Published online by Cambridge University Press: 12 February 2009
Over the past 20 years, studies of grain production and use in China have figured prominently in debates concerning economic efficiency, income disparities and the contours of the Maoist development strategy. Virtually all analysts now agree that grain production in China exhibited a strong tendency toward provincial self-sufficiency and that the inter-provincial grain trade declined during the Maoist era (from the 1950s to 1978), that provincial self-sufficiency obstructed efficient allocation of agricultural resources and contributed to the persistence of poverty, and that the tendency toward selfsufficiency is attributable partly to a policy of “grain first,” which promoted concentration upon grain production in every province regardless of comparative advantage. Recent studies point to significant changes in the pattern of grain production and trade since 1978 and trace these changes to relaxation of “grain first” and introduction of institutional reforms affecting the grain sector.
1. For notes on boundaries, initial and terminal periods, sources and abbreviations, see the Appendix.
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13. In this section, total output is the sum of reported output in all counties.
14. Concerning grain bases, see Section VI, below.
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18. Evidence in Section VI indicates that the hypothetical surplus threshold of 400 kilograms per capita is reasonably close to the actual experience of grain-surplus counties. The excess of inflows is probably attributable to urban grain supplies that exceed the minimum necessary supply used in this section.
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40. Feitian, Chen and Huakai, Jiang, “Liangshi jingji jiegou,” pp. 32–33.Google Scholar
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