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But does the nudge fit? Institutional structure and behavioural insights

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  02 November 2022

Weston Merrick*
Affiliation:
Humphrey School of Public Affairs, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis 55455, MN, USA
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Abstract

Behavioural science has found growing application in applied public policy settings, offering a vast literature to bring to bear on apparent cognitive errors. The potential, however, is not without peril. Policymakers and scholars may draw unwarranted confidence that successful behavioural interventions from elsewhere will replicate in their institutional settings. In this research, I partner with Minneapolis Public Housing and use a design-based approach to identify interventions that can reduce eviction actions. This study presents three vignettes that demonstrate and categorize the mistakes behavioural science can make when it fails to understand how formal and informal institutional features influence decision-making. But, in integrating methods and theories from the design sciences, public policy and public administration, we have the potential to create behavioural interventions that fit the social context.

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Copyright © The Author(s), 2022. Published by Cambridge University Press

Introduction

‘I do not like it at all … It's just so demeaning’, LisaFootnote 1 remarked to a group of her fellow public housing residents convened to review a draft behaviourally informed late rent reminder letter. ‘Oh, I already know what part you're talking about, Lisa … ’ another resident chimed in. ‘“The majority of your neighbours are up to date”. I mean come on! Who cares if my neighbours paid? That's not their business’. The room bristled in agreement. ‘That part is just such a put down’.

This draft letter, created using the behavioural literature, was disliked by all 12 assembled residents. While they had many critiques, the largest outcry came from the commonly employed behavioural technique of peer norming. The seemingly neutral phrasing was imbued with meaning through residents’ past negative interactions with Minneapolis Public Housing Agency (MPHA). Instead of nudging residents to pay rent or ask for help, the phrase aroused annoyance and anger. Only by co-designing this intervention with residents did we narrowly miss mailing a nudge that may have produced unintended consequences.

In the last two decades, behavioural science has found a growing application in government. This integration offers the public sector a vast literature to bring to bear on apparent cognitive errors, often to great effect. As MPHA residents showed in the above story, this potential, however, is not without peril. Policymakers and scholars, themselves bounded, may draw unwarranted confidence that successful behavioural interventions may replicate elsewhere.

This was my experience in a 14-month collaboration with Minneapolis Public Housing to apply behavioural insights to eviction prevention. I found participant choices – themselves based on past experience, current context and future expectations – consistently interacted with extant informal and formal institutional structureFootnote 2 to produce unexpected outcomes. Attempts to change choice architecture neither landed on virgin soil, nor were interpreted apart from participant's experience with the institution. In other words, the social embeddedness of behavioural interventions matters.

This paper combines a design-based approach and theories on the production of social systems to probe the subconscious routines and schemas that influence choice. I present and discuss three vignettes that demonstrate the importance of working closely with system participants to understand how they make decisions.

In so doing, it builds on burgeoning the subfields of Behavioural Public Policy (BPP) and Behavioural Public Administration (BPA) to apply knowledge of how decisions are impacted by both individual and collective factors (Oliver, Reference Oliver2013, Reference Oliver2017; Grimmelikhuijsen et al., Reference Grimmelikhuijsen, Jilke, Olsen and Tummers2017; Bhanot & Linos, Reference Bhanot and Linos2019; Ewert & Loer, Reference Ewert and Loer2020). It also reinforces broader calls that BPP and BPA must not merely be a one-way transfer of knowledge from behavioural science to public policy and administration but incorporate a full array of methods and theories to inform theory and practice (Battaglio et al., Reference Battaglio, Belardinelli, Bellé and Cantarelli2019; Carboni et al., Reference Carboni, Dickey, Moulton, O’Keefe, O’Leary, Piotrowski and Sandfort2019; Feitsma & Whitehead, Reference Feitsma and Whitehead2019; Bertelli & Riccucci, Reference Bertelli and Riccucci2020). It joins others in pushing us behavioural scientists closer to Simon's vision of a ‘design science’ that marshals evidence to improve organizational function (Simon, Reference Simon1968; Moynihan, Reference Moynihan2018; Bertelli et al., Reference Bertelli, Riccucci, Canterelli, Cucciniello, Grose, John, Linos, Thomas and Williams2022).

