Hostname: page-component-5c6d5d7d68-wp2c8 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-08-16T07:25:19.790Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Religious Affinities and International Intervention in Ethnic Conflicts in the Middle East and Beyond

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  07 April 2009

Jonathan Fox*
Affiliation:
Bar Ilan University
Patrick James*
Affiliation:
University of Southern California
Yitan Li*
Affiliation:
Seattle University
*
Jonathan Fox, Department of Political Studies, Bar Ilan University, Ramat Gan, Israel, foxjon@mail.biu.ac.il.
Patrick James, School of International Relations, University of Southern California, 3518 Trousdale Parkway, Los Angeles, CA, 90089, USA, patrickj@usc.edu.
Yitan Li, Political Science Department, Seattle University, 901 12thAve., Seattle, WA 98122, USA, liy@seattleu.edu.

Abstract

Abstract. This study asks questions that are important for both theory and policy: Do ethnoreligious minorities attract more intervention than other ethnic minorities? Do Middle Eastern and Islamic ethnic minorities attract more international intervention than ethnic minorities living elsewhere, and if so, why? The Minorities at Risk database, which contains information on intervention in all ethnic conflicts between 1990 and 1995, is used to answer these questions. The findings show that Middle Eastern and Islamic minorities do, in fact, attract more international intervention than other minorities. This is due to a larger pattern where states, especially Islamic ones, rarely intervene on behalf of ethnic minorities with which they share no religious affinities. The results also show that ethnoreligious minorities are more likely to attract political intervention than other ethnic minorities. These results confirm the importance of religious affinities in spite of a general disposition in the field of international relations to minimize their effects.

Résumé. Cette étude répond à des questions d'importance théorique et pratique. Est-ce que les minorités ethnoreligieuses attirent plus d'interventions internationales que les autres types de minorités? Est-ce que les minorités ethniques islamiques et du Moyen-Orient attirent plus d'interventions internationales que les minorités ethniques d'ailleurs et si oui, pour quelle raison? La banque de données du programme Minorities at Risk, qui répertorie les interventions dans tous les conflits ethniques survenus entre 1990 et 1995, est outillée pour répondre à ces questions. Les résultats de recherche démontrent que les minorités ethniques islamiques et du Moyen-Orient attirent, en effet, plus d'interventions internationales que les autres minorités. Cela s'explique par le fait que les États, et plus particulièrement les États islamiques, interviennent rarement en faveur des minorités avec lesquelles ils ne partagent aucune affinité religieuse. Les résultats démontrent également que les minorités ethnoreligieuses ont tendance à attirer plus d'interventions étrangères à caractère politique que les autres types de minorités. Les conclusions de recherche confirment donc l'importance que revêt l'affinité religieuse pour les interventions internationales dans les conflits ethniques, à l'encontre de l'opinion générale des experts en relations internationales, qui tendent à minimiser son rôle.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Canadian Political Science Association 2009

