The Puzzle: Variation in the Climate Gender Gap

To identify the extent of a gender gap in climate concern across countries, we explore data from the 2016/2017 AmericasBarometer and the 2015 Pew Global Attitudes Survey. These surveys have large, high-quality samples and comparable questions about climate change, and they cover countries with varying levels of economic development.

Together, the surveys cover 60 unique countries. The AmericasBarometer includes 29 countries in North, Central, and South America and the Caribbean. The Pew survey covers a wider geographic range, including 40 countries across Europe, Africa, Asia, the Pacific, and the Americas. In both surveys, respondents were asked how serious of a problem they thought climate change was and answered using four-point scales (see Appendix A). To facilitate comparison, we standardize the responses across the global sample and examine gender differences by subtracting men’s average response from women’s average response for each country.Footnote ¹ Higher values indicate that women, on average, perceive climate change as more serious than men do.Footnote ²

A clear pattern emerges in Figure 1: gender gaps in climate concern are highly correlated with economic development, which we operationalize using logged GDPpc. Put differently, mitigating climate change becomes a “women’s issue” when countries are wealthier. Although the United States has the largest gender gap (about 0.5 standard deviations in the Pew survey and 0.35 standard deviations in the AmericasBarometer), we observe large gaps in many other wealthy countries, including Canada (about 0.3 standard deviations in both surveys), the United Kingdom (about 0.3 standard deviations in the Pew survey), and Germany (about 0.25 standard deviations in the Pew survey). These differences are substantial; for example, the average gender gap in 10 advanced democracies in stated support for public jobs—an influential finding in the literature on gender and political preferences—is 0.17 standard deviations (Iversen and Rosenbluth Reference Iversen and Rosenbluth2006, 15).

Figure 1. The Gender Gap in Climate Concern by Country and Level of Economic Development, 2015–2017

Note: Data are from the AmericasBarometer (left panel) and Pew (right panel), with climate concern standardized so that the mean value is 0 and the standard deviation is 1. The values are highly correlated for both surveys. AmericasBarometer: ρ = 0.70, p < 0.001. Pew: ρ = 0.61, p < 0.001.

Gender gaps tend to decrease but are still present when countries are less wealthy, as in Argentina and Russia, and, in both surveys, the correlations hold when we exclude the wealthiest countries. In some of the poorest countries, such as Ethiopia and Haiti, the gender gap even appears to reverse, although these differences are small substantively. Thus, our puzzle is “Why is the gender gap in climate concern correlated with country wealth?”

Existing Theories and Their Limits

The large literature on gender and political preferences reveals two plausible theories that might explain our empirical puzzle. The first is that as countries become wealthier, women generally move to the left of men politically (Inglehart and Norris Reference Inglehart and Norris2000). The dominant explanation of this pattern is that, in an era of high divorce rates and increased labor market opportunities, women support policies that partially socialize family work, thus freeing up their time and enabling them to work outside of the home (Iversen and Rosenbluth Reference Iversen and Rosenbluth2006). If climate change is an issue that citizens on the left care more about, then the patterns that we observe in Figure 1 could simply be an extension of well-established gender gaps in ideological preferences in wealthier countries.

To investigate this possibility, we return to the AmericasBarometer and Pew data. Table 1 contains the baseline models on which we build. In mixed-effect linear models, we regress climate concern on variables indicating the respondent’s gender, the country’s logged GDPpc, and their interaction. As Models 1 (AmericasBarometer) and 4 (Pew) show, the cross-level interaction terms are positive and highly statistically significant, as we would expect from Figure 1. Women perceive the threat of climate change to be more serious than men do when countries are wealthier. To test whether the gender gaps we observe in wealthier countries are merely an extension of ideological differences, we add a measure of individuals’ self-placement on a left–right scale to the regressions in Table 1. Higher values for this variable indicate that the respondent is more right-leaning (see question wording in Appendix A). As expected, the coefficient estimates for ideology are negative in Models 2 (AmericasBarometer) and 5 (Pew), reflecting that right-leaning respondents view climate change as a less serious problem than do left-leaning respondents. Importantly, the cross-level interactions maintain their magnitude and significance with this control.Footnote ³

Table 1. The Individual- and Country-Level Predictors of Climate Concern

Note: The results are from mixed-effect linear models. Data are from the AmericasBarometer and Pew, with climate concern standardized so that the mean value is 0 and the standard deviation is 1. GDPpc is logged. *p < 0.05, ^**p < 0.01, ^***p < 0.001.

