Hostname: page-component-77c89778f8-gvh9x Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-07-21T11:55:41.017Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Polarity and International Stability

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 September 2013

Manus I. Midlarsky
Affiliation:
Rutgers University
Ted Hopf
Affiliation:
University of Michigan

Abstract

In his article in the June 1991 issue of this Review, Ted Hopf challenged the argument that bipolar systems are inherently more stable than multipolar configurations of power. He reported that the international situation in sixteenth century Europe became only marginally more stable with a shift from a multipolar to a bipolar system. He argued for attention to the offensive-defensive balance, rather than systemic polarity. Manus Midlarsky accounts for Hopf's findings, and for evidence of multipolarity and increased conflict in the early seventeenth and twentieth centuries, by proposing a relationship between polarity and war that is contingent on scarcity of desired international resources. Midlarsky argues for more attention to contingent relationships generally and draws implications for current and future probabilities of conflict in a multipolar world. Hopf responds by pointing out the need for further development of Midlarsky's analysis, the possible compatibility between Midlarsky's formulation and his own focus on the offensive-defensive balance, and the desirability of a productive unity of the two research programs.

Type
Controversy
Copyright
Copyright © American Political Science Association 1993

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Braudel, Fernand. 19721973. The Mediterranean and the Mediterranean World in the Age of Philip II. 2 vols. New York: Harper & Row.Google Scholar
Briggs, Asa. 1983. A Social History of England. London: Weidenfeld & Nicolson.Google Scholar
Ehrlich, Paul R. 1981a. “Environmental Disruption: Implications for the Social Sciences.” Social Science Quarterly 62:722.Google Scholar
Ehrlich, Paul R. 1981b. “An Economist in Wonderland”. Social Science Quarterly 62:4449.Google Scholar
Ehrlich, Paul R., Ehrlich, Anne H., and Holdren, John P.. 1977. Ecoscience: Population, Resources, Environment. 2d ed. San Francisco: Freeman.Google Scholar
Goldstein, Joshua S. 1988. Long Cycles: Prosperity and War in the Modern Age. New Haven: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Hale, John R. 1985. War and Society in Renaissance Europe: 1450–1620. New York: St. Martin's.Google Scholar
Hardin, Garrett, and Simon, Julian. 1982. “Is the Era of Limits Running Out?Public Opinion 5:4854.Google Scholar
Hopf, Ted. 1991. “Polarity, the Offense–Defense Balance, and War.” American Political Science Review 85:475–93.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Huppert, George. 1986. After the Black Death: A Social History of Early Modern Europe. Bloomington: Indiana University Press.Google Scholar
Kennan, George F. 1979. The Decline of Bismarck's European Order: Franco–Russian Relations, 1875–1890. Princeton: Princeton University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kennan, George F. 1984. The Fateful Alliance: France, Russia, and the Coming of the First World War. New York: Pantheon.Google Scholar
Lane, Frederic C. 1973. Venice: A Maritime Republic. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Langer, Herbert. 1980. Thirty Years' War. Trans. Salt, C. S. V.. New York: Hippocrene.Google Scholar
Midlarsky, Manus I. 1982. “Scarcity and Inequality: Prologue to the Onset of Mass Revolution.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 26:338.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Midlarsky, Manus I. 1988. The Onset of World War. Boston: Unwin Hyman.Google Scholar
Midlarsky, Manus I. 1989. “Hierarchical Equilibria and the Long-Run Instability of Multipolar Systems.” In Handbook of War Studies, ed. Midlarsky, Manus I.. Boston: Unwin Hyman.Google Scholar
Midlarsky, Manus I. N.d. The Evolution of Inequality: War, the State and Democracy in Comparative Perspective. Stanford: Stanford University Press. Forthcoming.Google Scholar
Pagès, Georges. 1970. The Thirty Years' War, 1618–1648. Trans. Maland, David and Hooper, John. New York: Harper.Google Scholar
Parker, Geoffrey. 1984. The Thirty Years' War. London: Routledge & Kegan Paul.Google Scholar
Polisensky, Josef V. 1971. The Thirty Years War. Trans. Evans, Robert. Berkeley: University of California Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Polisensky, Josef V. 1978. War and Society in Europe: 1618–1648. London: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rabb, Theodore K., ed. 1972. The Thirty Years' War. 2d ed. Lexington, MA: Heath.Google Scholar
Rabb, Theodore K. 1975. The Struggle for Stability in Early Modern Europe. New York: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Saperstein, Alvin M. 1991. “The ‘Long Peace’—Result of a Bipolar Competitive World?Journal of Conflict Resolution 35:6879.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Simon, Julian L. 1980. “Resources, Population, Environment: An Oversupply of False Bad News.” Science 208:1431–37.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Simon, Julian L. 1981. “Environmental Disruption or Environmental Improvement?Social Science Quarterly 62:3043.Google Scholar
Simon, Julian L. 1990. Population Matters: People, Resources, Environment, and Immigration. New Brunswick: Transaction.Google Scholar
Singer, Steve et al. , 1980. “Bad News: Is It True?Science 210:12961308.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Skocpol, Theda. 1979. States and Social Revolutions. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Slack, Paul. 1985. “A Divided Society.” In The Cambridge Historical Encyclopedia of Great Britain and Ireland, ed. Haigh, Christopher. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Steinberg, Sigfrid H. 1966. The “Thirty Years War” and the Conflict for European Hegemony, 1600–1660. London: Edward Arnold.Google Scholar
Thomson, David. 1966. Europe since Napoleon. 2d ed. NewYork: Knopf.Google Scholar
Tierney, John. 1990. “Betting the Planet.” New York Times Magazine, 2 December, pp. 5282.Google Scholar
Waltz, Kenneth N. 1979. Theory of International Politics. Reading, MA: Addison–Wesley.Google Scholar
Wedgewood, Cicely V. 1938. The Thirty Years' War. London: Jonathan Cape.Google Scholar
Wedgewood, Cicely V. 1972. “The Futile and Meaningless War.” In The Thirty Years' War, ed. Raab, Theodore K.. 2d ed. Lexington, MA: Heath.Google Scholar
Wrightson, Keith. 1982. English Society: 1580–1680. New Brunswick: Rutgers University Press.Google Scholar
Submit a response

Comments

No Comments have been published for this article.