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Comment: Assessing the uncertainty in long-term fiscal projections

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  22 September 2009

Pablo Antolin
Affiliation:
Oecd
Juha M. Alho
Affiliation:
University of Joensuu, Finland
Svend E. Hougaard Jensen
Affiliation:
Odense Universitet, Denmark
Jukka Lassila
Affiliation:
Research Institute of the Finnish Economy
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Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Print publication year: 2008

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References

Alho, J. M. and Spencer, B. D. (2005). Statistical Demography and Forecasting. New York: Springer.Google Scholar
Antolin, P. (2007). ‘Longevity Risk and Private Pensions’. OECD Working Papers on Insurance and Private Pensions Paris.CrossRef
Continuous Mortality Investigation (2004). ‘Projecting Future Mortality: a Discussion Paper’. Working Paper 3, Mortality Committee, Institute of Actuaries, London.
Continuous Mortality Investigation (2005). ‘Projecting Future Mortality: Towards a Proposal for a Stochastic Methodology’. Working Paper 15, Mortality Committee, Institute of Actuaries, London.
Continuous Mortality Investigation (2006). ‘Stochastic Projection Methodologies: Further Progress and P-spline Model Features, Example Results and Implications’. Working Paper 20, Mortality Committee, Institute of Actuaries, London.
European Commission (2006). The Impact of Ageing Populations on Public Spending: Projections for the EU25 Member States on Pensions, Health Care, Long-term Care, Education and Unemployment Transfers. European Economy, Special Report no. 1/2006. Brussels.
Eurostat (2005). ‘EUROPOP2004: Methodology for Drafting Mortality Assumptions’, Brussels.
Hollmann, F. W., Mulder, T. J., and Kallan, J. E. (2000). ‘Methodology and Assumptions for the Population Projections of the United States: 1999–2100’. Working Paper 38, Population Division, Burean of the Census, Washington, DC.
King, M. (2004). ‘What Fate Imposes: Facing up to Uncertainty’. The Eighth British Academy Annual Lecture, London.Google Scholar
United Nations (2004). World Population Prospects: The 2002 Revision. New York.

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