or not at all. This suggests that conservative media can cause people to be more angry and misinformed. Similarly, audiences of liberal partisan media were also angrier and held more false beliefs than did people who did not use it frequently. But there is little evidence in the data that users of liberal partisan media became more angry and misinformed during the election as a result of using these sources. While both types of media are no doubt important in shaping audiences’ beliefs, conservative and liberal partisan media are not equivalent in their effects on the American public. Rather, conservative media are particularly influential in promoting anger and political misperceptions among their audiences.

This Element proceeds as follows: in the next section, I draw on theories of media exposure, emotion, and information processing to outline my expectations regarding the ways in which partisan media promote anger and misperceptions. Along the way I argue that anger is the vital link between exposure to partisan news and being misinformed; partisan media trigger anger in their audiences, which subsequently promotes incorrect beliefs. After outlining the theory, I next describe the survey and data before reporting my analyses. I conclude by offering a discussion of the implications of findings.

2 How Partisan Media Drive Anger and Misperceptions

2.1 What Are ‘Partisan’ Media?

One defining feature of the contemporary American political media environment is the prevalence of explicitly partisan political information sources. Partisan media outlets are those that present political information in a way that is notably favorable to one political party or ideology (Reference LevenduskyLevendusky, 2013). The partisan nature of this coverage is evident in a few ways; outlets can be partisan (and biased) both in the types of stories they cover or the way in which they frame or emphasize certain aspects of an issue (Reference Baum and GroelingBaum & Groeling, 2008; Reference Jamieson and CappellaJamieson & Cappella, 2008). Partisan media can be distinguished from mainstream or nonpartisan news outlets that follow the norms and routines of professional journalism, providing general-interest content that is produced through processes of accurate reporting, fact-checking, editing, and institutional oversight. These often include large national newspapers, broadcast television outlets, and public media. Partisan outlets, in contrast, do not always follow these procedures. Instead, they often market themselves or are perceived by audiences or third parties as correctives to or in opposition to more traditional, mainstream news sources. Much of their content, which often relies on highly opinionated commentary rather than original reporting (Reference LevenduskyLevendusky, 2013), directly challenges or offers a counternarrative to what is provided by more mainstream news outlets (Reference Holt, Figenschou and FrischlichHolt et al., 2019).

Technological changes and widespread adoption of the internet have allowed partisan media to grow over the last thirty years in the United States. Following the success of conservative talk radio hosts like Rush Limbaugh in the late 1980s and early 1990s, the expansion of cable news allowed partisan television networks like Fox News, which was launched in 1996, to build an audience and become a prominent voice in American politics (Reference Brock and Rabin-HavtBrock et al., 2012; Reference HemmerHemmer, 2016; Reference Jamieson and CappellaJamieson & Cappella, 2008; Reference PeckPeck, 2020). Over the past twenty-five years, Fox News has become one of the most popular news brands in the United States by offering explicitly conservative partisan content intended to appeal to and attract a right-leaning audience. The data suggests it is working. According to a Reference Research Center2020 Pew Poll, Fox News was the most commonly cited source for political and election news among the American public, as 16% of US adults named Fox News as their main source for election news and nearly 40% reported getting news from Fox in the prior week. Two-thirds of Republicans named Fox News as their most-trusted news source (Pew, 2020a; Pew, 2020b). Although not nearly as successful as Fox News, liberal partisan outlets like MSNBC have also become commonplace in the American media environment.

But partisan media outlets are not limited to cable television brands like Fox News or MSNBC. On the political right, an ecosystem of influential right-wing media outlets has emerged that do not always adhere to norms of journalistic objectivity or engage in fact and evidence-based reporting (Reference Benkler, Faris and RobertsBenkler et al., 2018). These sites have become some of the most popular and influential political information outlets on the internet. In many cases, right-wing media outlets have a comparable (or even more) number followers on social media platforms like Facebook than do more mainstream, national news outlets. For example, the Daily Caller (6.2 million) and the Washington Post (7.3 million) have roughly similar numbers of followers. On both the right and left, podcasters, influencers, and YouTubers have joined the ranks of popular partisan media. Some of these individuals also have relatively large followings online. Hasan Piker, for instance, is a progressive political commentator who has more than 2.5 million followers on the streaming platform, Twitch. While partisan media have historically been thought of as “news,” the universe of media content that falls under this umbrella is growing, rapidly changing, and, potentially, financially lucrative.

While partisan media exists on both the right and left, conservative and liberal partisan media are not equivalent. As I argue, there are important distinctions in terms of their popularity, content, and effects. Conservative media in particular play an important role in the American political media ecosystem. Starting with the success of Rush Limbaugh and Fox News, conservative media outlets have come to explicitly brand themselves as a counter or alternative to more mainstream media, which is often portrayed in conservative media as untrustworthy, liberal, and excessively out of touch with working, middle-class (White) Americans and their values (Reference Brock and Rabin-HavtBrock et al., 2012; Reference PeckPeck, 2020). This populist and angry rhetoric caught on and attracted audiences to conservative media both off- and online (Reference YoungYoung, 2019). Although many do not use these sites exclusively, more than six in ten Republicans report getting news from Fox News every week (Pew, 2021). No liberal source attracts Democratic audiences in the same way. Conservative news has also become quite prominent online and on social media. Right-wing news sites online have created a tight-knit media ecosystem in which conservative content – including misinformation – is shared and amplified in a way that is insulated from more moderate or centrist news sites (Reference Benkler, Faris and RobertsBenkler et al., 2018). This conservative media ecosystem does not have a liberal equivalent or a mirrored system on the left. Such asymmetries in conservative and liberal news exposure are apparent on social media as well. There is evidence of ideological segregation on platforms like Facebook, as sources favored by conservative audiences are more prominent on the platform than liberal ones. Further, a small group of very conservative users tend to frequently use right-leaning pages on the platform, isolating themselves from more centrist content (Reference González-Bailón, Lazer and BarberáGonzález-Bailón et al., 2023). As I note later, the popularity and influence of conservative partisan media may have important consequences for audiences’ beliefs about science, health, and politics.

2.2 Who Uses Partisan Media and Why?

As the internet and social media expanded in the late twentieth and early twenty-first centuries, some critics raised concerns that technological changes to the media environment would provide people the opportunity to create news and political information diets that reflect their personal beliefs, partisan affiliations, or political ideologies, while also avoiding sources that challenged their political views or were more politically neutral (e.g. Reference SunsteinSunstein, 2007). These concerns – whether called filter bubble, echo chambers, or media balkanization – were based in part on the theory of selective exposure, which suggests that people prefer news and information outlets that reinforce their existing political views because those sources often tell people what they want to hear, while avoiding or downplaying uncomfortable political truths (Reference StroudStroud, 2011). If taken to the extreme, technology can facilitate the construction of ‘echo chambers’ in which news consumers only expose themselves to news and political information from sources that are politically congenial. Similarly, algorithmic filtering based on political and content preferences could help construct filter bubbles of politically aligned information online (Reference PariserPariser, 2011). At the center of these processes are partisan media outlets.

Although a popular media and political narrative suggests that most Americans are creating echo-chambers by self-selecting into like-minded partisan media, this claim is not supported by the evidence. Over the past twenty years, hundreds of studies have been conducted to test the extent to which people only expose themselves to politically like-minded partisan news. An abundance of evidence suggests people prefer like-minded content but don’t actively avoid information they disagree with (Reference GarrettGarrett, 2009). In fact, many people consume no news at all and few people consistently use only like-minded partisan media (Reference GuessGuess, 2021). Studies that track individuals’ internet use in the United States by evaluating browser histories indicate that less 2% of all website visits online are to news sites and only 0.75% are to explicitly partisan media sites (Reference Wojcieszak, de Leeuw and Menchen-TrevinoWojcieszak et al., 2023). Further, the evidence indicates those who do consume like-minded partisan news tend not to avoid other more neutral or even disagreeable news sources. All told, recent estimates suggest that less than 5% of Americans are in online news echo chambers. For comparison, approximately 30% of Americans consume no online news at all (Reference Fletcher, Robertson and NielsenFletcher et al., 2021; Reference Jamieson, Levendusky and PasekJamieson et al., 2023). This is not to say that echo chambers are nonexistent; recent evidence suggests that a small but perhaps growing segment of conservative news audiences exist in echo chambers (Reference Benkler, Faris and RobertsBenkler et al., 2018; Reference González-Bailón, Lazer and BarberáGonzález-Bailón et al., 2023; Reference GuessGuess, 2021; Reference Jamieson, Levendusky and PasekJamieson et al., 2023). But little evidence supports the notion that most people exist in partisan echo chambers.

While only a very small percentage of the American population exists in echo chambers, this does not mean that people are not at times exposed to partisan media. The contemporary information environment allows people to be exposed to partisan content in a number of ways. Consumers can actively seek out partisan media by watching partisan cable television channels like Fox News, visiting partisan websites, or following partisan media sources on social media. In addition to these active approaches, people can also be incidentally exposed to partisan content without purposefully seeking it. While algorithms employed by social media platforms like Facebook or remain a proprietary black box, we do know that they prioritize and amplify content that receives engagement from other users. This amplification of engaged content has enabled partisan media to thrive on social media platforms. Users engage more frequently with content from partisan outlets (relative to nonpartisan outlets) on social media platforms, particularly more extreme conservative pages. Posts from partisan media pages on Facebook receive far more user engagement in the form of likes, comments, and shares than do more mainstream sources. The most popular conservative media outlets on Facebook received, on average, approximately 10,000 likes and 5,000 shares per post. The most engaged mainstream pages, in comparison, received roughly 5,000 likes and 2,000 shares for each post (Hiashutter-Rice & Weeks, 2021). Content from partisan media, especially when it contains angry language, outpaces mainstream media in the number of shares and retweets on Twitter as well (Reference HasellHasell, 2021). These partisan sites are also shared widely by other, like-minded media outlets, which can expand their reach even further (Reference Benkler, Faris and RobertsBenkler et al., 2018). People may also be exposed to rumors and false content from partisan sites via online searches (Reference Weeks and SouthwellWeeks & Southwell, 2010). While the majority of people may not actively use partisan media, people clearly still encounter partisan media content through more passive exposure via online social networks (Reference Druckman, Levendusky and McLainDruckman et al., 2018; Reference HasellHasell, 2021; Reference Thorson and WellsThorson & Wells, 2016).

Such stark differences in engagement between partisan and mainstream media outlets raises the questions of why people are drawn to these outlets and why their content is amplified so widely, despite the relatively small, immediate audience. In terms of exposure, partisan media provide political content that often explicitly appeals to people who share the outlets’ political values or worldview. Research on selective exposure indicates that people are often psychologically attached to news sources and information that reinforce their existing political attitudes and beliefs (Reference GarrettGarrett, 2009; Reference StroudStroud, 2011). Although most people do not systematically avoid content or sources that challenge their worldview, they do have a strong preference for like-minded content, which partisan media delivers (Reference Garrett and StroudGarrett & Stroud, 2014). Many users of partisan media turn to these outlets likely because they get messages highlighting the positives of their political or social groups, alongside messages that criticize and denounce political opponents, all of which serve to reinforce existing political and social identities (Reference YoungYoung, 2023).

Preference for politically like-minded content is not the only explanation for why people use partisan media for political information; partisan media users also tend to find those sources more credible than mainstream sources (Reference Guess, Barberá, Munzert and YangGuess et al, 2021; Reference Metzger, Hartsell and FlanaginMetzger et al., 2020; Reference Tsfati and CappellaTsfati & Cappella, 2003). As people increasingly distrust government and institutions (Reference Bennett and LivingstonBennett & Livingston, 2018), there is also a growing perception among many Americans – particularly conservatives and Republicans – that mainstream media are biased, corrupt, or don’t reflect the values of certain segments of the population (Reference Holt, Figenschou and FrischlichHolt et al., 2019). Partisan media provide many of these individuals an alternative outlet for political content and information that they find more credible, in part because it often tells them what they want to hear.

2.3 Partisan Media Content

Partisan media are information outlets that tend to cover news and politics in a way that unfairly favors one political party or ideology over others, and that the coverage is opinionated rather than based on facts and evidence (Reference LevenduskyLevendusky, 2013). As previously mentioned, the embrace of one political ideology can emerge either through the political stories outlets choose to cover or how they frame topics (Reference Baum and GroelingBaum & Groeling, 2008).

In terms of story selection, partisan media can choose to cover and emphasize topics and issues that favor the political party, ideology, or politician(s) with which they are aligned. For example, both Democratic and Republican-leaning outlets tend to provide more coverage of political scandals that involve political opponents than scandals that involve ideologically-aligned politicians (Reference Puglisi and SnyderPuglisi & Snyder, 2011). To examine if this trend continued in recent years, I used the Internet Archive for TV news (see archive.org/details/tv) to search cable news transcripts for mentions of two political scandals from the 2020 US presidential election. The first scandal – which was likely more appealing to conservative audiences – involved the unproven claim that President Joe Biden and his son, Hunter, were involved in corruption surrounding business dealings in Ukraine. The second scandal involved the unproven claim that former US president Donald Trump purposely slowed down the US mail system in order to delay mail in ballots, thus giving Trump an electoral advantage. A rough search of the Internet Archive provided evidence of story bias; between September 1 and Election Day (November 3), 2020 Fox News mention Hunter Biden significantly more than did CNN. The same pattern emerged for liberal partisan sources and the Trump claim; MSNBC and CNN mentioned Trump and the US mail considerably more than did Fox News. I provide more detail on these differences in later chapters but for now suffice it to say that partisan outlets offer divergent levels of coverage to political rumors, falsehoods, and scandals, depending in part on the outlet’s ideology.

Not only do partisan media outlets cover different (un)favorable stories to different degrees, they also use production mechanisms to emphasize or deemphasize different political topics (Reference Shultziner and StukalinShultziner & Stukalin, 2021). For example, a minor gaffe by a Democratic politician may be a prominently-placed story on a conservative partisan media site whereas serious allegations against Republican politicians like former President Trump may be placed where readers need to scroll extensively to see it.

In addition to story selection and presentation, partisan media also tend to cover or frame stories in ways that favor one political ideology, viewpoint, or group over others. Despite often positioning themselves as unbiased or, in the case of Fox News, “Fair and Balanced,” partisan media are opinionated media (Reference LevenduskyLevendusky, 2013) and in many instances are explicit in their partisan bias, though these biases can be implicit too. Although ideological differences in news coverage between some partisan and mainstream sources may not be as vast as expected, audiences see opinionated content from right-leaning sources as conservative and opinionated content from left-leaning sources as liberal (Reference Budak, Goel and RaoBudak et al., 2016). Such biases are therefore evident and perceptible to audiences. For example, coverage of the second impeachment trial of Donald Trump differed wildly in liberal and conservative outlets. Political commentators on CNN and MSNBC praised the trial, describing it as an important moment of American political accountability. In contrast, the trial was described on conservative partisan media like Fox News and Newsmax as “asinine,” “offensive,” and “absurd” (Reference Hsu and RobertsonHsu & Robertson, 2021). These very different presentations of the same events highlight that partisan media can leave people with contrasting pictures of the world, depending on where they learn about an issue or topic.

Not only is opinionated content from partisan media perceived as either liberal or conservative, but the way these sources frame and cover political topics differs from nonpartisan sources. For example, conservative partisan media cover issues like immigration in a way that is remarkably different than nonpartisan media. A content analyses of news coverage of undocumented migration to the United States at the southern border found that conservative media outlets like Fox News, compared to nonpartisan outlets, were more likely to emphasize the crime and criminality of immigration than were nonpartisan sources, were less likely to discuss the morality of the issue, and featured more visuals of immigrants running or trying to climb fences at the border (Reference FamulariFamulari, 2020). Similar differences in coverage have been found on other topics, like climate change. A content analyses of climate change news coverage on partisan cable television in the United States found that Fox News was considerably more dismissive of the existence of climate change than were CNN or MSNBC and that Fox News was also significantly more likely to ignore or even reject the scientific consensus surrounding climate change than were the more liberal outlets (Reference Feldman, Maibach, Roser-Renouf and LeiserowitzFeldman et al., 2012). Partisan media – on both the right and left – actively criticize mainstream media as well. While conservative media often denounce mainstream media, liberal partisan commentators are also highly critical of mainstream news and attempt to sow distrust in these mainstream news organizations among their audiences (Reference Guess, Barberá, Munzert and YangGuess et al., 2021; Reference PeckPeck, 2023).

Differences in content between conservative and liberal partisan media are also apparent in the degree to which they cover and spread political misinformation. Notably, there is growing evidence that conservative media devotes extensive attention to political falsehoods. For example, during the 2020 US presidential election, conservative media further amplified Donald Trump’s false claim that the election was stolen and that the outcome was fraudulent (Reference Jamieson, Levendusky and PasekJamieson et al., 2023). Three of the most covered issues on Fox News during the 2020 election centered on unsubstantiated stories about Joe Biden’s support for “extreme” racial ideologies, mail-in voting fraud, and the (lack of) severity of Covid-19 (Reference Broockman and KallaBroockman & Kalla, 2023). On social media, a high volume of political misinformation on platforms like Facebook exist in pockets of highly conservative pages, more so than on liberal pages (Reference González-Bailón, Lazer and BarberáGonzález-Bailón et al., 2023). Misinformation also appears to spread through networks of conservative partisan media in way that is not mirrored by more liberal media (Reference Benkler, Faris and RobertsBenkler et al., 2018). Audiences of conservative partisan news may therefore be exposed to more false or misleading information than audiences of liberal or mainstream media. This exposure appears to influence the beliefs of audiences as well; use of conservative partisan media is associated with greater acceptance of misinformation about political, scientific, and health issues, relative to use of liberal partisan media (Reference Feldman, Myers, Hmielowski and LieserowitzFeldman et al., 2014; Reference Garrett, Weeks and NeoGarrett et al., 2016; Reference Garrett, Long and JeongGarrett et al., 2019; Reference MeirickMeirick, 2013; Reference Weeks, Menchen-Trevino, Calabrese, Casas and WojcieszakWeeks et al., 2023).

The nature of political coverage in partisan outlets has implications for how audiences react emotionally to this content. As noted, the majority of Americans do not extensively use partisan media (Reference GuessGuess, 2021; Reference PriorPrior, 2013; Reference Wojcieszak, de Leeuw and Menchen-TrevinoWojcieszak et al., 2023) but those who do are often different from their peers who do not frequently use partisan news; users of partisan media often hold more extreme attitudes that are more consistent with their partisanship or ideology (Reference Hmielowski, Hutchens and BeamHmielowski et al., 2020; Reference LevenduskyLevendusky, 2013; Reference StroudStroud, 2011). Teasing out a causal influence is challenging because we know that some individuals self-select into like-minded partisan media sources, making it difficult to determine whether any observed differences are attributable to partisan media content or preexisting partisan beliefs (Reference PriorPrior, 2013). Nonetheless, experimental research indicates that exposure to partisan media – especially when individuals choose to expose themselves to this content – can shape attitudes and beliefs and further polarize audiences (e.g. Reference Arceneaux and JohnsonArceneaux & Johnson, 2013; Reference LevenduskyLevendusky, 2013).

