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Issue-area and foreign policy revisited

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  22 May 2009

Matthew Evangelista
Affiliation:
For criticisms and suggestions, I am grateful to Stephen Krasner, to three anonymous reviewers, and to the participants in the session entitled State, Society, and Security Policy at the 1987 meeting of the American Political Science Association, where an early version of this article was presented.
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Extract

In the study of comparative foreign policy, two schools of thought disagree over what accounts for variations in processes and outcomes of foreign policies within and between states. One holds that differences in the characteristics of the countries in question lead to differences in their foreign policies. The other argues that the important differences are not between countries but between issue-areas. A comparison of the Soviet Union and the United States in the issue-area of military policy (in particular, the process of weapons innovation) suggests that the policy processes differ substantially, contrary to what an issue-area approach would predict. On the other hand, the distinctions made by some students of political economy who focus on domestic structures appear to account well for differences between the U.S. and Soviet processes of innovation. The domestic structural approach should be applied to the study of comparative military policy as well as foreign economic policy.

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Copyright © The IO Foundation 1989

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References

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37. The contributors to the special issue of International Organization entitled “The State and American Foreign Policy” argue that the U.S. state cannot be characterized as equally weak in all policy areas. This argument would not appear to hamper the utility of the “weak state” label for comparative purposes, especially in the U.S.–Soviet context.

38. The “top-down” versus “bottom-up” analysis draws on Brzezinski, Zbigniew and Huntington, Samuel, Political Power: USA/USSR (New York: Viking Press, 1963), especially pp. 202–30,Google Scholar and is developed in Evangelista, Matthew, “Why the Soviets Buy the Weapons They Do,” World Politics 36 (07 1984), pp. 597618CrossRefGoogle Scholar. See also the discussion by Potter. “Study of Soviet Decisionmaking.”

39. Evangelista, Innovation and the Arms Race.

40. Kurth, , “A Widening Gyre,” pp. 396–97.Google Scholar

41. The full documentation for the American case is found in Evangelista, Innovation and the Arms Race, chap. 4.

42. See, in particular, discussion of the Committee on Atomic Energy's Panel on Long-Range Objectives, which met under the auspices of the Department of Defense Research and Development Board and was chaired by Oppenheimer: In the Matter of J. Robert Oppenheimer, Transcript of Hearing before Personnel Security Board and Texts of Principal Documents and Letters, United States Atomic Energy Commission, originally published by the Government Printing Office in 1954, reprinted with an index and foreword by Philip M. Stern (Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press, 1970), pp. 46–48 and 64 (hereafter cited as Oppenheimer Hearings); and Gilpin, Robert, American Scientists and Nuclear Weapons Policy (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press, 1962), p. 114.CrossRefGoogle Scholar

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48. This view was put forward by, among many others, the first director of the Defense Department's Weapons Systems Evaluation Group, Morse, Philip M., in In at the Beginnings: A Physicist's Life (Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press, 1977), p. 239.Google Scholar

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50. For example, during the academic year 1947–48, the Command and General Staff College at Fort Leavenworth offered a course called “Trends in Warfare” that discussed the implications of atomic weapons. The course syllabus gives no indication, however, that battlefield nuclear support for ground forces figured at all in the program. “Trends in Warfare I,” Advance Sheet, in bound volume, Regular Course, School of Personnel, 1947–1948, Set 6, Part I, U.S. Army Command and General Staff College Combined Arms Library, Fort Leavenworth, Kans.

51. Oppenheimer Hearings, pp. 497–98 and 505.

52. See, for example, Oppenheimer, J. Robert, “Comments on the Military Value of the Atom,” Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists 7 (02 1951), pp. 4345CrossRefGoogle Scholar; Gavin, Maj. Gen. James, “Tactical Uses of the Atomic Bomb,” Combat Forces Journal 1 (11 1950), pp. 911Google Scholar; and Cohen, Samuel, The Truth About the Neutron Bomb (New York: William Morrow, 1983), pp. 3033.Google Scholar

53. To a certain extent, this practice had already begun during the previous period. See, for example, Voorhees, Tracy S., “To Prevent a ‘Korea’ in Western Europe,” The New York Times Magazine, 23 07 1950, pp. 10ff.Google Scholar

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56. Not all of Lowi's programs were as prominent as the Marshall Plan. He also discusses the campaign for the United Nations, military aid to Greece and Turkey, the formation of NATO, and—in the context of the Eisenhower “New Look” policy—the production of tactical nuclear weapons. See Lowi, , “Making Democracy Safe for the World,” especially pp. 315–23.Google Scholar

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58. Gordon Dean, testimony before the Senate Appropriations Committee, Second Supplementary Appropriations Bill for 1952, 27 09 1951,Google Scholar 82d Congress, 2d Sess., p. 3.

