Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-dsjbd Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-30T21:10:21.184Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false
  • English
  • Français

International Systems and Domestic Politics: Linking Complex Interactions with Empirical Models in International Relations

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  11 November 2014

Stephen Chaudoin ,
Helen V. Milner  and
Xun Pang
Get access

Abstract

Following older debates in international relations literature concerning the relative importance of domestic versus systemic factors, newer debates emphasize interdependence among states and the complex interactions between systemic and domestic factors. As globalization and democratization advance, theories and empirical models of international politics have become more complicated. We present a systematic theoretical categorization of relationships between domestic and systemic variables. We use this categorization so that scholars can match their theory to the appropriate empirical model and assess the degree to which systemic factors affect their arguments. We also present two advances at the frontier of these empirical models. In one, we combine hierarchical models of moderating relationships with spatial models of interdependence among units within a system. In the other, we provide a model for analyzing spatial interdependence that varies over time. This enables us to examine how the level of interdependence among units has evolved. We illustrate our categorization and new models by revisiting the recent international political economy (IPE) debate over the relationship between trade policy and regime type in developing countries.

Type
Research Article
Information
International Organization , Volume 69 , Issue 2 , Spring 2015 , pp. 275 - 309
Copyright
Copyright © The IO Foundation 2015 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

Adsera, Alicia, and Boix, Carles. 2002. Trade, Democracy, and the Size of the Public Sector: The Political Underpinnings of Openness. International Organization 56 (2):229–62.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ahlquist, John S., and Wibbels, Erik. 2012. Riding the Wave: World Trade and Factor-Based Models of Democratization. American Journal of Political Science 56 (2):447–64.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Allee, Todd L., and Scalera, Jamie E.. 2012. The Divergent Effects of Joining International Organizations: Trade Gains and the Rigors of WTO Accession. International Organization 66 (2):243–76.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Alston, Clair, Kuhnert, Petra, Choy, Low S., McVinish, Ross, and Mengersen, Kerrie. 2005. Bayesian Model Comparison: Review and Discussion. International Statistical Institute, 55th sess., Sydney, Australia.Google Scholar
Andrews, David M. 1994. Capital Mobility and State Autonomy: Toward a Structural Theory of International Monetary Relations. International Studies Quarterly 38 (2):193–218.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Baron, Reuben M., and Kenny, David A.. 1986. The Moderator-Mediator Variable Distinction in Social Psychological Research: Conceptual, Strategic, and Statistical Considerations. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 51 (6):1173–82.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Beck, Nathanial, Gleditsch, Kristian S., and Beardsley, Kyle. 2006. Space Is More Than Geography: Using Spatial Econometrics in the Study of Political Economy. International Studies Quarterly 50 (1):27–44.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Beck, Nathaniel, and Katz, Jonathan N.. 2007. Random Coefficient Models for Time-Series-Cross-Section Data: Monte Carlo Experiments. Political Analysis 15 (2):182–95.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Boix, Carles. 1998. Political Parties, Growth and Equality: Conservative and Social Democratic Economic Strategies in the World Economy. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Boix, Carles. 2011. Democracy, Development, and the International System. American Political Science Review 105 (4):809–28.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Boudon, Raymond. 1981. The Logic of Social Action: An Introduction to Sociological Analysis. Boston, MA: Routledge and Kegan Paul.Google Scholar
Boudon, Raymond. 1986. Theories of Social Change: A Critical Appraisal. Cambridge, UK: Polity Press.Google Scholar
Broz, J. Lawrence. 1999. Origins of the Federal Reserve System: International Incentives and the Domestic Free-Rider Problem. International Organization 53 (1):39–70.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Burgoon, Brian. 2009. Globalization and Backlash: Polanyi's Revenge? Review of International Political Economy 16 (2):145–77.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cao, Xun. 2012. Global Networks and Domestic Policy Convergence: A Network Explanation of Policy Changes. World Politics 64 (3):375–425.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cerny, Philip G. 1995. Globalization and the Changing Logic of Collective Action. International Organization 49 (4):595–625.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cohen, Benjamin J. 2008. International Political Economy: An Intellectual History. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Coleman, James S. 1986. Individual Interests and Collective Action: Selected Essays. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Coleman, James S. 1990. Foundations of Social Theory. Cambridge, MA: Belknap Press of Harvard University Press.Google Scholar
