Hostname: page-component-5c6d5d7d68-wpx84 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-08-08T16:27:34.785Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Modelling precipitation trends in England and Wales

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 July 2005

Terence C. Mills
Affiliation:
Department of Economics, Loughborough University, Loughborough LE11 3TU, U.K. Email: t.c.mills@lboro.ac.uk
Get access

Abstract

Using a variety of trend extraction techniques applied to monthly observations from 1766 to 2002 on the EWP dataset, this study confirms that there is evidence of a trend towards wetter winters (November to March), particularly in December and January, and drier summers, although this feature appears to be concentrated in June and July. Trend precipitation in autumn (August to November) is more difficult to pin down, with alternative methods producing quite different trend patterns, thus highlighting how difficult it can be to extract trends from noisy data. In general, the results appear to be reasonably consistent with those of Alexander & Jones (2001) using rather different techniques, thus lending weight to the views expressed by them.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© 2005 Royal Meteorological Society

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)