Hostname: page-component-7479d7b7d-c9gpj Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-07-08T18:03:29.012Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

The most appropriate discount rate

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  19 January 2015

David F. Burgess
Affiliation:
Department of Economics, Western Ontario University, London, Ontario
Richard O. Zerbe*
Affiliation:
University of Washington, Seattle
*
Richard O. Zerbe, University of Washington, Seattle, e-mail: zerbe@uw.edu
Rights & Permissions [Opens in a new window]

Abstract

Core share and HTML view are not available for this content. However, as you have access to this content, a full PDF is available via the ‘Save PDF’ action button.

The social opportunity cost of capital discount rate is the appropriate discount rate to use when evaluating government projects. It satisfies the fundamental rule that no project should be accepted that has a rate of return less than alternative available projects, and it ensures that worthy projects satisfy the potential Pareto test. The social time preference approach advocated by Moore et al. fails to satisfy either of these criteria even in the unlikely case that the private sector behaves myopically with respect to a project’s future benefits and costs.

Type
Comments
Copyright
Copyright © Society for Benefit-Cost Analysis 2013

References

Anderson, C. Leigh, & Gugerty, Mary Kay. (2009). Intertemporal choice and development policy: new evidence on time-varying discount rates from vietnam and Russia. The Developing Economies, 47(2), 123146.Google Scholar
Bradford, D. F. (1975). Constraints on government investment opportunities and the choice of discount rate. American Economic Review, 65, 887899.Google Scholar
Burgess, D. F. (2013a). Reconciling alternative views about the appropriate social discount rate. Journal of Public Economics, 97, 917.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Burgess, D. F. (2013b). Project evaluation and the folk principle when the private sector lacks foresight. Unpublished working paper, Department of Economics, University of Western Ontario, March.Google Scholar
Burgess, D. F., & Zerbe, R. O. (2011). Appropriate discounting for benefit-cost analysis. Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis, 2(2). DOI: 10.2202/2152-2812.1065.Google Scholar
Chapman, G. B. (2003). Time discounting of health outcomes. In: Loewenstein, G., Read, D., and Baumeister, R. F. (Eds.), Time and decision: economic and psychological perspectives on intertemporal choice. Russell Sage Foundation.Google Scholar
Dasgupta, P. (2008). Discounting climate change. Journal of Risk and Insurance, 37, 141169.Google Scholar
Farrow, S., & Zerbe, R. O. (2013). Principles and Standards for Benefit-Cost Analysis. Cheltenham UK: Edward Elgar.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Frederick, Shane. (2003). Time preference and personal identity. In Loewenstein, George, Read, Daniel, and Baumeister, Roy F. (Eds.), Time and decision: economic and psychological perspectives on intertemporal choice. New York: Russell Sage Foundation.Google Scholar
Frederick, S., Lowenstein, G., & O’Donoghue, T. (2002). Time discounting and time preference: a critical review. Journal of Economic Literature, 40(2), 351400.Google Scholar
Groom, B., Hepburn, C., Koundouri, P., & Pearce, D. (2005). Declining discount rates: the long and the short of it. Environmental and Resource Economics, 32(4), 445493.Google Scholar
Harrison, Glenn W., Lau, Morten I., & Williams, Melonie B. (2002). Estimating individual discount rates in denmark: a field experiment. The American Economic Review, 92(5), 16061617.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jenkins, G. P., & Kuo, C. Y. (2010). The opportunity cost of capital for Canada: an empirical update. In Burgess, D. F. & Jenkins, G. P. (Eds.), Discount rates for the evaluation of public private partnerships. Kingston: McGill Queen’s University Press.Google Scholar
Lind, R. C. (1982). A primer on the major issues relating to the discount rate for evaluating national energy options. In Lind, R. C. (Ed.), Discounting for time and risk in energy policy. Washington D.C.: Resources for the Future.Google Scholar
Liu, Liqun. (2011). From the shadow price of capital to the marginal cost of funds: in search of the implementation of a principle. Journal of Public Economic Theory, 13(3), 369389.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Long, Mark, Zerbe, Richard, & Davis, Tyler. (2013). The social discount rate as a function of individuals’ time preferences: elusive theoretical constructs and practical advice for benefit-cost analysts. Working paper.Google Scholar
Moore, M. A., Boardman, A. E., & Vining, A. K. (2013). More appropriate discounting: the rate of social time preference and the value of the social discount rate. Journal of Benefit-Cost Analysis, 4(1), 116.Google Scholar
Nordhaus, W. D. (2007). The stern review on the economics of climate change. Journal of Economic Literature, 45(3), 686702.Google Scholar
Ramsey, F. P. (1928). A mathematical theory of saving. Economic Journal, 38, 543559.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Stern, N. H. (2006). The stern review of the economics of climate change. Cambridge University Press: Cambridge.Google Scholar