The second plausible explanation is that as countries develop, women come to see climate change as a collective welfare issue. Studies in the US and other wealthy democracies generally attribute gender differences in environmental concern to gendered patterns of socialization that begin in early childhood. Women and girls are socialized to be nurturing and other-regarding, whereas men and boys are socialized to express dominance (Davidson and Freudenburg Reference Davidson and Freudenburg1996; McCright Reference McCright2010; Mohai Reference Mohai1992). When countries are wealthier, women, on average, may know more about climate change, causing more women to understand it as an issue that affects a society’s collective welfare. In this instance, we would expect women to express more concern when countries are wealthier, and to a greater extent than men in their countries.

To address this possibility, we introduce a variable measuring the respondent’s educational attainment to the regressions in Table 1. We also control for household wealth, which is highly correlated with education. As Models 3 (AmericasBarometer) and 6 (Pew) show, better-educated respondents express more climate concern. Yet the cross-level interaction between respondent gender and country GDPpc remains statistically significant and positive.Footnote ⁴ As a further test, Figure 2 uses the surveys to examine men’s and women’s average levels of concern about climate change across the observed range of GDPpc. On average, women in wealthier countries care less about climate change than women in poorer countries (although not to the same extent as men). The evidence is not consistent with women beginning to see climate change as a collective welfare issue when countries are wealthier; rather, the change appears to be driven by sharper differences among men.

Figure 2. Men and Women’s Climate Concern by Country and Level of Economic Development

Note: Data are from the AmericasBarometer (left panel) and Pew (right panel), with climate concern standardized so that the mean value is 0 and the standard deviation is 1. Circles indicate women’s responses, and triangles indicate men’s responses.

We ran six sets of additional tests to establish the robustness of our findings. First, we sought to identify every major cross-national survey over the last decade with questions on climate attitudes to examine whether our core finding holds across other surveys. It does (see Appendix D). Second, we show that the strong correlation between GDPpc and the gender gap in climate concern is robust to excluding the Anglo-American countries with the largest gaps in Figure 1, as well as to excluding the poorest countries in the sample (Appendix E). Third, we show that our results are robust when controlling for additional country-level variables, including gendered occupational segregation, executive ideology, the presence of leftist and green parties, human development, women’s status, and oil rents, among others (Appendix F). Fourth, we demonstrate that our results are robust to controlling for additional individual-level variables, including political knowledge, media consumption, marital status, number of children, age, and faith in technology and government, among others (Appendix F).Footnote ⁵ Fifth, we use alternative dependent variables, including support for the Paris Climate Agreement, which is strongly correlated with climate concern and for which we also observe a widening gender gap in wealthier countries (Appendix G). Sixth, we analyze immigration as a placebo issue, showing that there is not a clear relationship between GDPpc and the gender gap in attitudes on this issue, suggesting our finding is specific to climate (Appendix H). Having conducted these analyses, our conclusion remains unchanged: men express less concern about climate change than women do when countries are wealthier. We now turn to developing a new theory to explain the patterns in Figures 1 and 2.

Gender and the Perceived Costs of Climate Action

We assume that individuals’ climate preferences are rooted in considerations of both material interests and values. State policies concerning climate change, from carbon taxes to emissions trading schemes to subsidies, involve both costs and benefits and thus create winners and losers (Mildenberger Reference Mildenberger2020, 9–10). We develop our theory (summarized in Figure 3) in two steps. First, we argue that the perceived benefits of mitigation decrease with economic development, whereas the perceived costs increase. We thus expect both men’s and women’s climate concern to decrease with economic development. Second, how individuals perceive the material and psychological consequences of decarbonization depends on both their gender and their country’s level of economic development. We argue that the perceived costs (vs. benefits) of mitigation increase with economic development more for men than for women. Consequently, we expect men’s climate concern to decrease faster with economic development than women’s, resulting in the gender gap we observe. These patterns will obtain because concern about climate change is correlated with believing that the benefits of mitigating climate change outweigh the costs. We present survey evidence consistent with this assumption in Appendix I.

Figure 3. The Perceived Costs versus Benefits of Climate Change Mitigation Depend on a Country’s Level of Economic Development and an Individual’s Gender

Note: As the costs become larger relative to the benefits, individual concern about climate change will decrease.

Country-Level Perceived Costs and Benefits

We first consider country-level variation in the perceived costs and benefits of policies that mitigate climate change. We expect that, on average, citizens in poorer countries will be more concerned about climate change than will citizens in wealthier countries for three reasons.

