Book contents
- Sampling in Judgment and Decision Making
- Sampling in Judgment and Decision Making
- Copyright page
- Contents
- Figures
- Tables
- Contributors
- Part I Historical Review of Sampling Perspectives and Major Paradigms
- Part II Sampling Mechanisms
- Part III Consequences of Selective Sampling
- Part IV Truncation and Stopping Rules
- Part V Sampling as a Tool in Social Environments
- Part VI Computational Approaches
- Chapter 20 An Introduction to Psychologically Plausible Sampling Schemes for Approximating Bayesian Inference
- Chapter 21 Approximating Bayesian Inference through Internal Sampling
- Chapter 22 Sampling Data, Beliefs, and Actions
- Index
- References
Chapter 20 - An Introduction to Psychologically Plausible Sampling Schemes for Approximating Bayesian Inference
from Part VI - Computational Approaches
Published online by Cambridge University Press: 01 June 2023
- Sampling in Judgment and Decision Making
- Sampling in Judgment and Decision Making
- Copyright page
- Contents
- Figures
- Tables
- Contributors
- Part I Historical Review of Sampling Perspectives and Major Paradigms
- Part II Sampling Mechanisms
- Part III Consequences of Selective Sampling
- Part IV Truncation and Stopping Rules
- Part V Sampling as a Tool in Social Environments
- Part VI Computational Approaches
- Chapter 20 An Introduction to Psychologically Plausible Sampling Schemes for Approximating Bayesian Inference
- Chapter 21 Approximating Bayesian Inference through Internal Sampling
- Chapter 22 Sampling Data, Beliefs, and Actions
- Index
- References
Summary
The brain must make inferences about, and decisions concerning, a highly complex and unpredictable world, based on sparse evidence. An “ideal” normative approach to such challenges is often modeled in terms of Bayesian probabilistic inference. But for real-world problems of perception, motor control, categorization, language understanding, or commonsense reasoning, exact probabilistic calculations are computationally intractable. Instead, we suggest that the brain solves these hard probability problems approximately, by considering one, or a few, samples from the relevant distributions. Here we provide a gentle introduction to the various sampling algorithms that have been considered as the approximation used by the brain. We broadly summarize these algorithms according to their level of knowledge and their assumptions regarding the target distribution, noting their strengths and weaknesses, their previous applications to behavioural phenomena, as well as their psychological plausibility.
Keywords
- Type
- Chapter
- Information
- Sampling in Judgment and Decision Making , pp. 467 - 489Publisher: Cambridge University PressPrint publication year: 2023