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60. These deployments are discussed in Memorandum for the U.S. Representative to the Standing Group, North Atlantic Military Committee, “Aircraft Attrition Rates for SHAPE,” 28 March 1952, RG 218, JCS, CCS 092 Western Europe (3–12–48), Section 132; and Memorandum for the Joint Chiefs of Staff from the Chief of Staff, U.S. Army, “Military Requirements for Atomic Weapons,” 26 May 1952, RG 218, JCS, CCS 381 (2–8–43), Section 21, MMB NA.

61. For a related discussion of “consensus-building” and innovation, see Huntington, Samuel P., The Common Defense: Strategic Programs in National Politics (New York: Columbia University Press, 1961), chap. 5.Google Scholar

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63. This argument is developed in Evangelista, Innovation and the Arms Race, chap. 2.

64. Ibid.

65. The full documentation for the Soviet case is found in Evangelista. Innovation and the Arms Race, chap. 5.

66. Lavrinenkov, Vladimir, Bez voiny (Without war) (Kiev: Politizdat Ukrainy, 1982), pp. 6671 and 141–42.Google Scholar

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68. Gubarev, V., “Fizika—eto moia zhizn” (Physics is my life), interview with Iu. Khariton in Pravda, 20 02 1984Google Scholar; and Astashenkov, P. T., Podvig Akademika Kurchatova: Tvortsy nauki i tekhniki (The accomplishment of Academician Kurchatov: Creators of science and technology) (Moscow: Znanie, 1979), p. 104.Google Scholar

69. Karpov, Vladimir, Polkovodets (Commander) (Moscow: Sovetskii pisatel, 1985), p. 522–24.Google Scholar The author was one of six officers from the General Staff who participated in the exercise.

70. Some systems had already been secretly deployed in Britain and with naval forces in the Mediterranean in the spring of 1952, but public attention was not drawn to these developments until the following year. See the discussion in Evangelista, Innovation and the Arms Race, chap. 4.

71. The statement was approved as national policy on 30 October 1953. JCS 2101/113, 9 December 1953, with decision, 10 December 1953, CCS 381 U.S. (1–31–50) Section 31, Records of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, National Archives, quoted in Rosenberg, “The Origins of Overkill,” p. 31.

72. See the notes prepared by Livingston Merchant, Assistant Secretary for European Affairs, 16 December 1953, in Foreign Relations of the United States, 1952–1954, vol. 5, Western European Security, Part I, pp. 476–79.Google Scholar

73. Evangelista, Matthew, “The Evolution of the Soviet Tactical Air Forces,” Soviet Armed Forces Review Annual 7 (1982–1983), pp. 451–79Google Scholar; Gareev, M. A., Takticheskie ucheniia i manevry (Tactical exercises and maneuvers) (Moscow: Voenizdat, 1977), pp. 171–72 and 189–90Google Scholar; and Lavrinenkov, , Bez voiny, p. 203.Google Scholar

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76. Transcript of Khrushchev's tape-recorded reminiscences, Harriman Institute Library, Columbia University, p. 403.

77. See, for example, Khrushchev's speech to the Supreme Soviet, printed in Pravda, 15 January 1960.

78. See Lowi's discussion of the Joint Chiefs of Staff and the Defense Department in “Making Democracy Safe for the World.”