First, the perceived benefits associated with mitigating climate change are greater for poorer countries, on average, due to their underlying climate vulnerabilities. These benefits have been empirically established, although we are agnostic about the extent to which our theory requires that cross-national differences in perceived costs and benefits be actual as opposed to merely perceived. There are several reasons why poorer countries tend to be more vulnerable to climate change than wealthier countries are: agricultural economies depend more on variations in the climate, they tend to be located in regions that are already relatively hot and therefore closer to their climate “ceilings,” and poorer countries are more likely to be poorly governed and have fewer resources to direct toward responding to extreme weather events and rising sea levels (Mendelsohn, Dinar, and Williams Reference Mendelsohn, Dinar and Williams2006). By contrast, wealthy countries tend to be less vulnerable to climate change and have more resources to invest in adaptation. Therefore, the benefits of mitigating climate change (though real) can appear less pressing to citizens in wealthy nations. This observation is supported by the 2015 Pew survey. On average, citizens in wealthier countries are much less concerned about climate change harming them than are respondents in poorer countries ( $ \rho =0.64 $ , p ≤ 0,001).Footnote ⁶

Second, the perceived costs associated with mitigating climate change tend to be greater in wealthier countries. Developed countries will have to make larger adjustments in absolute terms to meet global emission standards, such as those set by the Paris Climate Agreement. Of course, in relative terms, the costs to developing countries are higher, as they have fewer resources to devote to decarbonization and must accomplish it at the same time as they develop. Nevertheless, we emphasize that mitigation policies in developed countries—for example, various carbon taxes—often run into substantial resistance, contributing to perceptions of cost. The media, politicians, and industrial lobbies have significantly shaped the public’s beliefs about the costs of mitigation in wealthy countries, including through disinformation campaigns (Dunlap and McCright Reference Dunlap, McCright, Dryzek, Norgaard and Schlosberg2011; Tesler Reference Tesler2018). Their cues stoke particular concerns among the putative losers from mitigation. Efforts to decarbonize thus confront “huge obstacles” because they involve wealthy countries paying present-day costs to yield future benefits and these costs fall disproportionately on established industries (e.g., coal, oil, and gas producers; Keohane Reference Keohane2015, 21). Because citizens in wealthy countries are, on average, more likely to be sensitive to the costs associated with decarbonization, we expect them to also be less concerned about climate change.

Third, countries’ specific choices about climate policies reinforce these dynamics. Insofar as international cooperation on climate change involves support for adaptation projects in poorer countries, citizens there may perceive a further benefit, whereas citizens in wealthier countries may perceive a further cost. Moreover, climate policies in poorer countries often involve providing direct and immediate benefits to citizens, such as payments for ecosystems services to reduce deforestation or bringing clean energy to communities that previously were off the grid (e.g., Jayachandran et al. Reference Jayachandran, De Laat, Lambin, Stanton, Audy and Thomas2017).

To be clear, individuals’ perceptions of the costs and benefits of climate policies in our theory derive from national-level factors. Our approach draws on the growing emphasis within IPE on how individual preferences about trade and other economic policy issues are powerfully shaped by beliefs about how those policies affect the country overall (e.g., Bush and Prather Reference Bush and Prather2020; Guisinger Reference Guisinger2017; Mansfield and Mutz Reference Mansfield and Mutz2009). According to this research, citizens are often poorly informed about the effects of foreign economic policy. Thus, they turn to mass media, politicians, and other elites to gain understanding. Such cue givers are generally commenting on national-level policies and outcomes. By consuming this information, the public can come to care greatly about the national consequences of policies such as trade or climate change mitigation. Although one could also theorize how wealth within countries relates to perceptions of costs and benefits as well as climate concern, that is not the level at which our theory operates.Footnote ⁷

The data we examined earlier guided our theory-building on the perceived costs and benefits of mitigation. Consistent with our theory, climate concern tends to be lower in wealthier countries (see Sandvik Reference Sandvik2008). As Figure 2 showed, both men and women in wealthier countries on average express less concern about climate change than do their counterparts in poorer countries. This decline is particularly pronounced among men. Although our theory was built inductively from patterns identified in existing data, below we deduce and test additional empirical implications of our theory that we test with newly collected data.

Individual-Level Perceived Costs and Benefits

The second level of our theory considers individual-level variation in the perceived costs and benefits of mitigation. We theorize that the perceived costs (vs. benefits) are larger when countries are wealthier, but for men especially. Previous studies have also noted how individuals vary in their perceptions of the costs and benefits associated with mitigation (e.g., Bechtel, Genovese, and Scheve Reference Bechtel, Genovese and Scheve2019; Bechtel and Scheve Reference Bechtel and Scheve2013; Gaikwad, Genovese, and Tingley Reference Gaikwad, Genovese and Tingley2022; Stokes Reference Stokes2016). Within a country, for example, the those living in a low-lying coastal community may be more concerned about climate change because they are vulnerable to rising sea levels. Similarly, the person working in the oil industry may be less concerned because of wage considerations if fossil fuel taxes are adopted.

Gender is a less-appreciated facet of how citizens perceive the costs and benefits of mitigating climate change. We propose two ways in which the perceived costs and benefits associated with mitigation are gendered. First, men and women differ in their assessments of the material costs, which may reflect personal or collective considerations and are related to patterns of employment and consumption. Second, men and women differ in their assessments of the psychological costs associated with decarbonization. These are the perceived costs that relate to maintaining one’s identity. We argue that, on average, men will perceive greater material and psychological costs associated with mitigation than will women.