Behavioural insights, the micro, meso and macro

Behavioural science understands that individuals are not robots making choices based on economic rationality, but instead exhibit predictable cognitive, social and emotional shortcomings (Mullainathan & Thaler, Reference Mullainathan and Thaler2000; Thaler & Sunstein, Reference Thaler and Sunstein2008). As the costs of participation increase, like requiring employment verification or conducting intrusive interviews, fewer people participate in social safety net programs (Currie, Reference Currie2004; Herd & Moynihan, Reference Herd and Moynihan2018). Recent scholarship has shown conditions of scarcity can exacerbate cognitive errors and undermine attempts to attain or retain public benefits (Mullainathan & Shafir, Reference Mullainathan and Shafir2013). This means procedural frictions are, perversely, more likely to sever assistance for the most vulnerable, like indigent and elderly residents of public housing.

Here, behavioural science also offers a path forward: reshaping decision environments to reflect our boundedness. While there are many ways to align short-term actions with long-term desires, one common tool are nudges, or small changes to choice architecture that alter micro-level decision-making in a predictable way without restricting choice (Thaler & Sunstein, Reference Thaler and Sunstein2008).

In this research, I set out to understand how public housing residents’ individual cognitive errors were increasing the likelihood of evictions and make changes to choice architecture to improve outcomes. While only one prior piece of research (Fitzhugh et al., Reference Fitzhugh, Park and Nolan2018), looks specifically at nudging payment of arrears in public housing, there are ample behaviourally informed studies that sought to reduce debt for low-income individuals in similar domains, like taxes (Hallsworth, Reference Hallsworth2014; Castro & Scartascini, Reference Castro and Scartascini2015; John, Reference John2018; Chirico et al., Reference Chirico, Inman, Loeffler, MacDonald and Sieg2019), credit cards (Adams et al., Reference Adams, Guttman-Kenney, Hayes, Hunt, Laibson and Stewart2018; Medina, Reference Medina2021) and child support (Richburg-Hayes et al., Reference Richburg-Hayes, Anzelone and Dechausay2017). These papers tend to prioritize the theories and quantitative methods of psychology and economics and opens them to the critique that they fail to discuss how the research actually revealed the latent cognitive process it purports to target (Sunstein, Reference Sunstein2019).

Two of the above – Richburg-Hayes, Anzelone, and Dechausay and Fitzhugh, Park, and Nolan – richly describe their interaction with system participants that revealed setting-specific cognitive errors. Each documents biases, like locus of control, cognitive scarcity, procrastination, information aversion and salience, and describe selecting interventions that fit the individual and institutional context. Neither, however, systematically reflects on how the institution shaped participants’ understanding of alternatives nor considers the social structure to be mutable.

In the fieldwork, I found this relationship between system participants and social structure impossible to ignore. This was not a one-time game. Residents interacted with the same architecture repeatedly, changing their interpretation of it. Residents’ interactions with MPHA staff influenced organizational deployment of resources and frontline interpretation of organizational policies. In that way, the meso-level structures were, themselves, an amalgamation of the individual actions of system participants and societal or macro-level forces.

Scholars refer to this process of how social systems – through schemas, resources and routines – are produced and reproduced over time and space as Structuration Theory (Giddens, Reference Giddens1984; Sewell, Reference Sewell1992). In this theory, schemas are the building blocks of social systems. They can be formal rules or informal norms, but both create ‘shared understandings among those involved that refer to enforced prescriptions about what actions are required, prohibited, or permitted’ (Ostrom, Reference Ostrom2011: 17). Resources are ‘anything that can serve as a source of power in social interactions’ (Sewell, Reference Sewell1992: 9). Resources, usually identified as money, also include knowledge, material artefacts and time. Routines are the everyday interactions that teach and reinforce participants their relationship to schemas and resources.

Schemas, resources and routines represent both the medium and product of the individual actions that constitute a system, or what Giddens (Reference Giddens1984) refers to as a Duality of Structure. Individuals interact, reflect and learn, and this collective knowledge becomes part of the social structure. Because of this, the individual actions of system participants and structure they interact with cannot be disentangled. The value of Structuration is, therefore, not in isolating cause and effect, but as a useful sensitizing device for researchers looking for patterns and levers to alter behaviour (Giddens, Reference Giddens1984; Turner, Reference Turner1986; Soss, Reference Soss2018).

Careful readers may notice a heretofore absence of societal-level or macro-level features. For pragmatic reasons, this research focused on identifying micro-level errors and using this information to influence staff to update meso-level social structures (Moynihan, Reference Moynihan2018; Roberts, Reference Roberts2019; Bertelli et al., Reference Bertelli, Riccucci, Canterelli, Cucciniello, Grose, John, Linos, Thomas and Williams2022). That said, macro-level forces, such as public values, technology and capital resources, have a profound power on institutions – with the current zeitgeist constricting or liberating the ability to change them (North, Reference North1990; Moulton & Sandfort, Reference Moulton and Sandfort2017; Jilke et al., Reference Jilke, Olsen, Resh and Siddiki2019). That was the case in this project, where increasing national and local attention to evictions primed MPHA's willingness to make change.

