Hostname: page-component-788cddb947-r7bls Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-10-18T22:52:35.529Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

The Measurement of Reproductivity

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  18 August 2016

A. H. Pollard
Affiliation:
Mutual Life and Citizens' Assurance Company, Ltd.

Extract

The measurement of the rate of population growth has attracted considerable attention in scientific literature of recent years. This is, no doubt, a result of the continual decline in the birth-rate which has formed the topic of innumerable articles in the popular press and elsewhere. Several attempts have been made to obtain a simple statistical measure of the reproductivity of a population at a particular time—that is, a measure of the extent to which a population will be replacing itself if current fertility and mortality continue indefinitely. It is the aim of this paper,

  • in section 1, to discuss the simple approximate formulae that have been suggested;

  • in section 2, to discuss some more elaborate and more efficient formulae;

  • in section 3, to analyse the effect on the formulae of section 2 of a change in the proportions married at a given age;

  • in section 4, to outline the male versus female rate anomaly;

  • in section 5, to suggest a formula which avoids the anomaly; and finally,

  • in section 6, to discuss the application of these formulae to Australian population statistics.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Institute and Faculty of Actuaries 1948

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

page 290 note * See also C. D. Rich (1) pp. 44, 45 and 74–77, and p. 43 for formula (3).

page 311 note * Notice that M0 in section 5.9 is not the same as M0 in section 5.7.—Eds. J.I.A.

page 320 note * Population Studies, Vol. 1, No. 2.