As with country-level perceived costs and benefits, perceptions of individual costs and benefits may reflect both objective reality and also subjective beliefs—shaped by cues from the politicians, media, and industries—about the winners and losers from decarbonization. In addition, in some countries the emergence of the perceived costs and benefits we theorize may be conditional on partisanship. For example, we argue below that support for group-based dominance becomes more likely to be related to men’s climate attitudes in wealthier countries through our psychological mechanism. To the extent that partisan identity is correlated with support for group-based dominance, partisan ideology may moderate the relationship between economic development and the emergence and size of gender gaps. We find evidence of a moderating effect in the United States, as we explain below.Footnote ⁸

Central to our argument is that men’s perceptions of the costs of decarbonization will be particularly high in settings where the overall costs of decarbonization are made salient. As we theorized above, wealthier countries are one such setting. Thus, we expect that in wealthier countries, the gender differences we theorize below will emerge. In poorer countries, where the costs of mitigation are generally perceived as low and the benefits as high, gender gaps will not emerge. In such instances, both men and women will express relatively high levels of concern for climate change and support mitigation policies.

For the purposes of exposition, we consider material and psychological costs separately. Although they are distinct conceptually, we do not claim that they are entirely independent mechanisms either theoretically or empirically. Men may be less concerned about climate change than are women in wealthy countries for both material and psychological reasons. It is also plausible that gender differences in the perceived psychological costs of decarbonization reflect underlying gender differences in patterns of employment and consumption. We leave the question of exactly how material and psychological costs interrelate to future research while noting that the relevance of both material and values-based considerations in our theory is consistent with other primary findings in the literature (e.g., Bechtel, Genovese, and Scheve Reference Bechtel, Genovese and Scheve2019; Kennard Reference Kennard2021).

Research Design

To test our theory, we adopted a mixed-method research design.Footnote ⁹ First, we surveyed citizens in 10 countries in the Americas and Western Europe that exhibit substantial variation in GDPpc, ranging from less than $7,000 (in Colombia and Peru) to over $60,000 (in the US). The survey helps us test our theory’s observable implications using large, diverse samples.

Second, we chose two countries as locations for focus groups and a follow-up survey: Peru and the United States. Because focus groups do not involve representative samples, their findings cannot generalize to the populations as a whole. Instead, they help us understand how people think about the costs and benefits associated with climate policies. As Cyr (Reference Cyr2017, 1041) notes of the focus group method, “Their social form helps participants to work through more complex or inter-subjective concepts and questions. Consequently, they can be useful for achieving greater measurement validity and for understanding why individuals think as they do.” We use the focus group data for both these goals: to test the validity of how we measure the perceived material and psychological costs of decarbonization and to probe whether the associations in the large-N data correspond with our theory.

Findings

We test the observable implications from our theory in three steps. First, we examine whether the core findings from existing surveys replicate in our original 10-country survey. Next, we assess cross-national variation in the perceived costs of climate change mitigation. Finally, we assess gender differences in the perceived costs—first material, then psychological—within countries at varying levels of economic development.

Replicating the Gender Gap

Our survey included a measure of climate concern modeled on the AmericasBarometer: “If nothing is done to reduce climate change in the future, how serious of a problem do you think it will be for [Country]?” As above, we standardize responses across the whole sample.

We replicate our two core findings. Figure 4a shows a widening gender gap in climate concern when countries are wealthier. Figure 4b indicates this gap is driven by men respondents. Men’s average concern for climate change decreases at a steeper rate than does average concern among women as a function of increasing GDPpc.

Figure 4. The Gender Gap and Men’s and Women’s Levels in Climate Concern by Country and Level of Economic Development, 2019–2020

Note: Climate concern is standardized so that the mean value is 0 and the standard deviation is 1. Gender gaps are highly correlated with GDPpc: ρ = 0.83, p = 0.003. Circles indicate women’s responses, and triangles indicate men’s responses.

Differences across Countries in Perceived Costs

Next, we test our expectation that both men and women in higher-income countries will perceive greater costs to climate change mitigation than citizens of lower-income countries. To assess how respondents perceive the costs of mitigation, we asked an open-ended question:

Acting to stop global climate change may help some people and it may harm some people. We’re interested in your opinion. In what ways do you think acting to stop climate change will harm you personally?

