Skip to main content Accessibility help
×
Hostname: page-component-7479d7b7d-fwgfc Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-07-12T22:54:46.387Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

8 - General picture and problems of causality

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  28 October 2009

Axel Hadenius
Affiliation:
Uppsala Universitet, Sweden
Get access

Summary

Several ideas pertinent to the requisites of democracy have been reviewed and subjected to empirical testing in the preceding pages. The chaff has thereby been separated from the wheat. The method of this division took the form of a stepwise regression. The possible explanatory factors which already at the first scrutiny could not display significant association – or which lost this quality in later stages – were then disregarded. However, a problem is inherent in this approach. The risk is that those which fall short of the limit would have done better if they had been included at a later stage of the analysis. Indeed, it usually happens that on controlling for more variables, associations either persist (by and large) throughout or decline to an ever-marked extent. This circumstance motivated the layout chosen here. But there are, of course, exceptions; those which appear ‘dead’ can ‘revive’ when further attributes are included in the regression.

Moreover, it is not self-evident to demand the significance level – at least 0.05 on double-sided (two-tailed) testing – which is here applied. In some similar studies a lower limit was used (e.g., in the form of only a one-sided test at the said level). Thus, it would be worth trying to find out whether the final result is essentially changed if a lower standard of significance is used.

For this reason, we have performed a series of regressions, where from the start all the attributes of any interest were included. Variables such as the percentage employed in service, trade with the EC, fragmentation, island states, colonial background, etc.

Type
Chapter
Information
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 1992

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Save book to Kindle

To save this book to your Kindle, first ensure coreplatform@cambridge.org is added to your Approved Personal Document E-mail List under your Personal Document Settings on the Manage Your Content and Devices page of your Amazon account. Then enter the ‘name’ part of your Kindle email address below. Find out more about saving to your Kindle.

Note you can select to save to either the @free.kindle.com or @kindle.com variations. ‘@free.kindle.com’ emails are free but can only be saved to your device when it is connected to wi-fi. ‘@kindle.com’ emails can be delivered even when you are not connected to wi-fi, but note that service fees apply.

Find out more about the Kindle Personal Document Service.

Available formats
×

Save book to Dropbox

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Dropbox.

Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

Available formats
×