Hostname: page-component-5c6d5d7d68-vt8vv Total loading time: 0.001 Render date: 2024-08-15T13:24:51.054Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

Highly pathogenic avian influenza impacts on Japan's import demand for shell eggs and processed egg-products

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  01 March 2011

F.A. TAHA  and
W.F. HAHN
F.A. TAHA*
Affiliation:
USDA-ERS-MTED, 1800 M. Street, NW, Washington, DC 20036, USA
W.F. HAHN
Affiliation:
USDA-ERS-MTED, 1800 M. Street, NW, Washington, DC 20036, USA
*
Corresponding author: ftaha@ers.usda.gov
Get access

Abstract

A Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS) model was used to evaluate impact of the 2004 highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) outbreaks on Japan's import demand for shell eggs and processed egg products. Egg imports were divided into three classes; shell eggs, dried egg products, and non-dried egg products. The demand for these three products were estimated (conditional on total egg imports) and tested for structural changes caused by changes in Japan's policies toward egg imports. Analysis shows structural change in two of the three classes of egg imports; shell eggs and dried egg products, measured by changes in their estimated coefficients of own and cross-price elasticities. In the post-HPAI period, shell and dried egg products became better substitutes for each other and their demand became more own-price elastic. Results showed a rising import demand for the safer dried egg products, with a simultaneous weakening demand for non-dried egg product and shell eggs. The findings of the CBS model are in concurrence with Japan's post-HPAI statistical data, reporting a rising import-share of dried eggs from 48% in the pre-infection 4th quarter 2003 to 62% in 4th quarter 2009, and declining shares of non-dried and shell eggs from 46% to 34% and from 6% to 3%, respectively.

Keywords

Avian Influenzaegg import demand systemstructural changeJapan
Type
Review Article
Information
World's Poultry Science Journal , Volume 67 , Issue 1 , March 2011 , pp. 115 - 130
Copyright
Copyright © World's Poultry Science Association 2011

