Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-vdxz6 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-23T01:06:24.508Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Interwar Romanian sovereign bonds: the impact of diplomacy, politics and the economy1

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  06 July 2012

Kim Oosterlinck
Affiliation:
Université Libre de Bruxelles, SBS-EM Centre Emile Bernheim, koosterl@ulb.ac.be
Loredana Ureche-Rangau
Affiliation:
Université de Picardie Jules Verne, CRIISEA, Amiens, loredana.ureche@u-picardie.fr

Abstract

Sovereign debts differ from other financial instruments because repayment ultimately depends on the issuers' willingness to pay. In turn, willingness to pay may be influenced by political, diplomatic or economic considerations. Based on an original database of Romanian bonds traded in Paris, this article shows that international diplomacy played an important role in the Romanian debt valuation.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © European Association for Banking and Financial History e.V. 2012

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Accominotti, O., Flandreau, M., Rezzik, R. and Zumer, F. (2010). Black man's burden, white man's welfare: control, devolution and development in the British Empire 1880–1914. European Review of Economic History, 14, pp. 4770.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bai, J. and Perron, P. (1998). Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes. Econometrica, 66, pp. 4778.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bai, J. and Perron, P. (2003a). Computation and analysis of multiple structural change models. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 18, pp. 122.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bai, J. and Perron, P. (2003b). Critical values for multiple structural change tests. Econometrics Journal, 6, pp. 72–8.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Boisdron, M. (2007). La Roumanie des années trente. De l'avènement de Carol II au démembrement du royaume (1930–1940). Parçay-sur-Vienne: Editions Anovi.Google Scholar
Boissiere, G. (1925). La compagnie des agents de change et le marché officiel à la bourse de Paris. Paris: Arthur Rousseau.Google Scholar
Boureille, P. (2006). Les relations navales franco-roumaines (1919–1928): les illusions perdues. Revue Historique des Armées, 244, pp. 50–9.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bulow, J. and Rogoff, K. (1989). Sovereign debt: is to forgive to forget. American Economic Review, 79, pp. 4350.Google Scholar
Clavert, F. (2004). La France, la petite Entente et la Pologne: relations économiques et financières de la signature du traité de Versailles à la crise. Valahian Journal of Historical Studies, 2, pp. 3146.Google Scholar
Costache, B., Torre, D. and Tosi, E. (2010). The Banque de France mission near the National Bank of Romania 1929–1933: precarious stabilization and cooperation failure. Working paper GREDEG.Google Scholar
Dessberg, F. (2006). La Roumanie et la Pologne dans la politique soviétique de la France: la difficulté d'établir un ‘front uni’. Revue Historique des Armées, 244, pp. 6072.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Eaton, J. and Gersovitz, M. (1981). Debt with potential repudiation: theoretical and empirical analysis. Review of Economic Studies, 48, pp. 289309.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Esteves, R. P. (2007). Quis custodiet quem? Sovereign debt and bondholders' protection before 1914. Economics Series Working Papers 323, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.Google Scholar
Feis, H. (1930). Europe the World's Banker 1870–1914: An Account of European Foreign Investment and the Connection of World Finance with Diplomacy before the War. New Haven: Yale University Press.Google Scholar
Ferguson, N. and Schularick, M. (2006). The Empire effect: the determinants of country risk in the first age of globalization, 1880-1913. Journal of Economic History, 66, pp. 283312.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Flandreau, M. and Oosterlinck, K. (2011). Was the emergence of the international gold standard expected? Melodramatic evidence from Indian government securities. IHEID Working Papers 01-2011, Economics Section, The Graduate Institute of International Studies.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Frey, B. and Waldenström, D. (2004). Markets work in war: World War II reflected in Zurich and Stockholm bond markets. Financial History Review, 11, pp. 5167.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Frey, B. and Waldenström, D. (2007). Using financial markets to analyze history: the case of the Second World War. Historical Social Research, 32, pp. 330–50.Google Scholar
