Hostname: page-component-77c89778f8-cnmwb Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-07-17T09:49:37.002Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

On discerning the cause of late Pleistocene megafaunal extinctions

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  08 April 2016

Michael W. Beck*
Affiliation:
Department of Biological Science, The Florida State University, Tallahassee, Florida 32306-2043

Abstract

I examine the late Pleistocene megafaunal extinctions by testing the only extinction model with strong a priori predictions, the blitzkrieg model (Martin 1973; Mosimann and Martin 1975). I first test an assumption of the blitzkrieg and other extinction models that the megafaunal extinctions occurred in the terminal Wisconsin (12-10 Ka). This assumption has been disputed by Grayson (1989, 1991), but I find that both a reanalysis of Grayson's data and an analysis of new reliable data support a terminal Wisconsin extinction.

The blitzkrieg model predicts that the ranges of megafauna in North America were constricted as the semicircular front of hunters moved southeastward; hence the extinctions should be time-transgressive from northwest to southeast. I test this prediction in three separate analyses that examine (1) the location of terminal sites for each taxon relative to all their other late Wisconsin fossil sites, (2) the location of terminal sites for each taxon relative to all their other reliably dated late Wisconsin fossil sites, and (3) the spatio-temporal pattern of all the reliably dated terminal Wisconsin sites without regard to taxonomy. The geographic distribution of the megafaunal remains does not support the blitzkrieg hypothesis in any of the three analyses. Moreover, all of the patterns in the data are in a direction opposite to that predicted by the blitzkrieg hypothesis. I examine how these conclusions affect both climatic and predation models, particularly in relation to the testability of other extinction hypotheses.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © The Paleontological Society 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Literature Cited

Adovasio, J. M. 1993. The ones that will not go away: a biased view of pre-Clovis populations in the New World. pp. 199218In Soffer, O. and Praslov, N. D., eds. From Kostenski to Clovis: upper Paleolithic–Paleo-indian adaptations. Plenum, New York.Google Scholar
Adovasio, J. M., Donahue, J., and Stuckenrath, R. 1990. The Meadowcroft rockshelter radiocarbon chronology 1975-1990. American Antiquity 55:348354.Google Scholar
Adovasio, J. M., Donahue, J., and Stuckenrath, R. 1992. Never say never again; some thoughts on could have and might have beens. American Antiquity 57:327331.Google Scholar
Agenbroad, L. D., and Mead, J. I. 1989. Quaternary geochronology and distribution of Mammuthus on the Colorado Plateau. Geology 17:861864.Google Scholar
Agenbroad, L. D., Mead, J., and Nelson, L. 1990. Megafauna and man: discovery of America's heartland. The Mammoth Site of Hot Springs, South Dakota and Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff.Google Scholar
Axelrod, D. I. 1967. Quaternary extinctions of large mammals. University of California Publications in Geological Sciences 74:142.Google Scholar
Ball, I. R. 1976. Nature and formulation of biogeographical hypotheses. Systematic Zoology 24:407430.Google Scholar
Bard, E., Arnold, M., Fairbanks, R. G., and Hamelin, B. 1993. 230Th-234U and 14C ages obtained by mass spectrometry on corals. Radiocarbon 35:191193.Google Scholar
Barnosky, A. D. 1989. The late Pleistocene event as a paradigm for widespread mammal extinction. pp. 235253in Donovan, S. K., ed. Mass extinctions: processes and evidence. Belhaven, New York.Google Scholar