2.4 Partisan Media Can Anger and Misinform Audiences

A market strategy of partisan media has been to trigger outrage and anger in their audiences (Reference Berry and SobierajBerry & Sobieraj, 2013; Reference MutzMutz, 2016; Reference YoungYoung, 2019). Anger can be financially lucrative for media outlets; emotions like anger can increase attention to political media outlets, increase the time audiences spend with these outlets, and encourage engagement with their content (Reference Bakir and McStayBakir & McStay, 2018), all of which can increase revenue. Partisan media generate anger by relying heavily on news features, stories, and issues that are known to elicit emotions in audiences, including attack-oriented content, scandals, corruption, provocative headlines, unflattering images, and evocative graphics (e.g. Reference Hasell, Halversen and WeeksHasell et al., 2024; Reference Roberts and Wahl-JorgensenRoberts & Wahl-Jorgensen, 2022). This, coupled, with the fact that news media have generally become more emotional in their presentation style over time, including more storytelling and the dramatization of news (Reference Wahl-JorgensenWahl-Jorgensen, 2019) suggests partisan media may be particularly likely to induce emotions like anger.

Anger has always been an important emotion for politics (Reference Marcus, Neuman and MacKuenMarcus et al., 2000). It is a discrete, negative, but motivating emotion that emerges when people perceive an offense or injustice has occurred (Reference Carver and Harmon-JonesCarver & Harmon-Jones, 2009); partisan media seem to be uniquely suited to cultivate such anger. Anger can arise in the audience if news coverage suggests a perceived offense to the individual or their social group, or if news coverage blames an individual or social group for some perceived unjust event (Reference Arpan and NabiArpan & Nabi, 2011; Reference Goodall, Slater and MyersGoodall et al., 2013; Reference NabiNabi, 2003). For example, Fox News often exhibits a populist style of news coverage that emphasizes social, economic, racial, and political divisions in society in a way that promotes anger and group-based polarization (Reference Broockman and KallaBroockman & Kalla, 2023; Reference PeckPeck, 2019), in part by making individuals’ political and social identities more salient to them (Reference YoungYoung, 2023). This is reflected in the social media strategies of partisan media as well. Social media posts from partisan media pages are more likely to express anger than are posts from mainstream news (Reference HasellHasell, 2021), suggesting partisan media explicitly use anger in their content to attract audiences. Partisan media also often engage in or highlight political attacks on opponents and display other types of political incivility (Reference MutzMutz, 2016; Reference YoungYoung, 2019), which can promote anger and other negative feelings, like cynicism (Reference Hasell and WeeksHasell & Weeks, 2016; Reference Hasell, Halversen and WeeksHasell et al., 2024). In fact, audiences may turn to partisan media for the explicit purpose of experiencing outrage at the other side, or for finding justification for their existing political anger (Reference BoyerBoyer, 2023; Reference SongSong, 2017; Reference YoungYoung, 2019).

There is evidence that partisan media do in fact trigger emotional responses, particularly anger. People who consistently use partisan media are more angry about politics than their peers who don’t use these outlets as often (Reference Hasell and WeeksHasell & Weeks, 2016; Reference Lu and LeeLu & Lee, 2019; Reference Wojcieszak, Bimber, Feldman and StroudWojcieszak et al., 2016). Users of partisan media also tend to express more general negative emotions and affect toward political opponents (Reference Garrett, Long and JeongGarrett et al., 2019). This suggests that emotionally evocative coverage in partisan media can affect how the audience feels about politics and political figures more broadly.

Taken together, partisan media are likely to encourage anger but there are several reasons to expect that they will also promote political misperceptions. First, because partisan media are often biased and favorable toward some political parties, ideologies, or groups over others, they may discuss false or misleading claims that provide a strategic advantage to the supported party. This coverage is sometimes designed with the explicit purpose of creating confusion, misunderstandings, or misperceptions about individuals, groups, or policies (Reference Bennett and LivingstonBennett & Livingston, 2018; Reference Faris, Roberts and EtlingFaris et al., 2017; Reference Garrett, Weeks and NeoGarrett et al., 2016; Reference Jamieson and CappellaJamieson & Cappella, 2008; Reference Marwick and LewisMarwick & Lewis, 2017; Reference Vargo, Guo and AmazeenVargo et al., 2018). For example, during the 2016 US presidential election, Fox News heavily covered unsubstantiated allegations and scandals surrounding Hillary Clinton’s campaign, and 95% of this coverage was negative (Reference PattersonPatterson, 2016). Such coverage can promote belief in misleading or false claims by connecting the information to people’s own political identities. When political identities are primed in this way, people are more likely to accept falsehoods that are consistent with their worldview (Reference YoungYoung, 2023), particularly falsehoods about political opponents (Reference Flynn, Nyhan and ReiflerFlynn et al., 2017).

Second, partisan media do not need to explicitly share and spread misinformation in order to misinform. In many cases, the influence of partisan media on beliefs is more subtle. In particular, partisan media may work to discredit and undermine experts and expert conclusions, which can promote political falsehoods. Studies suggest that users of partisan media are no less knowledgeable about expert conclusions surrounding political, scientific, and health issues. However, people who use partisan media are more likely to misunderstand or even outright reject what experts believe, leading to greater levels of misperceptions (Reference Garrett, Weeks and NeoGarrett et al., 2016). Such dynamics can help explain why users of partisan media were more misinformed about Covid-19 prevention behaviors, including vaccines, and were less likely to engage in those preventative actions (Reference Motta and SteculaMotta & Stecula, 2023; Reference Motta, Stecula and FarhartMotta et al., 2020). If doctors and medical experts are routinely discredited in partisan media, audiences may begin to question their expertise or recommendations.

Third, and most importantly, partisan media can misinform via the anger they elicit in their audience. Partisan media tend to emphasize differences between social and political groups, which can make people more aware of their own identities and promote feelings of anger at the political system or opponents (Reference YoungYoung, 2023; Reference Weeks, Nabi and MyrickWeeks, 2023). Anger is a powerful emotion in shaping political beliefs; it can make people see and think about the world in a more partisan way. Angry people tend behave in a more partisan manner and use more partisan biases when they engage with political information (Reference MacKuen, Wolak, Keele and MarcusMacKuen et al., 2010; Reference Marcus, Neuman and MacKuenMarcus et al., 2000). Notably, angry people are more likely to engage in partisan motivated reasoning and exhibit political biases when considering the veracity of political information; when people experience high-arousal negative emotions (like anger), they are more likely to counterargue identity-challenging information and are less willing to extend support to political outgroups (Reference BoyerBoyer, 2023).

These findings suggest anger can reduce effortful information processing and lead people to engage in less careful, considerate, and deliberate thought, and instead rely more on partisan heuristics in their judgement and decision-making (Reference WebsterWebster, 2020). These emotional dynamics can help explain why people tend to believe falsehoods about politics, science, and health, particularly when they are aligned with individuals’ political worldview or ideology. Anger can make people rely on their party identity when forming political beliefs, which can leave them more vulnerable to believing claims that are not true if those beliefs reflect well on their political party (Reference Carnahan, Ahn and TurnerCarnahan et al., 2023). Angry people are more likely to ignore facts and evidence that challenges their identities or worldviews and find inaccurate information more credible if it supports their prior views (see Reference Weeks, Nabi and MyrickWeeks, 2023 for review). For example, in an experimental study, I found that angry people were more likely to believe false information about immigration if those falsehoods came from a politician from their own political party (Reference WeeksWeeks, 2015). In other words, angry people are very willing to believe political falsehoods if those falsehoods align with their worldview. If partisan media are able to trigger anger, their audiences should be more susceptible to believing false claims that favor their side politically.

2.5 Reinforcing Spirals: Partisan Media, Anger, and Misperceptions

We know from prior research that people who use partisan media are more angry and misinformed, and also that angry people are more likely to believe political falsehoods. The analyses that follow test these relationships in a larger, more comprehensive model that examines the process over time. Importantly, it attempts to provide a much-needed answer to the question of why we find considerable evidence that partisan media audiences are misinformed, despite consuming so much political news and information. I argue that anger is the key here; partisan media increase anger in their audience, which subsequently influences what those audiences believe about politics. In this case, anger can lead people to believe claims about politics that are not true.

Theoretically, I rely on what is known as the reinforcing spirals model (RSM) of political media effects (Reference SlaterSlater, 2007). The crux of the RSM is that media effects do not exist in a vacuum, independent of personal characteristics, identities, emotions, and worldviews that people bring to any engagement with or selection of media. Rather, the theory argues that people’s existing identities, attitudes, emotions, and/or beliefs influence what media they consume. In particular, people are more likely to select media content that reinforces existing worldviews. Exposure to that media content subsequently strengthens those existing attitudes, identities, emotions, beliefs, etc., making it even more likely that people continue to use self-reinforcing media in the future (Reference Hmielowski, Hutchens and BeamHmielowski et al., 2020). In this way, media selection and effects are dynamic processes in which identities, attitudes, emotions, and beliefs affect which media people choose to consume, which serves to maintain, reinforce, or strengthen those concepts over time (Reference Shehata, Thomas, Glogger and AnsdersenShehata et al., 2024; Reference SlaterSlater, 2007).

The RSM provides a framework to understand the dynamics and associations between partisan media use, political anger, and political misperceptions. It allows me to make predictions for how these concepts influence each other over time. Based on the RSM, I argue that use of partisan media reinforces both political anger and misperceptions. More specifically, politically angry and misinformed individuals will be more likely to use partisan media in the first place. Using partisan media should, over time, further increase levels of political anger and acceptance of political falsehoods, which will in turn promote even more partisan media use. While the RSM is often employed to understand the relationships between media use and social or political identities, the model can also be utilized to understand over-time effects of media use, emotions, and beliefs (Reference SlaterSlater, 2007).

Importantly, the RSM enables me to examine change both within and between individuals over time (Reference Thomas, Shehata, Otto, Möller and PresteleThomas et al., 2021). For example, to what extent do individuals who use partisan media see changes in anger and misperceptions? In other words, do users of partisan media become more angry and misinformed over time? The RSM model also allows for predictions in differences between individuals. That is, are the people who frequently use partisan media more angry and misinformed than the people who do not?

These predictions are depicted visually in Figure 1, with the corresponding path noted in the figure and the text later. The paths in the center part of the model (paths a though f) represent within-person effects. That is, to what extent do individuals’ partisan media use, anger, and misperceptions influence each other and change over time? Were relationships evident here, this would suggest that partisan media content is changing what people feel and believe. The paths at the outer part of the model (g, h, i) represent between-person effects, which illustrate how the extent to which people use partisan media (e.g. frequent vs. rare use) influences anger and false beliefs.

Figure 1 Hypothesized within- and between-person relationships between partisan media use, political anger, and belief accuracy across three waves.

It is necessary to highlight three important distinctions about these predictions. First, I expect the effects of partisan media to be on anger and beliefs about politicians and issues the outlet opposes. For example, I expect users of conservative partisan media to be more angry and misinformed about Biden (and not Trump) and vice versa for users of liberal partisan media. I would not expect, for example, that using liberal media would increase anger or misperceptions about Biden and the same is true with using conservative media and feelings and beliefs about Trump.

Second, this approach means that I test the effects of conservative and liberal partisan media separately. Some evidence suggests that conservative partisan media may be more prominent and politically influential than liberal partisan media (e.g. Reference Benkler, Faris and RobertsBenkler et al., 2018; Reference Garrett, Weeks and NeoGarrett et al., 2016; Reference González-Bailón, Lazer and BarberáGonzález-Bailón et al., 2023; Reference Weeks, Menchen-Trevino, Calabrese, Casas and WojcieszakWeeks et al., 2023), though other work finds symmetry in the influence of conservative and liberal media (see Reference Hmielowski, Hutchens and BeamHmielowski et al., 2020). Clearly, more attention to this question is needed. One question I examine is whether there are asymmetrical effects of conservative and liberal media on political anger and misperceptions.

Third, note that I am not strictly testing the effects of selective exposure. I don’t stipulate or examine who is using partisan media or how they arrived at these sites. Rather, I am interested in all individuals’ exposure to partisan media, including passive, incidental exposure. We know that people can be inadvertently exposed to partisan content through social networks and algorithmic filtering. While, for example, the influence of partisan media may be greater for like-minded partisans who self-select into this content, I am more interested in how anyone who encounters these sources reacts to partisan content. In other words, I am not examining the effect of exposure to like-minded political content, but instead I am examining the effect of partisan media on all individuals who are exposed to them. Because of this, the tests below are in some ways more conservative because they are not simply looking at the effects of people who seek out like-minded content, but rather the audiences of partisan media as a whole. With this in mind, and incorporating both within- and between-person effects noted earlier, I expect the following:

  1. 1. Users of partisan media will become more angry at the outlets’ political opponents over time (a path) and frequency of use will be positively associated with political anger (g path).

  2. 2. Users of partisan media will become more politically misinformed over time (b path) and frequency of use will be negatively associated with belief accuracy (i.e. more misperceptions) (i path).

  3. 3. People who are angry at political opponents will use more partisan media than people who are less angry (g path) and they will increase their use of partisan media over time (c path).

  4. 4. People who are angry at political opponents will become more politically misinformed over time (d path) and will be more misinformed than people who are less angry (h path).

  5. 5. People who are misinformed about politics will use more partisan media over time (e path) and will use more partisan media than people who are more accurately informed (i path).

  6. 6. People who are misinformed about politics will become more angry at the outlets’ political opponents over time (f path) and will be more angry than people who are more accurately informed (h path).

The model suggests that angry and misinformed individuals will seek out partisan media again in the future. At the same time, this use of partisan media will only serve to strengthen and enhance both anger and false beliefs over time (Reference Slater, Shehata, Strömbäck, Van den Bulck, Ewoldsen, Mares and ScharrerSlater et al., 2020). In this way, all three concepts – partisan media use, political anger, and political misperceptions – serve as both a cause and effect of each other, reinforcing and strengthening each other over time.

3 Use of Partisan Media

We know that most people are not in media echo chambers but are exposed to partisan media from time to time. This raises several important questions about who uses partisan media, how often, and which outlets are most popular. Before examining the effects of partisan media, it is vital to first understand its prevalence and scope. This section addresses these questions by examining use of partisan media relative to nonpartisan news outlets during the 2020 US election. The analyses in this section lay the groundwork for later questions about the influence of partisan media on anger and misperceptions by offering a descriptive picture of partisan media use during the election.

3.1 Measuring Use of Partisan Media

To examine the frequency of partisan media use, as well as the specific outlets people use, I utilize three waves of survey data (YouGov) collected during the 2020 US election.Footnote 2 I began by creating a list of nearly sixty prominent political news outlets, including a mix of partisan and nonpartisan sources. These included a mix of web-only sources (e.g. Breitbart, Slate), as well as outlets that have both an online and offline presence (e.g. Fox News, ABC News, Wall Street Journal). The list also included both legacy media (e.g. The New York Times) and highly partisan sources (e.g. One American News Network: OANN). As described later and in the Appendix, each source was then categorized into one of three groups: (1) nonpartisan media (twenty-four sources), (2) liberal partisan media (nineteen sources), and (3) conservative partisan media (sixteen sources).

In each wave of the survey, respondents were presented with the entire list of online sources and asked to select any sources they had used at least once in the past fourteen days for news or political information. Respondents only selected the sources they had used and did not need to respond or check ‘no’ for unused sources.Footnote 3

While the total number of outlets visited by type provides useful descriptive information, they do not account for frequency of use. Theoretically, an individual who uses an outlet multiple times in a set period of time is likely to be more influenced by content from that outlet than a different individual who uses the site more sparingly. A measure of frequency is therefore needed. After completing the entire battery of source questions, respondents who noted that they had used a specific source were then asked how often they used that source. If, for example, a respondent said they only used Fox News in the prior two weeks, they were only asked about their frequency of Fox News use. People who used more than one source were then asked about frequency of use for each individual source. To create frequency of use variables, I first took the average frequency for all outlets, by type (nonpartisan, liberal, conservative). Sources within type that were not used were coded as 1 (Never). Average frequencies therefore ranged from 1 (Never) to 7 (Several Times per Day). Individuals who reported not using any sources within type (e.g. conservative media) were coded as a 1 (Never). This approach allows me to examine discrete exposure to each source (exposed to/not exposed to) as well as the frequency of that use at three time points during the election.

3.2 Categorizing Liberal, Nonpartisan, and Conservative Media

With both the list of outlets and their frequency of use measured, I next needed to categorize sites as liberal, conservative, or nonpartisan. Recall that I earlier noted two defining features of partisan media: partisan media are outlets that (1) cover political issues in a way that is explicitly favorable to one party over the other, and/or (2) are highly critical – often unfairly – of political opponent (Reference Baum and GroelingBaum & Groeling, 2008). Outlets that do not consistently exhibit these characteristics are defined as nonpartisan. While some outlets are fairly easy to categorize, distinguishing between partisan and nonpartisan sources is at times difficult. There is not a well-established, universally agreed upon list of partisan and nonpartisan sources. As previous authors have noted, any operationalization of what is considered conservative or liberal partisan content is to some extent arbitrary and different categorizations of sources could produce different conclusions (Reference Muise, Hosseinmardi and HowlandMuise et al., 2022). Further, different researchers may have reasonable and legitimate disagreements about which sources fall into which categories.

Given the challenges inherent in identifying partisan outlets, categorizing sources requires a delicate mix of objective and subjective approaches. I started by comparing existing empirical categorizations of partisan sites based on Twitter sharing behavior (and not actual content) (e.g. Reference Eady, Bonneau, Tucker and NaglerEady et al., 2020) with those from popular websites like AllSides. In most instances, there was consistency in the categorization of sites between these various sources. In the cases of more extreme outlets, the sites were fairly easily characterized as liberal or conservative. However, in some cases categorization was more difficult. Some sources often lean to the left (e.g. The New York Times) or right (e.g. the Wall Street Journal) in their editorial content without being explicitly partisan in their overall coverage. It is important to note that I am interested in the influence of more directly partisan sites rather than those that at times lean more liberal or conservative. Thus, sources that lean left or right in their editorial coverage but offer fairly nonpartisan news were treated as nonpartisan sites. Nearly all of the sources that were categorized as nonpartisan were those that either do original reporting following traditional journalistic processes, are news aggregators, or are fact-checking sites. In the small number of cases where initial categorization of the source based on prior work was not clear, I visited the sources and made categorization decisions based on my reading of the content and reputation of the source. Although this strategy does rely in part on some subjective assessments, the resulting categorizations offer strong face validity. For example, well-known liberal outlets like Daily Kos and HuffPost are classified as partisan outlets on the left, while prominent sites like Fox News and Breitbart are categorized as conservative media outlets. While the approach used has many strengths, it is important to acknowledge that in some cases an argument could be made that a site fits better in a different category.

Some of the more difficult cases to categorize exist at the line between nonpartisan and liberal sources. The conservative media ecosystem is a more cohesive and closed network of sources that are similar in content and tone, without an exact equivalent on the left (Reference Benkler, Faris and RobertsBenkler et al., 2018). Conservative partisan media tend to use anger and outrage as a narrative structure and are often more direct in showing their political positions than liberal media (Reference YoungYoung, 2019). Establishing liberal media was therefore more difficult. For example, some liberal-leaning sources tend to cover politics in a more entertainment-driven format (e.g. Buzzfeed) or offer explainers and commentary on politics (e.g. Vox). While these outlets may be somewhat less explicit in their political leanings than some more prominent conservative outlets, I categorized them (and other similar outlets) as liberal in part because of audience perceptions of the sources. Sources that are perceived by the public as alternative (partisan) should not be considered mainstream news (Reference Holt, Figenschou and FrischlichHolt et al., 2019). For several of the liberal sources, my classifications relied in part on data from Pew showing that Democrats and liberals are more likely to use and trust sites like Buzzfeed or Vox than are conservatives (Reference Research CenterPew, 2020).

