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Prospects for Future Superpower Intervention in Africa

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  13 August 2021

Ladun Anise
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Extract

Conjecture on any aspect of future events in Africa is hazardous; applied to politics, it may be altogether unsafe. Yet one cannot avoid looking into the future in some way. In essence our guesswork consists of extrapolations based upon trend analysis. A number of present events and forces display characteristics that suggest persistence. The convergence of the forces and their persistence offer reasonable basis for projections into the future.

Judging by the nature of past superpower involvements in Africa, it is easy to make a case for future interventions by both superpowers and intermediate (European) powers in Africa beyond the year 2000.

Type
Research Article
Information
African Issues , Volume 8 , Issue 4 , Winter 1978 , pp. 35 - 39
Copyright
Copyright © African Studies Association 1978 

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References

Notes

1. Davidson, Basil, “A New Political Order in Africa,” Africa Guide, 1977, Saffron Walden, Essex: Africa Guide Co., 1976 Google Scholar.

2. Building capitalism in LDCs “meant building elites; and building elites meant building intra-ethnic [inter-ethnic] rivalries among elites; so that this model of nationalism invariably prompted its natural heir, micro-nationalism or ‘tribalism’.”

3. Africa Guide, 1977, p. 84.

4. Farer, Tom J., War Clouds on the Horn of Africa. New York: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 1976, Chapters 1-6, pp. 1–103 Google Scholar.

5. Africa Guide, 1977, p. 2 of insert between pp. 242-3.

6. Vali, Ferenc A., Politics of the Indian Ocean Region. New York: The Free Press, 1976, p. xiv Google Scholar.

7. M. Abir, “The Contentious Horn of Africa,” Conflict Studies 23 (June 1972).

8. Bell, J. B., The Horn of Africa: Strategic Magnet in the Seventies. New York: Crane Russak and Co., 1973 Google Scholar.

9. J. B. Bell, “Bab El Mandeb, Strategic Troublespot.” Orbis 16 (Winter 1973).

10. T. A. Marks, “Djibouti: France’s Toehold in Africa,” African Affairs 73 (January 1974).

11. See Vali, ibid.; J. Meister, “Diego Garcia: Outpost in the Indian Ocean,” Swiss Review of World Affairs, April 1974; Cottrell and Burrell, “Soviet-US Naval Competition in the Indian Ocean,” Orbis 18 (Winter 1974); Jukes, G., The Indian Ocean in Soviet Naval Policy, Adelphi Papers 87, London: The International Institute for Strategic Studies, 1972 Google Scholar; Millar, T. B., The Indian and Pacific Oceans: Some Strategic Considerations, Adelphi Papers 57, London: The International Institute for Strategic Studies, 1972 Google Scholar; and W. Unna, “Diego Garcia,” New Republic, March 9, 1974.

12. Farer, pp. 136-53.

13. Vali, pp. 39-40.

14. Mackler, Ian, Patterns for Profit in Southern Africa. New York: Atheneum, 1975 Google Scholar.

15. Vali, p. 40.

16. Houser, G. M., United States Policy and Southern Africa. New York: The Africa Fund, 1974, p. 3 Google Scholar.

17. El-Khawas, M. and Cohen, B. (eds.), The Kissinger Study of Southern Africa, Westport, Conn.: Lawrence Hill and Co., 1976, pp. 34-5Google Scholar.