Hostname: page-component-586b7cd67f-2brh9 Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-27T00:28:30.576Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

West Germany: the dynamics of expansion

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  22 May 2009

Get access

Abstract

During more than two decades, West German foreign economic policy has served a strategy of export-oriented growth. The success of this strategy is based on a number of factors, such as Germany's industrial structure, a favorable international environment, a pro-investment domestic economic policy and the constructive role of labor in postwar economic development. Decision making in foreign economic policy is characterized by the dominance of the export sector. The strategy of export expansion met withobstacles in two areas. In Eastern trade policy export interests clashed with the imperatives of “high politics” during the Cold War era. In monetary policy, the chronic undervaluation of the Deutsche Mark, a crucial factor of export competitiveness, collided with the goal of price stability. Both cases highlight the limits of export sector dominance. In recent years, the internationalization of German industry and the process of structural change have created problems that suggest that theGerman economy is reaching the limits of export-oriented growth. These pose new challenges to economic policy makers.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © The IO Foundation 1977

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

1 Figures from Werner Chsttttei, Auβenwirtschaftspolitik (Cologne: Bund-Verlag, 1975), p. 20Google Scholar.

2 See DIW (Deutsches Institut für Wiitschaftsforsehung), Wochenbericht 22/1976, p.224, and Kurzmitteilung, , ”Zur Internationalisierung der westdeutschen Wirtschaft,” WSI-Mitteilungen 4/ 1976, pp. 230–34Google Scholar.

3 See Fischer, Wolfram, “Bergbau, Industrie und Handwerk 1914–1970,” in Handbuch der deutschen Wirtschafts-und Sozialgeschichte, Aubin, Hermann and Zorn, Wolfgang, eds., Vol. 2: Das 19. und 20. Jahrhundert (Stuttgart: Ernst Klett Verlag, 1976), pp. 796843, p. 838Google Scholar.

4 See Michalski, Wolfgang, Export und Wirtschaftswachstum (Hamburg: Verlag Weltarchiv, 1970)Google Scholar.

5 See Kasper, Wolfgang, “Stabilization Policies in a Dependent Economy: Some Lessons From the West German Experience of the 1960s,” in Stabilization Policies in Interdependent Economies, Claassen, Emil and Stalin, Pascal, eds., (Amsterdam and London: North-Holland Publishing Co., 1972), pp. 270–86, p. 272Google Scholar.

6 Wallich, Henry C., Mainsprings of the German Revival (New Haven: Yale University Press, 1955), p. 7Google Scholar.

7 See Welteke, Marianne, Theorie und Praxis der Sozialen Marktwirtschaft (Frankfurt and New York: Campus Verlag, 1976), pp. 1819Google Scholar.

8 Figures from OECD, Manpower Policy in Germany (Paris: OECD, 1974), p. 151Google ScholarPubMed.

9 Kindleberger, Charles P., ”Germany's Persistent Balance-of-Payments Disequilibrium,” in Baldwin, Robert E. et al. , Trade, Growth and the Balance of Payments, Essays in Honor of GottfriedHaberler (Chicago, Amsterdam 1965), pp. 238–48, p. 248Google Scholar.

10 Wallich.p. 300;Welteke, pp. 70–71.

11 See the instructive data on the components of global demand in Glastetter, Werner, ”Die Entwicklung der auβenwirtschaftlichen Verflechtung der BundesrepublikDeutschland im Zeitraum 1950 bis 1975,” WSI-Mitteilungen 5/1976 (05 1976), pp. 237–45, p. 240Google Scholar.

12 Wadbrook, William P., West German Balance-of-Payments Policy, Praeger Special Studies in International Economics and Development (New York:Praeger Publishers, 1972), p. 63Google Scholar.

13 See Mϋller, Heinz, Die Exportforderung der Bundesrepublik Deutschland in kritischer Sicht (Dissertation, Marburg, 1961), p. 38Google Scholar.

14 See Monopolkommission, Hauptgutachten 1973/1975: Mehr Wettbewerb ist möglich (Baden-Baden: Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft, 1976), p. 308Google Scholar; and Ausländische Beteiligungen an Unternehmen in der Bundesiepublik,” Monatsberichte der Deutschen Bundesbank 26. Jg.. Nr. 11 (11 1974), p. 28Google Scholar. According to Monopolkommission, pp. 164–65, the 21 majorityowned affiliates of foreign enterprises that ranked among the 100 largest German enterprises in 1974 accounted for 19 percent of total sales of the 100 largest.

