The Replication Limit: on Evolutionary Trajectories of Replication-Based Biological Systems

10 June 2024, Version 2
This content is an early or alternative research output and has not been peer-reviewed by Cambridge University Press at the time of posting.

Abstract

The well-known “Fermi paradox”, rather an insightful observation in astrobiology has been discussed at length by the research and general community. In this work, we offer a novel perspective associated with the relationship of timescales of development and response of natural replication-based evolving systems. It is shown that a balance that could lead to a long-term stable development of such systems can be highly unstable and the development trajectory is predisposed to one of the two main tracks: a gradual decline in a harsh environment; or exponential expansion driven by replication, with resulting depletion of the resources. Thus, the possibility of a stable balanced development beyond the planetary level can be strongly suppressed for such systems that can explain ob- served absence of observations of advanced intelligent species at the solar system and higher levels of development.

Keywords

biological systems
replicating systems
astrobiology
Fermi paradox
Drake equation
replication limit
exobiology

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