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Floods Increase the Risks of Hand-Foot-Mouth Disease in Qingdao, China, 2009-2013: A Quantitative Analysis

Part of: Floods collection

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  08 May 2018

Xiaowen Hu ,
Fachun Jiang  and
Wei Ni
Xiaowen Hu
Affiliation:
Department of Acute Infectious Diseases, Municipal Centre of Disease Control and Prevention of Qingdao, Qingdao Institute of Prevention Medicine, Qingdao City, Shandong Province, P. R. China
Fachun Jiang*
Affiliation:
Department of Acute Infectious Diseases, Municipal Centre of Disease Control and Prevention of Qingdao, Qingdao Institute of Prevention Medicine, Qingdao City, Shandong Province, P. R. China
Wei Ni*
Affiliation:
Women and Children’s Hospital, Qingdao University, Qingdao City, Shandong Province, P. R. China
*
Correspondence and reprint requests to Dr Fachun Jiang, Department of Acute Infectious Diseases, Municipal Centre of Disease Control and Prevention of Qingdao, Qingdao Institute of Prevention Medicine, No.175 Shandong Road, 266033, Qingdao City, Shandong Province, P. R. China (e-mail: 470421859@qq.com) and Wei Ni, MM, Women and Children’s Hospital, Qingdao University, No.6 Tongfu Road, 266000, Qingdao City, Shandong Province, P. R. China (e-mail: 115438779@qq.com).
Correspondence and reprint requests to Dr Fachun Jiang, Department of Acute Infectious Diseases, Municipal Centre of Disease Control and Prevention of Qingdao, Qingdao Institute of Prevention Medicine, No.175 Shandong Road, 266033, Qingdao City, Shandong Province, P. R. China (e-mail: 470421859@qq.com) and Wei Ni, MM, Women and Children’s Hospital, Qingdao University, No.6 Tongfu Road, 266000, Qingdao City, Shandong Province, P. R. China (e-mail: 115438779@qq.com).
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Abstract

Background

We aimed to quantify the impact of few times floods on hand-foot-mouth disease (HFMD) in Qingdao during 2009-2013.

Methods

The Spearman correlation test was applied to examine the lagged effects of floods on monthly morbidity of HFMD during study period in Qingdao. We further quantified the effects of 5 flood events on the morbidity of HFMD using the time-series Poisson regression controlling for climatic factors, seasonality, and lagged effects among different populations.

Results

A total of 55,920 cases of HFMD were reported in the study region over the study period. The relative risks of floods on the morbidity of HFMD among the total population, males, females, under 1-2 years old, and 3-5 years old were 1.178, 1.165, 1.198, 1.338, and 1.245, respectively.

Conclusions

This study has, for the first time, provided the positive evidence of the impact of floods on HFMD. It demonstrates that floods can significantly increase the risk of HFMD during study period. Additionally, among the different populations, the risks were higher among children under 1-5 years old. (Disaster Med Public Health Preparedness. 2018;12:723-729)

Keywords

environmenthealth impact assessmentpublic health
Type
Original Research
Information
Disaster Medicine and Public Health Preparedness , Volume 12 , Issue 6 , December 2018 , pp. 723 - 729
Copyright
Copyright © Society for Disaster Medicine and Public Health, Inc. 2018 

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