Hostname: page-component-84b7d79bbc-g5fl4 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-07-31T05:19:04.772Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Leave the Rascals In? Explaining the Poor Prospects of Term Limit Extensions

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  25 January 2021

Janine Parry
Affiliation:
University of Arkansas
Todd Donovan
Affiliation:
Western Washington University

Abstract

Voters in nearly half the states adopted term limits between 1990 and 2000, and recent efforts to repeal or extend these caps generally have suffered sound defeats. Past research demonstrates that while robust majorities approved of limiting the terms of elected officials, support was strongest among government cynics and minority-party identifiers. Here, we investigate the impact of trust and partisanship on attitudes toward a 2004 Arkansas proposal to extend term limits; we further test our findings using survey data on a related 2002 measure in California. Relying on statewide samples of likely voters, we find that Democrats and those with more trust in government demonstrate greater support for such measures than Republicans and cynics, controlling for other factors. Trust exerts the strongest substantive effect.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © 2008 by the Board of Trustees of the University of Illinois

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Arkansas Farm Bureau. 2004. “Farm Bureau Reinforces Support for Amendment 1,” (press release). www.arfb.com/news/press_releases/2004/102504.asp (2004).Google Scholar
Blair, Diane D., and Barth, Jay. 2005. Arkansas Politics and Government: Do the People Rule. 2nd ed. Lincoln, NE: University of Nebraska Press.Google Scholar
Blomeley, Seth. 2004. “Term-Limit Plan Focus: Legislative Experience,” Arkansas Democrat-Gazette. 17 October.Google Scholar
Bowler, Shaun, Donovan, Todd, and Karp, Jeffrey A.. 2004. “Politicians, Scandals, and Trust in Government.” Political Behavior 26:271–87.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Branton, Regina P. 2003. “Examining Individual Level Voting Behavior on State Ballot Propositions.” Political Research Quarterly 56:367–77.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cain, Bruce, and Kousser, Thad. 2004. Adapting to Term Limits: Recent Experiences and New Directions. San Francisco, CA: Public Policy Institute of California.Google Scholar
Carey, John M., Niemi, Richard G., and Powell, Lynda W.. 2001. “The Effect of Term Limits in State Legislatures.” Spectrum: The Journal of State Government 74:16–8.Google Scholar
Carey, John M., Niemi, Richard G., Powell, Lynda W., and Moncrief, Gary F.. 2006. “The Effects of Term Limits on the State Legislatures: A New Survey of the 50 States.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 31:105–34.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Carroll, Susan J., and Jenkins, Krista. 2001. “Unrealized Opportunity? Term Limits and the Representation of Women in State Legislatures.” Women & Politics 23:130.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Craig, Stephen C. 1993. The Malevolent Leaders: Popular Discontent in America. Boulder, CO: Westview Press.Google Scholar
Donovan, Todd. 2007. “Direct Democracy as ‘Super-Precedent?‘ Political Constraints of Citizen-Initiated Laws.” Willamette Law Review 43:189234.Google Scholar
Donovan, Todd, and Snipp, Joseph R.. 1994. “Support for Legislative Term Limitations in California: Group Representation, Partisanship, and Campaign Information.” The Journal of Politics 56:492501.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
English, Art. 2003. “Term Limits in Arkansas: Opportunities and Consequences.” Spectrum: The Journal of State Government 76:30–3.Google Scholar
Fiorina, Morris P. 1994. “Divided Government in the American States: A By-product of Legislation Professionalism?American Political Science Review 88:304–16.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Fiorina, Morris P. 1996. Divided Government. 2nd ed. Boston, MA: Allyn and Bacon.Google Scholar
Greene, Robert. 2007. “Term Limits Stay Loose.” Los Angeles Times: Opinion L.A. 17 July. www.arfb.com/news/press_releases/2004/102504.asp (March 28, 2008.Google Scholar
Jefferson, James. 2004. “Amendment 1 Opponents Promote Ad,” Associated Press State & Local Wire. 29 September.Google Scholar
Karp, Jeffrey A. 1995. “Explaining Public Support for Legislative Term Limits.” Public Opinion Quarterly 59:373–91.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kousser, Thad. 2005. Term Limits and the Dismantling of State Legislative Professionalism. New York, NY: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Meinke, Scott R., and Hasecke, Edward B.. 2003. “Term Limits, Professionalism, and Partisan Control in U.S. State Legislatures.” The Journal of Politics 65:898908.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Miller, Arthur, and Borrelli, Stephen. 1991. “Confidence in Government during the 1980s.” American Politics Quarterly 19:147–73.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Moncrief, Gary F., Thompson, Joel A., Haddon, Michael, and Hoyer, Robert. 1992. “For Whom the Bell Tolls: Term Limits and State Legislatures.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 17:3747.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Moncrief, Gary F., Niemi, Richard G., and Powell, Lynda W.. 2004. “Time, Term Limits, and Turnover: Trends in Membership Stability in U.S. State Legislatures.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 29:357–82.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Morris, Scott. 1991. “Term-Limit Movement Seeks Citizen Power.” Arkansas Democrat-Gazette. 21 April.Google Scholar
National Conference of State Legislatures. 2005. “Legislative Term Limits: An Overview.” www.ncsl.org/programs/legman/ABOUT/Termlimit.htm (March 28, 2008).Google Scholar
Niven, David. 2000. “The Other Side of Optimism: High Expectations and the Rejection of Status Quo Politics.” Political Behavior 22:7188.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Opheim, Cynthia. 1994. “The Effect of U.S. State Legislative Term Limits Revisited.” Legislative Studies Quarterly 19:4958.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Satter, Linda, and O'Neal, Rachel. 2000. “Corruption Jury Deadlocks.” Arkansas Democrat-Gazette. 26 April, A1.Google Scholar
Shaw, Greg M., and Ragland, Amy S.. 2000. “The Polls-Trends: Political Reform.” Public Opinion Quarterly 64:206–26.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Skalaban, Andrew. 1998. “The Mostly-Sovereign People: Sophisticated Voting and Public Opinion about Term Limits in California.” Political Behavior 20:3551.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Smith, Daniel A. 2003. “Overturning Term Limits: The Legislature's Own Private Idaho?PS: Political Science and Politics 36:215–20.Google Scholar
Smith, Daniel A., and Tolbert, Caroline J.. 2001. “The Initiative to Party: Partisanship and Ballot Initiatives in California.” Party Politics 7:739–57.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Straayer, John A. 2003. “Colorado's Term Limits: Consequences, Yes. But Were They Intended?Spectrum: The Journal of State Government 76:34–7.Google Scholar
Thompson, Joel A., and Moncrief, Gary F.. 1993. “The Implications of Term Limits for Women and Minorities: Some Evidence from the States.” Social Science Quarterly 74:300–9.Google Scholar
Thompson, Joel A., and Moncrief, Gary. 2001. “Lobbyists' Views on Term Limits.” Spectrum: Journal of State Government 74:13–5.Google Scholar
Tomz, Michael, Wittenberg, Jason, and King, Gary. 2001. Clarify: Software for Interpreting and Presenting Statistical Results. http://gking.harvard.eduGoogle Scholar
Wickline, Michael R. 2004. “Voters Split on Revising Term Limits.” Arkansas Democrat-Gazette. 18 October.Google Scholar