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Youth survival in the labour market: Employment scarring in three transition economies

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 January 2023

Nikica Mojsoska-Blazevski ,
Marjan Petreski  and
Marjan I Bojadziev
Nikica Mojsoska-Blazevski
Affiliation:
University American College Skopje, Macedonia (FYROM)
Marjan Petreski*
Affiliation:
University American College Skopje, Macedonia (FYROM)
Marjan I Bojadziev
Affiliation:
University American College Skopje, Macedonia (FYROM)
*
Marjan Petreski, University American College Skopje, III Makedonska Brigada 60, Skopje 1000, Macedonia (FYROM). Email: marjan.petreski@uacs.edu.mk
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Abstract

The aim of this study is to examine whether the prevalent and fairly long unemployment spell of young Macedonians, Serbians and Montenegrins early in their career has negative effects on their subsequent labour-market performance: the so-called employment scarring. We first model unemployment spell as a function of individual and household characteristics and work attitudes and preferences using a discrete-time duration method. Then, we estimate the survival probabilities to examine the potential existence of employment scarring. The results provide some evidence for the potential presence of employment scarring in the three countries. The scars are largest in Serbia for all durations of the unemployment spell followed by Macedonia; they are weakest in Montenegro.

Keywords

E24J24J64Long-term unemploymentscarringtransition economiesyouth unemployment
Type
Articles
Information
The Economic and Labour Relations Review , Volume 28 , Issue 2: Industry policies, financialisation and globalisation , June 2017 , pp. 312 - 331
Copyright
Copyright © The Author(s) 2017

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