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Parties and Interests in the ‘Marriage of Iron and Rye’

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  04 April 2001

Abstract

This article analyses Imperial Germany's legendary coalition of landed aristocracy and heavy industry around a policy of tariff protection. Using a simple model of voting behaviour, where party affiliation serves as a partial intervening variable between constituency interests and legislative votes on trade policy, I test hypotheses derived from three different interpretations of the ‘marriage of iron and rye’. Roll-call votes from four key divisions in the Reichstag are analysed in a number of forms, ranging from cross-tabulations to conditional logistic regression. Ronald Rogowski's ‘factor endowment’ model offers an important dynamic perspective that is lacking in the others, but his model must be reconciled with anomalies that arise in the short run. Rather than attempting to disentangle political party ideology from constituents' interests, more insight may be gained from understanding why the effects of the two causal factors were not fixed, and how they varied over time.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 1998

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Footnotes

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Comments on a previous version of this article from Andrew Bailey, Jim Cassing, Jeffrey Frieden, Carsten Hefeker, Arye Hillman, Stephanie Hoopes, Adam Klug, Rainer Klump, Achim Körber, David Lake, Timothy McKeown, Robert Pahre, Ronald Rogowski, and audiences at the Silvaplana Workshop on Political Economy, University of Würzburg, Nuffield College, Oxford, and University of Pittsburgh, are very much appreciated. In addition. Michael Alvarez, Lars-Erik Cederman, John Conybeare, Jim Harrigan, Steve Husted, Colin Mills and Danny Quah provided advice on the methodology. Jojo Iwasaki, Gita Subrahmanyam and the late Dorothea Smith provided me with valuable research assistance.