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6 - CAT Risk Management

from Part III - CAT Risk Management

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  08 November 2024

Arnaud Mignan
Affiliation:
Mignan Risk Analytics Gmbh, Switzerland, and Institute of Risk Analysis, Prediction & Management (Risks-X), SUSTech, Shenzhen, China
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Summary

This final chapter demonstrates how the catastrophe (CAT) models described in previous chapters can be used as inputs for CAT risk management. CAT model outputs, which can translate into actionable strategies, are risk metrics such as the average annual loss, exceedance probability curves, and values at risk (as defined in Chapter 3). Practical applications include risk transfer via insurance and CAT bonds, as well as risk reduction, consisting of reducing exposure, hazard, or vulnerability. The forecasting of perils (such as tropical cyclones and earthquakes) is explored, as well as strategies of decision-making under uncertainty. The overarching concept of risk governance, which includes risk assessment, management, and communication between various stakeholders, is illustrated with the case study of seismic risk at geothermal plants. This scenario exemplifies how CAT modelling is central in the trade-off between energy security and public safety and how large uncertainties impact risk perceptions and decisions.

Type
Chapter
Information
Introduction to Catastrophe Risk Modelling
A Physics-based Approach
, pp. 235 - 275
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2024

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  • CAT Risk Management
  • Arnaud Mignan, Mignan Risk Analytics Gmbh, Switzerland, and Institute of Risk Analysis, Prediction & Management (Risks-X), SUSTech, Shenzhen, China
  • Book: Introduction to Catastrophe Risk Modelling
  • Online publication: 08 November 2024
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009437370.012
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  • CAT Risk Management
  • Arnaud Mignan, Mignan Risk Analytics Gmbh, Switzerland, and Institute of Risk Analysis, Prediction & Management (Risks-X), SUSTech, Shenzhen, China
  • Book: Introduction to Catastrophe Risk Modelling
  • Online publication: 08 November 2024
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009437370.012
Available formats
×

Save book to Google Drive

To save content items to your account, please confirm that you agree to abide by our usage policies. If this is the first time you use this feature, you will be asked to authorise Cambridge Core to connect with your account. Find out more about saving content to Google Drive.

  • CAT Risk Management
  • Arnaud Mignan, Mignan Risk Analytics Gmbh, Switzerland, and Institute of Risk Analysis, Prediction & Management (Risks-X), SUSTech, Shenzhen, China
  • Book: Introduction to Catastrophe Risk Modelling
  • Online publication: 08 November 2024
  • Chapter DOI: https://doi.org/10.1017/9781009437370.012
Available formats
×