The most challenging categorization was for CNN. CNN was one of the top-two most popular news sources among survey respondents, with nearly 40% of the sample having used CNN in each wave. The question is whether to categorize CNN as liberal (i.e. partisan) media or a nonpartisan source. One concern centers on whether people perceive CNN to be a partisan site. Most people likely know that they will see explicitly partisan content when they visit certain partisan sites like Breitbart or Mother Jones, but do CNN consumers expect liberal content? Prior research has found that Democrats prefer news from CNN over other sources and that Republicans tend to avoid CNN as a source for news (Reference Iyengar and HahnIyengar & Hahn, 2009). A recent Pew survey found that CNN was the most trusted news source for Democrats (67% trust it) and the most distrusted news source for Republicans (58% distrust it) (Reference Research CenterPew, 2020). Additionally, CNN was frequently the target of accusations of media bias and fake news from Republican politicians’ – including President Trump. All of this suggests that many Americans see CNN as more liberal than neutral. Further, content analyses during the 2020 election show that six of the ten most covered stories during the election were criticisms of Donald Trump (Reference Broockman and KallaBroockman & Kalla, 2023). While criticism of a politician is not inherently biased or partisan, many media critics speculate that CNN’s abundant negative coverage of Trump was a calculated effort to build an audience and boost ratings (Reference SmithSmith, 2020). Given the nature of CNN’s political coverage in 2020, the polarization surrounding CNN and audiences’ perceptions of political bias, I categorized CNN as left-leaning partisan outlet.

3.3 How Often Do People Use Partisan Media and What Outlets Do They Use?

Before describing use of partisan media, I begin with some observations about news use in general. Across all fifty-nine news sites – including nonpartisan, conservative, and liberal sources, people on average reported using between seven and eight sources in each wave. In Wave 1, 7.2% of respondents used none of these news sources and 23% used two or less. As seen in Figure 2, the modal response was four sources (out of fifty-nine). The long-tail distribution indicates that the majority of people used just a few sources, while a small number of individuals are exposed to a significant number of sources.

Figure 2 Number of sources used in Wave 1: All sources.

Figure 3 displays the number of nonpartisan sources used by survey respondents in Wave 1. The most common number of sources used was 0, with 18.4% of the sample not using a single nonpartisan source and a majority of people (50.1%) used three or less sources. On average, across all 24 nonpartisan sources, people used 4.69 of the sources in Wave 1, 4.48 in Wave 2, and 4.22 in Wave 3. If I look at frequency of use rather than number of sites used, the data suggest that people who visited news sites did so somewhat infrequently, typically between once and a few times per week in each wave.

Figure 3 Number of sources used in Wave 1: Nonpartisan sources.

The data presented in Figures 46 illustrate the percent of the sample exposed to content from each type of source in each wave. These exposure patterns highlight a few important trends. Notably, a few nonpartisan sources were relatively popular, with The New York Times, NBC News, The Washington Post, Google News, ABC News, CBS News, and NPR being used at least once in the previous two weeks by approximately 25–30% of the sample. Several other nonpartisan outlets reached between 10 and 25% of the sample.

Figure 4 Percent of sample exposed to nonpartisan news outlets by wave.

Figure 5 Percent of sample exposed to liberal partisan outlets by wave.

Figure 6 Percent of sample exposed to conservative partisan outlets by wave.

Use of nonpartisan news during the election was somewhat modest but what about use of partisan media? The trend with the partisan outlets was different. Unsurprisingly, people used partisan sources less frequently than nonpartisan sources; most people who visited partisan media used them sparingly. On average, respondents in each wave visited less than two (1.7) out of the nineteen liberal sources measured and a little more than one (1.3) out of the sixteen conservative sources. Overall, 41.9% of people never visited a liberal source in Wave 1 and 46.7% visited zero conservative sources in the first wave (18.4% did not use a nonpartisan source). Only one liberal (CNN) and conservative (Fox News) outlet surpassed the 30% threshold and nearly all of the remaining partisan outlets failed to reach 10% of the sample in each wave. The data suggest a long-tail distribution of partisan media use; people may occasionally see content from a few prominent sources but the majority of partisan sources receive relatively little attention. Partisan media were not widely or frequently used by most people in the survey.

Notably, many partisan sources were used by less than 5% of the sample in Wave 1 (which translates to less than 90 people out of 1,800). More hyper-partisan sites like Mother Jones, Occupy Democrats, Daily Kos, and Young Turks on the left and Breitbart, OANN, and Daily Caller on the right had relatively meager audiences. While these audience sizes are very consistent with prior research using both web-tracking (Reference GuessGuess, 2021; Reference Weeks, Menchen-Trevino, Calabrese, Casas and WojcieszakWeeks et al., 2023; Reference Wojcieszak, de Leeuw and Menchen-TrevinoWojcieszak et al., 2023) and survey measures (e.g. Reference Fletcher, Robertson and NielsenFletcher et al., 2021), they do stand in contrast to popular narratives about large partisan media audiences. The overwhelming majority of people do not use hyper-partisan news sources online.

That said, CNN and Fox News had the highest percent of respondents who indicated they used the sources at least once. This suggests that if people did see content from a liberal or conservative source, in many cases it came from one of these two sources. To test this, I looked at the percentage of users of liberal and conservative media who used only CNN or Fox News, respectively. 20.7% of users of liberal media only used CNN, while 26% of users of conservative media turned to Fox News but not any other conservative sources. This is not surprising given the ubiquity and brand recognition of CNN and Fox News. In addition, these numbers closely reflect Reference Research CenterPew (2020) polls showing that CNN is the most trusted political news source among Democrats in the United States, while Fox News is the most trusted news sources among Republicans.

While use of partisan media was low, many critics argue that the internet allows individuals to create like-minded echo chambers (Reference Bennett and IyengarBennett & Iyengar, 2008; Reference SunsteinSunstein, 2007). Although there is little evidence of partisan echo chambers in the United States (see Reference Fletcher, Robertson and NielsenFletcher et al., 2021), there remains a possibility that some small segments of the population are isolating themselves only to like-minded partisan media sources while ignoring other sources that could provide information they disagree with (Reference González-Bailón, Lazer and BarberáGonzález-Bailón et al., 2023; Reference Jamieson, Levendusky and PasekJamieson et al., 2023).

To test for echo chambers, I looked for the number of respondents who only used liberal or conservative sources, while ignoring nonpartisan sources and partisan sources that support an opposing ideology or party. Using data from Wave 1, I first looked for conservative media echo chambers. To be considered a conservative media echo chamber, a respondent had to have visited at least one of the sixteen conservative media sites but did not use other sources that are nonpartisan or liberal. In total, only 8.5% of the sample visited at least one conservative news site but did not use nonpartisan news or liberal partisan media. This directly contradicts popular claims about widespread audience isolation and echo chambers. Rather, most users of conservative media also see other political information sources. In fact, 81.5% of users of conservative media also used at least one nonpartisan source, and 55.2% visited at least one liberal media source.

I next looked at liberal echo chambers, using the same approach. Liberal sources were used even less exclusively than conservative ones. Only 1.3% of the entire sample used at least one liberal source but no nonpartisan or conservative sources. Among users of liberal media, 95.6% also used a nonpartisan source and 50.7% used a conservative source. The overwhelming majority of those using partisan media at least occasionally use nonpartisan sources and nearly half of those using partisan media also used media sources that offer an opposing ideological perspective. It is important to note that the percentage of people who used no news at all (7.2%) is roughly comparable to the number of people in conservative echo chambers and greater than those in liberal echo chambers. Taken together, the data allow me to conclude that very few people are isolating themselves to partisan media echo chambers online. Rather, the majority of people get at least some news from a variety of different sources.

To this point I have only looked at the number of partisan sources used and not frequency of use. Looking only at the number of sources used may mask the types of audiences drawn to partisan media. It may be that some users of partisan media don’t use a lot of sources but rather turn to a small number of outlets quite often. In this case, audiences for partisan media may be selective but loyal. To test this possibility, I also looked beyond a dichotomous use/don’t use measure to assess whether frequency of partisan media use changes the story about exposure to these sources.

A similar trend is evident when looking at frequency of use. Those who used partisan media during the election campaign, tended to use those partisan outlets less frequently than they did nonpartisan ones. In each wave, the mean frequency of use for the nonpartisan outlets fell between three and four on the 7-point scale, which reflects using the source between once and a few times per week. In contrast, the average frequency of use for both liberal and conservative partisan media was between once in the prior fourteen days and once per week (between 2 and 3 on the 7-point scale).

3.4 Who Uses Partisan Media and Why?

Most people do not use partisan media often and, if they do, they also tend to use other sources of news and information as well. But some people clearly do rely on partisan media for political information. Before testing the effects of partisan media, it is first important to understand who uses these sources and why. An abundance of evidence shows that strong partisans and ideologues are drawn to like-minded partisan media, often because it provides them political content that reinforces their existing attitudes and beliefs (e.g. Reference LevenduskyLevendusky, 2013; Reference StroudStroud, 2011). So we would expect that stronger Republicans and conservatives are drawn to conservative media, while stronger Democrats and liberals are more likely to opt for liberal media sources. While partisanship and ideology certainly have roles in attracting audiences to partisan media, other factors like (dis)trust in news can drive people to use partisan sources; people who distrust mainstream news or find it biased are also likely drawn to partisan news (Reference Hmielowski, Staggs, Hutchens and BeamHmielowski et al., 2022; Reference Holt, Figenschou and FrischlichHolt et al., 2019).

To examine who uses partisan news and why, I used the 2020 survey data to run a series of ordinary least squares (OLS) regressions predicting frequency of conservative and liberal media use (using the same categories described earlier) during the election (see Table A.1). These models look only at use in Wave 1 and therefore are not able to make a causal argument for why people use partisan media. They also do not capture whether people actively selected these media or were incidentally exposed. But they do offer a snapshot into who is using partisan media – including the demographics of users – and what may draw them to those sites. For comparison, I also ran a model that predicted frequency of use of nonpartisan news in the first wave.

Unsurprisingly, conservative people use more conservative online sources and liberal people use more liberal sources. But there are hints that audiences of conservative sources are dedicated, highly active partisans who are engaged in politics in a way that audiences for liberal media are not. People who use conservative media online are very interested in politics, exhibit a lot of distrust in more mainstream media outlets, and are very engaged in politics and political expression online. Audiences for conservative partisan media are more likely to see political content on social media and are more likely to express their political views on these platforms as well. This is somewhat different from audiences of liberal media, who are interested and express themselves politically on social media but do not distrust mainstream sources and are less likely to use social media for political purposes. It is also interesting to note that use of nonpartisan, conservative, and liberal media were all associated with each other. This lends additional support to the notion that audiences are not entirely segregated or siloed and in fact exhibit a reasonable degree of overlap. Rather than viewing partisan content in isolation, it seems that partisan media users on both the left and the right tend to also be at least occasionally interested in nonpartisan news and political content from the other side as well.

What is perhaps most surprising is that party identification does not strongly predict use of either conservative or liberal media. In other words, partisanship – identifying as a strong Republican or Democratic – does not necessarily increase the likelihood that people will use partisan news. Why might this be the case? First, simply being a Republican or Democrat does not inherently mean that someone is going to use partisan sites; partisan identification alone may not be enough to draw people to these sites. Rather, there is evidence that in some cases anger is more influential than partisanship for media choice. Second, the data also suggest that ideology might offer a better explanation than party identification for partisan media use. It is difficult to pinpoint why this is the case. It may be that partisan media sites speak to people’s ideological principles rather than partisan ones. Take the case of conservative partisan media. It was at times critical of mainstream Republicans (e.g. calling them RINOs (Republican In Name Only) during and after the Trump presidency and such criticisms may have turned off many Republicans but attracted more conservative users. Regardless of why, ideology seems to push people to partisan sources more than partisanship.

If party identification does not predict partisan media use, what else could explain why people use these sources? Anger may be the key to understanding partisan media use. I argue that partisan media make their audiences angry but also that angry people tune into partisan media. The regression models from the 2020 data show that is clearly the case, at least for conservative media. As seen in Figures 7 and 8, the angrier people are at Joe Biden, the more likely they are to use conservative media. The same pattern is not evident with liberal media – people who were more angry at Donald Trump were no more likely to use liberal media sources than people less angry at Trump. Rather, more anger at Trump was associated with more nonpartisan media use. Thus, the first instance of asymmetry in effects between conservative and liberal media emerges; conservative media audiences tend to be drawn to these outlets by anger at Biden, but anger at Trump is not a strong predictor of liberal media use (at least cross-sectionally).

Figure 7 Predicting conservative media use in Wave 1

Note. X axis indicates unstandardized regression coefficients. Regression models control for several variables not shown in the figure including political interest, political knowledge, distrust of mainstream media, social media use for political information, political expression on social media, age, gender, education, and race. See Table A.1 for all coefficients.

Figure 8 Predicting liberal media use in Wave 1.

Note. X axis indicates unstandardized regression coefficients. Regression models control for several variables not shown in the figure including political interest, political knowledge, distrust of mainstream media, social media use for political information, political expression on social media, age, gender, education, and race. See Table A.1 for all coefficients.

A few conclusions can be drawn from these analyses on partisan media use. First, while ideology is predictive of liberal media use, there appears to be considerably overlap in liberal and nonpartisan news audiences. Second, it is striking that partisanship did not predict partisan media use. This suggests that other factors – like ideology, credibility, and anger – may be quite influential in driving audiences to partisan news. Finally, the data suggest that those who use partisan media may have different characteristics depending on whether they tend to use conservative or liberal sources. Notably audiences for conservative news are somewhat different than audiences for nonpartisan or liberal media, as they were highly interested in politics, more engaged with political content on social media, and more angry than audiences of other types of news. This is consistent with other work showing that conservative partisan news pages on Facebook tend to get more likes, comments, and shares than mainstream or liberal sources (Reference Hiaeshutter-Rice and WeeksHiaeschutter-Rice & Weeks, 2021). So while conservative news audiences remain small, these initial analyses provide evidence that they are different from other media consumers.

4 Political Anger

The United States has become increasingly polarized over the past several decades and much of that polarization is affective or emotional. Partisans increasingly dislike members of the opposing political party and use negative, emotionally charged language to describe opponents (Reference Iyengar, Lelkes, Levendusky, Malhotra and WestwoodIyengar et al., 2019). These negative feelings often extend to political leaders, as people have become angrier at elected official and those running for office. Anger has also become a campaign strategy, as many candidates for national office use anger-inducing rhetoric about political opponents to try to gin up electoral support and mobilize political action (Reference WebsterWebster, 2020). The rise of anger in electoral politics in America raises a number of important questions: how angry were people at the two major presidential candidates – Donald Trump and Joe Biden? To what extent did partisan media exposure trigger those feelings of anger? And is anger related to false beliefs about politics?

4.1 How Angry Were People at the Presidential Candidates in 2020?

To understand the relationships between partisan media use, anger, and misperceptions, it is first necessary to gauge how angry people were during the campaign. To do so, I asked people in each wave of the survey how angry and mad they were at both Biden and Trump. Mean levels of anger toward each candidate in each wave is plotted in Figures 9 and 10. The Figures illustrate a couple of important trends in political anger. First, as seen in Figure 9, across all respondents there was significantly more anger directed toward Trump than Biden. For example, in the first wave anger at Trump (M = 4.02, SD = 2.64) was almost a point and a half higher on the seven-point scale than was anger directed at Biden (M = 2.63, SD = 2.16). This pattern was evident in Waves 2 and 3 as well. Second, mean levels of anger directed toward both candidates were consistent (i.e. flat) across all three waves, which suggests that at a group level mean scores of anger did not vary or change much during the campaign. People, on average, were no more or less angry at Trump or Biden at the end of the campaign compared to the beginning. This may be in part due to people having established feelings about the candidates, both of whom had been prominent national figures prior to the election. And third, as we would expect, respondents expressed considerably more anger at the opposing party’s candidate than they did at their own candidates. For example, Democrats’ mean level of anger at Trump was near a 6 on the 7-point scale in each wave, while anger at Biden fell between 1 and 2. A similar trend is evident with Republicans, though Republicans were on average less angry with Biden than Democrats were with Trump. Averages for in-party anger suggest that people simply do not express much anger at their party’s candidate in the aggregate. I also looked at Independents’ anger toward both candidates and found that these nonpartisans were more angry at Trump than they were at Biden in all three waves of the survey.

Figure 9 Mean anger toward Trump and Biden by Wave, all respondents.

Figure 10 Mean anger toward Trump and Biden by Party ID and Wave.

4.2 What Predicts Political Anger?

Clearly people were angry with the presidential candidates in 2020. Such anger predictably fell along partisan lines as well, as people tended to be considerably more angry at the candidate from the opposing party than they were at their own candidate. This suggests that partisanship certainly drives feelings of anger at political candidates. But what else predicts anger? I argue that partisan media also promote political anger. That is, audiences of conservative partisan media should be more angry at Biden than those who infrequently or do not consume conservative media and audiences of liberal partisan media outlets should be more angry at Trump.

Figure 11 demonstrates the mean levels of anger at Trump and Biden for users and nonusers of different types of media. Users of conservative, liberal, or nonpartisan outlets were those who reported using at least one of these respective sources in the first wave of the survey. It is important to note that these categories are not mutually exclusive. For example, the bar representing users of conservative media includes people who visited one conservative site in Wave 1 but the majority of those users also used at least one nonpartisan source and many used a liberal source as well. Those users of conservative sources who also use other types of sources are accounted for in these analyses. This approach therefore does not assume that people who use one type of media (e.g. conservative partisan media) are ignoring other types of media (e.g. nonpartisan).

Figure 11 Anger at Trump and Biden by media source

A few patterns stand out in Figure 11. There is evidence that anger directed at Trump and Biden varies by the media sources people use. Users of Conservative media were more angry at Biden than were nonusers, while users of liberal and nonpartisan sources were angrier at Trump than nonusers. Users of partisan media were also less angry at the outlet-aligned candidate, as users of conservative partisan media were less angry at Trump than nonusers and users of liberal media were less angry at Biden than nonusers. Clearly audiences of these various sources experienced different levels of anger directed toward the two presidential candidates.

To more formally test the influence of partisan media use on political anger, I ran a pair of OLS regressions predicting anger at Biden and Trump in Wave 1. I included a series of demographic and political variables in the models to account for other explanations for political anger. Again, these cross-sectional models cannot conclusively demonstrate what causes political anger but do provide some insights into what is associated with anger. As evident in Figure 10, party ID is a major factor in political anger. Democrats are far angrier than Republicans at Trump and Republicans are angrier at Biden than are Democrats.

Partisan media also play a vital role in anger, at least for conservative media. As the frequency of conservative media use increases, so too does anger at Biden. This suggests that the more people used conservative media, the more angry they were at Biden. Figure 11 takes a closer look at this relationship by plotting levels of anger at Biden by conservative media use. When people do not use conservative media, they do not exhibit much anger at Biden. However, anger at Biden is considerable among users of conservative media. Figure 12 plots the coefficients from the regression predicting anger at Joe Biden and shows that use of conservative media is a powerful driver of anger at Biden. In fact, conservative media is just as influential in eliciting anger at Biden as is Party ID (see Figure 12).

Figure 12 Predicting anger toward Joe Biden.

Note. X axis indicates unstandardized regression coefficients. Regression models control for several variables not shown in the figure including political interest, political knowledge, distrust of mainstream media, social media use for political information, political expression on social media, age, gender, education, and race. See Table A.2 for all coefficients.

