Hostname: page-component-77c89778f8-swr86 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-07-17T08:36:24.408Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

ARE INITIAL WAGE LOSSES OF INTERSECTORAL MOVERS COMPENSATED FOR BY THEIR SUBSEQUENT WAGE GAINS?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  11 January 2010

Donggyun Shin*
Affiliation:
Kyung Hee University
Kwanho Shin
Affiliation:
Korea University
Seonyoung Park
Affiliation:
University of Minnesota
*
Address correspondence to: Donggyun Shin, Department of Economics, Kyung Hee University, Seoul, Republic of Korea; e-mail: dgshin@khu.ac.kr.

Abstract

This paper presents an equilibrium explanation of the inter- and intrasectoral mobility of workers. Analyses of our samples from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics and the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth show that, other things being equal, the initial wage decline is greater for intersectoral movers than for intrasectoral movers. Intersectoral movers, however, enjoy higher wage growth in subsequent years on postunemployment jobs than intrasectoral movers do, and hence are compensated for their initial wage decline. Our estimates suggest that, other things being constant, the additional short-term wage loss associated with sector shifts is overturned in no more than four years by the greater wage growth of intersectoral movers in subsequent years. The findings in the current study clearly show that the true economic costs of intersector mobility tend to be overstated in existing studies and are significantly lowered in the long-term perspective. Calibration of a simple lifetime utility model demonstrates that inter- and intrasectoral movements of workers are quantitatively consistent with an equilibrium framework, at least for a major group of workers who move with longer term perspectives. Evidence also shows that job seekers consider not only the initial wage rate but also the subsequent wages received from the postunemployment job when deciding whether to recommence employment or switch sectors.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2010

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

Addison, John T. and Portugal, Pedro (1989) Job displacement, relative wage changes and duration of unemployment. Journal of Labor Economics 7, 281302.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Altonji, Joseph and Shakotko, Robert (1987) Do wages rise with job seniority? Review of Economic Studies 54, 437459.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Baum, Christopher F., Schaffer, Mark E., and Stillman, Steven (2003) Instrumental variables and GMM: Estimation and testing. Stata Journal 3, 131.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bound, John, Brown, Charles, and Mathiowetz, Nancy (2001) Measurement error in survey data. In Heckman, J.J. and Leamer, E. (eds.), Handbook of Econometrics, pp. 37053843. Amsterdam: Elsevier Science Publishers.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Brainard, Saul L. and Cutler, David M. (1993) Sectoral shifts and cyclical unemployment reconsidered. Quarterly Journal of Economics 108, 219243.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Brown, James N. and Light, Audrey (1992) Interpreting panel data on job tenure. Journal of Labor Economics 10, 219257.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Carrington, Williams (1993) Wage losses for displaced workers: Is it really the firm that matters? Journal of Human Resources 28, 435462.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Choi, HwaJung and Shin, Donggyun (2002) Do past unemployment spells affect the duration of current unemployment? Economics Letters 77, 157161.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Corak, Miles (1993) Is unemployment insurance addictive? Evidence from the benefit durations of repeat users. Industrial and Labor Relations Review 47, 6272.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Davis, Steven J. and Haltiwanger, John (1990) Gross job creation and destruction: Microeconomic evidence and macroeconomic implications. In Blanchard, Olivier J. and Fischer, Stanley (eds.), NBER Macroeconomics Annual 5, pp. 123186. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Ellwood, David T. (1982) Teenage unemployment: Permanent scars or temporary blemishes. In Freeman, R.B. and Wise, D.A. (eds.), The Youth Labor Market Problem: Its Nature, Causes, and Consequences, pp. 349385. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Hahn, Jinyong and Hausman, Jerry (2002) Notes on bias in estimators for simultaneous equation models. Economics Letters 75, 237241.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hayashi, Fumio (2000) Econometrics. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Heckman, James J. and Borjas, George J. (1980) Does unemployment cause future unemployment? Definitions, questions and answers from a continuous time model of heterogeneity and state dependence. Economica 47, 247283.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hellerstein, Judith K., Neumark, David, and Troske, Kenneth R. (1999) Wages, productivity, and worker characteristics: Evidence from plant-level production functions and wage equations. Journal of Labor Economics 17, 409446.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Houle, Mario and Van Audenrode, Marc (1995) Job displacement, wages, and unemployment duration in Canada. Labour Economics 2, 7791.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jacobson, Louis, LaLonde, Robert, and Sullivan, Daniel (1993) Earnings losses of displaced workers. American Economic Review 83, 685709.Google Scholar
Kiefer, Nicholas M. and Neumann, George R. (1979) An empirical job search model with a test of the constant reservation wage hypothesis. Journal of Political Economy 87, 89107.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kim, Hyun Kyung and Shin, Donggyun (2006) Frequency of job Displacement, Cumulative Duration of Unemployment and Wages. Working Paper, Kyunghee University.Google Scholar
Lilien, David (1982) Sectoral shifts and cyclical unemployment. Journal of Political Economy 90, 779793.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lippman, Steven A. and McCall, John J. (1976) The economics of job search: A survey, part 1. Economic Inquiry 14, 155189.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Loungani, Prakash and Rogerson, Richard (1989) Cyclical fluctuations and sectoral reallocation: Evidence from the PSID. Journal of Monetary Economics 23, 259273.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Loungani, Prakash, Rush, Mark, and Tave, William (1990) Stock market dispersion and unemployment. Journal of Monetary Economics 25, 367388.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mortensen, Dale T. (1986) Job search and labor market analysis. In Ashenfelter, O. and Layard, R. (eds.), Handbook of Labor Economics, pp. 849899. Amsterdam: Elsevier Science Publishers.Google Scholar
Neal, Derek (1995) Industry-specific human capital: Evidence from displaced workers. Journal of Labor Economics 13, 653677.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ruhm, Christopher (1991) Are workers permanently scarred by job displacement? American Economic Review 81, 319324.Google Scholar
Shin, Donggyun and Shin, Kwanho (2008) Fluctuations of unemployment and inter- and intra-sectoral reallocations of workers. International Economic Journal 22, 231251.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Shin, Kwanho (1997) Inter- and intra-sectoral shocks: Effects on the unemployment rate. Journal of Labor Economics 15, 376401.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Solon, Gary, Barsky, Robert, and Parker, Jonathan A. (1994) Measuring the cyclicality of real wages: How important is composition bias? Quarterly Journal of Economics 109, 125.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Starr-McCluer, Martha (1993) Cyclical fluctuations and sectoral reallocation. Journal of Monetary Economics 31, 417425.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Stevens, Ann H. (1997) Persistent effects of job displacement: The importance of multiple job losses. Journal of Labor Economics 15, 165188.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Stigler, George J. (1962) Information in the labor market. Journal of Political Economy 70, 94105.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Topel, Robert (1990) Specific capital and unemployment: Measuring the costs and consequences of job loss. Carnegie–Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy 33, 181214.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Williams, Rick L. (2000) A note on robust variance estimator for cluster-correlated data. Biometrics 56, 645646.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Wooldridge, Jeffrey M. (2002) Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data. Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press.Google Scholar