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The recent Development of Risk Theory and its Applications

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  29 August 2014

J. Kupper*
Affiliation:
Zürich
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Extract

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The response to the invitation for the 5th Colloquium has been, especially for subject 1, very gratifying; a large number of meritorious papers have been sent in. Fortunately, it took not much time in this case to find a good guide for all this work. R. E. Beard presents in his article “Some Actuarial Aspects of Non-Life Insurance Company Management”) a broad cross-section of the many problems that confront the non-life insurer. It was therefore regarded as not quite unwise to follow his steps and to discuss the other papers at suitable points.

In the first half of his work R. E. Beard deals with a practical example from motor insurance, which is fully calculated with the help of numerical data. The question relates to the estimation of the value of outstanding claims, a quantity which is of decisive importance for the evaluation of the results of a portfolio. Apart from chance fluctuations which might affect the statistics from year to year, there are three major factors that render the task of estimation difficult:

(a) the natural growth of the portfolio

(b) the fact that bigger claims require longer time for settlement than the smaller ones

(c) the change in the value of money with time.

Type
Astin Colloquium 1965 Lucerne Subject one
Copyright
Copyright © International Actuarial Association 1967

References

page 106 note 1) This article has been enclosed in Vol. IV Part I.

page 112 note 1) Published in Astin Bulletin Vol. IV part I.

page 116 note 1) Published in ASTIN Bulletin Vol. IV part I.

page 117 note 1) Published in ASTIN Bulletin Vol. IV Part I.