The same pattern is not found with use of liberal media. Once again, this offers evidence of asymmetry in effects between conservative and liberal media. Frequency of liberal media use is not associated with anger at Trump (see that confidence interval crosses zero in Figure 13). There are a few possible explanations for this lack of a relationship between liberal media use and anger. First, anger at Trump was considerable and being both a Democrat and liberal explained much of the anger at Trump (as indicated by the negative coefficients – Democratic or liberal identification were on the low end of the scales). It may be that using liberal partisan media has little added ability to explain anger at Trump above and beyond party identification and ideology. Second, it seems anger directed at Trump is associated with use of nonpartisan media. This is not surprising given that nonpartisan news outlets devoted heavy coverage to the various scandals facing Trump during his presidency. Given the significant overlap in audience for nonpartisan and liberal media, it may be that the relatively low levels of liberal partisan media use are not enough to make people angrier at Trump, over and above the influence of nonpartisan media. A final possibility for the discrepancy in the influence of conservative and liberal media on political anger may stem from different content in these various outlets. Conservative media purposefully uses anger to draw audiences (Reference Berry and SobierajBerry & Sobieraj, 2013; Reference YoungYoung, 2019) and the data here indicate that it is successful in eliciting anger in users in a way that liberal partisan media typically do not.

Figure 13 Predicting anger toward Donald Trump.

Note. X axis indicates unstandardized regression coefficients. Note that higher values for Party ID and Ideology represent stronger Republican and conservative identification, respectively. Regression models control for several variables not shown in the figure including political interest, political knowledge, distrust of mainstream media, social media use for political information, political expression on social media, age, gender, education, and race. See Table A.2 for all coefficients.

5 Effects of Partisan Media and Anger on Political Misperceptions

The evidence reported here and elsewhere illustrates that most Americans do not exist in partisan media echo chambers but rather have media diets that are more balanced in terms of the types of sources they use – if they use news at all (roughly 7% of people used no news). But this does not mean that partisan media are not influential in shaping the attitudes, feelings, and beliefs of those who are exposed to these sources. As demonstrated in the previous section, audiences of conservative media outlets exhibit more anger toward Joe Biden than do people who do not frequently use conservative media. There may be other effects of partisan media as well. By covering political scandals, rumors, conspiracy theories, and other unsubstantiated claims, or by ignoring negative information about their preferred party, partisan media may be misinforming their audience and contributing to public beliefs that are not factually accurate. There is some evidence that this is in fact happening. Users of partisan media have been shown to be more accepting of political falsehoods if they are politically beneficial to their preferred party. For instance, users of conservative media were more likely to believe false claims that reflected poorly on the Democratic party/politicians or liberals, and, in some cases, audiences of liberal partisan media were more accepting of misinformation that would reflect negatively on Republicans or conservatives (e.g. Reference Feldman, Myers, Hmielowski and LieserowitzFeldman et al., 2014; Reference Garrett, Weeks and NeoGarrett et al., 2016; Reference Weeks, Menchen-Trevino, Calabrese, Casas and WojcieszakWeeks et al., 2023).

The association between use of partisan media and holding misperceptions leaves open several questions. First, it is difficult to determine if partisan media cause political misperceptions. Surveys that measure media use and false beliefs at only one period of time cannot establish causality, as it is difficult to establish whether use of partisan media leads to false beliefs or whether those with false beliefs are drawn to partisan media. Second, the existence of a relationship between partisan media and false beliefs does not illustrate how or why those beliefs emerge; we know the process of belief formation is not as simple as people merely believing every bit of information that partisan media might provide. It is therefore necessary to understand the process through which partisan media impact beliefs. This chapter uses multi-wave survey data to examine the relationship between partisan media use and misperceptions over time. Doing so allows for a stronger examination of the question of causality and provides a more informed answer to the question of whether partisan media cause false beliefs and, if so, how. My expectation is that partisan media make people angry at political opponents, which in turn makes them more likely to believe false claims about those opponents.

In the following sections, I unpack this relationship in several ways. I first look at the degree to which partisan media and anger are predictive of political misperceptions at the start of the campaign. Next, I take advantage of the time component of the data to better unpack the causal nature of the relationships between partisan media, anger, and misperceptions over the course of the election. Although I report on how partisan media and anger shape several different false beliefs in 2020, I will focus on and emphasize a few prominent claims to illustrate the nature of these relationships.

5.1 Do People Believe False Claims about Politics?

In each of the three waves of the 2020 YouGov survey, I asked respondents to report the extent to which they believed a series of political, scientific, and health statements to be true or false. All but one of the statements were false. Following definitions of misinformation, determination of truth was made based on the best available evidence from relevant experts at the time the study was conducted (Reference Vraga and BodeVraga & Bode, 2020). In some cases, the statements were aligned with or benefitted the Republican party, politicians, or viewpoints (and presumably more likely to be believed by Republicans), while others favored Democratic party members, politicians, or views. Several of the claims were targeted at the two major presidential candidates in 2020 (Trump and Biden). Some claims were about the presidential candidates’ health or personality, some were about policies they supported, while others focused on scandals or conspiracy theories.

The claims selected represent some of the most prominent forms of misinformation and conspiracy theories that were circulating in the United States the fall of 2020. However, it is important to note that the claims are not representative of the population of misperceptions held by Americans in 2020. There is also ideological asymmetry in the claims, as many of the statements that favor conservatives (e.g. election integrity, claims about Biden, Covid) were spread more widely and were better known than those that favor liberals (Reference Harber, Singh and BudakHarber et al., 2021). Despite these limitations, the claims do provide a reasonable test of the dynamics I have discussed in this Element. Many of the claims were covered extensively by partisan media or spread by prominent elected officials like former President Donald Trump. For example, Joe Biden was often falsely accused of recommending the removal of a Ukrainian prosecutor for the benefit of his son Hunter, while serving as Vice President. Democrat-aligned claims included the falsehood that government agencies had compromising video footage of Donald Trump with prostitutes in a Moscow hotel room. At the time, and to date, there is no conclusive evidence to support either of these claims. Some of the claims were more known than others, including false claims spread by Trump and others about election fraud in the US. Examining both well- and lesser-known falsehoods allows me to test whether more prominent claims fit the model better than more obscure ones. All of the claims examined here are listed in Table 1.

Table 1 Claims evaluated

Republican-aligned claims:

  1. 1. Joe Biden supports defunding the police (False)

  2. 2. While serving as US Vice President, Joe Biden recommended removing a Ukrainian prosecutor for investigating a company connected to his son, Hunter (False)

  3. 3. The coronavirus (Covid-19) was intentionally planned, created, and released so that billionaires like Bill Gates can profit from it (False)

  4. 4. Joe Biden sexually assaulted a former Senate aid in 1993 (False)

  5. 5. Donald Trump is fighting a group of politicians and celebrities who operate a child sex-trafficking ring (False)

Democrat-aligned claims:

  1. 1. Donald Trump ordered US Postmaster General Louis DeJoy to slow down mail services to help Trump win the 2020 presidential election (False)

  2. 2. Donald Trump sought medical attention for a series of strokes he has had while serving as president (False)

  3. 3. The Trump administration attempted to get US medical experts into China to study the coronavirus outbreak in early 2020 (True)

  4. 4. The Russian government possesses a video tape of Donald Trump with prostitutes in a Moscow hotel room in 2013 (False)

Other claims (mostly Republican-aligned):

  1. 1. Facemasks are an effective measure in slowing the spread of Covid-19 (True)/Facemasks are not an effective measure in slowing the spread of Covid-19

  2. 2. Vaccines are generally safe and effective (True)/Vaccines are risky and harmful

  3. 3. There is no evidence of widespread voter fraud in US elections (True)/There is evidence of widespread voter fraud in US elections

Note. Determination of whether the claim was true or false was based on best available evidence from relevant experts at the time the study was fielded. For some claims, new evidence may emerge since November 2020 that changes whether it is true or false.

Before examining the influence of partisan media and anger on false beliefs, it is first necessary to have a baseline understanding of the degree to which people believed the various pieces of misinformation. Figures 1416 depict the percentage of the sample who held accurate beliefs, inaccurate beliefs, or were unsure of the truth for each of the twelve claims in each of the three waves.

Figure 14 Belief in republican-aligned claims.

Figure 15 Belief in Covid-related claims and Qanon.

Figure 16 Belief in democrat-aligned claims

A few patterns in the distribution of beliefs stand out. First, none of the claims are outright rejected as false. For example, the claims on which people were most accurate were those related to Covid. Roughly 70% of the sample accurately believed that Covid was not planned and that masks and vaccines are effective. None of the other claims reached a 60% accuracy threshold, which may in part be because they are more explicitly partisan.

Second, for two of the explicitly partisan claims there were more people who were misinformed than accurately informed, based on the best available evidence. For example, despite no strong evidence that it was true, more than 40% of people said that Joe Biden inappropriately interfered in Ukrainian politics in order to benefit his son, Hunter. Similarly, nearly 50% of people falsely believed that Donald Trump ordered a slowdown of US mail in order to gain an electoral advantage. These two claims were the only ones for which more people were inaccurate than accurate.

However, all of the remainder of the claims were believed by significant percentages of survey respondents. For example, nearly 40% of respondents falsely believed that Joe Biden supported defunding the police and that he had sexually assaulted a Senate aide in the 1990s. Almost 40% of respondents also believed that a tape existed in which Donald Trump was with prostitutes in a Russian hotel room, an unsupported claim that came out of the much-criticized Steele dossier. While this 40% threshold likely represents biased information processing among many partisans, given that approximately 36% of respondents were Democrats and 25% were Republicans, these levels of false belief indicate that many Independents are also misinformed and that some partisans accept false claims that reflect poorly on their own party. The belief levels also indicate a great deal of uncertainty about what people think is true. In many cases, the unsure responses hovered around 20%.

While misperceptions were slightly higher for many of the Republican-aligned claims about Biden than were the Democratic-aligned claims about Trump, the differences were not drastic. Despite not receiving the same level of news coverage or discussion on social media, many of the more obscure Democratic-aligned claims (e.g. Trump suffered strokes while President) were believed by between one-fifth to one-third of the sample. Although the Republican-aligned claims certainly received more attention during the election, it is not the case that such claims are the only ones believed.

The extent to which people believed two prominent claims about election fraud and Qanon are important and interesting to note. False claims about election fraud were likely some of the most shared during the election and were propagated by Trump and many of his supporters. Roughly half of the sample correctly said widespread election fraud does not occur in US elections, but the other half of respondents believed that it did or were unsure if it did. Again, the percentage of misinformed individuals on this particular claim far exceeds the number of Republicans in the sample, meaning that many Independents and perhaps even some Democrats are misinformed or have doubts about the integrity of US elections. Perhaps the most surprising result when looking at belief levels is the fact that more than 20% of people believed the conspiracy theory that Donald Trump was secretly fighting a group of Democrats who were running a sex trafficking operation.Footnote 4 This is one of the core tenets of the Qanon conspiracy theory.

Finally, it is important to note that in the aggregate, beliefs changed very little over time. For nearly all of the claims, the percentage of people who held accurate or inaccurate beliefs or were unsure were very consistent in all three waves. While at the individual level some beliefs changed (as described later), this was not true in the aggregate despite, in many cases, repeated debunking of the claims by journalists and political figures. This suggests that once misinformation is established, it is very difficult to correct at the population level.Footnote 5

5.2 Do Partisan Media Cover Political Misinformation?

When looking at the accuracy of people’s beliefs about false claims spread during the 2020 US election it is clear that many people were misinformed. In fact, for many of these claims only a minority of people were accurately informed. I argue that partisan media play an important role in misinforming audiences. However, this argument is predicated on the assumption that partisan media actually cover these falsehoods. After all, if partisan media don’t cover false claims, they cannot cause people to have false beliefs about those claims. Existing research suggests that they do, as partisan media – particularly conservative sources – often amplify and spread political misinformation online (Reference Vargo, Guo and AmazeenVargo et al., 2018; Reference Zhang, Chen and LukitoZhang et al., 2023). For example, during the outbreak of Covid-19 and the subsequent introduction of a vaccine, conservative partisan media spread misinformation about the virus (Reference Motta, Stecula and FarhartMotta et al., 2020) introduced Covid-related conspiracy theories (Reference McCann RamirezMcCann Ramirez, 2022) and reported more anti-vaccine content (Reference Savillo and MonroeSavillo & Monroe, 2021). This coverage of false or misleading information is not new, as conservative partisan media outlets have also historically emphasized unsubstantiated claims about issues like climate change (e.g. Reference Feldman, Maibach, Roser-Renouf and LeiserowitzFeldman et al., 2012).

Next, I consider the extent to which partisan media cover some of the other false claims included in this project. A comprehensive content analyses of all partisan media coverage – online and on television – of each claim investigated here is beyond the scope of this Element. However, I offer a more limited, selective case study of partisan media coverage of these issues for illustrative purposes. I focus here on two conservative-favored claims (Hunter Biden Ukraine scandal and Joe Biden supports defunding the police) and two liberal ones (Donald Trump ordered the US mail to slowdown for election advantage and Donald Trump suffered strokes while in office). Entering fairly rudimentary search terms (e.g. “Hunter Biden” and “Ukraine”) I used Nexis Uni to search for news coverage of these stories between August 1, 2020 and November 3, 2020 (election day). This time window roughly reflects the general election period and also captures coverage from these sources during the time when my survey was in the field. Nexis Uni only reports news coverage from a limited number of outlets but does include coverage from conservative outlets like Fox News and the Daily Caller, liberal outlets like CNN and MSNBC, as well as more nonpartisan outlets like the New York Times. Of course, these outlets are not necessarily representative of coverage in the larger partisan media landscape, but they can at least illustrate patterns of the volume of coverage about these claims by various media sources.

These analyses are depicted in Figure 17 and highlight two important patterns: one, partisan media indeed covered stories related to false claims and two, the amount of coverage often reflected the partisan or ideological leaning of the outlet.Footnote 6 Looking first at the two conservative/Republican-aligned claims, it is clear that Fox News reported more stories on these issues than did liberal or nonpartisan outlets. During the three-month period in late summer and early autumn of 2020, Fox News reported approximately 123 stories about Hunter Biden and Ukraine and 165 about the false claim that Biden supported defunding the police. The liberal source CNN also reported on these claims (57 and 126 stories, respectively) but the volume of stories was less than Fox News. MSNBC devoted substantially less coverage, having only twenty-two stories about Hunter Biden and 31 about Biden defunding the police. Interestingly, the conservative online media outlet the Daily Caller covered these claims less than both CNN and the New York Times.

Figure 17 Stories about false claims by source.

Note. The Y-axis indicates total number of reported stories between August 1 and November 3, 2020.

When looking at the liberal-favored claims, we see a very similar pattern with liberal partisan media outlets. CNN reported ninety-eight stories about the unsubstantiated claim that Trump ordered a slowdown of the mail and twenty-four stories about Trump suffering strokes while serving as President. These stories also received coverage on the liberal outlet MSNBC (thirty-one and twelve stories, respectively) and the New York Times (thirty-four and twenty-two). Clearly CNN devoted the most coverage to these claims. Although liberal outlets emphasized the stories, they were nearly nonexistent in conservative outlets. Fox News ran only five stories about Trump and a mail slowdown and six stories about his alleged strokes. The Daily Caller barely covered these stories at all (three and one stories, respectively).

These analyses demonstrate that partisan outlets covered stories related to false claims during the 2020 election, though they are only a limited snapshot into the nature of partisan media coverage of falsehoods. More so, the patterns of coverage emerged in predictable ways, with conservative media outlets devoting attention to conservative-favorable claims and liberal media outlets highlighting liberal-favorable claims. Both conservative and liberal outlets also tended to give less attention to false claims that reflect poorly on their aligned party and candidates. The fairly basic analyses here are limited and only capture coverage of two claims from two partisan outlets from each party. They likely undercount the number of stories from each of these outlets and they also only account for mere mentions of the claims and not the specific details or framing. Even so, the findings suggest partisan media did cover these stories in the lead up to the election. The time period of interest in the analyses was only ninety-four days, meaning that some of these stories were being covered almost twice a day by certain outlets. Scaling that up to reflect all coverage on all partisan outlets suggests that these stories were quite prominent in partisan media ecosystems. Users who turned to these sources frequently were perhaps exposed to dozens, if not hundreds of unsubstantiated claims about these politicians. The next question is whether such coverage influenced beliefs about the false claims.

5.3 Are Partisan Media Audiences More Misinformed?

In the following section, I examine whether partisan media use and political anger promote misperceptions. I start below by looking at mean levels of belief accuracy across those who used liberal and conservative media and those who did not. I then turn to more robust analyses using OLS regression. As noted in the analyses of partisan media and anger, use of liberal partisan media, conservative partisan media, and nonpartisan media are not mutually exclusive. The means reported in Figures 1820 for use of partisan media include people who also used other types of sources.

Figure 18 Belief accuracy about Conservative/Republican-aligned claims by partisan media use.

Note. Higher values depict more accurate beliefs.

Figure 19 Belief accuracy about Covid-related claims and Qanon by partisan media use.

Note. Higher values depict more accurate beliefs.

Figure 20 Belief accuracy about Liberal/Democrat-aligned claims by partisan media use.

Note. Higher values depict more accurate beliefs.

In Figures 1820, I depict the mean level of belief accuracy in Wave 1 for people who use liberal or conservative media and those who don’t. Figure 18 illustrates belief in Conservative/Republican-aligned claims by partisan media use. Recall that taller bars represent more accuracy in assessing the claim and shorter bars indicate more misperceptions. The most interesting point of comparison is that between users of conservative media and nonusers. The bars on the left side of graph clearly indicate that users of conservative media have drastically different beliefs than nonusers; in all cases they are less accurate in assessing the claims. These difference are fairly robust; for all four claims users of conservative media are about a point less accurate on a 5-point scale. Audiences for conservative media do not reach the mid-point of the accuracy scale on any of the claims, with mean belief scores suggesting the typical user reported that each of the four false claims was ‘probably true’. This suggests that on average, audiences of conservative partisan media are more inaccurate than accurate in evaluating these statements.

While accuracy improves with the Covid-related claims and Qanon-related statement, users of conservative media remain more misinformed than nonusers for all four of those claims as well (Figure 19). People who do not use conservative media are simply more accurate about these four issues than are users. That said, the average user of conservative media is around the mid-point (3) on the five-point scale for the three Covid-19-related claims, which suggests many users were unsure about the truth. However, the gap between users of conservative media and nonusers is large for the claim about Qanon (about one point on the 5-point scale), suggesting that audiences for conservative media hold considerably less accurate beliefs about this conspiracy theory.

A very similar pattern is evident for liberal media use and belief in Liberal/Democratic-aligned claims. In Figure 20, beliefs of users of liberal media are reported in the cluster second from the right. People who use liberal partisan media are considerably more misinformed about liberal/Democratic aligned claims than their peers who do not use liberal media. For all four claims about Donald Trump, the gap between users of liberal media and nonusers is quite large. For example, the mean level of belief in the claim that Donald Trump deliberately slowed down the US mail is 2.43 for users of liberal media and 3.82 for nonusers. For three out of the four claims, beliefs of users of liberal outlets fall below the mid-point, suggesting on average users were more misinformed than accurately informed. Like audiences of conservative media, audiences of liberal partisan media also believe politically aligned falsehoods at a much greater rate than nonusers.