Girault, R. and Frank, R. (1988). Turbulente Europe et nouveaux mondes: histoire des relations internationales contemporaines, vol. 2: 1914–1941. Paris: Masson.Google Scholar
Hitchins, K. (1994). Rumania 1866–1947 (Oxford History of Modern Europe). Oxford: Clarendon Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hoisington, W. A. (2009). Jacques Lemaigre Dubreuil, de Paris à Casablanca: vingt ans d'engagements, 1935–1955. Paris: Harmattan.Google Scholar
Ivanov, M. and Tooze, A. (2011) Disciplining the ‘black sheep of the Balkans’: financial supervision and sovereignty in Bulgaria, 1902–38. Economic History Review, 64, pp. 3051.Google Scholar
Kiritescu, C. (1997). Sistemul banesc al leului de la origini si pana in prezent, vol. II. Bucharest: Editura Enciclopedica.Google Scholar
Landon-Lane, J. and Oosterlinck, K. (2006). Hope springs eternal: French bondholders and the Soviet Repudiation (1915–1919). Review of Finance, 10, pp. 507–35.Google Scholar
Maievski, M. (1957). Contributii la istoria finantelor publice ale Romaniei (1914–1944). Bucharest: Editura Stiintifica.Google Scholar
Michalopoulos, D. (2011) ‘Un singur popor cu doua drapele’: the Romanian–Polish relations during the interwar period. Revista Romana pentru Studii Baltice si Nordice, 3, pp. 247–64.Google Scholar
Miloiu, S. (2004). Exploring the newborn in-between Europe: Romania, the Baltic States and the concept of collective security. Valahian Journal of Historical Studies, 1, pp. 6273.Google Scholar
Mitchener, K. and Weidenmier, M. D. (2005). Empire, public goods, and the Roosevelt corollary. Journal of Economic History, 65, pp. 658–92.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mitchener, K. and Weidenmier, M. D. (2010). Supersanctions and sovereign debt repayment. Journal of International Money and Finance, 29, pp. 1936.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Moore, L. and Kaluzny, J. (2005). Regime change and debt default: the case of Russia, Austro-Hungary, and the Ottoman empire following World War One. Explorations in Economic History, 42, pp. 237–58.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Moreau, E. (1954). Souvenirs d'un gouverneur de la Banque de France: histoire de la stabilisation du franc (1926–1928). Paris: Editions Genin.Google Scholar
Mouré, K. (2002). The Gold Standard Iillusion: France, the Bank of France, and the International Gold Standard 1914–1939. New York: Oxford University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mouré, K. (2003). French money doctors, central banks, and politics in the 1920s. In Flandreau, M. (ed.), Money Doctors: The Experience of International Financial Advising 1850–2000. London: Routledge.Google Scholar
Oosterlinck, K. (2003) The bond market and the legitimacy of Vichy France. Explorations in Economic History, 40, pp. 326–44;.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Pearton, M. (1971). Oil and the Romanian State. Oxford: Clarendon Press.Google Scholar
Pecquet, G. M. and Thies, C. F. (2010). Texas treasury notes and the Mexican-American War: market responses to diplomatic and battlefield events. Eastern Economic Journal, 36, pp. 88106.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rose, A. K. (2005). One reason countries pay their debts: renegotiation and international trade. Journal of Development Economics, 77, pp. 189206.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Sandu, T. (1995). La présence française en Europe centrale dans l'entre-deux-guerres. Revue d'Europe Centrale, 3, pp. 147–60.Google Scholar
Sandu, T. (2008). Histoire de la Roumanie. Paris: Perrin.Google Scholar
Stoenescu, G. V., Blejan, E., Costache, B. and Iarovici, A. (2006). International reserves of the National Bank of Romania 1920–1944. Mimeo.Google Scholar
Ureche-Rangau, L. (2008). Dette souveraine en crise: l'expérience des emprunts roumains à la Bourse de Paris durant l'Entre-deux-guerres. Paris: Publications de la Sorbonne.Google Scholar
Willard, K., Guinnane, T. and Rosen, H. (1996). Turning points in the Civil War: views from the greenback market. American Economic Review, 86, pp. 1001–18.Google Scholar
Zussman, A., Zussman, N. and Nielsen, M. O. (2008). Asset market perspectives on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Economica, 75, pp. 84115.CrossRefGoogle Scholar