We use structural topic models to analyze whether respondents across countries with varying levels of national wealth answered this question differently. Structural topic models involve a semiautomated form of text analysis that enables researchers to discover consistent themes within open-ended survey responses (Roberts et al. Reference Roberts, Stewart, Tingley, Lucas, Leder-Luis, Gadarian and Albertson2014, 1066). We leverage information at the country level—namely our main independent variable, logged GDPpc—to structure the number and content of topics. For our cross-national analysis, the STM diagnostics suggest that responses maximize semantic coherence when they are grouped into four topics. Figure 5a shows the words or stems most associated with each topic and the prevalence of each topic in our dataset. For ease of interpretation, we also provide a label for each topic, which we created from assessing the most common words/stems and the top representative responses from each topic. The models allow us to measure whether topics systematically differ across low- and high-income countries. Figure 5b shows the marginal effect of a one-unit increase in logged GDPpc on the frequency with which each topic is mentioned.Footnote ¹²

Figure 5. The Perceived Consequences of Acting to Stop Climate Change, 10-Country Sample

Note: Words and stems associated with the four “topics” in the open-ended responses (left panel). Marginal effect of log(GDPpc) on topic prevalence (right panel). Data are from the STM analysis of open-ended responses from 10 countries (n = 11,435).

The most-referenced topic, Topic 1, which we label “No harm,” is significantly more common in poorer countries and contains the words or stems: “harm,” “dont,” and “think.” The most-representative quotes from this topic have a similar tone and suggest that respondents believe that rather than being harmed from decarbonization, they will benefit from it. For example, the STM diagnostics indicate that the most representative response is “I don’t think that any measure to curb climate change can harm us, quite the opposite.”Footnote ¹³ By contrast, Topic 2, which we label “Taxes,” is significantly more common in wealthier countries and includes the words or stems “increase,” “tax,” and “cost.” The representative responses convey that the respondent believes addressing climate change will come with increased material costs. For example, the most representative response is “Via the imposition of taxes on fossil fuels would lead to a higher tax burden on me because I do not own an electric car.” The other two topics have less pronounced differences, and are slightly more common in lower-income countries. Topic 3, which we label “Ecosystems,” is not particularly related to costs but instead expresses a general sentiment about the interconnected nature of the earth’s ecosystems (e.g., “We live on one planet, whatever damage to it, reverberates on a small or large scale in each one of its inhabitants.”). Finally, Topic 4, which we label “Changing products,” captures responses about actions that respondents say that they would take to combat climate change. The most representative response is “Modifying certain daily habits like eating meat, consuming certain products, or changing the ways we consume them.” In summary, the STM results show that respondents in higher-income countries attached greater costs to climate action and are less likely to list lifestyle changes that they would be willing to make to bear those costs than are respondents in lower-income countries.

Gender Differences in Perceived Material Costs

We test the observable implications of our theory relating to the perceived material costs of mitigation using both survey and focus group evidence.

Survey Evidence

We theorized that men will perceive the material costs associated with climate change mitigation more acutely than women will when countries are wealthier. We posit that this pattern will obtain because men tend to be more sensitive than women to the costs of climate action that relate to work or consumption. We again use STMs to analyze the open-ended responses about the perceived costs of climate action, this time focusing on how the most-common topics vary by gender within countries. The STMs allow us to leverage information about respondents when structuring the topics. In this case, we use the variables from Table 1: gender, political ideology, education, and household income.

We begin by analyzing responses in the United States, the wealthiest country in our survey. The STM diagnostics suggest Americans’ responses fell into six topics.Footnote ¹⁴ Figure 6a shows the words or stems associated with each. Figure 6b shows the marginal effect of respondent gender on the prevalence of each topic. We focus on the two most-frequent topics: Topics 1 and 2. Topic 1 is more prevalent among women (p ≤ 0.001) and is associated with the following words or stems: “harm,” “dont,” “think,” “higher,” and “know.” As in our cross-national analysis, we label this topic “No harm.” The representative responses convey that the respondent does not think that mitigation policies will harm them (one example is “I don’t think it would be harmful to me at all.”). Men were more likely to use language emphasizing Topic 2 words and stems (p ≤ 0.001), such as “cost,” “increas,” “money,” “price,” and “pay.” We label this topic “Raising costs.” The model diagnostics suggest that the five most representative responses are those highlighted below.Footnote ¹⁵

Figure 6. The Perceived Consequences of Acting to Stop Climate Change, United States

Note: Words and stems associated with the six “topics” in the open-ended responses (left panel). Marginal effect of respondent gender on topic prevalence, controlling for partisan identification, household income, and education (right panel). Data are from an STM analysis of open-ended responses (n = 915).

Topic 2: Raising Costs: Representative Responses

1. 1. Increase the cost of fuels, reduce the choices available for energy. Require costly upgrades to my home and auto. Increase environmental impact from other areas.

2. 2. Minimally increased cost of consumer goods and/or taxes. Possible (local) government-imposed penalties for not paying potentially mandatory fees.

3. 3. Increased costs for services, electricity, and other goods. Limitations on behaviors.

4. 4. Increase the cost to pay for utilities, increase gas price, reduce the choice in cars I have, increase cost of groceries, increase cost of shipping, cause me to have to relocate to a city so I will be forced to take public transportation everywhere.