Consideration of all the macro-, meso- and micro levels of social structures would have been obvious to early public administration scholars (Jilke et al., Reference Jilke, Olsen, Resh and Siddiki2019). Herbert Simon wrote on the importance of integrating understanding of bounded rationality in the study of administration, declaring ‘for the man who wishes to explore the pure science of administration, it will dictate at least a thorough grounding in social psychology’ (Simon, Reference Simon1947: 202, Reference Simon1955). Understanding our bounded nature impacts organizational performance, he created the design sciences to train managers to move current conditions to a more desirable state (Simon, Reference Simon1968; Barzelay, Reference Barzelay2019).

The paper uses those principles of design sciences to create behavioural interventions that fit the social and political context of an individual (Moynihan, Reference Moynihan2018; Sanders et al., Reference Sanders, Snijders and Hallsworth2018; Bhanot & Linos, Reference Bhanot and Linos2019; Feitsma & Whitehead, Reference Feitsma and Whitehead2019; Ewert & Loer, Reference Ewert and Loer2020; Ewert et al., Reference Ewert, Loer and Thomann2021). By reflecting on the power of both individual and collective forces, we can help create practical insights to improve policy design and implementation (Grimmelikhuijsen et al., Reference Grimmelikhuijsen, Jilke, Olsen and Tummers2017; Jilke et al., Reference Jilke, Olsen, Resh and Siddiki2019; Moseley & Thomann, Reference Moseley and Thomann2021).

Method

From February 2019 to June 2020, I partnered with Minneapolis Public Housing Authority (MPHA) on a design-based process to reduce eviction actions. While ample design approaches exist, all seek to create innovation by iteratively moving between exploring a problem, generating alternatives and implementing solutions (Ansell & Torfing, Reference Ansell and Torfing2014; van Buuren et al., Reference van Buuren, Lewis, Peters and Voorberg2020; Romme & Meijer, Reference Romme and Meijer2020). To accomplish this design-based research uses conventional tools from social science, like interviews, observation and descriptive statistics (detailed description of methods and sources in Appendix A). Employing these multiple methods helps reveal the tacit knowledge and latent desires of system participants (Greene & Benjamin, Reference Greene and Benjamin2001) and ‘[enhance] our beliefs that the results are valid and not a methodological artifact’ (Bouchard, Reference Bouchard1976: 278).

After the initial exploration, I brought this qualitative and quantitative data back to staff and residents to analyse together. These sessions developed hypotheses and related ‘probes’ – small, safe-to-fail actions that can ‘create a pattern of activity that can be either stabilized and amplified if generating positive results or dampened if there are no positive consequences’ (Sandfort, Reference Sandfort, Stazyk and Frederickson2018: 479). In this way, the data collection was pragmatic, and used for ‘purposive theorizing’ – or a way of predicting so as to act (Barzelay, Reference Barzelay2019).

This logic differs from inductive reasoning to validate theoretical concept or from deductive reasoning to generalize empirical laws to new contexts. Instead, design uses abductive reasoning that starts with a desired outcome and questions how to arrange available elements (what) and pattern of relationships in the system (how) to arrive at that outcome – in this case, improving public housing outcomes (Cross, Reference Cross2011; Hermus et al., Reference Hermus, van Buuren and Bekkers2020). Design rejects the notion that scientific discovery is value-neutral, ahistorical, and that important scientific contributions are self-evident; instead, it follows pragmatism and interpretivism in embracing doubt, following hunches and chasing discovery alongside participants (Polanyi, Reference Polanyi1966; Locke & Golden-Biddle, Reference Locke and Golden-Biddle1997; Locke et al., Reference Locke, Golden-Biddle and Feldman2008; Ansell, Reference Ansell2011).

While my broader project with MPHA looked to this abductive process to identify, implement and test interventions to reduce eviction actions, the process revealed a picture of structure and behaviour that this paper interrogates.

