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Triggering Ideological Thinking: How Elections Foster Coherence of Welfare State Attitudes

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  15 February 2021

TOBIAS HEIDE-JØRGENSEN Open the ORCID record for TOBIAS HEIDE-JØRGENSEN [Opens in a new window]
TOBIAS HEIDE-JØRGENSEN*
Affiliation:
University of Copenhagen
*
Tobias Heide-Jørgensen, PhD Fellow, Department of Political Science, University of Copenhagen, tohj@ifs.ku.dk.
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Abstract

Since Converse (1964) first proposed his “nonattitudes hypothesis,” numerous studies have confirmed that the public at large lacks ideologically consistent political attitudes. I put forth an event-based theory of attitude crystallization that explains how elections can strengthen attitude consistency and apply it to an issue domain integral to the left-right (liberal-conservative) cleavage: welfare politics. Specifically, I theorize that elections that give ideological opponents a majority will mobilize ideological predispositions, leading to more coherent welfare attitudes. I test the argument by relying on 11 Danish surveys linked to official records on local elections over four decades and using a regression discontinuity design. Evidence strongly supports the notion that elections increase attitude consistency if the majority produced goes against the individual’s ideological preferences. The findings stress the dynamic nature of attitude structure and the important role regular political events play in that regard.

Type
Research Article
Information
American Political Science Review , Volume 115 , Issue 2 , May 2021 , pp. 506 - 521
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2021. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of the American Political Science Association

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