5. 5. Less money in my bank account to spend on other items like food and bills.

The representative responses highlight the perceived material costs of mitigation, especially as they might relate to carbon pricing policies. They suggest that American men tend to perceive costs as consumers, both in terms of money (having to pay higher prices) and inconvenience (having to take public transportation, “limitations on behaviors”). Yet there is also some evidence of perceived psychological costs. The fourth representative response in the “raising costs” topic (“I will be forced to take public transportation,” emphasis added) might be interpreted as having a psychological dimension. As expected, American men, on average, attached greater costs to fighting climate change than do American women.

We observe similar patterns in the United Kingdom and Spain, the two other wealthiest countries in our sample, which also have significant gender gaps in climate attitudes (see Figures 1 and 4a). The main gender differences in both countries relate to perceived material costs, and the words or stems associated with topics more common among men are similar to those found among American men (e.g., “cost,” “increas,” “energy,” and “tax”). The following responses are representative of the topics that are more common among men:

Cost of living going up because stores are forced to use more expensive green stuff, taxes whittling down my useable wage further all due to the cost of green technologies. (UK)

It would destroy employment in the community where I live because it has an economy that relies heavily on energy. (Spain)

These sentiments suggest a clear concern with material costs. Yet, similar to the US, some of the representative responses in the UK and Spain also hint at more psychological costs.

In the lower-income countries in our sample, we observe some differences in the way that men and women talk about climate action. However, the differences are largely unrelated to material (or psychological) costs. They are generally less coherent and have more to do with themes related to the costs of inaction.

As a final set of quantitative tests on gender differences in perceived material costs, we turn to the follow-up survey that we ran in the United States and Peru. We uncover several findings consistent with our argument that men associate more material costs with climate action than do women in the higher-income case but not in the lower-income case. First, we asked questions about respondents’ carbon footprints in two common activities that are relatively easy to measure cross-nationally: meat consumption and driving. In line with our expectations, we find that across categories, Americans have higher carbon footprints than do Peruvians, and, within countries, that men have higher carbon footprints than do women. Next, we calculate whether carbon footprints are associated with climate attitudes. In the United States, meat consumption, owning a vehicle, and daily drive time are all negatively and significantly correlated with climate concern, even when controlling for party identification, political ideology, and the type of area the respondent lives in (urban, suburban, or rural), whereas these activities are unrelated to climate attitudes in Peru.Footnote ¹⁶

Second, we test two implications of our argument that material costs can be personal or sociotropic and that men, more than women, will be sensitive to the costs of mitigation experienced by men. The first is that we expect men to report feeling closer to other men than do women. To test this implication, we asked respondents how close they felt to different groups, and told them, “By ‘close,’ we mean the people who are most like you in their ideas and interests and feelings.” In both the US and Peru, men report feeling closer to other men than women report feeling close to men. The second is that we expect that men who feel more gender solidarity will express less concern about climate change than will men who identify less with men as a group. We do not expect this pattern to hold for other groups (i.e., American women and Peruvian men and women). We adapted a survey question suggested by Bittner and Goodyear-Grant (Reference Bittner and Goodyear-Grant2017) to measure gender solidarity. For men respondents, the question read,

In the previous question, you said that you are a man. How closely do you identify with your gender (i.e., other men)? Using a scale from 0–100 where 0 means not at all close and 100 means extremely close, how closely do you identify with other men?

We asked women respondents the same question about their closeness to other women. Consistent with our expectations, American men who closely identify with other men express less concern about climate change than do men who do not feel a strong connection to other men. Across all other groups (i.e., American women and Peruvian men and women), the correlation coefficients are positive: closely identifying with others of one’s gender is associated with more concern for climate change (see Appendix M).Footnote ¹⁷

Focus Group Evidence

We now turn to the focus group data to consider how participants expressed their beliefs about the material consequences of decarbonization. Starting with the US, we find that American men were about twice as likely as were women to mention the economic consequences of climate mitigation related to job loss (43% of men’s statements touched on this theme vs. 22% of women’s statements). Some men mentioned experiences working in industries such as beef, timber, and steel. By contrast, no women mentioned a personal job experience in response to questions about the consequences of climate action.

Men also expressed sociotropic material concerns related to jobs, such as about industries in which they were not directly employed (e.g., automobiles, manufacturing, coal, and natural gas). In some instances, men worried about workers in specific industries (e.g., “The coal industry is one of the biggest driving forces in the state of Kentucky”). In other instances, men expressed concerns about men’s positions as traditional breadwinners (indicating potential psychological costs, as well), as in this exchange:

Moderator: Are there particular groups of people that you think are most likely to face the negative consequences of [climate action]?

Participant: Businessmen … anybody that runs any kind of industry, [like] your local farm… . They have the same responsibility to their family.

