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Free Oscillations of the Earth Climate System: A Theory of the 100 kyr Climate Cycle

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  20 January 2017

R.M. MacKay
Affiliation:
Institute of Atmospheric Sciences, Oregon Graduate Center, Beaverton, OR 97006, U.S.A.
M.A.K. Khalil
Affiliation:
Institute of Atmospheric Sciences, Oregon Graduate Center, Beaverton, OR 97006, U.S.A.
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Abstract

A physically plausible theory of the 100 kyr climate cycle is proposed. Free oscillations between the mean ocean temperature and the marine ice-margin colatitude are shown to exist without requiring orbital forcing. It is shown that the curvature of the Earth causes two effects: (1) as the marine ice margin grows towards the equator, the net emmision of radiation (solar and terrestrial) per unit surface area increases; and (2) as the poleward extent of the ocean decreases, the net absorption of radiation per unit surface area increases. These radiation balance considerations, included with a realistic meridional transport of energy from the ocean to the marine-ice region and an atmospheric feedback process enhancing the ocean warming, are combined to form two nonlinear differential equations coupling the mean ocean temperature with the marine-ice margin colatitude. Using physically realistic parameters we are able to reproduce the major features of the 100 kyr climate cycle. This can be seen from Figure I which shows the δ18O record as given by Imbrie and others (1984), plotted against the model output. In addition we have found that the parameters used to obtain the general features of the ice-volume record also predict temperature “spikes” (1 to 2 K. above average) of relatively short duration (5 to 10 kyr) in the mean ocean temperature. We find that there is good qualitative agreement between the model's predicted mean ocean temperature and the estimation of summer sea-surface temperature at RC11-120 presented by Martinson and others (1987).

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © International Glaciological Society 1990

Fig. 1. Comparison of modeled variations in marine-ice extent (solid line: colatitude measured in radians) to the smooth-stacked Δ18O record (dashed line) presented by Imbrie and others (1984). The Δ18O values have been normalized for the above presentation.

References

Imbrie, J, and 8 others. 1984. The orbital theory of Pleistocene climate: support from a revised chronology of the marine Δ18O record. In Berger, A, Imbrie, J, Hays, J, Kukla, G, and Saltzman, B, eds. Milankovilch and climate. Part 1. Dordrecht, D. Reidel Publishing Company, 269305. (NATO ASI Ser. C 126.)Google Scholar
Martinson, D.G, Pisias, N.G, Hays, J.D, Imbrie, J, Moore, T.C, jr, and Shackleton, N.J. 1987. Age dating and the orbital theory of the ice ages: development of a high-resolution 0 to 300,000-year chronostratigraphy. Quat. Res., 27(1), 129.Google Scholar
Figure 0

Fig. 1. Comparison of modeled variations in marine-ice extent (solid line: colatitude measured in radians) to the smooth-stacked Δ18O record (dashed line) presented by Imbrie and others (1984). The Δ18O values have been normalized for the above presentation.