The case of Minneapolis Public Housing

MPHA is one of Minnesota's largest landlords, managing over 6,000 publicly run units and administrating 5,000 private-market vouchers. This project focused on the 10,500 residents living in MPHA's publicly run units. By design, residents are vulnerable, with a high proportion of individuals with disabilities and who are refugees and seniors. Residents also tend to be extremely poor, with 81% of household reporting incomes below $20,000 in 2018 (detailed demographics in Appendix B). Residents in publicly run units are far also more likely to be Black, Indigenous and people of colour than all Minneapolis residents, 83% to 40% (U.S. Census Bureau, 2018).

In public housing, rent is income dependent. Residents recertify their income annually and must report any interim changes. These potential fluctuations require that MPHA send a monthly rent statement to each household. Once received, most residents purchase and mail a money order. If residents are 45 days delinquent, MPHA refers the debt to court. The court issues a $350 fine and order to appear (collectively called an unlawful detainer). If residents fail to appear or pay, they are evicted. In 2018, the court issued 325 unlawful detainers to MPHA residents and evicted 98 residents. Given tight margins, the fear of going to court exacted high psychological costs on residents beyond the relatively small number of those summoned, with 40% of residents we surveyed worried about paying rent in at least one month over the last year.

In the days between statement and court action, there is an involved process for paying rent and getting help. To understand the formal and informal routes, I followed past literature (Datta & Mullainathan, Reference Datta and Mullainathan2014; Richburg-Hayes et al., Reference Richburg-Hayes, Anzelone and Dechausay2017) in mapping user behaviour to find critical points influencing outcomes (Appendix C). Initial scoping showed that three areas – automatic withdrawal, late payment reminders and emergency assistance (EA) – were fertile grounds to apply behavioural insights. In the examination of each, there arose a complex context that informed micro-level decision-making.

Automatic withdraw

Since 2015, MPHA has offered a program for its residents to pay rent by automatically withdrawing from a bank account. Despite the convenience, the majority of residents mail payment. In a resident survey, the most common reason for not signing up was lack of program knowledge. When confronted with this data, staff were surprised, holding a schema that the automatic withdrawal program was well known. The information opened staff to deploy resources to make a change. Here, behavioural science may prescribe a simple informational nudge (Fiske et al., Reference Fiske, Morling and Stevens1996; Bhargava & Manoli, Reference Bhargava and Manoli2015; Faulkner et al., Reference Faulkner, Borg, Bragge, Curtis, Goodwin and Jorgensen2018).

While a low-cost notification may be beneficial, further resident interviews revealed salience alone does not explain low uptake. Many residents have a trusted payment routine. Any change in this status quo, in their mind, increases the chance an error puts their home at risk (Samuelson & Zeckhauser, Reference Samuelson and Zeckhauser1988; Kahneman et al., Reference Kahneman, Knetsch and Thaler1991). As one elderly tenant shared, she would love to not have to remember to pay every month but enjoyed the peace of mind of mailing a money order. ‘I think as we get older, we don't trust the system. And we really didn't do much with computers. So, I don't know if the trust is there’. In other words, resident preferred a known risk to an unknown risk, often referred to as ambiguity aversion (Ellsberg, Reference Ellsberg1961; Thaler & Sunstein, Reference Thaler and Sunstein2008).

Her interview and others like it revealed a lack of understanding of how automatic withdrawal worked. In the face of this ambiguity, rumours of failings were common. Many interviewees heard stories that automatic withdrawal pulled money from an account too late or too early, leaving unpaid rent and a not sufficient funds (NSF) charge. MPHA's own payment system data showed NSF charges were rare, but rumours of riskiness would be an impediment to any salience-targeting nudge.

This was a common feature of potential changes to nudges. Efforts by MPHA – particularly those by central office ‘pencil pushers’ – were viewed with suspicion. Nudges are interpreted through previous interactions with the nudger. ‘If decision makers distrust the benevolence and competence of a choice architect they will tend to be sceptical of the options the architect appears to endorse’ (Krijnen et al., Reference Krijnen, Tannenbaum and Fox2017: 5). Trusted intermediaries often were necessary to overcome reticence of the faceless bureaucrat.

Those that signed up for automatic withdrawal loved it but tended to have routines that fostered trust in staff, such as participating in resident council or socializing in public areas. For instance, one Somali property manager with a large East African population used her strong bond, established through routines that placed her in contact with residents often, with residents to motivate sign-up. If an oft-late-paying resident brought a check book to her office, she would say, ‘I don't want you to stress about MPHA getting [the rent]’. If they agreed to sign-up for automatic withdrawal, she'd complete the paperwork and append the needed voided check on the spot. This relationship shifted how residents categorized automatic withdrawal, better aligning their actions and self-defined, long-term goals.