Bartlein, P. J., and Prentice, I. C. 1989. Orbital variations, climate and paleoecology. Trends in Ecology and Evolution 4:195199.Google Scholar
Buck, C. E., Litton, C. D., and Scott, E. M. 1994. Making the most of radiocarbon dating: some statistical considerations. Antiquity 68:252263.Google Scholar
Catto, N., and Mandryk, C. 1990. Geology of the postulated ice-free corridor. pp. 4253in Agenbroad et al. 1990.Google Scholar
Caughley, G. 1970. Eruption of ungulate populations, with emphasis on Himalayan Thar in New Zealand. Ecology 51:5372.Google Scholar
Davis, M. B. 1986. Climatic instability, time lags, and community disequilibrium. pp. 269284In Diamond, J. and Case, T. J., eds. Community ecology. Harper and Row, New York.Google Scholar
Diamond, J. M. 1984. Historic extinction: a rosetta stone for understanding Pleistocene extinctions. pp. 824866in Martin and Klein 1984.Google Scholar
Diamond, J. M. 1989a. The present, past and future of human-caused extinctions. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London B 325:469477.Google Scholar
Diamond, J. M. 1989b. Quaternary megafaunal extinctions: variations on a theme by Paganini. Journal of Archaeological Science 16:167175.Google Scholar
Edwards, M. E., and Barker, J. E. D. 1994. Climate and vegetation in northeastern Alaska. Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology, Palaeoecology 109:127135.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gillette, D. D., and Madsen, D. B. 1993. The Columbian mammoth, Mammuthus columbi, from the Wasatch Mountains of central Utah. Journal of Paleontology 67:669680.Google Scholar
Gingerich, P. D. 1977. Patterns of evolution in the mammalian fossil record. pp. 469499in Hallam, A., ed. Patterns of evolution. Elsevier, New York.Google Scholar
Graham, R. W. 1986. Response of mammalian communities to environmental changes during the late Quaternary. pp. 300313In Diamond, J. and Case, T. J., eds. Community ecology. Harper and Row, New York.Google Scholar
Graham, R. W. 1990. Evolution of new ecosystems at the end of the Pleistocene. pp. 4253in Agenbroad et al. 1990.Google Scholar
Graham, R. W., and Lundelius, E. L. Jr. 1984. Coevolutionary disequilibrium and Pleistocene extinctions. pp. 223249in Martin and Klein 1984.Google Scholar
Graham, R. W., and Mead, J. I. 1987. Environmental fluctuations and evolution of mammalian faunas during the last deglaciation. pp. 371402in Ruddiman and Wright 1987.Google Scholar
Graham, M. A., Wilson, M. C., and Graham, R. W. 1987. Paleoenvironments and mammalian faunas of Montana, southern Alberta, and southern Saskatchewan. In Graham, R. W., Semken, H. A. Jr., and Graham, M. A., eds. Late Quaternary mammalian biogeography and environments of the great plains and prairies. Illinois State Museum Scientific Papers 22:410459. Springfield.Google Scholar
Grayson, D. K. 1984. Explaining Pleistocene extinctions: thoughts on the structure of a debate. pp. 807823in Martin and Klein 1984.Google Scholar
Grayson, D. K. 1987. An analysis of the chronology of late Pleistocene mammalian extinctions in North America. Quaternary Research 28:281289.Google Scholar
Grayson, D. K. 1989. The chronology of North American late Pleistocene extinctions. Journal of Archaeological Science 16:153165.Google Scholar
Grayson, D. K. 1991. Late Pleistocene mammalian extinctions in North America: taxonomy, chronology, and explanations. Journal of World Prehistory 5:193231.Google Scholar
Guilday, J. E. 1984. Pleistocene extinctions and environmental change: case study of the Appalachians. pp. 250258in Martin and Klein 1984.Google Scholar
Guthrie, R. D. 1984. Mosaics, allelochemics, and nutrients; an ecological theory of late Pleistocene extinctions. pp. 259298in Martin and Klein 1984.Google Scholar
