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Alternative Pasts, Future Alternatives?

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  27 January 2017

Abstract

Georgi Derluguian writes that Cohen’s exposition of the alternatives facing Gorbachev as reformer misses key elements that would give his analysis a firm disciplinary foundation: the social mechanisms involved in formulating and spreading competing discourses, the structural coalescence of potentially contentious groups and their actual mobilizing, the institutionalization of political gains, elite and oppositional brokerage, geopolitical configuration, and shifts in economic flows. He calls for a more rigorous analysis that would incorporate these elements, and he illustrates his method by sketching a number of key nodal points in the history of the USSR that would allow scholars to examine counterfactual, alternative pasts.

Type
Discussion
Copyright
Copyright © Association for Slavic, East European, and Eurasian Studies. 2004

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References

The epigraph is taken from Giovanni Arrighi, Terence Hopkins, and Immanuel Wallerstein, "1989: The Continuation of 1968," in George Katsiaficas, ed., After the Fall: 1989 and the Future of Freedom (New York, 2001), 43. Note that this essay was originally circulated in July 1992.

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2 Amalrik, Andrei, Will the Soviet Union Survive until 1984? (New York, 1970)Google Scholar; and Kotkin, Stephen, Armageddon Averted: The Soviet Collapse, 1970–2000 (Oxford, 2001)Google Scholar. For the analytical reconstruction of alternative pasts, it might also be profitable to revisit George W. Breslauer, Five Images ofthe Soviet Future: A Critical Review and Synthesis(Berkeley, 1978); and Luttwak, Edward N., The Grand Strategy of the Soviet Union (New York, 1983)Google Scholar.

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13 The paradoxes of the nationality question in the former Russian empire are brilliantly analyzed by Suny, Ronald Grigor, The Revenge of the Past: Nationalism, Revolution, andthe Collapse of the Soviet Union (Stanford, 1993)Google Scholar and the definitive account was achieved by Martin, Terry, The Affirmative Action Empire: Nations and Nationalism in the Soviet Union, 1923–1939 (Ithaca, 2001)Google Scholar.

14 Randall Collins, “The Geopolitical Basis of Revolution: The Prediction of the Soviet Collapse,” Macrohistory, 37–69.

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16 See the classic Dehio, Ludwig, The Precarious Balance: Four Centuries of the EuropeanPower Struggle, translated from German by Fullman, Charles (New York, 1962)Google Scholar and the recent dieoretical synthesis by Arrighi, Giovanni, Silver, Beverly, et al., Chaos and Governancein the Modern World-System (Minneapolis, 1999)Google Scholar.

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18 Wallerstein, Immanuel, “Social Science and the Communist Interlude,TheEssentialWallerstein (New York, 2000), 374–86Google Scholar.

19 Hanson, Stephen, Time and Revolution: Marxism and the Design of Soviet Institutions (Chapel Hill, 1997), 19 Google Scholar.

20 The concept of a “developmental state” as neither pure market nor pure planned economy was originally proposed by Johnson, Chalmers, MJTI and the Japanese Miracle: TheGrowth of Industrial Policy, 1925-1975 (Stanford, 1982)Google Scholar. See the richly elaborating essays in Meredith Woo-Cumings, ed., The Developmental State (Ithaca, 1999).

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23 Special thanks to Oleksandr Fisun for suggesting this gag.

24 See Rueschemeyer, Dietrich, Stephens, Evelyn H., and Stephens, John D., CapitalistDevelopment and Democracy (Chicago, 1992)Google Scholar; Tilly, Charles, “Democracy Is a Lake,Roadsfrom Past to Future (Lanham, Md., 1997), 193215 Google Scholar; and the theoretical summary in Markoff, Waves of Democracy.

25 Silver, Beverly J., Forces of Labor: Workers’ Movements and Globalization since 1870 (Cambridge, Eng., 2003)CrossRefGoogle Scholar.

26 The relevant iconoclast analyses are by Robert Latham, The Liberal Moment: Modernity,Security, and the Making of Postwar International Order (New York, 1997); and Cumings, Bruce, The Origins of the Korean War, 2 vols. (Princeton, 1981–90)Google Scholar.

27 Slavicists may be excused from looking beyond their area, but since the Chinese alternative to the Soviet collapse emerges time and again in discussions, it would be useful to consult the illuminating works of Arrighi, Giovanni, Hamashita, Takeshi, and Selden, Mark, eds., The Resurgence of East Asia: 500, 150 and 50 Year Perspectives (London, 2003)Google Scholar; and Bruce Cumings, Korea's Place in the Sun: A Modern History (New York, 1997).

28 Another iconoclast example is Hopf, Ted, Social Construction of International Politics:Identities and Foreign Policies, Moscow, 1955 and 1999 (Ithaca, 2002)Google Scholar.

29 Khrushchev's personal trajectory and outlook encapsulate the contradictions and high hopes of the developmental quest to catch up with the modern west. See the wonderfully researched and penetrating biography by Taubman, William, Kiirushchev: The Man andHis Era (New York, 2003)Google Scholar.

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33 The terms revolutionary situationand revolutionary outcomeare used here as conceptualized by Tilly, Charles, European Revolutions, 1492-1992 (Oxford, 1993)Google Scholar.

34 The best analyses are Solnick, Steven, Stealing the State: Control and Collapse in SovietInstitutions (Cambridge, Mass., 1998)Google Scholar; and David Woodruff, Money Unmade: Barter and theFate of Russian Capitalism (Ithaca, 1999).

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