Drezner, Daniel W., and McNamara, Kathleen R.. 2013. International Political Economy, Global Financial Orders and the 2008 Financial Crisis. Perspectives on Politics 11 (1):155–66.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Eichengreen, Barry, and Leblang, David. 2008. Democracy and Globalization. Economics and Politics 20 (3):289–334.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Elhorst, J. Paul. 2010. Spatial Panel Data Models. In Handbook of Applied Spatial Analysis, edited by Fischer, Manfred M. and Getis, Arthur, 377–407. Berlin: Springer.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Elster, Jon. 1978. Logic and Society: Contradictions and Possible Worlds. New York: Wiley.Google Scholar
Elster, Jon. 1989. The Cement of Society: A Survey of Social Order. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Finnemore, Martha, and Sikkink, Kathryn. 1998. International Norm Dynamics and Political Change. International Organization 52 (4):887–917.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Franzese, Robert J., and Hays, Jude C.. 2008. Interdependence in Comparative Politics. Comparative Political Studies 41 (4–5):742–80.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Franzese, Robert J., Hays, Jude C., and Kachi, Aya. 2012. Modeling History Dependence in Network-Behavior Coevolution. Political Analysis 20 (2):175–90.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Freeman, John R., and Jackson, John E.. 2012. Symposium on Models of Path Dependence. Political Analysis 20 (2):137–45.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Frieden, Jeffry A. 1991. Invested Interests: The Politics of National Economic Policies in a World of Global Finance. International Organization 45 (4):425–51.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Frieden, Jeffry A., and Rogowski, Ronald. 1996. The Impact of the International Economy on National Policies: An Analytical Overview. In Internationalization and Domestic Politics, edited by Keohane, Robert O. and Milner, Helen V., 25–47. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Garrett, Geoffrey. 1998. Partisan Politics in the Global Economy. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Garrett, Geoffrey, and Lange, Peter. 1996. Internationalization, Institutions, and Political Change. In Internationalization and Domestic Politics, edited by Keohane, Robert O. and Milner, Helen V., 48–76. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gelman, Andrew, and Hill, Jennifer. 2007. Data Analysis Using Regression and Multilevel/Hierarchical Models. New York: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Gleditsch, Kristian S., and Ward, Michael D.. 2006. Diffusion and the International Context of Democratization. International Organization 60 (4):911–33.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gourevitch, Peter. 1978. The Second Image Reversed: The International Sources of Domestic Politics. International Organization 32 (4):881–912.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Graham, Erin R., Shipan, Charles R., and Volden, Craig. 2013. The Diffusion of Policy Diffusion Research in Political Science. British Journal of Political Science 43(3):673–701.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Han, Cong, and Carlin, Bradley P.. 2001. Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods for Computing Bayes Factors: A Comparative Review. Journal of the American Statistical Association 96 (455):1122–32.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hedström, Peter. 2005. Dissecting the Social: On the Principles of Analytical Sociology. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Hoff, Peter D., and Ward, Michael D.. 2004. Modeling Dependencies in International Relations Networks. Political Analysis 12 (2):160–75.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Holland, John H. 2006. Studying Complex Adaptive Systems. Journal of Systems Science and Complexity 19 (1):1–8.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Imai, Kosuke, Keele, Luke, and Tingley, Dustin. 2010. A General Approach to Causal Mediation Analysis. Psychological Methods 15 (4):309–34.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Imai, Kosuke, Keele, Luke, and Yamamoto, Teppei. 2010. Identification, Inference and Sensitivity Analysis for Causal Mediation Effects. Statistical Science 25 (1):51–71.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Imai, Kosuke, Keele, Luke, Tingley, Dustin, and Yamamoto, Teppei. 2011. Unpacking the Black Box of Causality: Learning About Causal Mechanisms from Experimental and Observational Studies. American Political Science Review 105 (4):765–89.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jervis, Robert. 1997. System Effects: Complexity in Political and Social Life. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Kayser, Mark A. 2007. How Domestic Is Domestic Politics? Globalization and Elections. Annual Review of Political Science 10 (1):341–62.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kitschelt, Herbert, Lange, Peter, Marks, Gary, and Stephens, John. 1999. Continuity and Change in Contemporary Capitalism. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Lake, David A. 1988. Power, Protectionism, and Free Trade: International Sources of US Commercial Strategy, 1887–1939. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press.Google Scholar
Lansing, J. Stephen. 2003. Complex Adaptive Systems. Annual Review of Anthropology 32:183–204.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
LeSage, James P., and Pace, R. Kelley. 2009. Introduction to Spatial Econometrics. Boca Raton, FL: CRC Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
LeSage, James P., and Pace, R. Kelley. 2011. Pitfalls in Higher Order Model Extensions of Basic Spatial Regression Methodology. Review of Regional Studies 41 (1):13–26.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Li, Quan, and Resnick, Adam. 2003. Reversal of Fortunes: Democratic Institutions and Foreign Direct Investment Inflows to Developing Countries. International Organization 57 (1):175–211.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