Guthrie, R. D. 1990. Late Pleistocene faunal revolution: a new perspective on the extinction debate. pp. 4253in Agenbroad et al. 1990.Google Scholar
Harris, A. H. 1985. Late Pleistocene vertebrate paleoecology of the west. University of Texas Press, Austin.Google Scholar
Harris, A. H. 1993. Quaternary vertebrates of New Mexico. New Mexico Museum of Natural History and Science Bulletin 2:179197.Google Scholar
Haynes, C. V. Jr. 1984. Stratigraphy and late Pleistocene extinction in the United States. pp. 345454in Martin and Klein 1984.Google Scholar
Haynes, C. V. Jr. 1991. Geoarchaeological and paleohydrological evidence for a Clovis-age drought in North America and its bearing on extinction. Quaternary Research 35:438450.Google Scholar
Haynes, C. V. Jr. 1992. Contributions of radiocarbon dating to the geochronology of the peopling of the new world. pp. 355374In Taylor, R. E., Long, A., and Kra, R. S., eds. Radiocarbon after four decades: an interdisciplinary perspective. Springer, New York.Google Scholar
Hollander, M., and Wolfe, D. A. 1973. Nonparametric statistical methods. J. Wiley, New York.Google Scholar
Jacobson, G. L. Jr., Webb, T. III, and Grimm, E. C. 1987. Patterns and rates of vegetation change during deglaciation of eastern North America. pp. 277288in Ruddiman and Wright 1987.Google Scholar
Jefferson, G. T. 1991. A catalogue of late Quaternary vertebrates from California: part two, mammals. Natural History Museum of Los Angeles County Technical Report 7:1129.Google Scholar
Jefferson, G. T., Miller, W. E., Nelson, M. E., and Madsen, J. H. Jr. 1994. Catalogue of late Quaternary vertebrates from Utah. Natural History Museum of Los Angeles County Technical Report 9:134.Google Scholar
Kapp, R. O., Cleary, D. L., Snyder, G. G., and Fisher, D. C. 1990. Vegetational and climatic history of the Crystal Lake area and the Eldridge Mastodont site, Montcalm County, Michigan. American Midland Naturalist 123:4763.Google Scholar
Kiltie, R. A. 1984. Seasonality, gestation time, and large mammal extinctions. pp. 299314in Martin and Klein 1984.Google Scholar
Kunz, M. L., and Reanier, R. E. 1994. Paleoindians in Beringia: evidence for arctic Alaska. Science 263:660662.Google Scholar
Kurten, B., and Anderson, E. 1980. Pleistocene mammals of North America. Columbia University Press, New York.Google Scholar
Kutzbach, J. E. 1987. Model simulations of the climatic patterns during the deglaciation of North America. pp. 425447in Ruddiman and Wright 1987.Google Scholar
Kutzbach, J. E., and Guetter, P. J. 1986. The influence of changing orbital parameters and surface boundary conditions on climate simulations for the past 18,000 years. Journal of Atmospheric Sciences 43:17261759.Google Scholar
Kutzbach, J. E., Guetter, P. J., Behling, P. J., and Selin, R. 1993. Simulated climate changes: results of the COHMAP climate-model experiments. pp. 2493in Wright et al. 1993.Google Scholar
Kutzbach, J. E., and Ruddiman, W. F. 1993. Model description, external forcing, and surface boundary conditions. pp. 1223in Wright et al. 1993.Google Scholar
Lister, A. M. 1992. Mammalian fossils and Quaternary biostratigraphy. Quaternary Science Reviews 11:329344.Google Scholar
Lundelius, E. L. Jr., Graham, R. W., Anderson, E., Guilday, J., Holman, J. A., Steadman, D. W., and Webb, S. D. 1983. Terrestrial vertebrate faunas. pp. 311353in Porter, S. C., ed. Late quaternary environments of the United States, Volume 1, the late Pleistocene. University of Minnesota Press, Minneapolis.Google Scholar
Marshall, L. G. 1984. Who killed Cock Robin? An investigation of the extinction controversy. Pp. 785806in Martin and Klein 1984.Google Scholar