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

ALSTON, J.M., CHALFANT, J.A. and PIGGOTT, N.E. (2000) The Incidence of the Costs and Benefits of Generic Advertising. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 82(3): 665-671.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
ATKINSON, N. (2003) The Impact of BSE on the UK Economy, Head of Economics International Division, Ministry of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food, London, UK, Sept. 22. http://www.ioca.org.ar/Bse/14-%20Atkinson.html.Google Scholar
BURTON, M. and YOUNG, T. (1996) The Impact of BSE on the demand for beef and other meats in Great Britain. A pplied Economics 28: 687-693.Google Scholar
FIGUIE, M. and FOURNIER, T. (2008) Avian Influenza in Vietnam: Chicken-Hearted Consumers. Risk Analysis 28(2): 441-451.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
GOKTOLGA, Z.G. and GUNDUZ, O. (2006) The Analysis of Socio-Demographic Factors Affecting Decrease in Consumption of Chicken Meat Because of Avian Influenza (Bird Flu) in Turkey: Case of Multiple Bounded Probit Model. Journal of Applied Sciences Research 2(12): 1350-1354.Google Scholar
HENSON, S. and MAZZOCCHI, M. (2002) Impact of Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy on Agribusiness in the United Kingdom: Results of an Event Study of Equity Prices. American Journal of Agricultural Economics 84(2): 370-386.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
HSU, J.L., LIU, K.E., HUANG, M-H. and LEE, H.J. (2008) Consumer Knowledge and Risk Perceptions of Avian Influenza. Poultry Science 87: 1526-1534.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
ISHIDA, T., ISHIKAWA, N. and FUKUSHIGE, M. (2010) Impact of BSE and Bird Flu on Consumers' Meat Demand in Japan. Applied Economics 42: 49-56.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
JIN, H.J., SUN, C. and KOO, W.W. (2003) The Effect of Food-Safety Related Information on Consumer Preference: The Case of the BSE Outbreak in Japan, Agribusiness & Applied Economics, Report No. 506, Center for Agricultural Policy and Trade Studies, North Dakota State University, Fargo, North Dakota, February.Google Scholar
JIN, H.J. and KOO, W.W. (2003) The Effect of the BSE Outbreak in Japan on Consumers’ Preferences. European Review of Agricultural Economics 30(2): 173-192.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
KELLER, W.J. and VAN DRIEL, J. (1985) Differential Consumer Demand Systems, European Economic Review 27(3): 375-390.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
LATOUCHE, K., RAINELLI, P. and VERMERSH, D. (1998) Food Safety Issues and the BSE Scare: Some Lessons from the French Case. Food Policy 23(5): 347-356.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
LEEMING, J. and TURNER, P. (2004) The BSE crisis and the price of red meat in the UK. Applied Economics 36: 1825-1829.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
LIU, K.E., HUANG, M-H. and HSU, J.L. (2007) Consumer Awareness of the Avian Influenza Threat in Taiwan. Paper presented at the American Agricultural Economics Association Annual Meetings, Portland, OR, July 29-Aug.1.Google Scholar
LIU, K.E., HUANG, M-H., HSU, J.L. and LEE, H.-J. (2009) Avian Influenza Threat and its Potential Impact on Demand for Chicken and Eggs. Selected paper presented at the American Agricultural Economics Association annual meetings, Milwaukee, WI, July, 22-29.Google Scholar
MANGEN, M-J.J. and BURRELL, A.M. (2001) Decomposing Preference Shifts for Meat and Fish in the Netherlands. Journal of Agricultural Economics 52(2): 16-28.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
OBAYELU, A.E. (2007) Socio-economic analysis of the impacts of avian influenza epidemic on households poultry consumption and poultry industry in Nigeria: empirical investigation of Kwara State,’ Livestock Research for Rural Development, Vol. 19, http://www.lrrd.org/lrrd19/1/obay19004.htm.Google Scholar
OFFICE INTERNATIONAL DES EPIZOOTIES (OIE), (2009) Terrestrial Animal Health Code 2009, http://www.oie.int/eng/normes/mcode/en sommaire.htm.Google Scholar
PAARLBERG, P.L., SEITZINGER, A.H. and LEE, J.G. (2007) Economic Impacts of Regionalization of a Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Outbreak in the United States, Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics 39(2): 325-333.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
PARK, M., JIN, Y.H. and BESSLER, D.A. (2008) The Impact of Animal Disease Crises on the Korean Meat Market, Paper prepared for presentation at the American Agricultural Economics Association annual meetings, Orlando, FL, July 27-29, 2008.Google Scholar
PETERSON, H. and CHEN, Y.J. (2005) The Impact of BSE on Japanese Retail Meat Demand. Agribusiness 21: 313-327.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
SCHLENKER, W. and VILLAS-BOAS, S. (2008) Consumer and Market Responses to Mad-Cow Disease. Paper No.1023, Department of Agricultural & Resource Economics, CUDARE working papers, University of California, Berkeley.Google Scholar
THEIL, H. (1977) The Independent Inputs of Production. Econometrica 45(6): 1303-27.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
THOMAS, C. and SWAYNE, D.E. (2009) Thermal Inactivation of H2N2 High-Pathogenicity Avian Influenza Virus in Dried Egg White with 7.5% Moisture, Journal of Food Production 79(9): 1997-2000.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE, and FOREIGN AGRICULTURAL SERVICE, (2004) Gain Report Number JA-4069.Google Scholar
VERBEKE, W. and WARD, R.W. (2001) A Fresh Almost Ideal Demand System Incorporating Negative TV Press and Advertising Impact. Agricultural Economics 25 (2-3): 359-374.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
VERBEKE, W., WARD, R.W. and VIAENE, J. (2000) Probit Analysis of Fresh Meat Consumption in Belgium: Exploring BSE and Television Communication Impact. Agribusiness 16 (2): 215-234.3.0.CO;2-S>CrossRefGoogle Scholar
WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION, (2009) H5N1 Avian Influenza: Timeline of major events, March 23.Google Scholar
WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION, (2005) Highly pathogenic H5N1 avian influenza outbreaks in poultry and in humans: Food safety implications, INFOSAN Information, Note No. 7/2005 (Rev 1. 5 Dec) www.who.int/foodsafety/fs.../No_07_AI_Nov05_en.pdf.Google Scholar
WORLD TRADE ATLAS, (2010) Internet Edition, Global Trade Information Service, April.Google Scholar