Hostname: page-component-84b7d79bbc-rnpqb Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-08-04T17:22:35.987Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Probability Kinematics and Causality

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  19 June 2023

Richard Jeffrey*
Affiliation:
Princeton University

Extract

Brian Skynns 's Dynamics of Rational Deliberation (1990) answers questions I have puzzled over for thirty years, and suggests fresh approaches to other questions. Here I want to explore an answer, in Skynns's dynamic terms, to an old question on my agenda concerning Humean (or Kantian, or pragmatic) probabilistic accounts of causal talk:

What features of your judgmental probabilities show that you view truth of one proposition as promoting truth of another, rather than as being promoted by truth of that other, or as being promoted by truth of some third proposition which also promotes truth of the other?

Type
Part XI. The Dynamics of Rational Deliberation
Copyright
Copyright © 1993 by the Philosophy of Science Association

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Arntzenius, F.(1990), “Physics and Common Causes”, Synthese 82: 77-96.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bar-Hillel, M. and Margalit. A. (1972), “Newcomb's Problem Revisited”, British Journal for Philosophy of Science 23: 295-304.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
de Finetti, B. (1931), “Probabilismo”, Logos 14, pp. 163-219, Napoli. Translation : “Probabilism”, Erkenntnis 31: 169-223, 1989.Google Scholar
Einstein, A., Podolsky, B. and Rosen, N. (1935), “Can Quantum-mechanical Description of Physical Reality be Considered Complete?”, Physical Review 47: 777-780.Google Scholar
Gaifman, H. (1988), “A Theory of Higher-order Probability”, in Brian Skyrms and William Harper (eds.), Causality, Chance, and Choice. Dordrecht: Reidel.Google Scholar
Jeffrey, R. (1965, 1983), The Logic of Decision. New York: McGraw-Hill.Google Scholar
Jeffrey, R. (1988), “How to Probabilize a Newcomb Problem”, in Probability and Causality, J. H. Fetzer (ed.), pp. 241-251. Dordrecht: Reidel.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jeffrey, R. (1992), Probability and the Art of Judgment. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jeffrey, R. and Michael Hendrickson (1989), “Probabilizing Pathology”, Proceedings of the Aristotelian Society 89, part 3: 211-225.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Leeds, S. (1984), “Chance, Realism, Quantum Mechanics”, Journal of Philosophy 81: 567-578.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Nozick, R. (1969), “Newcomb's Problem and Two Principles of Cchoice”, in N. Rescher (ed.), Essays in Honor of Carl G. Hempel. Dordrecht: Reidel.Google Scholar
Price, H. (1993), ‘The Direction of Causation: Ramsey's ultimate contingency ”, PSA 1992, vol. 2.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Shafer, G. (1981), “Constructive Probability.” Synthese 48: 1-60.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Skyrms, B. (1980), Causal Necessity. New Haven: Yale.Google Scholar
Skyrms, B. (1984), Pragmatics and Empiricisn. New Haven: Yale.Google Scholar
Skyrms, B. (1990), The Dynamics of Rational Deliberation Cambridge: Harvard.Google Scholar
Stalnaker, R. (1968), “A Theory of Conditionals”, in N. Rescher (ed.), Studies in Logical Theory. Oxford: Blackwell, pp. 98-112.Google Scholar
van Fraassen, B. (1989), Laws and Symmetry. Oxford : Clarenden Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar