Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-hc48f Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-21T12:23:41.341Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Neoliberal Economists and Capital Account Liberalization in Emerging Markets

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  11 April 2007

Jeffrey Chwieroth
Affiliation:
Department of International Relations at the London School of Economics, E-mail: j.m.chwieroth@lse.ac.uk
Get access

Abstract

One of the most important developments in the world economy during the past three decades has been the willingness of governments in emerging markets to liberalize controls over international capital movements—a process known as capital account liberalization. What accounts for this trend? While existing research highlights a number of important factors, it neglects the role played by the rise and spread of neoliberal ideas that prioritized liberalization as a policy choice. Extending the literature on epistemic communities, I argue one critical mechanism shaping policy decisions is the formation of a coherent team of neoliberal economists. Using a new data set that codes the professional training of more than 1500 policymakers in emerging markets, I assess the relative importance of this argument quantitatively on a sample of twenty-nine emerging markets from 1977 to 1999. In order to assess the independent effect of neoliberal economists, I also take into account the endogeneity of the appointment process, assessing whether appointments are driven by credibility concerns, political interests, or economic conditions. I also stress that a fuller understanding of the appointment process necessitates a focus on the social environment in which appointments are situated.Earlier versions of this article were presented at the Program on International Politics, Economics and Security (PIPES), University of Chicago, 28 April 2005; the 99th Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association, Philadelphia, 28–31 August 2003; and the Meeting of the Working Group on Political Economy, European University Institute (EUI), San Domenico di Fiesole, Italy, 29 October 2003. The author is grateful for helpful comments on earlier drafts provided by David Andrews, Benjamin J. Cohen, Scott Cooper, Garrett Glasgow, Lloyd Gruber, Emilie Hafner-Burton, Bob Hancke, Joseph Jupille, Ralf Leiteritz, Charles Lipson, Layna Mosley, Lou Pauly, Andy Sobel, Duncan Snidal, Lora Viola, and participants in the PIPES workshop. The author would also like to thank Lisa Martin and the anonymous reviewers for their many suggestions and insightful comments on previous versions of this manuscript. Research support provided by the Department of Political Science at Syracuse University and a Jean Monnet Fellowship from the Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies at the EUI is also gratefully acknowledged.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
© 2007 The IO Foundation and Cambridge University Press

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

Andrews, David M. 1994. Capital Mobility and State Autonomy: Toward a Structural Theory of International Monetary Relations. International Studies Quarterly 38 (2):193218.Google Scholar
Babb, Sarah. 2001. Managing Mexico: Economists from Nationalism to Neoliberalism. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press.
Barnett, Michael, and Martha Finnemore. 2004. Rules for the World: International Organizations in Global Politics. Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press.
Bates, Robert H., and Anne O. Krueger. 1993. Generalizations Arising from the Country Studies. In Political and Economic Interactions in Economic Policy Reform: Evidence from Eight Countries, edited by Robert H. Bates and Anne O. Krueger, 44472. Oxford, England: Blackwell.
Bartolini, Leonardo, and Allan Drazen. 1997. Capital Account Liberalization as a Signal. American Economic Review 87 (1):13854.Google Scholar
Beck, Nathaniel, and Jonathan Katz. 2004. Time-Series Cross-Section Issues: Dynamics, 2004. Unpublished manuscript, New York University. Available at 〈http://www.nyu.edu/gsas/dept/politics/faculty/beck/beckkatz.pdf〉. Accessed 23 August 2006.
Beck, Thorsten, George Clarke, Alberto Groff, Philip Keefer, and Patrick Walsh. 2001. New Tools in Comparative Political Economy: The Database of Political Institutions. World Bank Economic Review 15 (1):16576.Google Scholar
Beck, Thorsten, Asli Demirguc-Kunt, and Ross Eric Levine. 2000. A New Database of Financial Development and Structure. World Bank Economic Review 14 (3):597605.Google Scholar
Best, Jacqueline. 2005. The Limits of Transparency: Ambiguity and the History of International Finance. Ithaca, N.Y.: Cornell University Press.
Blyth, Mark. 2002. Great Transformations: Economic Ideas and Institutional Change in the Twentieth Century. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Box-Steffensmeier, Janet M., and Bradford S. Jones. 2004. Event History Modeling: A Guide for Social Scientists. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
British Bankers' Association (BBA). 2006. Historic BBA LIBOR Rates. Available at 〈http://www.bba.org.uk/bba/jsp/polopoly.jsp?d=141〉. Accessed 9 May 2006.
Checkel, Jeffrey. 2001. Why Comply? Social Learning and European Identity Change. International Organization 55 (3):55388.Google Scholar
Chinn, Menzie D., and Hiro Ito. 2002. Capital Account Liberalization, Institutions, and Financial Development: Cross Country Evidence. NBER Working Paper 8967. Cambridge, Mass.: National Bureau of Economic Research.
Chwieroth, Jeffrey. 2007a. Testing and Measuring the Role of Ideas: The Case of Neoliberalism in the International Monetary Fund. International Studies Quarterly 51 (1):530.Google Scholar
Chwieroth, Jeffrey. 2007b. A Capital Idea: Neoliberalism, the IMF, and the Liberalization of Capital Controls in Emerging Markets. Unpublished manuscript, London School of Economics, London.
Corrales, Javier. 1997. Why Argentines Followed Cavallo: A Technopol Between Democracy and Economic Reform. In Technopols: Freeing Politics and Markets in Latin America in the 1990s, edited by Jorge I. Dominguez, 4994. University Park: Pennsylvania State University Press.
Cukierman, Alex. 1992. Central Bank Strategy, Credibility, and Independence: Theory and Evidence. Cambridge, Mass.: MIT Press.
de Haan, Jakob, and Willem J. Kooi. 2000. Does Central Bank Independence Really Matter? New Evidence for Developing Countries using a New Indicator. Journal of Banking and Finance 24 (4):64364.Google Scholar
Diaz-Alejandro, Carlos. 1984. Latin American Debt: I Don't Think We Are in Kansas Anymore (with Discussion). Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 2:335403.Google Scholar
Dominguez, Jorge I., ed. 1997. Technopols: Freeing Politics and Markets in Latin America in the 1990s. University Park: Pennsylvania State University Press.
Eichengreen, Barry. 2001. Capital Account Liberalization: What Do Cross-Country Studies Tell Us? World Bank Economic Review 15 (3):34165.Google Scholar
Finnemore, Martha, and Kathryn Sikkink. 1998. International Norm Dynamics and Political Change. International Organization 52 (4):887917.Google Scholar
Fischer, Stanley. 1997. Applied Economics in Action: IMF Programs. American Economic Review 87 (2):2327.Google Scholar
Frieden, Jeffry A. 1991. Invested Interests: The Politics of National Economic Policies in a World of Global Finance. International Organization 45 (4):42551.Google Scholar
Geddes, Barbara. 1994. Politician's Dilemma: Reforming the State in Latin America. Berkeley: University of California Press.
Haas, Peter M. 1992. Introduction: Epistemic Communities and International Policy Coordination. International Organization 46 (1):135.Google Scholar
Haggard, Stephan, and Robert R. Kaufman. 1992. Institutions and Economic Adjustment. In The Politics of Adjustment: International Constraints, Distributive Politics, and the State, edited by Stephan Haggard and Robert Kaufman, 340. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press.
Hall, Peter A., ed. 1989 The Political Power of Economic Ideas: Keynesianism Across Nations. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press.
Helleiner, Eric. 1994. States and the Reemergence of Global Finance: From Bretton Woods to the 1990s. Ithaca, N.Y.: Cornell University Press.
International Monetary Fund (IMF). Various years. Annual Report on Exchange Restrictions and Exchange Arrangements. Washington, D.C.: IMF.
International Monetary Fund (IMF). 2005. The IMF's Approach to Capital Account Liberalization. Washington, D.C.: IMF.
International Monetary Fund (IMF). 2006a. Direction of Trade Statistics. Washington, D.C.: IMF.
International Monetary Fund (IMF). 2006b. International Financial Statistics. Washington, D.C.: IMF.
Institute of International Finance (IIF). 1997. Capital Account Convertibility as an IMF Obligation: Background Paper. Unpublished memorandum, IIF, Washington, D.C.
Keefer, Philip, and David Stasavage. 2003. The Limits of Delegation: Veto Players, Central Bank Independence and the Credibility of Monetary Policy. American Political Science Review 97 (3):40723.Google Scholar
Kirshner, Jonathan. 2003. Explaining Choices About Money: Disentangling Power, Ideas, and Conflict. In Monetary Orders: Ambiguous Economics, Ubiquitous Politics, edited by Jonathan Kirshner, 26080. Ithaca, N.Y.: Cornell University Press.
Klamer, Arjo, and David Colander. 1990. The Making of an Economist. Boulder, Colo.: Westview Press.
Krehbiel, Keith. 1991. Information and Legislative Organization. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press.
Kristensen, Ida Pagder, and Gregory Wawro. 2006. On the Robustness of Panel Corrected Standard Errors in Dynamic Specifications with Unobserved Heterogeneity. Unpublished manuscript, Columbia University, New York.
Leblang, David A. 2004. Is Democracy Incompatible with International Economic Stability? In The Future of the International Monetary System, edited by Marc Uzan, 16898. London: Edward Elgar.
Markoff, John, and Veronica Montecinos. 1993. The Ubiquitous Rise of Economists. Journal of Public Policy 13 (1):3768.Google Scholar
Marshall, Monty G., Keith Jaggers, and Ted Robert Gurr. 2004. Polity IV Project. Available at 〈http://www.cidcm.umd.edu/polity/〉. Accessed 8 May 2006.
Maxfield, Sylvia. 1997. Gatekeepers of Growth: The International Political Economy of Central Banking in Developing Countries. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press.
Munck, Gerardo L., and Jay Verkuilen. 2002. Conceptualizing and Measuring Democracy. Comparative Political Studies 35 (1):534.Google Scholar
Obstfeld, Maurice. 1998. The Global Capital Market: Benefactor or Menace? NBER Working Paper 6559. Cambridge, Mass.: National Bureau of Economic Research.
Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). Various years. International Capital Market Statistics. Paris: OECD.
Simmons, Beth A., Geoffrey Garrett, and Frank Dobbin. 2006. Introduction: The International Diffusion of Liberalism. International Organization 60 (4):781810.Google Scholar
Simmons, Beth A., and Zachary Elkins. 2004. The Globalization of Liberalization: Policy Diffusion in the International Political Economy. American Political Science Review 98 (1):17189.Google Scholar
Stokes, Susan C. 2001. Mandates and Democracy: Neoliberalism by Surprise in Latin America. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Tirole, Jean. 2002. Financial Crises, Liquidity, and the International Monetary System. Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Press.
U.S. Department of State. 2006. Bilateral Investment Treaty Program Fact Sheet. Available at 〈http://www.state.gov/error_404.html〉. Accessed 9 May 2006.
Vreeland, James Raymond. 2003. The IMF and Economic Development. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Widmaier, Wesley W. 2003. Constructing Monetary Crises: New Keynesian Understandings of Monetary Cooperation in the 1990s. Review of International Studies 29 (1):6177.Google Scholar
Williamson, John. 1997. Orthodoxy is Right: Liberalize the Capital Account Last. In Capital Controls in Emerging Markets, edited by Christine Ries and Richard Sweeny, 1316. Boulder, Colo.: Westview Press.
World Bank. 2006a. Global Development Finance. Washington, D.C.: World Bank.
World Bank. 2006b. World Development Indicators. Washington, D.C.: World Bank.