To re-allocate resources toward making automatic withdrawal more widely used required updating staff schema. The design-based work revealed where and how to target cognitive errors, and spurred action by the organization.

Late payment reminders

If a resident has not paid rent by the middle of the month, MPHA sends a compliance-driven late payment reminder (Figure 1). Residents universally shared a sense of dread upon receiving it for the first time. They were left to wonder, ‘am I already too late? Is there anything I can still do?’

Figure 1. Non-payment of rent letter.

This fear produced different reactions. Some flew into a flurry, rushing to access trusted resources. Social workers, residents and property managers were instrumental in calming the fear and prompting action. One resident shared, ‘I have one lady that was in a crisis. She was crying and came to my apartment. I said, “No, read it. It's telling you that you have to the end of the month to pay … They're giving you time. Don't worry, you have time.”’

For other residents, their response was to freeze. As one elderly resident put it, ‘I was in a panic because I didn't know what to do. I didn't know where to turn. And I just kind of ignored it. I just was that hoping it would go away’. In a system quick to punish non-payment, avoiding the problem is irrational, like an ostrich sticking its head in the sand (Mullainathan & Shafir, Reference Mullainathan and Shafir2013; Haushofer & Fehr, Reference Haushofer and Fehr2014). By the time a resident receives the rent termination warning letter, they are 30 days or fewer away from a court hearing and fine, while it can take up to 30 days to get available cash assistance (for the full eviction process map, see Appendix C).

To help delinquent residents, staff had an established routine to call and knock on doors and, as court drew closer, reach out to their neighbours, family and caseworkers. This was the case for woman that hoped the threat of eviction would just ‘go away’ – an attentive property manager noticed she was behind and reached out to her caseworker. As she shared, ‘I consider myself to be lucky because a lot of people don't have that safety net … If it wasn't for that that fact … ’ before trailing off.

After repeatedly hearing about the negative outcomes associated with the letter, I convened a resident design lab to change it (Hanington & Martin, Reference Hanington and Martin2012). My initial theory was that we needed to emphasize that residents saving their home was within their own agency or locus of control (Rotter, Reference Rotter1966; Oreg et al., Reference Oreg, Vakola and Armenakis2011). As residents talked about their experience, however, it was clear they interpreted the letter's words through their impressions of the sender. Like automatic withdrawal, their past interactions with MPHA weighed heavily on their understanding of the message. For many, they believed fear was the point.

As noted in the introduction, the harshest response from residents was the use of a peer norming language in the nudge. They found the idea of being compared to neighbours ‘demeaning’, ‘discriminatory’, ‘belittling’ and ‘bullying’. They immediately connected the facially neutral phrasing to past negative incidents with frontline staff. ‘Who wrote this?’ one resident asked; ‘Terry’, another immediately answered, without any knowledge of the drafting process (Terry, a rent collection agent, was not a participant). Benign words combined with previous experience to take on a hostile attribution, a bias heretofore missed (Nasby et al., Reference Nasby, Hayden and DePaulo1980).

Unlike the intent received by residents, MPHA's stated goal was not intimidation. Instead, the letter was a federal requirement mechanized by the bureaucracy and routinized over decades. When asked, staff believed the letter was, ‘if not perfect, perfectly good enough’. And lack of payment was ‘due to this pattern [residents] have established for themselves’; a frontline sentiment that reflects a combination of micro-, meso- and macro-forces. This creates a difficult-to-displace schema in staff, identified here as the availability heuristic, that inhibited an organizational change that could improve resident wellbeing (Peeters, Reference Peeters2019; Christensen et al., Reference Christensen, Aarøe, Baekgaard, Herd and Moynihan2020; Guul et al., Reference Guul, Pedersen and Petersen2021; Moseley & Thomann, Reference Moseley and Thomann2021).

Late payment reminders have two primary implications for policy entrepreneurs looking to improve communications to residents. First, behavioural interventions need to tread carefully to avoid resident schemas that produce reactance; in this case, the focus groups revealed recipients were much more amenable to notions of procedural fairness and tangible actions residents could take to pay. Second, implementation of behavioural interventions must be consistent with organizational behaviour. In this case, MPHA needed to alter staff schemas around the reasons for resident's behaviour to allow for a modest shift to late payment reminders.

Emergency assistance

In the first two examples, paying attention to social structure revealed new interpretations of and influences on cognitive errors, as well as identified implementation considerations. In those cases, it was MPHA's own organizational arrangements that hindered progress. In other places, the broader housing system created systems that harmed results. Therefore, MPHA organically developed efforts to reduce procedural frictions.

