Hostname: page-component-848d4c4894-x5gtn Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-06-07T13:35:01.495Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Estimation in autoregressive model with measurement error

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  03 October 2014

Jérôme Dedecker
Affiliation:
Laboratoire MAP5 UMR CNRS 8145, Université Paris Descartes, Sorbonne Paris Cité, Paris cedex 6, France
Adeline Samson
Affiliation:
Laboratoire MAP5 UMR CNRS 8145, Université Paris Descartes, Sorbonne Paris Cité, Paris cedex 6, France
Marie-Luce Taupin
Affiliation:
Laboratoire Statistique et Génome, UMR CNRS 8071-USC INRA, Université d’Évry Val d’Essonne, Évry, France. marie-luce.taupin@genopole.cnrs.fr
Get access

Abstract

Consider an autoregressive model with measurement error: we observe Zi = Xi + εi, where the unobserved Xi is a stationary solution of the autoregressive equation Xi = gθ0(Xi − 1) + ξi. The regression function gθ0 is known up to a finite dimensional parameter θ0 to be estimated. The distributions of ξ1 and X0 are unknown and gθ belongs to a large class of parametric regression functions. The distribution of ε0 is completely known. We propose an estimation procedure with a new criterion computed as the Fourier transform of a weighted least square contrast. This procedure provides an asymptotically normal estimator \hbox{$\hat \theta$}θ̂ of θ0, for a large class of regression functions and various noise distributions.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© EDP Sciences, SMAI 2014

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Anderson, B.D.O. and Deistler, M., Identifiability in dynamic errors-in-variables models. J. Time Ser. Anal. 5 (1984) 113. Google Scholar
AngoNze, P., Critères d’ergodicité géométrique ou arithmétique de modèles linéaires perturbés à représentation markovienne. C. R. Acad. Sci. Paris Sér. I Math. 326 (1998) 371376. Google Scholar
Bickel, P.J., Ritov, Y. and Rydén, T., Asymptotic normality of the maximum–likelihood estimator for general hidden Markov models. Ann. Statist. 26 (1998) 16141635. Google Scholar
Bradley, R.C., Basic properties of strong mixing conditions, in Dependence in probability and statistics (Oberwolfach 1985). Boston, MA: Birkhäuser Boston, Progr. Probab. Statist. 11 (1986) 165192. Google Scholar
P.J. Brockwell and R.A. Davis, Time series: theory and methods (Second ed.). Springer Ser. Statistics. New York: Springer-Verlag (1991).
Butucea, C. and Taupin, M.-L., New M-estimators in semiparametric regression with errors in variables. Ann. Inst. Henri Poincaré, Probab. Stat. 44 (2008) 393421. Google Scholar
Chanda, K.C., Large sample analysis of autoregressive moving-average models with errors in variables. J. Time Ser. Anal. 16 (1995) 115. Google Scholar
Chanda, K.C., Asymptotic properties of estimators for autoregressive models with errors in variables. Ann. Statist. 24 (1996) 423430. Google Scholar
Comte, F. and Taupin, M.-L., Semiparametric estimation in the (auto)-regressive β–mixing model with errors-in-variables. Math. Methods Statist. 10 (2001) 121160. Google Scholar
Costa, M. and Alpuim, T., Parameter estimation of state space models for univariate observations. J. Statist. Plann. Inference 140 (2010) 18891902. Google Scholar
J. Dedecker F. Merlevède and M. Peligrad, A quenched weak invariance principle. Technical report, to appear in Ann. Inst. Henri Poincaré Probab. Statist. (2012). http://fr.arxiv.org/abs/math.ST/arxiv:1204.4554
Dedecker, J. and Prieur, C., New dependence coefficients. Examples and applications to statistics. Probab. Theory Relat. Fields 132 (2005) 203236. Google Scholar
Dedecker, J. and Rio, E., On the functional central limit theorem for stationary processes. Ann. Inst. Henri Poincaré Probab. Statist. 36 (2000) 134. Google Scholar
Douc, R. and Matias, C., Asymptotics of the maximum likelihood estimator for general hidden Markov models. Bernoulli 7 (2001) 381420. Google Scholar
Douc, R., Moulines, E., Olsson, J. and van Handel, R., Consistency of the maximum likelihood estimator for general hidden markov models. Ann. Statist. 39 (2011) 474513. Google Scholar
Douc, R., Moulines, É. and Rydén, T., Asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator in autoregressive models with Markov regime. Ann. Statist. 32 (2004) 22542304. Google Scholar
Fuh, C.-D., Efficient likelihood estimation in state space models. Ann. Statist. 34 (2006) 20262068. Google Scholar
Genon−Catalot, V. and Laredo, C., Leroux’s method for general hidden Markov models. Stochastic Process. Appl. 116 (2006) 222243. Google Scholar
Hannan, E.J., The asymptotic theory of linear time−series models. J. Appl. Probab. 10 (1973) 130145.Google Scholar
Jensen, J.L. and Petersen, N.V., Asymptotic normality of the maximum likelihood estimator in state space models. Ann. Statist. 27 (1999) 514535. Google Scholar
Leroux, B.G., Maximum-likelihood estimation for hidden Markov models. Stochastic Process. Appl. 40 (1992) 127143. Google Scholar
Mokkadem, A., Le modèle non linéaire AR(1) général. Ergodicité et ergodicité géométrique. C. R. Acad. Sci. Paris Sér. I Math. 301 (1985) 889892. Google Scholar
Na, S., Lee, S. and Park, H., Sequential empirical process in autoregressive models with measurement errors. J. Statist. Plann. Inference 136 (2006) 42044216. Google Scholar
Nowak, E., Global identification of the dynamic shock-error model. J. Econom. 27 (1985) 211219. Google Scholar
Rio, E., Covariance inequalities for strongly mixing processes. Ann. Inst. Henri Poincaré Probab. Statist. 29 (1993) 587597. Google Scholar
Rosenblatt, M., A central limit theorem and a strong mixing condition. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 42 (1956) 4347. Google Scholar
Staudenmayer, J. and Buonaccorsi, J.P., Measurement error in linear autoregressive models. J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 100 (2005) 841852. Google Scholar
A. Trapletti and K. Hornik, tseries: Time Series Analysis and Computational Finance. R package version 0.10-25 (2011).