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Achen, Christopher H. 2002. “Toward a New Political Methodology: Microfoundations and ART.” Annual Review of Political Science 5: 423–50.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Achen, Christopher H. 2005. “Let's Put Garbage-Can Regressions and Garbage-Can Probits Where They Belong.” Conflict Management and Peace Science 22: 327–39.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Appleby, R. Scott. 2000. The Ambivalence of the Sacred: Religion, Violence, and Reconciliation. New York: Rowman and Littlefield.Google Scholar
Ayres, R. W. and Saideman, Stephen. 2000. “Is Separatism as Contagious as the Common Cold or as Cancer? Testing International and Domestic Explanations.” Nationalism and Ethnic Politics 6: 91114.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Balch-Lindsay, Dylan and Enterline, Andrew J.. 2000. “Killing Time: The World Politics of Civil War Duration, 1820–1992.” International Studies Quarterly 44: 614–42.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Balch-Lindsay, Dylan, Enterline, Andrew J. and Joyce, Kyle A.. 2008. “Third Party Intervention and the Civil War Process.” Journal of Peace Research 45: 345–63.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Belanger, Louis, Duchesne, Erick and Paquin, Jonathan. 2005. “Foreign Interventions and Secessionist Movements: The Democratic Factor.” Canadian Journal of Political Science 38: 435–62.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Belanger, Louis, Duchesne, Erick and Paquin, Jonathan. 2007. “Democratic Norms Remain Stronger than Ethnic Ties: Defending ‘Foreign Interventions and Secessionist Movements.’Canadian Journal of Political Science 40: 739–57.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Brecher, Michael and James, Patrick. 1988. “Patterns of Crisis Management in the Middle East.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 32: 426–56.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce and Lalman, David. 1992. War and Reason. New Haven CT: Yale University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Carment, David and James, Patrick. 1996. “Two-Level Games and Third-Party Intervention: Evidence from Ethnic Conflict in the Balkans and South Asia.” Canadian Journal of Political Science 29: 521–54.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Carment, David and James, Patrick. 1998. “Escalation of Ethnic Conflict.” International Politics 35: 6582.Google Scholar
Carment, David and James, Patrick. 2000. “Explaining Third-Party Intervention in Ethnic Conflict: Theory and Evidence.” Nations and Nationalism 6: 173202.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Carment, David and Rowlands, Dane. 1998. “Three's Company: Evaluating Third-Party Intervention in Intrastate Conflict.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 42: 572–99.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cooper, Robert and Berdal, Mats. 1993. “Outside Intervention in Ethnic Conflicts.” Survival 35: 118–42.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
David, Steven R. 1997. “Internal War: Causes and Cures.” World Politics 49: 552–76.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Davis, David R., Jaggers, Keith and Moore, Will H.. 1997. “Ethnicity, Minorities, and International Conflict.” In Wars in the Midst of Peace, ed. Carment, David and James, Patrick. Pittsburgh: University of Pittsburgh Press.Google Scholar
Davis, David R. and Moore, Will H.. 1997. “Ethnicity Matters: Transnational Ethnic Alliances and Foreign Policy Behavior.” International Studies Quarterly 41: 171–84.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Diehl, Paul F., Reifschneider, Jennifer and Hensel, Paul R.. 1996. “United Nations Intervention and Recurring Conflict.” International Organization 50: 683700.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Drake, C.J.M. 1998. “The Role of Ideology in Terrorists' Target Selection.” Terrorism and Political Violence 10: 5588.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Elman, Colin and Elman, Miriam, ed. 2001. Bridges and Boundaries: Historians, Political Scientists, and the Study of International Relations. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Esmer, Yilmaz. 2002. “Is There an Islamic Civilization?Comparative Sociology 1: 265298.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Esposito, John L. 1998. “Religion and Global Affairs: Political Challenges.” SAIS Review (Summer-Fall): 1924.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Esposito, John L. and Voll, John O.. 2000. “Islam and the West: Muslim Voices of Dialogue.” Millennium 29(3): 613–39.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fearon, James D. and Laitin, David D.. 1997. “A Cross-Sectional Study of Large-Scale Ethnic Violence in the Postwar Period.” Unpublished paper, Department of Political Science. University of Chicago.Google Scholar
Fein, Helen. 1990. “Genocide: A Sociological Perspective.” Current Sociology 38: 1126.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fenton, Steve. 1999. Ethnicity: Racism, Class, and Culture. London: McMillan.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ferguson, Yale H. and Mansbach, Richard W.. 1999. “Global Politics at the Turn of the Millennium: Changing Bases of ‘Us,’ and ‘Them.’International Studies Review 1: 77107.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fisch, M. Steven. 2002. “Islam and Authoritarianism.” World Politics 55: 437.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fox, Jonathan. 2004. Religion Civilization and Civil War: 1945 Through the New Millennium. Lanham, MD: Lexington Books.Google Scholar
Fox, Jonathan. 2006. “World Separation of Religion and State into the 21st Century.” Comparative Political Studies 39: 552–54.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fox, Jonathan. 2007a. “The Increasing Role of Religion in State Failure: 1960–2004.” Terrorism and Political Violence 19: 395414.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fox, Jonathan. 2007b. “Do Democracies Have Separation of Religion and State?Canadian Journal of Political Science 40: 125.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fox, Jonathan. 2008. A World Survey of Religion and the State. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Geertz, Clifford. 1973. The Interpretation of Culture. New York: Basic Books.Google Scholar
Greenwalt, Kent. 1988. Religious Convictions and Political Choice. Oxford: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Gurr, Ted R. 1993. Minorities at Risk: A Global View of Ethnopolitical Conflict. Washington, DC: US Institute of Peace Press.Google Scholar