79. Holloway, David, The Soviet Union and the Arms Race (New Haven, Conn.: Yale University Press, 1983), pp. 148–49.Google Scholar

80. Pressure for strategic defenses had been building up “from the bottom” for many years before Ronald Reagan's speech of 23 March 1983. By March 1982, potential investors in military industries were being informed that “the ballistic missile defense (BMD) program is a major national priority,” whose funding had increased by 57 percent over the previous year and was scheduled to double in the next. See Investing in the Defense Industry: The Defense Budget, Research Report Defense Series no. 17, First Albany Corporation, Albany, N.Y., 03 1982, p. 10.Google Scholar For press accounts, see Halloran, Richard, “U.S. to Increase Military Funds for Space Uses,” The New York Times, 29 09 1982Google Scholar; and Boffey, Philip M., “Pressures Are Increasing for Arms Race in Space,” The New York Times, 18 October 1982,Google Scholar one of a three-part series of articles. The initiative for “Star Wars” came mainly from physicists and weapons designers associated with government laboratories—in this case, the Lawrence Livermore nuclear weapons laboratory in California. See Greb. “Science Advice to Presidents”; and Broad, Star Warriors.

81. For other studies that contrast U.S. and Soviet innovation in a similar fashion, see Holloway, David, “Innovation in the Defense Sector,” in Amann, Ronald and Cooper, Julian, eds., Industrial Innovation in the Soviet Union (New Haven, Conn.: Yale University Press, 1982), chap. 7Google Scholar; Kaldor, Mary, “Military R?International Social Science Journal 35 (02 1983), pp. 2546Google Scholar; and Kaldor, Mary, The Baroque Arsenal (New York: Hill & Wang, 1981).Google Scholar

82. Evangelista, “Evolution of the Soviet Tactical Air Forces.”

83. Holloway, Soviet Union and the Arms Race, chap. 2.

84. Evangelista, Innovation and the Arms Race, chap. 6.

85. For a discussion of some of these cases, see Evangelista, , Innovation and the Arms Race, pp. 240–45.Google Scholar

86. Khrushchev's remarks were made in an interview with Arthur Sulzberger, originally published in The New York Times, 8 September 1961, and reprinted in Izvestiia, 9 September 1961, from which he is quoted here. See the discussion in Evangelista, Innovation and the Arms Race.

87. Tolubko, V., Nedelin: Pervyi glavkom strategicheskikh (Nedelin: First commander-in-chief of the strategic [rocket forces]) (Moscow: Molodaia Gvardiia, 1979), especially pp. 174–88.Google Scholar For an extensive discussion, see Holloway, David, “Military Technology,” in Amann, Ronald, Cooper, Julian, and Davies, R. W., eds., The Technological Level of Soviet Industry (New Haven, Conn.: Yale University Press, 1977), pp. 407–89Google Scholar; and Holloway, “Innovation in the Defense Sector.”

88. Armacost, Michael H., The Politics of Weapons Innovation: The Thor-Jupiter Controversy (New York: Columbia University Press, 1969)Google Scholar; and Beard, Edmund, Developing the ICBM: A Study in Bureaucratic Politics (New York: Columbia University Press, 1976).Google Scholar

89. Zimmerman, , “Issue Area and Foreign-Policy Process,” p. 1212.Google Scholar

90. Most notably, the findings are consistent with those of Brzezinski and Huntington in Political Power: USA/USSR.

91. Zimmerman, , “Issue Area and Foreign-Policy Process,” p. 1211Google Scholar; and Potter, , “The Study of Soviet Decisionmaking,” pp. 298305.Google Scholar

92. Krasner, , Defending the National Interest, p. 329.Google Scholar

93. Zimmerman, , “Issue Area and Foreign-Policy Process,” p. 1211.Google Scholar

94. For some evidence on this score, see Platias, Athanassios, “High Politics in Small Countries,” Ph.D. diss., Cornell University, 1986.Google Scholar

95. The conclusions of a number of comparative studies would seem compatible with such an analysis. See, for example, the contributions to Amann, Cooper, and Davies, The Technological Level of Soviet Industry; contributions to Amann and Cooper, Industrial Innovation in the Soviet Union; Bentley, Raymond, Technological Change in the German Democratic Republic (Boulder, Colo.: Westview, 1984),Google Scholar especially his concluding comparisons between East and West Germany on the one hand and the German Democratic Republic and the Soviet Union on the other, chap. 8; and Jonathan D. Pollack, The R D Process and Technological Innovation in the Chinese Industrial System, Rand Corporation Report R-3284, Santa Monica, Calif., May 1985.

96. These remarks are found in Rosenau, Domestic Sources of Foreign Policy, p. 43, fn. 50.

97. Rosenau, “Pre-theories and Theories of Foreign Policy”.