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Malaria prevalence amongst Brazilian Indians assessed by a new mathematical model

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  15 May 2009

M. N. Burattini
Affiliation:
Discipline of Medical Informatics, School of Medicine, The University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil Discipline of Infectious and Parasitic Diseases, Escola Paulista de Medicina, São Paulo, Brazil
E. Massad
Affiliation:
Discipline of Medical Informatics, School of Medicine, The University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
F. A. B. Coutinho
Affiliation:
Institute of Physics of the University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil
R. G. Baruzzi
Affiliation:
Department of Preventive Medicine, Escola Paulista de Medicina, São Paulo, Brazil
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Summary

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An alternative way to estimate the endemic level of malaria amongst Brazilian indians is proposed. This is achieved by estimating the age-related “force of infection’ of malaria (the effective inoculation rate), applying a mathematical model, described elsewhere, to serological data. In addition we present a way to estimate the Basic Reproductive Rate of malaria in the same area. The results have shown a good degree of accuracy in describing the endemic pattern of malaria in the area, and also indicate some relevant aspects of its age distribution related to the design of control strategies.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 1993

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