Gurr, Ted R. 2000. Peoples versus States: Minorities at Risk in the New Century. Washington, DC: United States Institute of Peace.Google Scholar
Hayes, Bernadette C. 1995. “The Impact of Religious Identification on Political Attitudes: An International Comparison.” Sociology of Religion 56: 177–95.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Haynes, Jeff. 1994. Religion in Third World Politics. Boulder: Lynne Rienner Publishers.Google Scholar
Henderson, Errol A. 1997. “Culture or Contiguity: Ethnic Conflict, the Similarity of States, and the Onset of War, 1820–1989.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 41: 649–68.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Heraclides, Alexis. 1990. “Secessionist Minorities and External Involvement.” International Organization 44: 341–79.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hoffman, Bruce. 1995. “‘Holy Terror’: The Implications of Terrorism Motivated by a Religious Imperative.” Studies in Conflict and Terrorism 18: 271–84.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Holzgrefe, J. L. and Keohane, Robert O., ed. 2003. Humanitarian Intervention: Ethical, Legal and Political Dilemmas. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Huntington, Samuel P. 2000. “Try Again: A Reply to Russett, Oneal and Cox.” Journal of Peace Research 37: 609–10.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jaggers, Keith and Gurr, Ted R.. 1995. “Tracking Democracy's Third Wave with the Polity III Data.” Journal of Peace Research 32: 469–82.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jelen, Ted G. and Wilcox, Clyde. 1990. “Denominational Preference and the Dimensions of Political Tolerance.” Sociological Analysis 51: 6980.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Juergensmeyer, Mark. 1993. The New Cold War? Berkeley: University of California.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Juergensmeyer, Mark. 1997. “Terror Mandated by God.” Terrorism and Political Violence 9: 1624.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Khosla, Deepa. 1999. “Third World States as Intervenors in Ethnic Conflicts: Implications for Regional and International Security.” Third World Quarterly 20: 1143–56.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Krain, Matthew. 2005. “International Intervention and the Severity of Genocides and Politicides.” International Studies Quarterly 49: 363–87.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lewis, Bernard. 1993. Islam and the West. Oxford: Oxford University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lewy, Gunther. 1974. Religion and Revolution. New York: Oxford.Google Scholar
Little, David. 1991. Ukraine: The Legacy of Intolerance. Washington DC: United States Institute of Peace Press.Google Scholar
Little, David. 1996a. “Religious Militancy.” In Managing Global Chaos: Sources of and Responses to International Conflict, ed. Crocker, Chester A. and Hampson, Fen O.. Washington DC: United States Institute of Peace Press.Google Scholar
Little, David. 1996b. “Studying ‘Religious Human Rights’: Methodological Foundations.” In Religious Human Rights in Global Perspective: Legal Perspectives, ed. van der Vyver, John D. and Witte, John Jr.Boston: Martinus Njhoff.Google Scholar
Marshall, Monty G. 1999. Third World War: System, Process, and Conflict Dynamics. New York: Rowman & Littlefield.Google Scholar
Midlarsky, Manus I. 1998. “Democracy and Islam: Implications for Civilizational Conflict and the Democratic Peace.” International Studies Quarterly 42: 458511.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mullenbach, Mark J. 2005. “Deciding to Keep the Peace: An Analysis of International Influences on the Establishment of Third-Party Peacekeeping Missions.” International Studies Quarterly 49: 529–55.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Norris, Pippa and Inglehart, Ronald. 2004. Sacred and Secular: Religion and Politics Worldwide. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ranstorp, Magnus. 1996. “Terrorism in the Name of Religion.” Journal of International Affairs 50: 4163.Google Scholar
Rapoport, David C. 1984. “Fear and Trembling: Terrorism in Three Religious Traditions.” American Political Science Review 78: 658–77.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rapoport, David C. 1990. “Sacred Terror: A Contemporary Example from Islam.” In Origins of Terrorism: Psychologies, Ideologies, Theologies, States of Mind, ed. Reich, Walter. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge.Google Scholar
Rapoport, David. 1991. “Some General Observations on Religion and Violence.” Terrorism and Political Violence 3: 118.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Regan, Patrick M. 1996. “Conditions of Successful Third-Party Intervention in Intrastate Conflicts.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 40: 336–59.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Regan, Patrick M. 1998. “Choosing to Intervene: Outside Interventions in Internal Conflicts.” Journal of Politics 60: 754–79.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rummel, Rudolph J. 1997. “Is Collective Violence Correlated with Social Pluralism?Journal of Peace Research 34(2): 163–75.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Saideman, Stephen M. 1997. “Explaining the International Relations of Secessionist Conflicts: Vulnerability versus Ethnic Ties.” International Organization 51: 721–54.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Saideman, Stephen M. 2001. The Ties That Divide: Ethnic Politics, Foreign Policy, and International Conflict. New York: Columbia University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Saideman, Stephen M. 2007. “Ties versus Institutions: Revisiting Foreign Interventions and Secessionist Movements.” Canadian Journal of Political Science 40: 733–44.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Seul, Jefferey R. 1999. “‘Ours is the Way of God’: Religion, Identity and Intergroup Conflict.” Journal of Peace Research 36: 553–69.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Smith, Anthony D. 1999. “Ethnic Election and National Destiny: Some Religious Origins of Nationalist Ideals.” Nations and Nationalism 5: 331–55.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Taylor, Maxwell. 1991. The Fanatics. London: Brassey's.Google Scholar
Wald, Kenneth D. 1987. Religion and Politics in the United States. New York: St. Martins.Google Scholar
Wentz, Richard. 1987. Why People Do Bad Things in the Name of Religion. Macon GA: Mercer.Google Scholar
Wilson, Bryan R. 1982. Religion in Sociological Perspective. Oxford: Oxford University Press.Google Scholar
Zitrin, Steve. 1998. “Milleniarianism and Violence.” Journal of Conflict Studies, 12 (Fall): 110–11.Google Scholar