15 See Herchenröder, Karl Heinrich, “Investitionen im Ausland,” Handehblatt (Düsseldorf), 14–15 05 1976, p. 3Google Scholar.

16 See also Wadbrook, p. 80 and Kasper, p. 283.

17 See Hermes, Peter, ”Auβenpolitik und Auβenwirtschaftsinteressen,” Aussenpolitik 3/76, pp. 247–55, p. 250Google Scholar.

18 Joffe, Josef, ”The Foreign Policy of the German FederalRepublic,” in Foreign Policy in World Politics, Macridis, Roy C., ed., 5th ed. (Englewood Cliffs, N.J.: Prentice-Hall, Inc., 1976), p. 121Google Scholar.

19 See Borchardt, Knut, ”Wachstum und Wechsellagen 1914–1970,” in , Aubin and , Zorn, p. 721Google Scholar.

20 See Hartwich, Hans-Hermann, Sozialstaatspostulat und gesellschaftlicher status quo (Cologne and Opladen: Westdeutscher Verlag, 1970), p. 69, passimCrossRefGoogle Scholar.

21 Shonfield, Andrew, gen. ed., International Economic Relationsof the Western World 1959–1971 (London: Oxford University Press, 1976), Vol 2: International Monetary Relations, by Strange, Susan, pp. 4647Google Scholar.

22 With state-trading countries, member states were allowed to conclude two-year agreements until the end of 1972.

23 See Hager, Wolfgang, ”Europe's Economic Security,” The Atlantic Papers 3/ 1975, p. 11Google Scholar.

24 See Arndt, Hans-Joachim, West Germany: Politics of Non-Planning, (Syracuse: Syracuse University Press, 1966), p. 13Google Scholar.

25 Wallich, pp. 229–35.

26 Wallich, p., 238. See also Braunthal, Gerard, The Federation of German Industry in Politics (Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 1965), pp. 327–28Google Scholar.

27 See Tudyka, Kurt P., “Ӧkonomische Dimensionen auswäartiger Beziehungen,” Atomzeitalter 1968, pp. 341–42;Google Scholar and Baier, Oskar, “Um die Führung in der Handelspolitik,” Gewerkschaftliche Monatshefte (12 1955), pp. 75Google Scholar.

28 Kuster, Georg H., “Germany,” in Big Businessand the State in Western Europe, Vernon, Raymond, ed., (Cambridge, Massachusetts: Harvard University Press, 1974), p. 69Google Scholar.

29 Ibid., pp. 74–76.

30 Mayntz, Renate and Scharpf, Fritz W., Policy-Makingin the German Federal Bureaucracy (Amsterdam: Elsevier, 1975), p. 42Google Scholar.

31 See Schwarz, Hans-Peter, “Die Bundesregierung und die auswartigen Beziehungen,” in Handbuch der deutschen Aufienpolitik, schwarz, Hans-peter, ed., Munich: Piper Verlag, 1975), pp. 7273Google Scholar.

32 See also Mayntz and Scharpf, p. 60.

32 On the role of parliament in foreign economic policy making, see Tudyka, “Ӧkonomische Dimensionen auswärtiger Beziehungen,” and Tudyka, Kurt P.,“Der Aufienhandelsausschuss des Deutschen Bundestags,” in Tradition und Reformin der deutschen Politik. Gedenkschrift für Waldemar Besson,Jasper, Gotthard, ed., (München: Piper Verlag, 1976), pp. 441–80Google Scholar.

34 DIW-Wochenbericht 22/76, p. 221.

35 See Kurzmitteilung, , “Zui Internationalisierung der westdeutschen Wiitschaft,” p. 232Google Scholar; Le Monde (Paris), 9 12 1976, p. 27Google Scholar.

36 Arndt, p. 73.

37 See Braunthal.p. 26.

38 Ibid., p. 331.

39 See Ehrenberg, Herbert, “Gewerkschaftliche Lohnpolitik in der Hochkonjunktur,” Gewerkschaftliche Monatshefte 3/1962, pp.154– 59Google Scholar; and, Hesselbach, Walter, “Löhne und Preise in einer wachsenden Wirtschaft,” Gewerkschaftliche Monatshefte 6/ 1962, pp. 321–27Google Scholar.