The state of Minnesota allocates a portion of its Temporary Assistance for Needy Families block grant to counties to help low-income residents in a housing emergency. This EA program, however, was underused. My process mapping suggested potential problems of program salience and inertia (Madrian & Shea, Reference Madrian and Shea2001; Thaler & Sunstein, Reference Thaler and Sunstein2008; Chetty et al., Reference Chetty, Looney and Kroft2009; Bhargava & Manoli, Reference Bhargava and Manoli2015); it also revealed there was a successful, small-scale effort already underway to address resident biases.

For EA, frontline staff identified that the requirement to provide Hennepin County staff with the documented ‘proof’ of an emergency was a burden. To lessen resident compliance cost, the agency used its institutional clout to push the county to accept the existing late payment reminder letter. This meant all residents behind on rent would have proof at the start of the process.

Process mapping also revealed few seek EA by themselves. EA requires residents – already facing conditions of scarcity – to complete invasive interviews and detailed paperwork on income and savings. As one resident shared, ‘[The frontline workers] were not nice … They threatened me. She told me you know we're going to take over your finances. I said “you're not touching my money.”’ In many cases, residents do not have the social and cognitive resources to complete the process or, having interacted with EA in the recent past, are unwilling to repeat it. This was the case for the above resident, who instead of getting this benefit for which she was eligible, got a loan from a member of her church congregation.

Taken in the context of this vulnerable population, failure to complete the process is unsurprising. Interviewees shared stories of residents with memory loss, mental illness or addiction that impeded timely payment. These periods of permanent or temporary diminished executive functioningFootnote 3 that humans exhibit under conditions of scarcity can make it difficult to engage in ‘deliberate thought processes such as forming goals, planning ahead, carrying out a goal-directed plan, and performing effectively’ (Dean et al., Reference Dean, Schilbach and Schofield2016): 6). In that way, the factors that give rise to the need for help are the same that make it difficult to overcome administrative burdens (Mullainathan & Shafir, Reference Mullainathan and Shafir2013; Herd & Moynihan, Reference Herd and Moynihan2018). The conditions create self-reinforcing behavioural biases.

To support individuals overcoming more intensive barriers, MPHA and local governments and non-profits invested in resources to create a network of social workers to lower learning, compliance and psychological costs. As one social worker put it, ‘We usually fill the form out. Most people aren't comfortable [completing it alone] … Any situation that they think they're going to have to battle with the bureaucracy, they're going to try to avoid it’. They also use their positionality to advance claims. If the process slows or stalls, MPHA social workers negotiate with the county staff on residents’ behalf. For one resident on the verge of eviction, the social workers made the EA process feel ‘pretty seamless’.

Here, actors employed their time and considerable skill navigating the system to ease the process (Fligstein, Reference Fligstein1997, Reference Fligstein2001; Sandfort & Moulton, Reference Sandfort and Moulton2020). The meso-level decision to invest in staff resources reduces administrative burdens, which changes the schemas and routines of individual residents. By residents’ and staff's own account, this seemed to reduce the likelihood of irrational decisions and improved resident participation in EA. Accordingly, I initially looked to create a new behavioural intervention to assist residents, but found that a nudge was insufficient for the onerous barriers residents needed to overcome. Instead, the final report to MPHA recommended scaling locally developed efforts to apply for EA.

Discussion

The behavioural revolution created an extensive literature of biases and potential remedies. This is a boon for applied scholarship, but also a potential liability to would-be interveners. Our own cognitive shortcomings mean we risk extrapolating or overgeneralizing from our initial environmental scan. As Madrian (Reference Madrian2014: 678) notes, ‘individuals care not just about their own behaviour in isolation, but evaluate it in a social context, that is, in terms of what others around them are doing and the judgments others may pass on their behaviour’. It is, therefore, imperative to understand how individuals make choices in time and place (Sanders et al., Reference Sanders, Snijders and Hallsworth2018; Ewert et al., Reference Ewert, Loer and Thomann2021). As demonstrated by the three MPHA cases, failing to take social structures into sufficient account can lead to failed interventions. In my research, I saw failure fall into two categories: misinterpretation of the determinative error or implementing an intervention the structure may not support (Table 1). Each of these latent biases were produced by an individual's interaction with social structure over time.