List, Christian, and Spiekermann, Kai. 2013. Methodological Individualism and Holism in Political Science: A Reconciliation. American Political Science Review 107 (4):629–43.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Little, Daniel. 1991. Varieties of Social Explanation: An Introduction to the Philosophy of Social Science. Boulder, CO: Westview Press.Google Scholar
Milner, Helen V. 1997. Interests, Institutions, and Information. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press.Google Scholar
Milner, Helen V., and Kubota, Keiko. 2005. Why the Move to Free Trade? Democracy and Trade Policy in the Developing Countries. International Organization 59 (1):107–43.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Milner, Helen V., and Mukherjee, Bumba. 2009. Democratization and Economic Globalization. Annual Review of Political Science 12:163–81.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Moravcsik, Andrew. 1997. Taking Preferences Seriously: A Liberal Theory of International Politics. International Organization 51 (4):513–53.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mosley, Layna. 2000. Room to Move: International Financial Markets and National Welfare States. International Organization 54 (4):737–73.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Mosley, Layna. 2003. Global Capital and National Governments. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Neumayer, Eric, and Plümper, Thomas. 2010. Spatial Effects in Dyadic Data. International Organization 64:145–66.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Neumayer, Eric, and Plümper, Thomas. 2012. Conditional Spatial Policy Dependence: Theory and Model Specification. Comparative Political Studies 45 (7):819–49.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Oatley, Thomas. 2011. The Reductionist Gamble: Open Economy Politics in the Global Economy. International Organization 65 (2):311–41.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Oatley, Thomas, Winecoff, W. Kindred, Pennock, Andrew, and Danzman, Sarah Bauerle. 2013. The Political Economy of Global Finance: A Network Model. Perspectives on Politics 11 (1):133–53.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Park, Jong Hee. 2010. Structural Change in US Presidents' Use of Force. American Journal of Political Science 54 (3):766–82.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Plummer, Martyn, Best, Nicky, Cowles, Kate, and Vines, Karen. 2006. CODA: Convergence Diagnosis and Output Analysis for MCMC. R News 6 (1):7–11.Google Scholar
Plümper, Thomas, and Neumayer, Eric. 2010. Model Specification in the Analysis of Spatial Dependence. European Journal of Political Research 49 (3):418–42.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Poast, Paul. 2010. (Mis)Using Dyadic Data to Analyze Multilateral Events. Political Analysis 18 (4):403–25.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Putnam, Robert D. 1988. Diplomacy and Domestic Politics: The Logic of Two-Level Games. International Organization 42 (3):427–60.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Quinn, Dennis P., and Inclan, Carla. 1997. The Origins of Financial Openness: A Study of Current and Capital Account Liberalization. American Journal of Political Science 41 (3):771–813.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Ray, Edward J., and Marvel, Howard P.. 1984. The Pattern of Protection in the Industrialized World. Review of Economics and Statistics 66 (3):452–58.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rudra, Nita. 2005. Globalization and the Strengthening of Democracy in the Developing World. American Journal of Political Science 49 (4):704–30.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Rudra, Nita. 2008. Globalization and the Race to the Bottom in Developing Countries: Who Really Gets Hurt? New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Schelling, Thomas C. 1978. Micromotives and Macrobehavior. Vol. 2. New York: Norton.Google Scholar
Simmons, Beth A., and Elkins, Zachary. 2004. The Globalization of Liberalization: Policy Diffusion in the International Political Economy. American Political Science Review 98 (1):171–89.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Simon, Herbert A. 1962. The Architecture of Complexity. Proceedings of the American Philosophical Society 106 (6):467–82.Google Scholar
Skrondal, Anders, and Rabe-Hesketh, Sophia. 2008. Multilevel and Related Models for Longitudinal Data. In Handbook of Multilevel Analysis, edited by Leeuw, Jan de and Meijer, Erik, 275–300. New York: Springer.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Tang, Wang, Yu, Qin, Crits-Christoph, Paul, and Tu, Xin M.. 2009. A New Analytic Framework for Moderation Analysis—Moving Beyond Analytic Interactions. Journal of Data Science 7 (3):313–29.CrossRefGoogle ScholarPubMed
Waltz, Kenneth N. 1979. Theory of International Politics. Reading, MA: Addison-Wesley.Google Scholar
Ward, Michael D., Ahlquist, John S., and Rozenas, Arturas. 2013. Gravity's Rainbow: A Dynamic Latent Space Model for the World Trade Network. Network Science 1 (1):95–118.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wendt, Alexander. 1999. Social Theory of International Politics. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wibbels, Erik. 2006. Dependency Revisited: International Markets, Business Cycles, and Social Spending in the Developing World. International Organization 60 (2):433–68.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Wooldridge, Jeffrey M. 2001. Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Supplementary material: PDF

Chaudoin Supplementary Material

Supplementary Material 1

Download Chaudoin Supplementary Material(PDF)
PDF 540.1 KB
Supplementary material: File

Chaudoin Supplementary Material

Supplementary Material 2

Download Chaudoin Supplementary Material(File)
File 51.1 KB
Supplementary material: File

Chaudoin Supplementary Material

Supplementary Material 3

Download Chaudoin Supplementary Material(File)
File 123.1 KB
Supplementary material: File

Chaudoin Supplementary Material

Supplementary Material 4

Download Chaudoin Supplementary Material(File)
File 41.7 KB