5.4 Do Partisan Media Use and Political Anger Promote Misperceptions?

Here I consider whether partisan media use and political anger contribute to people’s well-documented misperceptions about politics, science, and health. Recall that angry people are more likely to use partisan heuristics when evaluating false claims and are ultimately more likely to be misinformed about attitude-consistent claims (Reference MacKuen, Wolak, Keele and MarcusMacKuen et al., 2010; Reference WeeksWeeks, 2015). I use OLS regression to predict each of the twelve claims of interest. These models are cross-sectional, meaning that they only look at variables from Wave 1 and do not examine changes in beliefs over time. They should therefore not be interpreted as causal. The models account for numerous demographic and political variables that could also explain political misperceptions, including party ID, ideology, political interest, political knowledge, other types of news use, and trust in media, as well as many others (see Appendix for complete list of variables). By considering these additional variables, I am able to examine the degree to which partisan media use and political anger are uniquely associated with false beliefs. Full regression results for each of the claims are located in the Appendix. In the section following this one, I build on these regressions by presenting a more robust set of analyses that allow me to better test whether partisan media changes anger and belief accuracy over time, providing insights into the causal influence of partisan media.

The initial OLS regressions clearly demonstrate that both use of partisan media and political anger are consistently associated with political misperceptions. Recall that eight of the false claims tend to favor or be consistent with views of conservatives or the Republican party. The other four claims were favorable to liberals and Democrats. For seven out of the eight claims favoring Conservatives/Republicans, the more people used conservative partisan media, the more likely they were to believe the false claims (with beliefs about vaccine safety being the only one not predicted by use of conservative media). In other words, taking into account a number of alternative explanations, people who more frequently used conservative media were more likely to incorrectly believe that election fraud existed, that Joe Biden supported defunding the police, that Donald Trump was fighting a political sex trafficking ring, and that Covid-19 was planned, among other false claims.

The exact same pattern of relationships was found between use of liberal partisan media and the four false claims about Trump. More frequent users of liberal media outlets were more likely to accept as true that Trump ordered a slowdown of the US mail, that he suffered strokes while President, that he did not send Covid investigators to China, and that Russia possessed a comprising tape of him. All together, for eleven out of the twelve claims, using either conservative or liberal partisan media was significantly associated with more outlet-aligned misperceptions about politics, science, and health.

To illustrate the nature of these relationships, I plot the regression coefficients for partisan media use, anger, and party affiliation in Figures 21 (a, b) and 22 (a, b). The dots in the figures, which represent the relationship (coefficient) between using conservative/liberal media and belief in the false claims, are all less than zero, indicating that the more people used partisan media, the less accurate they were about the claims. In sum, the more people used conservative and liberal media, the more they were misinformed. I only depict the relationship for four of the claims here but the results are very similar across all twelve claims. Similar figures for all of the claims can be found in the Figures A.2ac, A.3ac, and A.4ab of the Appendix.

Figure 21 (a) Anger, Conservative Media, and Party ID as Predictors of Misperceptions (Biden Supports Defunding the Police).

Note. Dots represent unstandardized regression coefficients and lines represent 95% confidence intervals. Regression models control for several variables not shown in the figure including political interest, political knowledge, distrust of mainstream media, social media use for political information, political expression on social media, age, gender, education, and race. See Table A.3 for all coefficients.

Figures 21 (b) Anger, Conservative Media, and Party ID as Predictors of Misperceptions (Election Fraud).

Note. Dots represent unstandardized regression coefficients and lines represent 95% confidence intervals. Regression models control for several variables not shown in the figure including political interest, political knowledge, distrust of mainstream media, social media use for political information, political expression on social media, age, gender, education, and race. See Table A.3 for all coefficients.

Figure 22 (a). Anger, Liberal Media, and Party ID as Predictors of Misperceptions (Trump Ordered Slowdown of US Mail).

Note. Dots represent unstandardized regression coefficients and lines represent 95% confidence intervals. Regression models control for several variables not shown in the figure including political interest, political knowledge, distrust of mainstream media, social media use for political information, political expression on social media, age, gender, education, and race. See Table A.5 for all coefficients.

Figure 22 (b). Anger, Liberal Media, and Party ID as Predictors of Misperceptions (Trump Suffered Strokes While President).

Note. Dots represent unstandardized regression coefficients and lines represent 95% confidence intervals. Regression models control for several variables not shown in the figure including political interest, political knowledge, distrust of mainstream media, social media use for political information, political expression on social media, age, gender, education, and race. See Table A.5 for all coefficients.

In addition to use of partisan media, anger was also significantly associated with every one of the twelve misperceptions in predictable ways. When people were angry at Joe Biden, they were more likely to believe the eight false claims that favored conservatives/Republicans. The same was true with use of liberal media, anger at Trump, and false beliefs about Trump. The pattern of consistency is remarkable. Simply put, when people are politically angry at a target (in this case Trump or Biden) they are more likely to hold misperceptions that reflect poorly on that target, including their party or policies.

What is perhaps more striking is that both use of partisan media and political anger are more consistent predictors of political misperceptions than are political party affiliation and political ideology. Party identification and ideology have long been identified as factors that help explain false beliefs. According to the theory of motivated reasoning, people are more likely to believe false claims that reflect well on their worldview or are consistent with prior beliefs (Reference Flynn, Nyhan and ReiflerFlynn et al., 2017). In the case of the current analyses, this would suggest that Republicans and conservatives are more likely to believe claims that are favorable to their party or ideology, while Democrats and liberals should be more accepting of falsehoods that favor them. These analyses indicate this is true in some cases but not all. For example, when one accounts for political anger, party affiliation was not significantly associated with false beliefs about the existence of election fraud, that Covid was planned, vaccine safety, or mask efficacy, among others. The influence of ideology on false beliefs was also somewhat inconsistent. What this suggests is that while party and ideology are often important predictors of misperceptions, political anger may play a larger role in shaping beliefs. Being a Republican, for example, may not be enough to believe that election fraud exists but consuming a lot of conservative news or being very angry at Joe Biden seem to tip the scales toward being misinformed. Studies that fail to account for the influence of political anger on beliefs may therefore overstate the effect of partisanship or ideology on misperceptions.

It is important to note that in some cases, using partisan media sites is associated with more accurate beliefs (See Tables A68). This tends to occur when the false claims are harmful to a supported candidate or party. For example, people who used more liberal media were more likely to dismiss the three unfavorable claims about Joe Biden, as well as correctly note the lack of evidence of election fraud in US elections. A similar pattern was evident with use of conservative media and negative claims about Trump. In each case, the more people reported using conservative media, the more accurate they were about the negative claims about Trump. This pattern did not hold for claims about vaccine safety, masking, Covid, and Qanon, as audiences of liberal media were no more or less likely to falsely believe those claims.

Yet we consistently find that partisan audiences are quick to dismiss false claims about a political figure or issue that is aligned with the partisan outlet. This set of relationships suggests three possibilities. One, it is very likely that people who are politically predisposed to reject false claims about Biden, for example, are more likely to use liberal media. This is consistent with theories of selective exposure in that Democrats or Biden supporters are more likely to seek out liberal sources with pro-Biden coverage. The same may be true for conservative audiences and conservative sites. The second possibility is that partisan media do not devote much attention to harmful claims about the supported candidate or party. For example, the analyses aforementioned showed that liberal media were less likely to cover harmful claims about Biden than were conservative media. The final possibility is that these partisan sites actively push back on false claims that reflect poorly on aligned candidates or issues. For instance, Fox New repeatedly questioned the evidence in the “Steele dossier” that suggested the existence of the so-called ‘pee tape’ that allegedly depicted Russian prostitutes urinating in front of Trump. In this case, Fox News was right to questions these allegations, as no concrete evidence of the tape has since emerged. In this sense, partisan media outlets may facilitate more accurate beliefs by raising doubts and uncertainty about the truth when the false claim in question is targeted at a political figure the outlet supports. This creates the interesting dynamic that partisan media audiences may be more misinformed about political opponents but more accurately informed about supported figures and issues (see Reference Shah, McLeod and RojasShah et al., 2017).

Finally, much has been said about the value of nonpartisan, centrist media in the fight against misinformation. News that adheres to core journalistic values like truth, accuracy, verification, and fairness are thought to be effective correctives to political falsehoods. Large, national news organizations like The New York Times and The Washington Post have devoted significant resources to fighting misinformation and adopted catchy slogans to highlight their commitment to truth (New York Times, “Truth is Essential: Life Needs Truth”; Washington Post, “Democracy Dies in the Darkness”).

While noble endeavors, there is mixed evidence in the data here about whether exposure to centrist, nonpartisan news outlets like these improves belief accuracy (See Tables A68). For two of the false claims about Joe Biden and the election fraud claim, there is evidence that audiences for nonpartisan news are more accurate in their beliefs about these claims. But the same is not true for three of the four claims about Trump. In these instances, using nonpartisan media had no relationship with beliefs about Trump. Importantly, the same null pattern emerged for nonpartisan news use and beliefs about vaccine safety and the conspiracy theory that Covid-19 was planned. Overall, this suggests that use of nonpartisan media was not associated with more misperceptions, but it also was not consistently associated with more accurate beliefs.

It is promising to see that in some cases, audiences of nonpartisan news were more accurately informed. But this does not hold true across the board. Why? First, it may be that many of these claims are too obscure for nonpartisan news to devote substantial coverage. For example, news organizations are unlikely to run multiple stories about claims that are based on rumors and speculation – and not evidence – that are not widespread. They may devote a single story or two to more outrageous false claims, but generally reporting on such falsehoods or rumors would be inconsistent with the practices of mainstream, objective journalism. Second, information from more mainstream news is very likely subject to biased information processing on the part of both conservatives and liberals. Many conservatives actively distrust mainstream news outlets; only 35% of Republicans have at least some trust in information from national news organizations (Pew, 2021). Given the lack of relationship between use of nonpartisan news and claims about vaccine safety, as well as Covid-19 conspiracy theories, it may be that conservatives exposed to factual information about vaccines and Covid-19 were more skeptical about nonpartisan news coverage because of their distrust. As a result, they were not persuaded by the information. Similarly, nonpartisan news did not improve belief accuracy about Trump. It is possible that audiences’ prior beliefs about Trump were strong enough that nonpartisan news coverage rebutting claims about Trump was not enough to facilitate more accurate beliefs.

5.5 Does Partisan Media Use Cause Anger and Political Misperceptions?

The analyses in the previous sections shed important light onto the nature of the relationships between partisan media use, anger, and political misperceptions. They demonstrate that people who consume more partisan media and/or are politically angry are more likely to be misinformed. While informative, such analyses are limited in that they only look at these relationships at one point in time. Such cross-sectional analyses do not allow for any assessment or determination of causality. They do not show, for example, whether use of partisan media causes anger and political misperceptions, or if that anger also causes false beliefs. It is possible that the causal arrow flows in the opposite direction such that people who are angrier or more misinformed are more likely to seek out partisan media. To better tease out the causal influence of these relationships, what is needed is survey data (or experiments) that look at these associations over time. Recall that my survey interviewed the same people at three time periods, or waves, over the course of the 2020 election. This type of panel data allows for more robust tests of causality because it can examine reciprocal relationships between partisan media use, anger, and misperceptions over the election season.

Another benefit of using panel data is that it allows me to distinguish between-person effects from within-person effects, which is important when modeling the effects of exposure to media (Reference Thomas, Shehata, Otto, Möller and PresteleThomas et al., 2021). Between-person effects assess whether patterns of change across time differ across individuals. In this case, I am interested in whether people who use more partisan media experience more anger and are more misinformed over time relative to less frequent users. Within-person effects test whether particular individuals change over time and why. In other words, this approach isolates whether changes in anger or beliefs, for example, are due to or caused by partisan media use. Note that a more detailed description and depiction of the Random Intercept Cross-Lagged Panel Model (RI-CLPM) I use here can be found in the Appendix.

I start by examining between-person associations to assess whether differences in partisan media use can explain differences between individuals in anger and misperceptions over time. For each of the twelve false claims, Tables 2 and 3 report three relationships from the RI-CLPM, including the associations between (1) use of conservative/liberal partisan media and political anger, (2) political anger and belief accuracy, and (3) use of conservative/liberal partisan media and belief accuracy.

Table 2 Between-person correlations for conservative partisan media use, anger, and belief accuracy.

Evidence of voter fraudJoe and Hunter Biden Ukraine scandalBiden supports defunding policeBiden sexually assaulted former senate aideCovid was plannedFacemask efficacyVaccine safetyQanon
Between person correlation
Conservative Partisan Media Use-Anger.58***.58***.59***.59***.58***.59***.59***.59***
Anger-Belief Accuracy−.87***−.73***−.74***−.77***−.56***−.67***−.41***−.68***
Conservative Partisan Media Use-Belief Accuracy−.71***−.63***−.56***−.51***−.38***−.51***−.23***−.50***

Note. *** p < .001.

Table 3 Between-person correlations for liberal partisan media use, anger, and belief accuracy.

Trump slowed US mailTrump suffered a series of strokes while in officeTrump sent researchers to China to investigate CovidTrump Russia tape
Between person correlation
Liberal Partisan Media Use-Anger.67***.68***.67***.68***
Anger-Belief Accuracy−.89***−.77***−.77***−.77***
Liberal Partisan Media Use-Belief Accuracy−.66***−.53***−.54***−.53***

Remarkably, the pattern of results is the same across all twelve false claims. The claims were diverse; some targeted Trump, others Biden, some were focused on personality while others policy, and finally, some were rather obscure and extreme. Despite these differences in the nature of the claims, partisan media played a critical role in angering and misinforming audiences. First, significant between-person relationships were found between use of conservative media and anger at Biden and use of liberal media and anger at Trump. This indicates that people who more frequently use partisan media were more angry at the presidential candidate that is opposed by those partisan sources. Second, consistent with my prior research (Reference WeeksWeeks, 2015), I find that people who are angry at a political candidate hold fewer accurate beliefs about that candidate or their related policies. People who were angry at Joe Biden were more likely to believe in the existence of voter fraud, as well as various false claims about Biden. This anger also spilled over into beliefs about health, as people who were angry with Biden were also more misinformed about mask efficacy and vaccine safety, and were more likely to believe conspiracy theories about Covid-19 and Qanon. The same was true for people angry with Donald Trump; people angry at Trump were more likely to believe that he slowed the US mail for electoral advantage, that he suffered strokes while President, that he failed to send Covid investigators to China, and that Russia possessed a compromising video of Trump. For every claim, angry people were more misinformed.

Next, there was also a negative relationship between both use of conservative partisan media and belief accuracy, as well as use of liberal partisan media and belief accuracy. The data are clear: people who more frequently use conservative or liberal partisan media are more misinformed than those who use it less frequently. These analyses highlight just how influential partisan media can be. Recall that I am looking at everyone’s use of partisan media and not just Republicans using conservative media or Democrats using liberal media. I am not just examining selective exposure to like-minded sources but rather the influence of partisan media on anyone who encounters it. The fact that I find a direct relationship here – across all users – suggests that the problem is more about partisan media and less about echo chambers. Media content – not just biased processes of selection – matters here. It hints that any person who stumbles across partisan media could become more angry and misinformed by the content they see on these sites, even if they are not politically aligned with the outlet. Though audiences remain small, partisan media are influential because of the content they provide. The debate over echo chambers and like-minded media use may be distracting and diverting our attention from the very real problems of partisan media, namely it’s content.

Taken together, these results paint a rather straightforward and concerning picture of the consequences of partisan media use. Users of partisan media – on both the left and the right – tend to be more politically angry and hold more misperceptions than their counterparts who do not typically use partisan media. More so, political anger can alter people’s evaluations of the truth. Across all claims, people who were angrier at political opponents of the outlets were more likely to believe false, negative claims about those individuals (or reject the facts, in the case of Trump sending Covid investigators to China).

The data show that people who use partisan media feel differently and believe different things than less frequent or nonusers. But do partisan media change how people feel and what they believe? Do their levels of anger and misperceptions change over time as a result of using partisan media? This is an important question given what we know about how people select political media. Studies on selective exposure show that people have a preference for like-minded content (e.g. Reference GarrettGarrett, 2009). These preferences raise questions about the causal nature of partisan media. If, for example, Republicans are more likely to use conservative partisan media outlets because those outlets reinforce their worldview, any observed effect of partisan media could be due to other factors that initially influenced media choice and not the content people are exposed to within partisan media. However, the RI-CLPM analyses used here are able to better isolate changes within individual people over time (Reference Hamaker, Kuiper and GrasmanHamaker et al., 2015). In particular, the analyses allow for tests for fluctuations and deviations in individuals’ baseline levels of anger and beliefs as a result of exposure to partisan media. In other words, it allows for more precise tests of whether people who use partisan media experiences changes in levels of anger and misperceptions over time. It also assesses whether changes in baseline anger and misperceptions drive people to use partisan media again in the future. Any significant relationship in the model can be interpreted as stronger causal evidence of change within individuals.

I illustrate the effects of partisan media use on anger and belief accuracy for each of the twelve claims in Figures 2325. As I explain in further detail in the Appendix, given the short time period between waves, I work from the assumption that the effects from Wave 1 to Wave 2 are fairly similar to those between Waves 2 and 3. I therefore placed an equality constraint on the same paths across waves (see Reference Orth, Clark., Donnellan and RobinsOrth et al., 2021). As a result, Figures 2325 depict the relationships in two waves (t–1) and (t). In the figures themselves, solid lines indicate positive relationships, while dotted lines represent negative relationships.

Figure 23 Path analyses for conservative media use, anger at Biden, and belief accuracy.

Note. Paths represent within person effects over time using RI-CLPMs. Paths are based on time invariant coefficients, as equality constraints were placed on the same path for the W1–W2 and W2–W3 relationships. Complete results from the RI-CLPMs from which the Figures are derived are found in Table A.6. Solid lines represent positive effects and dotted lines indicate negative effects.

Figure 24 Path analyses for conservative media use, anger at Biden, and belief accuracy.

Note. Paths represent within person effects over time using RI-CLPMs. Paths are based on time invariant coefficients, as equality constraints were placed on the same path for the W1–W2 and W2–W3 relationships. Complete results from the RI-CLPMs from which the Figures are derived are found in Table A.7. Solid lines represent positive effects and dotted lines indicate negative effects.

Figure 25 Path analyses for liberal media use, anger at Trump, and belief accuracy.

Note. Paths represent within person effects over time using RI-CLPMs. Paths are based on time invariant coefficients, as equality constraints were placed on the same path for the W1–W2 and W2–W3 relationships. Complete results from the RI-CLPMs from which the Figures are derived are found in Table A.8. Solid lines represent positive effects and dotted lines indicate negative effects.

I start by looking at the within-person effects of using conservative partisan media on anger at Joe Biden and belief in false claims about Biden and voter fraud in US elections. In all four models, the more people used conservative media the more angry they became at Biden over the course of the election. Further, the more angry individuals became at Biden the less accurate their beliefs were over the three waves of the study. Finally, did using conservative media directly make people more misinformed? For the three claims about Biden the answer is yes. Those who used more conservative media became less accurate in evaluating whether claims about Biden were true or not; but they did not seem to directly change users’ beliefs about evidence of voter fraud over time, however. Overall, the findings indicate that using conservative media caused people to be more misinformed over the election, in part because it made audiences angry. This offers evidence of the power of conservative partisan media to arouse anger and mislead audiences.

