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Exchangeable and sampling-consistent distributions on rooted binary trees

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  14 January 2022

Benjamin Hollering*
Affiliation:
North Carolina State University
Seth Sullivant*
Affiliation:
North Carolina State University
*
*Postal address: North Carolina State University, Department of Mathematics, Box 8205, Raleigh, NC 27695, USA.
*Postal address: North Carolina State University, Department of Mathematics, Box 8205, Raleigh, NC 27695, USA.

Abstract

We introduce a notion of finite sampling consistency for phylogenetic trees and show that the set of finitely sampling-consistent and exchangeable distributions on n-leaf phylogenetic trees is a polytope. We use this polytope to show that the set of all exchangeable and sampling-consistent distributions on four-leaf phylogenetic trees is exactly Aldous’ beta-splitting model, and give a description of some of the vertices for the polytope of distributions on five leaves. We also introduce a new semialgebraic set of exchangeable and sampling consistent models we call the multinomial model and use it to characterize the set of exchangeable and sampling-consistent distributions. Using this new model, we obtain a finite de Finetti-type theorem for rooted binary trees in the style of Diaconis’ theorem on finite exchangeable sequences.

Type
Original Article
Copyright
© The Author(s), 2022. Published by Cambridge University Press on behalf of Applied Probability Trust

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