Hostname: page-component-848d4c4894-4rdrl Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-07-06T23:42:26.305Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Loss Reserves in the London Market

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  10 June 2011

G.P.M. Maher
Affiliation:
Tillinghast -Towers Perrin, Castlewood House, 77-91 New Oxford Street, London, WC1A 1PX, U.K. Tel: +44 (0)20 7872 0525; Fax: +44 (0)20 7379 7478; E-mail: maherg@tillinghast.com

Abstract

This paper addresses the process of estimating loss reserves for a company or syndicate writing in the London Market. Particular emphasis is placed on insurers maximising the value of the process, and ensuring that the process is not simply a series of mathematical calculations. The use of sophisticated mathematical techniques should not distract from the importance of understanding the business and ensuring that data are correct. Sophisticated mathematical techniques can give rise to misleading impressions of confidence and accuracy to estimates, which are often subject to considerable uncertainty. The principles (rather than the detailed techniques) are illustrated by a case study based on a hypothetical London Market writer. Many of these principles are relevant to other markets.

Type
Sessional meetings: papers and abstracts of discussions
Copyright
Copyright © Institute and Faculty of Actuaries 1995

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

Abbott, W.M., Clarke, T.G. & Treen, W.R. (1981). Some financial aspects of a general insurance company. J.I.A. 108, 119209.Google Scholar
Benjamin, S. & Eagles, L.M. (1986). Reserves in Lloyd's and the London Market. J.I.A. 113, 197238.Google Scholar
Bornhuetter, R.L. & Ferguson, R.E. (1972). The actuary and IBNR. Proceedings of the Casualty Actuarial Society, 49, 181195.Google Scholar
Carter, R.L. & Falush, P. (1994). The London insurance market: issues and responses.Google Scholar
Cross, S.L. & Doucette, J.P. (1994). Measurement of asbestos bodily injury liabilities. Casualty Actuarial Society, 1994 CLRS Call Paper Program, 162–258.Google Scholar
Craighead, D.H. (1994). Reserving for catastrophe reinsurance. J.I.A. 121, 135160.Google Scholar
Craighead, D.H. (1986). Techniques of reserving - the London Market. J.I.A. 113, 411457.Google Scholar
Czapiewski, C.J.W., Archer-LOCK, P., Clark, P., Cresswell, C., Hindley, D. & Shepley, S. (1993). Reserving for outwards reinsurance. General Insurance Study Group, 2, 439485.Google Scholar
Daykin, C.D. & Hewitson, T.W. (1985). How useful is the chain ladder method for testing reserve adequacy? GIRO. 39, 7.Google Scholar
Daykin, C.D. & Hey, G.B. (1990). Managing uncertainty in a general insurance company. J.I.A. 117, 173259.Google Scholar
Johnson, W. (1989). Determination of outstanding liabilities for unallocated loss adjustment expenses. Proceedings of the Casualty Actuarial Society, 76, 111125.Google Scholar
London Market Actuaries Group (1989). Monograph.Google Scholar
Maher, G.P.M., Ryan, J.P. & Samson, P. (1991). Actuarial aspects of claims reserving in the London Market. C. Actuarial Society Papers 1991, ‘International topics: global insurance pricing, reserving and coverage issues’. 387443.Google Scholar
Mohrman, D.F. & Agin, G.A. (1989). Don't blame claims. Emphasis 1989/4, 1013.Google Scholar
Renshaw, A.E. (1989). Chain ladder and interactive modelling (claims reserving and GLIM). J.I.A. 116, 559587.Google Scholar
Ruohonen, M. (1988). The claims occurrence process and the IBNR problem. Transactions of the 23rd International Congress of Actuaries, 113123.Google Scholar
Russo, J.E. & Schoemaker, P.J.H. (1992). Managing overconfidence. Sloan Management Review. Winter 1992, 717.Google Scholar
Verrall, R.J. (1991). Chain ladder and maximum likelihood. J.I.A. 118, 489499.Google Scholar
Wiser, R.F. (1989). Loss reserving. Foundations of Casualty Actuarial Science, 143230. Casualty Actuarial Society.Google Scholar
Wright, T.S. (1990). A stochastic method for claims reserving in general insurance. J.I.A. 117, 677731.Google Scholar