Table 1. System participant behavioural biases and relation to structure

Errors in interpretation stem from the would-be intervener's incomplete understanding of how individuals make decisions. As Sunstein (Reference Sunstein2019: 109–110), for his part, succinctly notes, ‘Behavioural biases have to be demonstrated, not simply asserted’. This requires engaging with participants’ inner world to surface subconscious heuristics they use and identify better ways to effectuate that intent (Simon, Reference Simon1968; Schön, Reference Schön1983). Like in the automatic withdrawal example, a brief scan of the environment led me to believe salience could sufficiently explain lack of sign-up. But additional investigation alongside participants’ revealed status quo and ambiguity biases revealed potentially more significant cognitive impediments. While hunches are useful, they often are superficial and reflect the biases of the would-be intervener. Employing structuration theory and the varied methods of a design-based approach shows how every changing institutional context shapes individual decisions for residents and organizational staff. Using this information, it can identify more promising avenues of intervention, such as engaging trusted intermediaries to assist in sign-up for apprehensive residents.

The second – errors in implementation – result from failure to understand how alterations to choice architecture may interact with social structure (Davis et al., Reference Davis, Campbell, Hildon, Hobbs and Michie2015; Bertelli & Riccucci, Reference Bertelli and Riccucci2020). This is a familiar problem for behavioural science and public policy and administration; simply assuming similar effects in a new setting misses important lessons from implementation and design science on how to intervene in complex social systems (Cartwright & Hardie, Reference Cartwright and Hardie2012; Fligstein & McAdam, Reference Fligstein and McAdam2012; Colander & Kupers, Reference Colander and Kupers2014; Sandfort, Reference Sandfort, Stazyk and Frederickson2018). As Szaszi et al. (Reference Szaszi, Palinkas, Szollosi, Palfi and Aczél2017: 364) conclude after a systematic review of 422 nudges, ‘the field is greatly limited in its ability to provide process level explanation of these interventions and to summarize their boundary conditions; therefore, the effectiveness of the different interventions across different domains of applications cannot be predicted’.

This was the case in EA where an initially theorized nudge that targeted salience and inertia would have been insufficient to overcome significant administrative burdens. Instead, a better approach would be for MPHA to resource and scale an existing network of frontline staff that used their positionality and knowledge to help residents navigate barriers to access. These errors in implementation were also true for the late payment reminder where staff schemas of residents as being lazy, instead of merely exhibiting a status quo bias, was a major impediment to changing the parts of the letter. The design-based approach revealed these resident biases. Once collected and presented, they changed frontline staff's understanding of the problem and created the collective willingness of the institution to change the letter. Absent this identification of inconsistent staff schemas, it would have been impossible to successfully implement the nudge.

Like a veneer, choice architecture modifies the appearance of a structure, but the underlying structure remains, exerting a powerful gravity on efforts to interpretate biases and implement changes (Figure 2). Residents’ and staff's past experience, current context and future expectations create the conditions for the latent biases identified in Table 1. These same social forces make it viable (or inviable) to make change (Innes & Booher, Reference Innes and Booher2010; Schein, Reference Schein2010; Ansell, Reference Ansell2011; Moulton & Sandfort, Reference Moulton and Sandfort2017). Though meso-level institutional policies and practice appear durable, they reflect micro-level decisions, and are mutable through learning (Argyris & Schön, Reference Argyris and Schön1978; Giddens, Reference Giddens1984).

Figure 2. The cyclical nature of structure, architecture, interpretation and action.

Since meaning is socially constructed, failing to understand these social structures leads to misunderstanding of the context. A design-based approach is helpful for behavioural science because it allows us to better understand system participant – and our own – latent biases (Schön, Reference Schön1983; Cross, Reference Cross2011). It does by using tools that make explicit individual's tacit interpretation of their own context. Through the three vignettes we see how Structuration Theory can be a useful sensitizing device to see the extant schemas, resources and routines that influence micro-level decision-making, and identify where and how an organization can actually implement changes.Footnote 4

To successfully alter choice architecture, we need to understand the recursive conversation between structure and individual action (Perlow et al., Reference Perlow, Gittell and Katz2004). To do so requires getting close to the phenomenon to reveal (often tacit) individual behaviour (Polanyi, Reference Polanyi1966; Schön, Reference Schön1983; Giddens, Reference Giddens1984; John et al., Reference John, Smith and Stoker2009; Cross, Reference Cross2011). Where behavioural science may be less theoretically or methodologically prepared, design provides a natural complement. It takes seriously the existing social conditions and the link between the different levels of social systems (Ansell & Torfing, Reference Ansell and Torfing2014; Sandfort & Moulton, Reference Sandfort and Moulton2020). It recognizes that engaging system participants can facilitate the reflection necessary to improve current conditions (Hermus et al., Reference Hermus, van Buuren and Bekkers2020; Romme & Meijer, Reference Romme and Meijer2020). After this identification, design and behavioural science then share the pragmatic instinct to rapidly test hypotheses to see if they produce the desired outcomes for system participants (Moynihan, Reference Moynihan2018; Bertelli et al., Reference Bertelli, Riccucci, Canterelli, Cucciniello, Grose, John, Linos, Thomas and Williams2022).