The paths in Figure 23 suggest reciprocal or mutually reinforcing relationships as well. While partisan media increases anger and misperceptions, there is also evidence that people who are angry and misinformed also increased their use of conservative partisan media over the course of the election. This dynamic suggests an important and challenging feedback loop; people who use partisan news became more angry and misinformed, which further increases the likelihood that they use even more conservative news in the future. This process may in part be accounted for by identity threats; the more people use conservative partisan media the more their identities are heightened and the more angry and misinformed they become. As a result, they turn back to conservative partisan media to continue to monitor for identity threats (Reference YoungYoung, 2023). In this way, use of conservative outlets leads to spiraling effects on anger and beliefs that serve to reinforce the use of partisan media (Reference SlaterSlater, 2007).

The general finding that partisan media increase anger and misperceptions among audiences is also found for the claims about Covid, masking, and vaccines. The paths in Figure 24 between use of conservative media and (a) anger and (b) belief accuracy indicate that users of conservative sites became angrier at Biden and more misinformed about these issue during the election. In most cases, angrier people also became more misinformed over time, suggesting that anger is a vital mechanism through which partisan media drive false beliefs. It is noteworthy that use of conservative partisan media did not directly change beliefs about Qanon during the election. It is unclear why this is the case. It could be that an extreme claim like the Qanon conspiracy was even outside the bounds of what many partisan media typically cover. Or it could be that audiences who are interested in or believe in Qanon used other online sources not measured in the survey.

The majority of the evidence from the Republican/conservative-aligned claims points to four important conclusions: (1) using conservative partisan media increases political anger, (2) using conservative partisan media promotes political misperceptions, (3) anger leads people to be more misinformed, and (4) both anger and false beliefs serve to further reinforce future use of conservative partisan media. This suggests that conservative partisan media have an important influence on how people feel about political figures and what they believe. These conservative sources are not innocuous but rather can stoke anger and alter beliefs.

What about liberal partisan media? I report above that audiences of liberal partisan media are more angry at Trump and more misinformed than people who don’t use the sites frequently. But do users of liberal media become more angry and more misinformed over the election cycle as a result of using those sources? The answer, at least with the beliefs measured here, is no. For none of the four claims do we see a link (which represents change) between liberal partisan site use and anger or belief accuracy (see Figure 25). There is also no path between anger and beliefs. This should not be interpreted as evidence that liberal partisan media exert no influence on anger or misperceptions. They do, as people who use liberal media are more angry and more misinformed than people who don’t. Rather, the missing paths in these analyses suggest that people who use liberal partisan media did not become angrier or more misinformed over the course of the 2020 election as a result of using liberal media. It is quite possible that those using liberal partisan media started the election very angry at and misinformed about Trump and further use of those sources did not boost already high levels of anger and misinformation. In this case, at least, using liberal media did not change how people felt about Trump or what they believed.

The differences in findings illustrate an important asymmetry in effects between using conservative and liberal partisan media. While users of partisan media are both more angry and misinformed, the evidence demonstrates that only use of conservative media changes people’s emotions and beliefs during the election. This suggests that the content provided by online conservative media is creating anger and misperceptions in a way that liberal media outlets are not. This may be in part due to the highly emotional content on these sites (Reference Berry and SobierajBerry & Sobieraj, 2013; Reference YoungYoung, 2019), the cohesion in messages from conservative media online (Reference Benkler, Faris and RobertsBenkler et al., 2018), or the relatively high degree of misinformation circulating in more conservative corners of the internet (Reference González-Bailón, Lazer and BarberáGonzález-Bailón et al., 2023). Regardless of the cause, conservative media demonstrate more influence on audiences’ anger and beliefs than do liberal sites.

6 Conclusion

Partisan media have become an important player in the American political media landscape. What started as syndicated conservative talk radio shows and a single, conservative cable television channel (Fox News) has morphed into a larger eco-system of both conservative and liberal partisan outlets online and on social media (Reference Benkler, Faris and RobertsBenkler et al., 2018; Reference HemmerHemmer, 2016; Reference PeckPeck, 2020). Partisan media are often the target of immense criticism and are frequently blamed by public commentators for a variety of America’s political problems. This narrative often portrays audiences of partisan media as deeply entrenched in echo chambers, with little appetite for news or information that does not tell them exactly what they want to hear. Many critiques of partisan media have merit, but it is necessary to put partisan media and their audiences into proper context to understand their true scope and the influence in the American political system.

This Element examined a few central targets of criticism of partisan media: that their audiences are (1) very angry about politics; (2) politically misinformed and prone to believing conspiracy theories; and (3) that partisan media and anger drive those false beliefs. A comprehensive, multi-wave survey fielded during the 2020 US presidential election allowed me to examine who uses partisan media and how often, whether those audiences are angry, and how misinformed they are. It also allowed me to test whether using partisan media changes people’s levels of anger and misperceptions during an election season, as well as differences in influence between conservative and liberal partisan media sites.

I found that people who used partisan media in the 2020 election were quite angry and believed a range of falsehoods, including claims about election fraud, politicians’ policy positions, personal scandals, and health status, as well as misinformation about Covid, vaccines, and other conspiracy theories. In each and every case, the more people used partisan media, the more angry they were and the more they believed false claims about opposing politicians or issues. In some cases, these differences were stark, with the average user of partisan media being more misinformed than accurately informed.

That said, several important themes emerge here. The first is that audiences of partisan media remain relatively small, and most people do not use partisan media frequently, even in the context of a highly contentious and polarized presidential election. Despite widespread fears among scholars, pundits, and commentators, the evidence indicates that most people do not consume political information in partisan media echo chambers. People may occasionally seek or come across content from partisan media from time to time, but it is not a vital part of their media diet. More than 40% of people reported having never visited a liberal media outlet and nearly 50% reported having not seen content from a conservative media outlet. In fact, many people reported no news at all. These patterns are consistent with other research that uses behavioral measures to track partisan outlet use (Reference Arguedas, Robertson, Fletcher and NielsenArguedas et al., 2022; Reference GuessGuess, 2021; Reference PriorPrior, 2013; Reference Wojcieszak, de Leeuw and Menchen-TrevinoWojcieszak et al., 2023) and together a clear picture is starting to emerge: despite misguided assumptions about the size of partisan media audiences in the United States, the fact is that these audiences are small. Partisan media have not become deeply embedded in most Americans’ lives or media habits.

However, that does not mean partisan media are inconsequential to American politics. Audiences for partisan media remain small, but it is also clear that those audiences think, feel, and behave differently than people who do not often use partisan media. We know that these audiences, particularly on the right, are highly engaged with partisan content, skilled at amplifying information online far beyond the original audiences. Content from partisan media, especially when it is emotional, is shared more widely than mainstream news and can spread rapidly through on online social networks. This is especially true for content from conservative media (Reference HasellHasell, 2021; Reference Hiaeshutter-Rice and WeeksHiaeshutter-Rice & Weeks, 2021; Reference Wells, Shah and LukitoWells et al., 2020; Reference Zhang, Chen and LukitoZhang et al., 2023). The evidence from this Element suggests that we can also say that partisan media audiences are more angry and misinformed than others in society. Rather than dismissing the influence of partisan media because of relatively small audiences, we must instead pay attention to the ways in which those audiences are quite different from the larger public, particularly because of the potential influence these engaged individuals have over the larger political system (Reference PriorPrior, 2013).

People who use partisan media are angrier at political opponents – in this case the presidential candidate whose political affiliation is not in line with the ideology of the partisan media outlet. This is true for feelings about the leaders of both parties; users of conservative media were angrier at Joe Biden and users of liberal media were angrier with Donald Trump. While anger can at times be a healthy motivator of political behavior, it can also be problematic because it drives people to be even more partisan and, arguably, less rational. Angry people dig in on their prior beliefs and tend to see the world in a more partisan light (Reference MacKuen, Wolak, Keele and MarcusMacKuen et al., 2010; Reference WeeksWeeks, 2015). And the evidence here makes clear that anger can lead people to believe things about politics, health, and science that are not true and were known to be false at the time. Anger played a significant role in shaping false beliefs about every one of the claims in the study. When people were angry at Biden or Trump, they believed things that were not true about them. In almost every instance, anger was a stronger predictor of misperceptions than was political party affiliation. This is not to say that partisanship is not a relevant factor in shaping people’s (false) beliefs about politics. It most certainly is relevant. In particular, partisanship likely plays a vital role in triggering negative emotions like anger in the first place. So while partisanship is important for beliefs, clearly so too is anger.

Critically, anger also offers a compelling explanation for why partisan audiences are misinformed. Partisan media often use outrage as a market strategy to build an audience (e.g. Reference YoungYoung, 2019). Audiences are subsequently exposed to some content that is intended to stoke anger. It works. But the outcomes of such exposure do not stop there. Those angry partisan audiences are subsequently more likely to accept political falsehoods as true. Anger is one important mechanism for why people become misinformed about politics; it reduces the likelihood that people engage in effortful and careful processing of information and instead makes them more reliant on partisan biases and motivations that leave them more susceptible to political falsehoods (Reference MacKuen, Wolak, Keele and MarcusMacKuen et al., 2010; Reference WeeksWeeks, 2015).

Another theme that emerged from these data was the asymmetry in effects between conservative and liberal partisan media. Importantly, conservative partisan media exhibited a causal impact on audience members’ anger and misperceptions in a way liberal media did not. Using conservative partisan media lead to changes in people’s anger and beliefs. Over the course of the election, people who used conservative partisan media became angrier and more misinformed as a result of using these sources. The same pattern of causal change was not evident with liberal media. Why? The answer is two-fold.

First, there is growing evidence that liberal and conservative media ecosystems are not equivalent. The political right has established a more comprehensive and cohesive network of conservative media outlets that were born out of dissatisfaction with more mainstream sources (Reference Benkler, Faris and RobertsBenkler et al., 2018; Reference PeckPeck, 2020). These outlets promote themselves as alternative sources to what many users see as a liberal bias in news media and users look to these conservative media outlets to provide a counterweight to more mainstream sources (Pew, 2021). Some of these conservative sources have become among the most popular political information outlets in the US. Liberal partisan media do not have a similar network of trusted partisan outlets.

This may in part help explain why the relationships between conservative partisan media use, anger, and misperceptions, represent a reinforcing spiral or feedback loop (Reference SlaterSlater, 2007). As noted, I found that conservative site users became angrier and more misinformed over the course of the election. At the same time, anger and false beliefs only make people more likely to use conservative partisan media again in the future. In a way, angry and misinformed people seek out conservative sources that reinforce their anger and help justify their beliefs. Although I am not able to untangle why angry and misinformed audiences return to conservative partisan media, we know some audiences are drawn to conservative content that stokes anger, perhaps as a form of identity expression or group attachment (Reference Berry and SobierajBerry & Sobieraj, 2013; Reference WebsterWebster, 2020; Reference YoungYoung, 2019). The political right in the United States is more homogeneous than the left and it may be that conservative sources speak to and connect with their audiences’ identities in a way that liberal outlets do not (Pew, 2023; Reference YoungYoung, 2023). It may also be that angry and misinformed people return to conservative partisan sources because they trust them more than mainstream sources. There is some evidence that conservative audiences find these sources to be more credible and trustworthy than nonpartisan sources, which can help explain why they use them (Reference Hmielowski, Staggs, Hutchens and BeamHmielowski et al., 2022; Reference Metzger, Hartsell and FlanaginMetzger et al., 2020; Pew, 2021; Reference Tsfati and CappellaTsfati & Cappella, 2003). If that’s the case, breaking the reinforcing cycle of conservative media and influence would be very difficult. If committed users trust conservative partisan media, and the content reinforces existing beliefs and helps justify political anger and false beliefs, conservative media may have a stronghold on its small but loyal audiences. Why would someone go elsewhere for political information?

Second, the nature of content in liberal and conservative media outlets may be qualitatively different. Conservative partisan media often present themselves as a voice of the people, taking a populist tone to covering news and politics (Reference PeckPeck, 2020). Conservative media often use outrage and anger as a tactic to attract audiences, whereas liberal media often take a satirical approach that attempts to critique through irony and humor (Reference Berry and SobierajBerry & Sobieraj, 2013; Reference WebsterWebster, 2020; Reference YoungYoung, 2019). The approach of conservative media appears to work, as audiences are drawn to and engage with more extreme conservative content (Reference Benkler, Faris and RobertsBenkler et al., 2018; Reference Garrett and BondGarrett & Bond, 2021; Reference HasellHasell, 2021; Reference Hiaeshutter-Rice and WeeksHiaeshutter-Rice & Weeks, 2021; Reference Wells, Shah and LukitoWells et al., 2020; Reference Zhang, Chen and LukitoZhang et al., 2023). There is also evidence that conservative media devotes significant coverage to misinformation (Reference Benkler, Faris and RobertsBenkler et al., 2018; Reference Broockman and KallaBroockman & Kalla, 2023; Reference González-Bailón, Lazer and BarberáGonzález-Bailón et al., 2023; Reference Jamieson, Levendusky and PasekJamieson et al., 2023). It may be that audiences of conservative outlets are exposed to more misinformation than are audiences of liberal media. This is an important question that needs more examination moving forward, as there are relatively few systematic analyses of differences in content between liberal and conservative media.

While I do find that conservative partisan media have asymmetrical (i.e. stronger) effects on audiences than liberal partisan media, this does not mean that liberal outlets do not anger or misinform consumers. The liberal partisan media ecosphere is not as powerful or influential as the conservative one in spreading information and setting media agendas (Reference Benkler, Faris and RobertsBenkler et al., 2018; Reference Vargo, Guo and AmazeenVargo et al., 2018), but audiences of liberal media were angrier at Trump and more likely to believe falsehoods about him relative to non- or less-frequent users of liberal media. The fact that levels of anger or misperceptions among audiences for liberal media did not change over the election does not mean that liberal media have no influence. Rather, it could mean that users of liberal media started the election angry at and misinformed about Trump and didn’t change in one direction or another. Given that Trump was the incumbent and in office for nearly four years, many users of liberal partisan media may have already been extremely angry at Trump for years. In this way, liberal media could have contributed to stability in anger and false beliefs, simply reinforcing those feelings and views. But the lack of change observed among those who used liberal media could also indicate something fundamentally different about either the nature of liberal partisan content relative to conservative content or their audiences. As noted, it is possible that the way in which conservative media cover stories surrounding false claims is qualitatively different than the way liberal media cover them. It is also possible that conservative audiences put more weight in what they see in conservative outlets, particularly given their high levels of trust in outlets like Fox News (Reference Research CenterPew, 2020). In other words, there is the potential that audiences of conservative media are more likely than liberal audiences to incorporate the information they see in conservative media when forming beliefs. Neither of these alternative possibilities can be tested with the data here but illustrate important questions that need to be addressed in future research.

What does all of this mean for how we think about the role partisan media play in American politics? First, it indicates that audiences of partisan news are different from the general public. They are no doubt small relative to the larger US population. But partisan media introduce a difficult challenge to democracy and society: these audiences are relatively small but they are highly engaged, interested, angry, and often wrong. They amplify content online at a greater rate than audiences for nonpartisan news. What this means is that partisan content, which at times is biased, misleading, or outright wrong, has the opportunity to spread far beyond its original audience, thus potentially having indirect reach and influence (Reference Druckman, Levendusky and McLainDruckman et al., 2018).

It is important to note that this study took place in the context of the 2020 US presidential election, which was one of the most contentious and divisive elections in recent American history. It also took place during a global pandemic, at a time of economic uncertainty, and in the aftermath of significant protests for racial and social justice. Anger at both candidates (and the political system) was high throughout the election, misinformation circulated in many online spaces, not just in partisan media, and people were likely consuming more media than they usually do. One could argue that the unique context of the election contributed to the findings. This is a possibility but the reality in contemporary American politics is that voters are polarized and hold strong, negative feelings toward political opponents (Reference Iyengar, Lelkes, Levendusky, Malhotra and WestwoodIyengar et al., 2019). Anecdotally, little has changed politically since the fall of 2020 in the United States; the public is still angry at political opponents, political misinformation still circulates, and partisan media are still relevant. And given the likelihood of a rematch between Trump and Biden in the 2024 election, the results here are not likely to have been entirely driven by the timing of the study. This type of environment may be the new normal for American politics.

This Element began by noting that people in the United States are angry and in some cases misinformed about politics. The causes of this anger and these misperceptions are diverse and include cultural, political, and technological changes in our society. The analyses here provide a more lucid picture of one source of influence: online partisan media. Audiences of partisan media, though small, are important. They are angrier and, ultimately, more misinformed. While it is vitally important not to exaggerate the power of partisan media in shaping citizens’ emotions and beliefs – particularly in the context of small audiences – it is also necessary to recognize that partisan media are not harmless. They matter. The content they produce matters. They can motivate audiences to take action based on falsehoods or conspiracy theories, as we saw with the destruction at the US Capitol on January 6, 2021. But studying partisan audiences is also a moving target and pinpointing its influence may become harder in the future as more partisan outlets and sources emerge online and on social media. The growing partisan media ecosystem includes podcasters, influencers, activists, and other opinion leaders who operate outside traditional journalistic institutions and without editorial standards. In this crowded information environment, traditional and alternative news media compete for limited audiences all while technology (and algorithms) may become increasingly important in the types of information we see online. Partisan media have already become adept at using these systems to their advantage. Understanding the role partisan media play now and in the future remains a fundamental question for political communication.

Appendix of Methodological Details

A.1 Data and Sample Characteristics

To test the reciprocal relationships between partisan media exposure, political anger, and political misperceptions, I use data from an original, three wave panel survey I fielded in the United States during the 2020 election. I contracted the research company YouGov to field the survey on my behalf and the sample was drawn from YouGov’s web access panel. YouGov uses a stratified sampling approach with matching on gender, race, age, and education (based on the 2018 American Community Survey) to obtain samples from non-randomly selected pools of respondents. Although the sample is not strictly representative, the matching methodology creates samples that closely reflect the target population on key demographics and are a reasonable approximation of samples drawn using true probabilistic approaches.

The first wave of the study was fielded between September 24 and October 5, 2020. YouGov invited 5,298 individuals to take part in the study and 2070 finished the first wave of the survey for a completion rate of 39.1%. Of the 2070 people who completed Wave 1, 270 were removed by YouGov to meet quota sampling requirements and ensure the sample reflects the population of American adults. The final sample size in Wave 1 was 1,800. The second wave of the survey was fielded several weeks after the first and data were collected between October 22 and 30. A total of 1401 respondents completed Wave 2 for a retention rate of 77.83%. The final wave of data was collected between November 19 and 24, 2020, a few weeks after the election. A total of 1,065 respondents completed wave three (59.2% of respondents finished all three waves). One respondent reported using every media outlet in all waves and was omitted from the main analyses later.

The sample reflected the American population on several key demographics. The mean age of respondents was 50.28 (16.97) years and 55.7% were women. In terms of race, 76.1% of respondents were White, 8.2% Black, 7.6% Hispanic, 2.2% Asian, 0.8% Native American, and additional 5.2% identified as biracial or another unlisted race. The mean education level was 3.5 (SD = 1.48) on a 6-point scale, which falls between “some college” and “2-year degree.” The mean income level was 6.44 (SD = 3.56) on a 16-point scale, which translates to the average sample income falling between $50,000 and $69,999. Finally, 35.8% of respondents identified as Democrats, 30.3% as politically Independent, and 24.9% as Republicans.

A.2 Description of Variables

A.2.1 Partisan Media Use

Asking people to self-report media use is a historically difficult task, as they tend to overestimate the frequency with which they use media or visit different sources (Reference ScharkowScharkow, 2019). To better minimize response bias, I applied a version of the ‘list-frequency’ technique to measure exposure to these outlets. As the name suggests, the list-frequency approach provides a list of very specific outlets and asks respondents to identify the sources used in a set period of time, as well as the frequency of that use. The idea is that respondents are able to identify specific sources recently used and can provide reasonably accurate estimates of the frequency of that use. This approach is recommended for self-report measures of media use (Reference Andersen, de Vreese and AlbækAndersen et al., 2016).

