Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-8bhkd Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-09T00:40:59.897Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Political Competition and the Initiation of International Conflict

A New Perspective on the Institutional Foundations of Democratic Peace

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  08 March 2017

Get access

Extract

Although some scholars claim that the empirical evidence for the very low instance of interstate war between democracies is well established, others have raised new challenges. But even if democratic peace is observed, its theoretical explanation remains unresolved. Consensus has not emerged among competing approaches, some of which are criticized for offering monadic logic for a dyadic phenomenon. This article synthesizes recent literature to advance a simple, but distinct, explicitly dyadic theory about institutionalized political competition, leading to expectations that it is the most important source of democratic peace. While the authors are far from the first to consider political competition, their approach stands out in according it the central role in a dyadic theory focused on the regime type of initiators and target states. They argue that potential vulnerability to opposition criticism on target-regime-specific normative and costs-of-war bases is more fundamental than mechanisms such as audience costs, informational effects, or public goods logic. Incumbents in high-competition states will be reluctant to initiate conflict with a democracy due to anticipated inability to defend the conflict as right, necessary, and winnable. The authors present new and highly robust evidence that democratic peace is neither spurious nor a methodological artifact, and that it can be attributed to high-competition states’ aversion to initiating fights with democracies.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Trustees of Princeton University 2017 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)
Supplementary material: PDF

Goldsmith et al. supplementary material

Supplementary Material 1

Download Goldsmith et al. supplementary material(PDF)
PDF 987.4 KB
Supplementary material: File

Goldsmith et al. supplementary material

Supplementary Material 2

Download Goldsmith et al. supplementary material(File)
File 21.4 KB