Hostname: page-component-77c89778f8-gq7q9 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-07-23T11:21:49.258Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Forecasting and Analysis of Corporate Financial Performance with an Econometric Model of the Firm

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  19 October 2009

Extract

Understanding and predicting various aspects of the financial performance of corporations have been undertaken almost entirely on the basis of assumed one-way statistical relationships which rely on some aspects of internal corporate behavior being exogenous to other aspects of behavior. When financial performance variables involved in such studies are jointly determined as parts of a simultaneous system of financial performance, this approach cannot be expected to produce useful results, because it is well known that obtained statistical results are biased and inconsistent.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © School of Business Administration, University of Washington 1972

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

[1]Almon, Shirley. “The Distributed Lag between Capital Appropriations and Expenditures.” Econometrica, January 1965, pp. 178196.Google Scholar
[2]Andersen, Leonall C., and Carlson, Keith M.. “A Monetarist Model for Economic Stabilization.” Review — Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, April 1970, pp. 725.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[3]Basmann, R. Letter to the Editor. Eoonometrioa, Vol. 30, No. 4, October 1962, pp. 824826.Google Scholar
[4]Carlson, Keith M. “Estimates of the High-Employment Budget: 1947–1967.” Review — Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, June 1967, pp. 614.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[5]Carlson, Keith M. “Technical Notes for Estimates of the High-Employment Budget.” Unpublished paper, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, November 1970.Google Scholar
[6]Chenery, Hollis B.Overcapacity and the Acceleration Principle.Econometrica, Vol. 20, January 1952, pp. 128.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[7]Dhrymes, P. J., and Kurz, M.. “Investment, Dividend, and External Finance Behavior of Firms.” In Determinants of Investment Behavior. New York: Columbia University Press for NBER, 1967, pp. 427467.Google Scholar
[8]Donaldson, Gordon. Corporate Debt Capacity. Boston: Harvard University Press, 1961.Google Scholar
[9]Dorfman, Robert, and Steiner, Peter O.. “Optimal Advertising and Optimal Quality.American Economic Review, Vol. 44, September 1954, pp. 826836.Google Scholar
[10]Durbin, J.Testing for Serial Correlation in Systems of Simultaneous Regression Equations.Biometrika, Vol. 44, Parts 3–4, December 1957, pp. 370377.Google Scholar
[11]Eisner, R.A Permanent Income Theory for Investment: Some Empirical Explorations.American Economic Review, Vol. 57, No. 3, June 1967, pp. 363390.Google Scholar
[12]Elliott, J. W.A Comparison of Models of Marketing Investment in the Firm.Quarterly Review of Economics and Business, Vol. 11, Spring 1971, pp. 5370.Google Scholar
[13]Elliott, J. W.Funds Flow versus Expectational Theories of Research and Development Expenditures in the Firm.Southern Economic Journal, Vol. 37, No. 4, April 1971, pp. 409422.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[14]Evans, M. K.A Study of Industry Investment Decisions.Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 49, No. 2, May 1967, pp. 151164.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[15]Fisher, F. M.The Choice of Instrumental Variables in the Estimation of Economy-wide Econometric Models.International Economic Review, Vol. 6, No. 3, September 1965, pp. 245274.Google Scholar
[16]Griliches, Z., and Wallace, N.. “The Determinants of Investment Revisited.International Economic Review, Vol. 6, No. 3, September 1965, pp. 311329.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[17]Grunfield, Y. “The Determinants of Corporate Investment.” In Harberger, A. C., ed., The Demand for Durable Goods. Chicago: University of Chicago Press, 1960, pp. 211266.Google Scholar
[18]Hoos, Sidney. “The Advertising and Promotion of Farm Products — Some Theoretical Issues.Journal of Farm Economics, Vol. 41, May 1959, pp. 349363.Google Scholar
[19]Jorgenson, D.Capital Theory and Investment Behavior.American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, Vol. 53, No. 2, May 1963, pp. 247259.Google Scholar
[20]Jorgenson, D. W., and Siebert, C. D.. “Theories of Corporate Investment Behavior.American Economic Review, Vol. 58, No. 4, September 1968, pp. 681712.Google Scholar
[21]Kuh, E.Capital Stock Growth: A Micro Econometric Approach. Amsterdam: North Holland Publishing Company, 1963.Google Scholar
[22]Mansfield, Edwin. “Industrial Research and Development Expenditures: Determinants, Prospects, and Relation to Size of Firm and Inventive Output.” Journal of Political Economy, August 1964, pp. 319339.Google Scholar
[23]Melrose, Kendrick, B.An Empirical Study on Optimizing Advertising Policy.Journal of Business, Vol. 42, July 1969, pp. 282292.Google Scholar
[24]Meyer, J. R., and Glauber, R. R.. Investment Decisions, Economic Forecasting, and Public Policy. Boston: Harvard University Press, 1964.Google Scholar
[25]Mitchell, B. M., and Fisher, F. M.. “The Choice of Instrumental Variables in the Estimation of Economy-wide Econometric Models: Some Further Thoughts.” International Economic Review, Vol. 11, No. 2, June 1970.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[26]Moody's Industrial Manual. New York: Moody's Investors Service (various issues).Google Scholar
[27]Mueller, Dennis. “The Firm Decision Process: An Econometric Investigation.Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 81, February 1967, pp. 5887.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
[28]Nerlove, Marc, and Arrow, Kenneth J.. “Optimal Advertising Policy under Dynamic Conditions.” Econometrica (new series), Vol. 29, May 1962, pp. 129142.Google Scholar
[29]Resek, R. W.Investment by Manufacturing Firms: A Quarterly Time Series Analysis of Industry Data.Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 48, No. 3, August 1966, pp. 322333.Google Scholar
[30]Saltzman, S.An Econometric Model of a Firm.Review of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 49, August 1967, pp. 332342.Google Scholar
[31]Standard and Poor's Compustat Data Tape. New York: Standard Statistics Division, Standard and Poor's Corporation, 19491968 issue.Google Scholar
[32]Williamson, Oliver E.The Economics of Discretionary Behavior: Managerial Objectives in a Theory of the Firm. Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey: Prentice-Hall, 1963.Google Scholar