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Fifth commentary: The use and abuse of accounting profit data

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  06 July 2010

Harold Demsetz
Affiliation:
University of California, Los Angeles
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Summary

It is one thing to question the sensibility of assuming that businesspersons seek to maximize profit, but there can be no doubt that business profit is a widely used index of performance. The government, investors, and people in business all pay attention to profit as measured by accountants. And so do economists. Accounting profit rates play important roles in assessing the national economic condition, in forecasts of business investment and tax revenues, and, as discussed in the prior commentary, in assessing whether stock prices overshoot earnings performance. In attempting to test the market concentration doctrine, economists consistently examine the relationship between market concentration and accounting profit rates or some derivative of these rates. These are only a small fraction of the uses to which accounting profit data are put. Reliability, or the lack thereof, of these data has important and extensive consequences.

Doubts about our ability to measure profit rates accurately are long standing. Adam Smith's theory of the decentralized economy put the theoretical role of profit at the center of the allocation mechanism, but he was skeptical about our ability to measure profit accurately.

It is not easy, it has already been observed, to ascertain what are average wages of labour even in a particular place … We can … seldom determine more than what are the most usual wages. But even this can seldom be done with regard to the profits of stock. Profit is so very fluctuating, that the person who carries on a particular trade cannot always tell you himself what is the average of annual profit. […]

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Chapter
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The Economics of the Business Firm
Seven Critical Commentaries
, pp. 92 - 109
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 1995

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