Conclusion

This case drew programmatic frameworks and methods from public policy and administration to improve behaviourally informed efforts to reduce evictions in public housing. Through three cases, I highlight that when behavioural scientists fail to understand how social structures actually influence decision-making, they can make mistakes – both in interpretation of the determinative cognitive error or implementing an intervention the structure cannot support – that undermine effectiveness.

The work emphasizes the importance of coming alongside participants to reveal tacit behaviour and latent desires. Using theories of social structures and institutional arrangements and methods from design-based research, we can better reveal the complex, multi-level context that influences decision-making. This process also gives us a chance to test our behavioural hunches alongside system participants, providing information about how they'll react, in real life, to changes in choice architecture.

This work was influenced by BPP and BPA scholars’ effort to integrate public administration and policy and behavioural science. After decades of these fields existing in separate academic traditions, their integration is a welcome endeavour. This paper, however, shares a growing concern that behavioural science's knowledge and methods takes precedence over those from public policy and administration (Battaglio et al., Reference Battaglio, Belardinelli, Bellé and Cantarelli2019; Carboni et al., Reference Carboni, Dickey, Moulton, O’Keefe, O’Leary, Piotrowski and Sandfort2019; Feitsma & Whitehead, Reference Feitsma and Whitehead2019; Bertelli & Riccucci, Reference Bertelli and Riccucci2020). This paper shows it's not an idle concern; failing to use all our collected scholarly wisdom can negatively impact residents’ wellbeing. This article echoes arguments by Moynihan (Reference Moynihan2018), Bertelli and Riccucci (Reference Bertelli and Riccucci2020) and Ewert et al. (Reference Ewert, Loer and Thomann2021) that the goal for BPP and BPA is a full exchange of ideas between its parent fields, especially the consideration for the influence of institutional structures on individual decision-making.

And in doing so, our goal is to render these subfields irrelevant, leaving behind an integrative field of public policy and administration that has ‘room for those who heed Waldo's call for big questions and for those who are inspired by Simon's focus on micro-level behaviours and meso-level consequences’ (Carboni et al., Reference Carboni, Dickey, Moulton, O’Keefe, O’Leary, Piotrowski and Sandfort2019: 268).

Acknowledgements

I would like to thank my dissertation committee – Drs. Jodi Sandfort, Joe Soss, Aaron Sojourner and Edward Goetz – for their tremendous guidance and support on this research. I would also like to acknowledge Cassandra Merrick for her valuable review and feedback.

Funding statement

This project was supported by the Behavioural Interventions Scholars Grant Program (grant 90pd0306) from the Office of Planning, Research and Evaluation. Its contents are solely the responsibility of the author and do not necessarily represent the official views of the Office of Planning, Research and Evaluation, the Administration for Children and Families or the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, nor does represent the view of my current employer, the State of Minnesota.

Appendix A

Appendix B: Socioeconomic and demographic characteristics of residents in MPHA units

Appendix C: MPHA process flow/user journey map

Footnotes

1 All names in this paper are pseudonyms.

2 Throughout, I follow Giddens (Reference Giddens1984) and Sewell (Reference Sewell1992) in defining ‘institutional arrangements’ or ‘social structures’ as the formal and informal schemas, resources and routines that allow social practices to exist between agents over time and space.

3 Executive functioning is defined as the ability to ‘engage in purposeful, goal-directed and future-oriented behaviour’ (Suchy, Reference Suchy2009: 109).

4 It's also important for would-be interveners to interrogate their own heuristics (i.e. initial bias theory; Table 1) that can result from a facile understanding of the social structure.

MPHA administrative data (2019).

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Figure 0

Figure 1. Non-payment of rent letter.

Figure 1

Table 1. System participant behavioural biases and relation to structure

Figure 2

Figure 2. The cyclical nature of structure, architecture, interpretation and action.