Men and women also perceived consumption costs differently. For instance, 13% of men’s statements touched on taxation or “the redistribution of wealth” during our discussion of climate change policy (e.g., “If they added a $5 a gallon tax on gasoline, that would impact me”) versus 6% of women’s statements. The most frequently mentioned consumer item among men was cars. As one man in rural Kentucky rhetorically asked, “Are they going to force us to get rid of our trucks, get rid of our cars, and start driving electric cars?”

Our focus groups in Peru offer a point of contrast. The largest gender differences in Peru related to job loss. More men than women mentioned this theme when contemplating the costs of climate action (55% of men’s statements vs. 25% of women’s statements). Sometimes the concerns men mentioned were personal, as several participants referenced working in affected industries (e.g., motorbike taxi drivers, miners, farmers). In other cases, men brought up the costs to the broader community. As one man in rural Peru put it, “There is a debate about an environmental law that might close some mines and would leave many workers unemployed. And when there is no work, we begin to see crime and despair.”

Yet there was equivocation among Peruvian men about how difficult it would be to bear the costs related to job loss or reduced wages. Indeed, and as we touch on below, that was among the largest differences between Peruvians and Americans: 34% of Peruvian men’s statements expressed a willingness to change or adapt to climate action, as did 41% of Peruvian women’s statements (e.g., “I’d be willing to look for a new job. It would be a change that I would make”). By contrast, in the United States, only 7% of men’s statements touched on willingness to adapt their lifestyles, whereas 27% of women’s statements did so.

Finally, Peruvian participants expressed greater belief in the benefits of climate action. This pattern is consistent with our theory, as we expect the perceived benefits (vs. costs) of decarbonization to be greater in poorer countries. Several Peruvian men said how environmental regulations might increase employment in male-dominated industries while noting other benefits (e.g., clean water). For example, one man in a rural area said, “If the mines regulate their pollution, the fishermen would be positively affected because the waters would be purer.” The material costs that men perceived, then, were more balanced with material gains. Importantly, and as our theory predicts, this finding is likely related to differences between the two countries in the perceived severity of climate change. Twelve percent of American men’s statements (vs. 4% of women’s statements) expressed the sentiment that climate change is “not as bad as people think.” In Peru, no participant expressed this belief.

In short, in both countries, more men than women articulated the material costs of climate action. Yet, Peruvian men (and women) also tended to perceive the benefits of climate action and to be more open to change when weighing the relative costs and benefits associated with mitigating climate change.

Gender Differences in Perceived Psychological Costs

Our theory also posits that in wealthier countries, men will perceive greater psychological costs associated with decarbonization than will women. Some of the preceding discussion has hinted at the perceived psychological costs among men in wealthy countries. We now turn to examining this possibility more systematically.

Survey Evidence

We theorized that men who are more attached to traditional masculine identity and group-based hierarchies will be more sensitive to the psychological costs of decarbonization. Because country-level costs are also high, the relationship between support for group-based dominance and concern for climate change should be more pronounced in wealthier countries. A measure of men’s commitment to existing group-based hierarchies is their support for women’s rights. We expect that men’s support for women’s rights will be more correlated with climate concern when countries are wealthier. In other words, sexism will be more strongly correlated with climate skepticism when countries are wealthier. To test this expectation, our survey asked respondents: “When it comes to giving women equal rights with men, do you think the country has gone too far, has not gone far enough or has been about right?” Higher values indicate more support for women’s rights.

Figure 7 plots the correlation between men’s support for women’s rights and climate concern by economic development. We find that antagonism toward women’s rights and indifference toward climate change are more closely correlated in wealthier countries than in poorer countries. The correlation between the country-level correlation coefficients and logged GDPpc is high and statistically significant: (ρ = 0.87, p = 0.001). Moreover, in all three of the highest-income countries (the US, the UK, and Spain), the significant association between antagonism toward women’s rights and climate skepticism holds when we control for respondent party and ideological self-placement.

Figure 7. The Relationship between Men’s Attitudes towards Women’s Rights and Climate Change Concern by Country and Level of Economic Development

Note: This figure plots the correlation coefficients, which are highly correlated with country GDPpc: ρ = 0.87, p = 0.001.

In our follow-up surveys in the US and Peru, we find similar results using an alternative measure of group-based dominance. We asked respondents to indicate their agreement with the statement “It is probably a good thing that certain groups are at the top and others are at the bottom.” Support for group-based dominance is significantly and negatively correlated with climate concern among American men, controlling for party identification and ideology (p = 0.05), but not among Peruvian men (p = 0.35). These results support our expectation that men perceive higher psychological costs to combating climate change (and thus are less concerned about it) when countries are wealthier.Footnote ¹⁸

Focus Group Evidence

We also examined our focus group transcripts for the connections respondents made between decarbonization and psychological costs. We are particularly interested in any comments men made that related to identity, masculinity, and self-expression. We find that American men expressed more concern than did women that climate action would prevent them from living as they wished. As noted above, American men expressed less willingness to adapt their behaviors in light of climate change (7% of men’s statements vs. 27% of women’s statements). Men’s statements of resistance to change often referenced words including liberty, choice, regulation, and freedom when talking about climate policy. A representative response was “I’m more worried about the loss of liberty frankly, and the ability to make those decisions for myself.”