In each wave of the survey, respondents were presented with the list of sources and asked to select any sources they had used at least once in the past fourteen days for news or political information. The order of presentation was randomized across all sources and the lists were broken up into several pages to prevent response fatigue. Respondents only selected the sources they had used and did not need to respond or check ‘no’ for unused sources. After completing the entire battery of source questions, respondent who noted that they had used a specific source were brought to a second page that asked them how often they used the sources they indicated they had used. If, for example, a respondent said they only used Fox News in the prior two weeks, they were only asked about their frequency of Fox News use. Respondents who used more than one source were asked about frequency of use for each individual source. Respondents were asked on a 7-point scale “how often have you used the sources listed below to get news or information about politics in the past 14 days?” Reponses options included (1) Never, (2) Once, (3) Once per week, (4) A few times per week, (5) Several times per week, (6) Every day, and (7) Several times a day. If a respondent did not report using a particular source, their frequency score for that sources was coded as (1) ‘Never.’ Frequency of use for each type of news (nonpartisan, liberal partisan, conservative partisan) was calculated by taking the average frequency of use for each site within the category.

The site categorization process is described in the main text. As noted, CNN was coded as a liberal site. The decision where to place CNN has been found to have implications for studies examining partisan media diets. For example, Muise et al. (2022) find that partisan segregation in television news audiences is considerably more pronounced for left-leaning media if CNN is counted as a partisan rather than a mainstream source. If CNN is categorized as liberal partisan media, they find that partisan segregation on the left more closely resembles segregation on the right. Given the possibility that the categorization of CNN could dramatically change the interpretation of the analyses in this Element, I reran all of the RI-CLPM models with a measure of liberal partisan media that excluded CNN. All other aspects of the analyses were the same. The findings from the models with CNN not included as a liberal partisan outlet are nearly identical to those with CNN included. The only notable difference is that the link between partisan media exposure and belief accuracy for the claim that Trump slowed down the mail for electoral advantage becomes significant in the model without CNN. For the rest of the models, the findings are similar and none of the interpretations about the influence of liberal partisan media on political anger or misperceptions change; with or without CNN included as a partisan media outlet, I find that liberal partisan users are angrier and more misinformed than less frequent users, but that liberal media did not change levels of political anger or misperceptions over the election.

A.2.2 Political Anger

The anger measure was designed to assess respondents’ levels of anger directed at the two major party candidates for president, Donald Trump and Joe Biden. In each wave, respondents were asked to report the extent to which they felt a range of emotions toward Trump and Biden. They were provided a prompt that read “When I think about Donald Trump/Joe Biden, I feel … ” followed by several emotions, including angry and mad. Responses were measured on a 7-point scale (1=not at all, 2=slightly, 3=somewhat, 4=moderately, 5=quite a bit, 6=very, 7=extremely). In each wave the angry and mad items were combined to create unique anger scales for both Trump and Biden.

A.2.3 Political Misperceptions

In most cases, beliefs were measured on a 5-point scale (1= Definitely true, 2 = Probably true, 3 = Probably false, 4 = Definitely false, 5 = Unsure). Based on the particular claim in question, responses were recoded such that higher values reflect more accurate answers. Unsure responses were coded as the midpoint (3). For the items about Covid, vaccines, and election fraud, the question approach was slightly different. For these questions, respondents were provided two opposite statements and asked to place a mark on a 5-point scale that best described their personal beliefs. For example, the voter fraud question provided two statements “There is no evidence of widespread voter fraud in U.S. elections” and “There is evidence of widespread voter fraud in U.S. elections” and placed a mark closer to which one they believed. Responses were recoded such that higher scores reflect more accurate beliefs about the statements.

A.3 Analysis Plan

One common way to model media effects over time with longitudinal panel survey data is using a cross-lagged panel model (CLPM). CLPMs use cross-lagged autoregressive analyses to assess reciprocal relationships between variables in a model and provide evidence of the causal influence variables have on each other over time. In simple terms, CLPMs examine the effect of variable X on variable Y, while controlling for prior measures of variable Y. If the data show that variable X in Time 1 has an effect on variable Y in Time 2, after accounting for values of variable Y in Time 1, then the relationship between X and Y can be considered causal. However, CLPMs have recently been criticized for a few key limitations. The major concern with CLPMs is that they do not distinguish between-person differences from changes within individuals over time (Reference Hamaker, Kuiper and GrasmanHamaker et al, 2015). However, the distinction is often critically important to media effects research. A within-person effect is a pattern of change within individuals and suggests a causal relationship between media exposure and effect, while between-person effects illustrate whether patterns of media use are associated with key outcomes over time (Reference Thomas, Shehata, Otto, Möller and PresteleThomas et al., 2021). Because CLPMs do not disaggregate the two types of effects, these models can lead to misleading conclusions about the effects of media.

To address the shortcomings of the CLPM, researchers have recently turned to random-intercept cross-lagged panel models (RI-CLPM). RI-CLPM overcome the limitations of CLPM by separating within- and between-person effects. Such an approach is particularly well-suited to test media effects models within the reinforcing spiral framework (Reference Slater, Shehata, Strömbäck, Van den Bulck, Ewoldsen, Mares and ScharrerSlater et al., 2020). The cross-lagged paths in the model represent the test of the study’s hypotheses.

The RI-CLPMs use all three waves of data and are designed to better assess causality by separating out the between and within-subject effects using a random intercept (Reference Hamaker, Kuiper and GrasmanHamaker et al., 2015). The between-subject effects represent stable between-person differences. The within-person effects assess change in an individual over time, while controlling for trait-like differences at the between person level. These within-person effects allow for the assessment of reciprocal relationships across waves.

To be clear, the between-subject effects in the RI-CLPMs test (1) whether people who use more partisan media are angrier than people who use less, (2) whether people who use more partisan media are more misinformed than people who use less, and (3) whether people who are angrier are more misinformed. The reported correlations for the between-person components represent stable, between-person differences. The within-subjects effects test whether an increase from an individual’s baseline level of variable A leads to a change from baseline for that individual on variable B at time 2. For example, I test whether an increase from an individual’s baseline use of partisan media in Wave 1 causes a change from baseline in anger and misperceptions in W2 (and so on). Again, these within-individual models automatically control for all unmeasured, time-invariant variables that could confound the relationship.

The modeling approach to the RI-CLPM I used here closely follows recent recommendations (see Reference Hamaker, Kuiper and GrasmanHamaker et al., 2015; Reference Mulder and HamakerMulder & Hamaker, 2021) and replicates the modeling strategy from other studies in communication science that employ the RI-CLPM (e.g. Reference Baumgartner, van der Schuur, Lemmens and te PoelBaumgartner et al., 2018; Reference Schnauber-Stockmann, Weber and ReineckeSchnauber-Stockmann et al., 2021). I regressed the repeated measures for partisan media use, political anger, and belief accuracy on latent variables for each and fixed all factor loadings to 1. To assess both the within- and between-individual variance, the variances of the manifest variables were constrained to zero (see Reference Baumgartner, van der Schuur, Lemmens and te PoelBaumgartner et al., 2018; Reference Mulder and HamakerMulder & Hamaker, 2021). I also added a random intercept for each and constrained the factors loadings to 1. The complete empirical model for the RI-CLPMs is depicted in Figure A.1.

Figure A.1 Random Intercept Cross-Lagged Panel Model (RI-CLPM) representing relationship between partisan media use, political anger, and belief accuracy across three waves.

The resulting models test both within- and between-person effects. The coefficients for the auto-regressive paths (e.g. Wave 1 anger to Wave 2 anger) represent carry-over effects within people. For example, a positive coefficient across waves for political anger indicates that people experiencing more anger relative to their own expected score on anger are likely to experience elevated anger at a subsequent wave as well. The cross-lagged coefficients indicate the effects of one variable on another over time. A negative cross-lagged coefficient between anger and belief accuracy provides evidence of an effect of anger on belief accuracy; a deviation in an individuals’ baseline level of anger leads to less belief accuracy compared to that individual’s expected baseline level of accuracy (Reference Mulder and HamakerMulder & Hamaker, 2021). The between-person effects are evident in the correlation between the random intercepts.

In all of the models, the auto-regressive and cross-lagged panel models were constrained to be equal across waves. This approach is recommended when lags between waves of data collection are approximately the same length. Implementing equality constraints across waves is advantageous in such instances because it increases the power of significance tests, improves model convergence, and reduces the complexity of results (see Reference Orth, Clark., Donnellan and RobinsOrth et al., 2021). The latter benefit eliminates the challenge of offering explanations for between-interval differences in effects. In all cases I compared the model fit of the constrained model to the unconstrained model. In only one instance (US voter fraud) did the unconstrained model fit significantly better than the constrained model. Note that the cross-wave equity constraints are imposed on the unstandardized coefficients. The standardized coefficients reported in the book from the RI-CLPM are an average of the coefficients from W1 to W2 and W2 to W3.

Figure A.2a Anger, Conservative Media, and Party ID as Predictors of Misperceptions (Biden Ukraine Scandal).

Figure A.2b Anger, Conservative Media, and Party ID as Predictors of Misperceptions (Biden Sexual Assault).

Figure A.2c Anger, Conservative Media, and Party ID as Predictors of Misperceptions (Qanon).

Figure A.3a Anger, Conservative Media, and Party ID as Predictors of Misperceptions (Covid Was Planned).

Figure A.3b Anger, Conservative Media, and Party ID as Predictors of Misperceptions (Vaccines are Safe).

Figure A.3c Anger, Conservative Media, and Party ID as Predictors of Misperceptions (Facemask Efficacy).

Figure A.4a Anger, Liberal Media, and Party ID as Predictors of Misperceptions (Trump Russia Tape).

Figure A.4b Anger, Liberal Media, and Party ID as Predictors of Misperceptions (Trump Sent COVID Investigators to China).

Table A.1 Predicting News Site Use in Wave 1

Nonpartisan news useConservative news useLiberal news use
Conservative news site use.22(.04)***.11(.02)***
Liberal news site use.97(.03)***.14(.03)***
Nonpartisan news site use.12(.02)***.38(.01)***
Anger toward Joe Biden−.01(.01)#.02(.01)**−.01(.01)
Anger toward Donald Trump.02(.01)*−.04(.01)***.01(.01)
Party ID (rep. coded high).01(.01).01(.01)−.01(.01)#
Ideology (conservative coded high)−.01(.02).07(.01)***−.04(.01)***
Political interest.03(.02)#.04(.01)***.02(.01)*
Political knowledge.02(.01).00(.01)−.01(.01)
Distrust of mainstream media−.07(.01)***.05(.01)***−.01(.01)
Social media for political information.00(.01).02(.01)***.01(.00)
Political expression on social media.03(.01)*.03(.01)***.01(.01)*
Age.00(.00).00(.00).00(.00)
Gender (women coded high)−.07(.03)**−.02(.02).02(.02)
Education.04(.01)***.01(.01)−.02(.01)**
Asian.11(.08).05(.06)−.06(.05)
Black−.05(.05).07(.04)#.05(.03)
Hispanic−.01(.05).08(.03)*−.01(.03)
Multi-racial/other races.09(.05).05(.04)−.01(.03)
Constant.06(.11).21(.08)**.49(.07)***
R2 (F).63(137.96)***.43(61.09)***.61(125.95)***
(df)149514951495

Note. Unstandardized coefficients reported. Standard errors in parentheses.

***p ≤ .001, **p ≤ .01, *p ≤ .05, #p ≤ .10 (all p values two-tailed).

Table A.2 Predicting Political Anger in Wave 1

Anger toward Joe BidenAnger toward Donald Trump
Conservative news site use.33(.12)**−.78(.11)***
Liberal news site use−.14(.14).15(.13)
Nonpartisan news site use−.15(.09)#.19(.08)*
Anger toward Joe Biden−.07(.03)**
Anger toward Donald Trump−.08(.03)**
Party ID (rep. coded high).29(.03)***−.47(.03)***
Ideology (conservative coded high)−.07(.05)−.38(.05)***
Political interest.28(.05)***.09(.05)#
Political knowledge−.10(.04)*.14(.04)***
Distrust of mainstream media.37(.03)***−.25(.03)***
Social media for political information−.03(.02).02(.02)
Political expression on social media.15(.03)***.10(.03)***
Age.00(.00).00(.00)
Gender (women coded high)−.08(.08).22(.08)**
Education−.02(.03).07(.03)*
Asian.02(.27)−.17(.25)
Black−.20(.16)−.24(.15)
Hispanic.06(.15).05(.15)
Multi-racial/other races.34(.18)#−.03(.17)
Constant−.41(.35)7.29(.27)***
R2 (F).51(84.87)***.70(191.03)***
(df)14951495

Note. Unstandardized coefficients reported. Standard errors in parentheses.

***p ≤ .001, **p ≤ .01, *p ≤ .05, #p ≤ .10 (all p values two-tailed).

Table A.3 Predicting Political Misperceptions

Biden sexually assaulted former senate aideJoe and Hunter Biden Ukraine scandalBiden supports defunding policeEvidence of voter fraud in US elections
Conservative news site use−.25(.07)***−.46(.08)***−.49(.078)***−.51(.08)***
Liberal news site use.29(.07)***.34(.09)***.30(.09)***.26(.09)**
Nonpartisan news site use.04(.05).10(.05)#.12(.06)*.14(.06)*
Anger toward Joe Biden−.17(.01)***−.08(.02)***−.10(.02)***−.09(.02)***
Anger toward Donald Trump.11(.02)***.13(.02)***.17(.02)***.10(.02)***
Party ID (rep. coded high)−.09(.02)***−.04(.02)#−.06(.02)**−.02(.02)
Ideology (conservative coded high).17(.03)***.00(.03)−.02(.03)−.12(−.04)***
Political interest.04(.03)−.01(.03).01(.03)−.02(.04)
Political knowledge−.01(.02)−.01(.03).15(.03)***.20(.03)***
Distrust of mainstream media−.16(.02)***−.17(.02)***−.15(.02)***−.23(.02)***
Social media for political information−.02(.01).01(.01).01(.02)−.01(.02)
Political expression on social media−.01(.02)−.02(.02)−.04(.02)#−.03(.02)
Age.01(.00)***.00(.00).00(.00).00(.00)
Gender (women coded high)−.01(.05)−.05(.05)−.23(.06)***−.08(.06)
Education−.03(.02)#.02(.02).02(.02).00(.02)
Asian−.22(.15)09.(.17)−.09(.17)−.29(.18)
Black.02(.09).09(.10).06(.10)−.17(.11)
Hispanic−.02(.08).10(.10)−.08(.10)−.35(.10)***
Multi-racial/other races−.05(.10)−.23(.11)*−.07(.12)−.29(.12)*
Constant3.07(.19)***3.27(.22)***3.20(.23)***4.39(.23)***
R2 (F).58(106.84)***.54(92.31)***.60(117.58)***.59(111.89)***
(df)1495149514951495

Note. Unstandardized coefficients reported. Standard errors in parentheses. Higher values reflect more accurate beliefs. ***p ≤ .001, **p ≤ .01, *p ≤ .05, #p ≤ .10 (all p values two-tailed).

Table A.4 Predicting Political Misperceptions

Vaccine safetyMask efficacyCovid was plannedQanon
Conservative news site use−.04(.08)−.41(.08)***−.36(.08)***−.46(.08)***
Liberal news site use−.05(.09).05(.09).00(.09).10(.09)
Nonpartisan news site use.08(.06).16(.06)**.11(.06)#.18(.06)***
Anger toward Joe Biden−.05(.02)**−.07(.02)***−.09(.02)***−.07(.02)***
Anger toward Donald Trump.05(.02)**.12(.02)***.03(.02)#.11(.02)***
Party ID (rep. coded high).02(.02).00(.02)−.01(.02).03(.02)
Ideology (conservative coded high)−.12(.04)***−.12(.04)***−.07(.03)#−.15(.04)***
Political interest.08(.04)*.04(.04).04(.03).04(.04)
Political knowledge.11(.03)***.02(.03).23(.03)***.20(.03)***
Distrust of mainstream media−.09(.02)***−.16(.02)***−.12(.02)***−.13(.02)***
Social media for political information−.04(.02)*−.02(.02)−.03(.01)*−.03(.02)#
Political expression on social media−.06(.02)*−.07(.02)***−.07(.02)***−.05(.02)*
Age.00(.00).00(.00).00(.00).00(.00)
Gender (women coded high)−.11(.06)#.00(.06)−.16(.05)**−.14(.06)*
Education.10(.02)***.02(.02).09(.02)***.05(.02)**
Asian−.08(.18).39(.18)*−.20(.17).02(.18)
Black−.75(.11)***.10(.11)−.41(.10)***−.02(.11)
Hispanic−14(.11).08(.10)−.02(.10).00(.10)
Multi-racial/other races−.20(.12)−.09(.12)−.17(.11)−.06(.12)
Constant4.01(.24)***4.75(.23)***4.42(.22)3.81(.23)***
R2 (F).27(28.80)***.49(73.33)***.40(52.52)***.50(77.10)***
(df)1494149314951495

Note. Unstandardized coefficients reported. Standard errors in parentheses. Higher values reflect more accurate beliefs. ***p ≤ .001, **p ≤ .01, *p ≤ .05, #p ≤ .10 (all p values two-tailed).

Table A.5 Predicting Political Misperceptions

Trump deliberately slowed US mailTrump suffered strokes while PresidentTrump attempts to get US researchers into ChinaTrump Russia tape
Conservative news site use.26(.06)***.28(.07)***.45(.08)***.25(.07)***
Liberal news site use−.38(.07)***−.37(.08)***−.24(.09)**−.25(.08)***
Nonpartisan news site use.11(.05)*−.01(.05).01(.06).01(.05)
Anger toward Joe Biden.09(.01)***.06(02)***.05(.02)**.08(.02)***
Anger toward Donald Trump−.27(.02)***−.14(.02)***−.15(.02)***−.21(.02)***
Party ID (rep. coded high).06(.02)***.05(.02)**.02(.02).03(.02)
Ideology (conservative coded high).08(.03)**−.02(.03).00(.04).03(.03)
Political interest.00(.03).04(.03).09(.04)*.10(.03)***
Political knowledge.07(.02)***.12(.03)***−.04(.03).15(.02)***
Distrust of mainstream media.0(.02)***.03(.02)#.07(.02)***.04(.02)*
Social media for political information.01(.01)−.03(.01)*−.01(.02).02(.01)
Political expression on social media−.04(.02)*.00(.02)−.03(.02)−.03(.02)
Age−.00(.00)*.00(.00).00(.00).00(.00)
Gender (women coded high).03(.05)−.07(.05).01(.06)−.12(.05)*
Education.03(.02)*−.01(.02).04(.02)#.02(.02)
Asian−.40(.14)**−.04(.16)−.11(.18)−.01(.15)
Black−.40(.09)***−.12(.09).06(.11)−.27(.09)**
Hispanic−.04(.08)−.06(.09)−.25(.10)*.00(.09)
Multi-racial/other races−.09(.09)−.02(.10)−.13(.12).09(.10)
Constant2.91(.19)***3.34(.20)***2.65(.23)***2.74(.20)***
R2 (F).71(187.96)***.41(54.68)***.37(44.92)***.54(90.05)***
(df)1495149514951495

Note. Unstandardized coefficients reported. Standard errors in parentheses. Higher values reflect more accurate beliefs. ***p ≤ .001, **p ≤ .01, *p ≤ .05, #p ≤ .10 (all p values two-tailed).