Martin, P. S. 1967. Prehistoric overkill. pp. 75120In Martin, P. S. and Wright, H. E., eds. Pleistocene extinctions: the search for a cause. Yale University Press, New Haven, Conn.Google Scholar
Martin, P. S. 1973. The discovery of America. Science 179:969974.Google Scholar
Martin, P. S. 1984. Prehistoric overkill: the global model. pp. 354403in Martin and Klein 1984.Google Scholar
Martin, P. S. 1987. Late Quaternary extinctions: the promise of TAMS 14C dating. Nuclear Instruments and Methods in Physics Research 29:179186.Google Scholar
Martin, P. S., and Klein, R. G. 1984. Quaternary extinctions: a prehistoric revolution. The University of Arizona Press, Tucson.Google Scholar
McDonald, J. N. 1984. The reordered North American selection regime and late Quaternary megafaunal extinctions. pp. 404439in Martin and Klein 1984.Google Scholar
McDonald, J. N., and Ray, C. E. 1989. The autochthonous North American musk oxen Bootherium, Symbos, and Gidleya. Smithsonian Contributions to Paleobiology 66:177.Google Scholar
Mead, J. I., and Agenbroad, L. D. 1992. Isotope dating of Pleistocene dung deposits from the Colorado Plateau, Arizona and Utah. Radiocarbon 34:119.Google Scholar
Mead, J. I., Martin, P. S., Euler, R. C., Long, A., Jull, A. J. T., Toolin, L. J., Donahue, D. J., and Linick, T. W. 1986. Extinction of Harrington's mountain goat. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 83:836839.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Mead, J. I., Agenbroad, L. D., Phillips, A. M. III, and Middleton, L. T. 1987. Extinct mountain goat (Oreamnos harringtoni) in southeastern Utah. Quaternary Research 27:323331.Google Scholar
Meltzer, D. J. 1986. Pleistocene overkill and the associational critique. Journal of Archaeological Science 13:5160.Google Scholar
Meltzer, D. J., and Mead, J. I. 1985. Dating late Pleistocene extinctions: theoretical issues, analytical bias, and substantive results. pp. 145172In Mead, J. I. and Meltzer, D. J., eds. Environments and extinctions: man in late glacial North America. University of Maine, Center for the Study of Early Man, Orono.Google Scholar
Mosimann, J. E., and Martin, P. S. 1975. Simulating overkill by Paleoindians. American Scientist 63:304313.Google Scholar
Nowak, E. 1971. The range expansion of animals and its causes (as indicated by 28 presently spreading species from Europe). Zeszyty Naukowe 3:1255.Google Scholar
Oglesby, R. J., Maasch, K. A., and Slatzman, B. 1989. Glacial meltwater cooling of the Gulf of Mexico: GCM implications for Holocene and present-day climates. Climate Dynamics 3:115133.Google Scholar
Overpeck, J. T., Peterson, L. C., Kipp, N., Imbrie, J., and Rind, D. 1989. Climate change in the circum-North Atlantic region during the last glaciation. Nature 338:553557.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Owen-Smith, N. 1987. Pleistocene extinctions: the pivotal role of megaherbivores. Paleobiology 13:351362.Google Scholar
Rapoport, E. H. 1982. Areography: geographical strategies of species. Pergamon, New York.Google Scholar
Ruddiman, W. F., and Wright, H. E. Jr. 1987. North America and adjacent oceans during the last deglaciation. Geology of North America, Vol. K-3. Geological Society of America, Boulder, Colo.Google Scholar
Sharrocks, F. W. 1966. Prehistoric occupation patterns in southwest Wyoming and cultural relationships with the Great Basin and Plains culture areas. University of Utah Anthropological Papers 77.Google Scholar
Signor, P. W. III, and Lipps, J. H. 1982. Sampling bias, gradual extinction patterns and catastrophes in the fossil record. Geological Society of America Special Papers 190:291296. Boulder, Colo.Google Scholar
Simpson, G. G. 1953. Major features of evolution. Simon and Schuster, New York.Google Scholar
Sokal, R. R., and Rohlf, F. J. 1981. Biometry. 2d ed.W. H. Freeman, New York.Google Scholar