For their part, women participants often expressed the sentiment that men would have a harder time adapting to decarbonization. The reasons they gave went beyond purely material considerations. A comment from one woman in rural Kentucky was representative: “I think women are more receptive to change. If they believe in the concept, they’re more receptive to change the process. Whereas men are just more stubborn.”

In addition, several men discussed the broader social changes that decarbonization might bring, which they framed as negative. One man in rural Kentucky told us, “But that’s kind of the real concern. Anytime when you get into something this massive it’s [going to cause] a whole lot of unintended consequences.” Some men even explicitly connected climate policy to traditional conceptions of gender identity. For instance, in response to a question about the likely consequences of climate policies (i.e., without any prior prompt related to gender), one man in rural Kentucky noted,

My great uncle in the 1950s moved to Kentucky, yet he couldn’t read or write. My grandfather couldn’t either. They cut timber all their lives. I’ve got a cousin probably got more money than all of us, and he’s got a sixth-grade education, but he’s got enough sense to cut the old timber and let the seedlings grow… . [T]hey say science says it’s finished… . We have the facts, there’s no discussion left. Well, these are the same people that tell you that there’s more than just two genders. And I’m sorry, there’s males and there’s females. That’s it.

His comment hints at both material and psychological concerns in its linkage between climate issues and men’s work. Similarly, a man in urban Tennessee noted how he saw climate policy as being tied to wider social change in response to a similar prompt:

And half of that bill [the Green New Deal] is really about social justice… . So I’m not opposed to [all] environmental regulation; it’s just at what cost and, you know, no social justice stuff… . I think in general the policies that she [Ocasio-Cortez] was proposing would do a lot to basically tear at the social fabric of this country, when you start giving groups things as opposed to other groups.

When asked later to reflect on how men and women would respond differently to climate action, a man in urban Tennessee reflected on the costs associated with the decline of the male-breadwinner model, noting, “When men don’t have jobs, women don’t marry them. And when women make more than men, women don’t marry them. So, [climate policies] will affect [men] the most.” Similarly, one man in rural Kentucky responded, “I’m supposed to be able to provide for my family. You take that right away from me where I can’t provide for my family. You’ve taken my identity.” Overall, the U.S. focus groups suggest that psychological costs are an important component of the drawbacks that some American men associate with climate change mitigation.

Turning to the Peru focus groups, we find no evidence that men (or women) perceived decarbonization to have costs relating to their identity or self-expression. One of the ways that psychological costs came up in the U.S. focus groups was through men’s comments about how it would impinge on their freedom. This was not a concern that Peruvians expressed. In fact, most men in Peru saw climate change mitigation as helping workers at the expense of multinational firms. The following quote is representative:

The resources are running out now… . The whole history of Peru has been like that. There was guano, then all the guano ran out, they exploited it; there was rubber, the same thing; now there is gas, oil, until they dry up… . And in the end, this causes climate change [and] environmental pollution. We are already dying little by little, because of who? From the most powerful.

Thus, broader concerns about maintaining Peru’s way of life pushed some men in our Peru focus groups to be more concerned about addressing climate change by seeing benefits, whereas the opposite was more often true in the United States.

The other way that psychological costs were brought up by some men in the U.S. focus groups was in their comments that linked decarbonization to broader social changes, including in gender roles. After reviewing the focus group transcripts in Peru, we found that no participant connected their opposition to climate change policies using language that indicated their resistance to wider social change. Instead, their opposition was framed in terms of the material costs discussed in the preceding section. If anything, as we have discussed, many Peruvian participants, both men and women, expressed openness to social change as part of addressing climate change (34% of men’s statements and 41% of women’s statements). For instance, as one man noted,

I don’t think it would affect us that much… . If we think ahead, it would be worse if we didn’t make changes. We have always adapted to change. You adapt, you adapt to a change… . The biggest problem is if we don’t do anything. I don’t think [policies to combat climate change] would personally affect me that much.”

In summary, our analysis of the survey data and focus group transcripts suggests that men’s attachment to traditional gender hierarchies is more closely linked to their climate concern in wealthier countries. Similarly, men are more attentive to the psychological costs of decarbonization in wealthier countries, as we saw in the U.S. focus groups. Although it is difficult to separate perceived material and psychological costs, we found evidence suggesting that men in wealthier countries are more sensitive to both types of costs.