Table A.6 Predicting Conservative Partisan Media Use, Anger at Biden, and Belief Accuracy

Evidence of voter fraud in 2020 electionJoe and Hunter Biden Ukraine scandalBiden supports defunding policeBiden sexually assaulted former senate aide
b (s.e.)βb (s.e.)βb (s.e.)βb (s.e.)β
Effects on Conservative Media Use
Conservative Media Use (Autoregressive).11 (.05) *.12.09 (.05) #.09.05 (.06).06.09 (.05) #.09
Anger at Biden (Cross-Lagged).21 (.04) ***.21.14 (.04)***.14.11 (.05) *.11.15 (.05) ***.15
Belief Accuracy (Cross-Lagged)−.06 (.05)−.05−.28 (.05) ***−.20−.32 (.06) ***−.22−.31 (.07) ***−.19
Effects on Anger at Biden
Anger at Biden (Autoregressive).32 (.04) ***.29.22 (.05) ***.20.21 (.06) ***.19.26 (.05) ***.24
Conservative Media Use (Cross-Lagged).17 (.04) ***.16.12 (.04) ***.12.10 (.04) *.09.14 (.04) ***.13
Belief Accuracy (Cross-Lagged)−.11 (.04) **−.09−.27 (.05) ***−.19−.25 (.06) ***−.17−.16 (.07) ***−.09
Effects on Belief Accuracy
Belief Accuracy (Autoregressive).33 (04) ***.32.18 (.04) ***.17.17 (.06) **.16.18 (.05) ***.17
Conservative Media Use (Cross-Lagged)−.05 (.03) #−.06−.15 (.05) ***−.20−.12 (.03) ***−.18−.10 (.02) ***−.15
Anger at Biden (Cross-Lagged)−.17 (.03) ***−.18−.20 (.03) ***−.25−.09 (.03) **−.12−.10 (.03) ***−.16
Between Person Correlation
Conservative Media Use-Anger.58***.58***.59***.59***
Anger-Belief Accuracy−.87***−.73***−.74***−.77***
Conservative Media Use-Belief Accuracy−.71***−.63***−.56***−.51***
Fit Indices
RMSEA.10.00.01.00
CFI.981.01.01.0
TLI.951.01.01.0
χ2 (df)146.44 (12)12.27 (12)14.16 (12)11.44 (12)

Note. *** p < .001, ** p < .01, *p < .05, # p < .001. Reported standardized coefficients are the averaged path for W1-W2 and W2-W3 (see Reference Orth, Clark., Donnellan and RobinsOrth et al., 2021 for details). Results from RI-CLPMs for each outcome variable. For belief accuracy, more accurate beliefs are coded higher.

Table A.7 Predicting Conservative Media Use, Anger at Biden, and Belief Accuracy

Covid was plannedFace mask efficacyQanonVaccine safety
b (s.e.)βb (s.e.)βb (s.e.)βb (s.e.)β
Effects on Conservative Media Use
Conservative Media Use (Autoregressive).12(.05)*.12.12(.05)*.12.09(.06)#.10.11(.06)#.11
Anger at Biden (Cross-Lagged).20(.04)***.20.18(.04)***.17.17(.04)***.18.20(.05).20
Belief Accuracy (Cross-Lagged)−.12(.07)#−.07−.26(.07)***−.17−.10(.07)−.08−.20(.08)**−.12
Effects on Anger at Biden
Anger at Biden (Autoregressive).28(.05)***.26.22(.05)***.20.29(.05)***.27.31(.05)***.28
Conservative Media Use (Cross-Lagged).17(.04)***.16.14(.04)***.14.15(.04)***.14.16(.04)***.15
Belief Accuracy (Cross-Lagged)−.27(.07)***−.14−.31(.06)***−.20−.21(.06)***−.14−.06(.07)−.03
Effects on Belief Accuracy
Belief Accuracy (Autoregressive).13(.06)*.12.23(.06)***.22.21(.06)***.21.15(.07)*.15
Conservative Media Use (Cross-Lagged)−.08(.03)***−.13−.10(.03)***−.15−.03(.03)−.04−.06(.03)*−.09
Anger at Biden (Cross-Lagged)−.07(.03)*−.10−.11(.03)***−.14−.10(.04)***−.14−.03(.03)−.05
Between Person Correlation
Conservative Media Use-Anger.58***.59***.59***.59***
Anger-Belief Accuracy−.56***−.67***−.68***−.41***
Conservative Media Use-Belief Accuracy−.38***−.51***−.50***−.23***
Fit Indices
RMSEA.04.04.02.03
CFI1.001.001.001.00
TLI.99.991.001.00
χ2 (df)29.63(12)29.58(12)15.57(12)25.04(12)

Note. *** p < .001, ** p < .01, *p < .05, # p < .10. Reported standardized coefficients are the averaged path for W1-W2 and W2-W3 (see Reference NabiOrth et al., 2021 for details). Results from RI-CLPMs for each outcome variable. For belief accuracy, more accurate beliefs are coded higher.

Table A.8 Predicting Liberal Media Use, Anger at Trump, and Belief Accuracy

Trump China researchTrump Russia tapeTrump strokesTrump mail
b (s.e.)βb (s.e.)βb (s.e.)βb (s.e.)β
Effects on Liberal Media Use
Liberal Media Use (Autoregressive).18(.06)**.18.18(.06)**.18.18(.06)**.18.18(.06)**.18
Anger at Trump (Cross-Lagged)−.06(.08)−.05−.03(.08)−.02−.03(.08)−.02−.07(.08)−.05
Belief Accuracy (Cross-Lagged).01(.05).01.17(.08)*.10.17(.08)*.10.06(.08).04
Effects on Anger at Trump
Anger at Trump (Autoregressive).08(.12).08.16(.11).16.16(.11).16.01(.11).01
Liberal Media Use (Cross-Lagged)−.03(.05)−.03−.01(.05)−.02−.01(.05)−.02−.04(.05)−.05
Belief Accuracy (Cross-Lagged).04(.05).05−.12(.09)−.09.17(.08)−.09.06(.08)−.01
Effects on Belief Accuracy
Belief Accuracy (Autoregressive).18(.05)***.18.20(.07)**.19.20(.07)**.19.19(.07)**.18
Liberal Media Use (Cross-Lagged).04(.04).05.05(.03)#.17.05(.03)#.08.05(.03).08
Anger at Trump (Cross-Lagged).06(.06).05.01(.05).01.01(.05).01−.04(.06)−.04
Between Person Correlation
Liberal Media Use-Anger.67***.68***.68***.67***
Anger-Belief Accuracy−.77***−.77***−.77***−.89***
Liberal Media Use-Belief Accuracy−.54***−.53***−.53***−.66***
Fit Indices
RMSEA.04.05.05.02
CFI1.001.001.001.00
TLI.99.99.991.00
χ2 (df)36.75(12)44.94(12)44.94(12)17.42(12)

Note. *** p < .001, ** p < .01, *p < .05, # p < .10. Reported standardized coefficients are the averaged path for W1-W2 and W2-W3 (see Reference NabiOrth et al., 2021 for details). Results from RI-CLPMs for each outcome variable. For belief accuracy, more accurate beliefs are coded higher.

Acknowledgments

I would like to thank the following individuals and groups for their comments, suggestions, critiques, questions, advice, support, or encouragement on this project. I sincerely appreciate Kim Andersen, Michael Beam, Ceren Budak, Susan Douglas, Jessica Feezell, Richard Fletcher, Kelly Garrett, Ruth and Gary Hasell, Matt Hindman, Lance Holbert, Josh Pasek, Robin Queen, Christian Schemer, Adam Shehata, Nikki Usher, Cristian Vaccari, Ed Weeks, Danna Young, members of the University of Michigan’s Political Communication Working Group, attendees at the 2023 International Journal of Press/Politics conference, and two anonymous reviewers. I am also very thankful to Julia Lippman for research assistance with the project. I would particularly like to thank Ariel Hasell for talking through ideas, reading and editing drafts, and generally improving my work. Finally, many thanks to Stuart Soroka for encouraging me to pursue this Element, which was a fun departure from journal articles. I greatly appreciate Stuart’s patience and flexibility during this entire process, as well as his mentorship and guidance. This work was supported in part by the University of Michigan’s College of Literature, Science, and the Arts Associate Professor Support Fund, as well as the Department of Communication & Media and the Center for Political Studies at UM.

  • Stuart Soroka

  • University of California

  • Stuart Soroka is a Professor in the Department of Communication at the University of California, Los Angeles, and Adjunct Research Professor at the Center for Political Studies at the Institute for Social Research, University of Michigan. His research focuses on political communication, political psychology, and the relationships between public policy, public opinion, and mass media. His books with Cambridge University Press include The Increasing Viability of Good News (2021, with Yanna Krupnikov), Negativity in Democratic Politics (2014), Information and Democracy (forthcoming, with Christopher Wlezien) and Degrees of Democracy (2010, with Christopher Wlezien).

About the series

  • Cambridge Elements in Politics and Communication publishes research focused on the intersection of media, technology, and politics. The series emphasizes forward-looking reviews of the field, path-breaking theoretical and methodological innovations, and the timely application of social-scientific theory and methods to current developments in politics and communication around the world.

Footnotes

1 Misinformation and disinformation are sometimes distinguished in the literature by the intention behind false information, with misinformation considered unintentionally false information and disinformation being intentionally or purposefully false information (Reference JackJack, 2017). Conspiracy theories are attempts to explain social and political events with claims of secret plots by powerful actors (Reference Douglas, Uscinski and SuttonDouglas et al., 2019). While there are subtle nuances in these concepts, for the purposes of this book I primarily use the term “misinformation” to describe all false information and the label “misperceptions” to note false beliefs.

2 Complete details about the survey and sample are found in the Appendix.

3 This approach does not distinguish between active and passive exposure to these sites, as the questionnaire did not ask about whether respondents sought out the source (i.e. selective exposure) or stumbled upon the site incidentally.

4 This finding needs to be taken with a bit of caution and should not be interpreted as Qanon support; the question about Donald Trump secretly fighting a Democratic-led sex trafficking ring does not explicitly tap Qanon endorsement but rather one facet of it. Measuring Qanon support is notoriously difficult and the strongest predictors of Qanon beliefs are conspiratorial worldviews, dark triad beliefs, and support for nonnormative behavior, rather than political ideology (Reference Enders, Uscinski and KlofstadEnders et al., 2022).

5 There is some debate over whether reported beliefs like these represent true beliefs or other processes such as partisan cheerleading (see Reference GrahamGraham, 2023). It could be, for example, that people respond to these survey questions in a way that makes their side look good, particularly if they are angry. For instance, perhaps Republican respondents do not actually believe that Joe Biden supports defunding the police but respond that they do because they are angry at him and it makes Republicans look good. This is possible but there are reasons to believe that these beliefs are genuine for most respondents. First, mean levels of belief changed little over the three waves, suggesting they are somewhat stable. Second, the survey included a ‘don’t know’ response option, which lowers the likelihood that people guess or always respond in a partisan way.

6 Some of the claims do not fit perfectly into ideological patterns. For example, Qanon support is driven more by conspiratorial worldview than ideology or partisanship (Reference Enders, Uscinski and KlofstadEnders et al., 2022). That said, conservative news outlets did in fact cover Qanon during the time period under study. For example, Fox News ran an online story on August 2020 with the headline “Trump praises supporters of Qanon conspiracy theory.” This was one of several stories Fox ran on Qanon. Other conservative sites like Breitbart and Daily Caller ran dozens of stories on Qanon during 2020.

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Figure 0

Figure 1 Hypothesized within- and between-person relationships between partisan media use, political anger, and belief accuracy across three waves.

Figure 1

Figure 2 Number of sources used in Wave 1: All sources.

Figure 2

Figure 3 Number of sources used in Wave 1: Nonpartisan sources.

Figure 3

Figure 4 Percent of sample exposed to nonpartisan news outlets by wave.

Figure 4

Figure 5 Percent of sample exposed to liberal partisan outlets by wave.

Figure 5

Figure 6 Percent of sample exposed to conservative partisan outlets by wave.

Figure 6

Figure 7 Predicting conservative media use in Wave 1Note. X axis indicates unstandardized regression coefficients. Regression models control for several variables not shown in the figure including political interest, political knowledge, distrust of mainstream media, social media use for political information, political expression on social media, age, gender, education, and race. See Table A.1 for all coefficients.

Figure 7

Figure 8 Predicting liberal media use in Wave 1.Note. X axis indicates unstandardized regression coefficients. Regression models control for several variables not shown in the figure including political interest, political knowledge, distrust of mainstream media, social media use for political information, political expression on social media, age, gender, education, and race. See Table A.1 for all coefficients.

Figure 8

Figure 9 Mean anger toward Trump and Biden by Wave, all respondents.

Figure 9

Figure 10 Mean anger toward Trump and Biden by Party ID and Wave.

Figure 10

Figure 11 Anger at Trump and Biden by media source

Figure 11

Figure 12 Predicting anger toward Joe Biden.Note. X axis indicates unstandardized regression coefficients. Regression models control for several variables not shown in the figure including political interest, political knowledge, distrust of mainstream media, social media use for political information, political expression on social media, age, gender, education, and race. See Table A.2 for all coefficients.

Figure 12

Figure 13 Predicting anger toward Donald Trump.Note. X axis indicates unstandardized regression coefficients. Note that higher values for Party ID and Ideology represent stronger Republican and conservative identification, respectively. Regression models control for several variables not shown in the figure including political interest, political knowledge, distrust of mainstream media, social media use for political information, political expression on social media, age, gender, education, and race. See Table A.2 for all coefficients.

Figure 13

Table 1 Claims evaluated

Figure 14

Figure 14 Belief in republican-aligned claims.

Figure 15

Figure 15 Belief in Covid-related claims and Qanon.

Figure 16

Figure 16 Belief in democrat-aligned claims

Figure 17

Figure 17 Stories about false claims by source.Note. The Y-axis indicates total number of reported stories between August 1 and November 3, 2020.

Figure 18

Figure 18 Belief accuracy about Conservative/Republican-aligned claims by partisan media use.Note. Higher values depict more accurate beliefs.

Figure 19

Figure 19 Belief accuracy about Covid-related claims and Qanon by partisan media use.Note. Higher values depict more accurate beliefs.

Figure 20

Figure 20 Belief accuracy about Liberal/Democrat-aligned claims by partisan media use.Note. Higher values depict more accurate beliefs.

Figure 21

Figure 21 (a)Figure 21 (a) Anger, Conservative Media, and Party ID as Predictors of Misperceptions (Biden Supports Defunding the Police).Note. Dots represent unstandardized regression coefficients and lines represent 95% confidence intervals. Regression models control for several variables not shown in the figure including political interest, political knowledge, distrust of mainstream media, social media use for political information, political expression on social media, age, gender, education, and race. See Table A.3 for all coefficients.

Figure 22

Figure 21 (a)Figures 21 (b) Anger, Conservative Media, and Party ID as Predictors of Misperceptions (Election Fraud).Note. Dots represent unstandardized regression coefficients and lines represent 95% confidence intervals. Regression models control for several variables not shown in the figure including political interest, political knowledge, distrust of mainstream media, social media use for political information, political expression on social media, age, gender, education, and race. See Table A.3 for all coefficients.

Figure 23

Figure 22 (a).Figure 22 (a). Anger, Liberal Media, and Party ID as Predictors of Misperceptions (Trump Ordered Slowdown of US Mail).Note. Dots represent unstandardized regression coefficients and lines represent 95% confidence intervals. Regression models control for several variables not shown in the figure including political interest, political knowledge, distrust of mainstream media, social media use for political information, political expression on social media, age, gender, education, and race. See Table A.5 for all coefficients.

Figure 24

Figure 22 (a).Figure 22 (b). Anger, Liberal Media, and Party ID as Predictors of Misperceptions (Trump Suffered Strokes While President).Note. Dots represent unstandardized regression coefficients and lines represent 95% confidence intervals. Regression models control for several variables not shown in the figure including political interest, political knowledge, distrust of mainstream media, social media use for political information, political expression on social media, age, gender, education, and race. See Table A.5 for all coefficients.

Figure 25

Table 2 Between-person correlations for conservative partisan media use, anger, and belief accuracy.

Figure 26

Table 3 Between-person correlations for liberal partisan media use, anger, and belief accuracy.

Figure 27

Figure 23 Path analyses for conservative media use, anger at Biden, and belief accuracy.Note. Paths represent within person effects over time using RI-CLPMs. Paths are based on time invariant coefficients, as equality constraints were placed on the same path for the W1–W2 and W2–W3 relationships. Complete results from the RI-CLPMs from which the Figures are derived are found in Table A.6. Solid lines represent positive effects and dotted lines indicate negative effects.

Figure 28

Figure 24 Path analyses for conservative media use, anger at Biden, and belief accuracy.Note. Paths represent within person effects over time using RI-CLPMs. Paths are based on time invariant coefficients, as equality constraints were placed on the same path for the W1–W2 and W2–W3 relationships. Complete results from the RI-CLPMs from which the Figures are derived are found in Table A.7. Solid lines represent positive effects and dotted lines indicate negative effects.

Figure 29

Figure 25 Path analyses for liberal media use, anger at Trump, and belief accuracy.Note. Paths represent within person effects over time using RI-CLPMs. Paths are based on time invariant coefficients, as equality constraints were placed on the same path for the W1–W2 and W2–W3 relationships. Complete results from the RI-CLPMs from which the Figures are derived are found in Table A.8. Solid lines represent positive effects and dotted lines indicate negative effects.

Figure 30

Figure A.1 Random Intercept Cross-Lagged Panel Model (RI-CLPM) representing relationship between partisan media use, political anger, and belief accuracy across three waves.

Figure 31

Figure A.2a Anger, Conservative Media, and Party ID as Predictors of Misperceptions (Biden Ukraine Scandal).

Figure 32

Figure A.2b Anger, Conservative Media, and Party ID as Predictors of Misperceptions (Biden Sexual Assault).

Figure 33

Figure A.2c Anger, Conservative Media, and Party ID as Predictors of Misperceptions (Qanon).

Figure 34

Figure A.3a Anger, Conservative Media, and Party ID as Predictors of Misperceptions (Covid Was Planned).

Figure 35

Figure A.3b Anger, Conservative Media, and Party ID as Predictors of Misperceptions (Vaccines are Safe).

Figure 36

Figure A.3c Anger, Conservative Media, and Party ID as Predictors of Misperceptions (Facemask Efficacy).

Figure 37

Figure A.4a Anger, Liberal Media, and Party ID as Predictors of Misperceptions (Trump Russia Tape).

Figure 38

Figure A.4b Anger, Liberal Media, and Party ID as Predictors of Misperceptions (Trump Sent COVID Investigators to China).

Figure 39

Table A.1 Predicting News Site Use in Wave 1

Figure 40

Table A.2 Predicting Political Anger in Wave 1

Figure 41

Table A.3 Predicting Political Misperceptions

Figure 42

Table A.4 Predicting Political Misperceptions

Figure 43

Table A.5 Predicting Political Misperceptions

Figure 44

Table A.6 Predicting Conservative Partisan Media Use, Anger at Biden, and Belief Accuracy

Figure 45

Table A.7 Predicting Conservative Media Use, Anger at Biden, and Belief Accuracy

Figure 46

Table A.8 Predicting Liberal Media Use, Anger at Trump, and Belief Accuracy

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