Stafford, T. W. Jr. 1990. Late Pleistocene megafauna extinctions and the Clovis culture: absolute ages based on accelerator 14C Dating of skeletal remains. Pp. 118122in Agenbroad et al. 1990.Google Scholar
Stafford, T. W. Jr., Hare, P. E., Currie, L., Jull, A. J. T., and Donahue, D. J. 1990. Accuracy of North American human skeleton ages. Quaternary Research 34:111120.Google Scholar
Stafford, T. W. Jr., Hare, P. E., Currie, L., Jull, A. J. T., and Donahue, D. J. 1991. Accelerator radiocarbon dating at the molecular level. Journal of Archaeological Science 18:3572.Google Scholar
Stuart, A. J. 1991. Mammalian extinctions in the late Pleistocene of Northern Eurasia and North America. Biological Reviews of the Cambridge Philosophical Society 66:453562.Google Scholar
Stuiver, M., and Reimer, P. J. 1993. Extended 14C data base and revised CALIB 3.0 14C age calibration. Radiocarbon 35:215230.Google Scholar
Tankersly, K. B., and Munson, C. A. 1992. Comments on the Meadowcroft rockshelter radiocarbon chronology and the recognition of coal contaminants. American Antiquity 57:321326.Google Scholar
Taylor, R. E. 1991. Frameworks for dating the late Pleistocene peopling of the Americas. pp. 77112In Dillehay, T. D. and Meltzer, D. J., eds. The first Americans: search and research. CRC Press, Boca Raton, Florida.Google Scholar
Thompson, R. S., Whitlock, C., Bartlein, P. J., Harrison, S. P., and Spaulding, W. G. 1993. Climatic changes in the western United States since 18,000 yr b.p. Pp. 468513in Wright et al. 1993.Google Scholar
Toth, N. 1991. The material record. pp. 5376In Dillehay, T. D. and Meltzer, D. J., eds. The first Americans: search and research. CRC Press, Boca Raton, Florida.Google Scholar
Van Devender, T. R., Burgess, T. L., Piper, J. C., and Turner, R. M. 1994. Paleoclimatic implications of Holocene plant remains from the Sierra Baccha, Sonora, Mexico. Quaternary Research 41:99108.Google Scholar
Walker, D. N. 1987. Late Pleistocene/Holocene environmental changes in Wyoming: the mammalian record. In Graham, R. W., Semken, H. A. Jr., and Graham, M. A., eds. Late Quaternary mammalian biogeography and environments of the great plains and prairies. Illinois State Museum Scientific Papers 22:334393. Springfield.Google Scholar
Webb, S. D., and Barnosky, A. D. 1989. Faunal dynamics of Pleistocene mammals. Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences 17:413438.Google Scholar
Webb, T. III, Bartlein, P. J., and Kutzbach, J. E. 1987. Climatic change in eastern North America during the past 18,000 years; comparisons of pollen data with model results. pp. 447462in Ruddiman and Wright 1987.Google Scholar
Webster, D. 1981. Late Pleistocene extinction and human predation: a critical overview. pp. 556594In Harding, R. S. O. and Telekei, G., eds. Omnivorous primates: gathering and hunting in human evolution. Columbia University Press, New York.Google Scholar
West, F. H. 1983. The antiquity of man in America. pp. 364382in Porter, S. C., ed. Late Quaternary environments of the United States, Vol. 1, The late Pleistocene. University of Minnesota Press, Minneapolis.Google Scholar
Whitley, D. S., and Dorn, R. I. 1993. New perspectives on the Clovis vs. pre-Clovis controversy. American Antiquity 58:626647.Google Scholar
Whittington, S. L., and Dyke, B. 1984. Simulating overkill: experiments with the Mosimann and Martin model. pp. 466482in Martin and Klein 1984.Google Scholar
Wilson, E. O. 1975. Sociobiology: the new synthesis. Belknap, Cambridge, Mass.Google Scholar
Wright, H. E. Jr., Kutzbach, J. E., Webb, T. III, Ruddiman, W. F., Street-Perrott, F. A., and Bartlein, P. J. 1993. Global climates since the last glacial maximum. University of Minnesota Press, Minneapolis.Google Scholar