Internet Explorer 11 is being discontinued by Microsoft in August 2021.
If you have difficulties viewing the site on Internet Explorer 11 we
recommend using a different browser such as Microsoft Edge, Google
Chrome, Apple Safari or Mozilla Firefox.
,Mignan Risk Analytics Gmbh, Switzerland, and Institute of Risk Analysis, Prediction & Management (Risks-X), SUSTech, Shenzhen, China
Description
Focusing on the physics of the catastrophe process and addressed directly to advanced students, this innovative textbook quantifies dozens of perils, both natural and man-made, and covers the latest developments in catastrophe modelling. Combining basic statistics, applied physics, natural and environmental sciences, civil engineering, and psychology, the text remains at an introductory level, focusing on fundamental concepts for a comprehensive understanding of catastrophe phenomenology and risk quantification. A broad spectrum of perils are covered, including geophysical, hydrological, meteorological, climatological, biological,…
Comprehensive overview of 42 natural and man-made perils, providing a comprehensive 'go to' text on catastrophe risk modelling
Step-by-step guidance on how to build a simplified CAT risk model from scratch
Hazard and risk assessed probabilistically, following the standard methods used by reinsurers, catastrophe risk model vendors, and civil protection agencies
Simple models provided for dozens of perils, in the form of analytical expressions, simple algorithms and pseudocodes
Catastrophe ontology, based on first principle rules and commonalities between perils, that describes any peril following the same modelling procedure, from hazard to risk
Text enlivened with historical and cultural references
Consideration of future horizons in modelling, including coverage of more speculative or complex perils such as asteroid impacts, pest infestations, social unrest, cascading failures, complex Earth systems with the role of global warming quantified
Arnaud Mignan,Mignan Risk Analytics Gmbh, Switzerland, and Institute of Risk Analysis, Prediction & Management (Risks-X), SUSTech, Shenzhen, China
Arnaud Mignan is a renowned expert in catastrophe risk assessment, who has worked at leading firms and institutes in London, Zurich, and Shenzhen over the past two decades. He developed innovative models while at Risk Management Solutions and catastrophic domino-effect models – featured in a national newspaper and Euronews – while at the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology. Later, as an associate professor at the Institute of Risk Analysis, Prediction and Management (Risks-X), established by the Southern University of Science and Technology (SUSTech) and a guest professor at the ETH Risk Center in Zurich, he crafted the course Introduction to Catastrophe Risk Modelling. Since 2023, he has been CEO of Mignan Risk Analytics GmbH and acts as a leading specialist for the World Bank.