40 Bergmann, Joachim et al. , Gewerkschaften in der Bundesrepublik, (Frankfurt and Cologne: Euiopäische Verlagsanstalt, 1975), pp. 108–09Google Scholar.

41 Donges, Jürgen B. et al., Protektion und Branchenstruktur der westdeutschen Wirtschaft (Tubingen: J.C.B. Mohr [Paul Siebeck], 1973), p. 97Google Scholar. Nominal protection affects import prices; effective protection, domestic production costs. Effective protection is higher than nominal if protection increases with the processing level. Overall effective protection includes tariffs, quotas, and non-tariff barriers. See ibid., p. 16.

42 Piel, Dieter, “Die auβienpolitische Rolle der Wirtschaftsverbande,” in , Schwarz, Handbuch der deutschen Aufienpolitik, p. 214Google Scholar.

43 McGoldrick, Frederick F., The Politics of West German Foreign Economic Policy Toward the Communist States of Eastern Europe 1955–1968, (Ph.D. dissertation, The American University, 1973), p. 505Google Scholar.

44 see Dean, Robert W. West German Trade with the East: The Political Dimension, preger Specoa; Studies in International Politics and Government (New york: Praeger Publishers, 1974), pp. 127–40Google Scholar.

45 See Kreile, Michael “Ostpolitik und Ökonomische Interessen,” in Die Ostpolitik der BRD Jahn, Egbert and Rittberger, Volker, eds., (Opladen: Westdeutscher Verlage, 1974), p. 74Google Scholar.

46 Figures from Alex Müller, “Probleme und Perspektiven dei wirtschaftlichen Verflechtung zwischen der Bundesrepublik Deutschland und den Staatshandelsländern,” WSI-Mitteilungen 5/1976, p. 288Google Scholar; and Monatsberichte der Deutschen Bundesbank, 07 1976, p. 14Google Scholar.

47 See Schlesinger, Helmut and Bockelmann, Horst, “Monetary Policy in the Federal Republic of Germany,” in Monetary Policy in Twelve Industrial Countries, Holbik, Karel, ed., (Boston: Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, 1973), p. 169Google Scholar.

48 Arndt, p. 94; Hankel, Wilhelm, “New Order for American-European Monetary Policy,” in The Euro-American System, Czempiel, Ernst-Otto and Rustow, Dankwart A., eds., (Frankfurt and Boulder, Colorado: Campus Verlag, 1976), p. 53Google Scholar.

49 Wadbrook, p. 90.

50 See Emminger, Otmar, Zwanzig Jahre deutsche Geldpolitiki (1968), pp. 11, 16Google Scholar; Wadbrook, p. 57.

51 Kaufmann, Hugo M., “A Debate over Germany's Revaluation 1961: A Chapter in Political Economy,” Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv Vol. 103 (1969 II), pp. 181212, p. 191Google Scholar.

52 Wadbrook, p. 251.

53 See Scharrer, Hans-Eckart, “Währungspolitische Perspektiven für die Bundesrepublik Deutschland in dei Post-Bretton-Woods Ara,” WSI-Mitteilungen 5/1976, p. 302Google Scholar.

54 See Arndt, p. 95; Wadbrook, p. 90.

55 Wadbrook, p. 89.

56 See Schlesinger and Bockelmann, p. 171.

57 Ibid., p. 164; Moesch, Irene and Simmert, Diethard B., Banken. Strukturen, Macht, Reformen formen (Köln: Bund Verlag, 1976), p. 23Google Scholar.

58 Monopolkommission, pp. 199, 247.

59 Ibid., p. 195; see also p. 258.

60 Ibid., p. 270.

61 Ibid., p. 46.

62 E.g., Uliich, Franz, “Groβbanken heute,” in Neuzeitliche Bankpolitik-Analysen und Meinungen aus der deutschen Kreditwirtschaft, Wittgen, R., ed., (Frankfurt: Fritz Knapp Verlag, 1974), p. 75Google Scholar.

63 Moesch and Simmert, pp. 68–70; Röpker, Burkhart, ed., Wettbewerbsprobleme in Kreditgewerbe (Berlin: Duncker und Humblot, 1976)Google Scholar.

64 See Röpker, p. 261.

65 Scharrer, Hans-Eckart, “Die Rolle der Banken,” in Schwarz, , ed., Handbuch der deutschen Auβenpolitik, pp. 219–24Google Scholar.

66 Wad brook, p. 28; Schlesinger, Helmut, “Geldpolitik in der Phase des Wiederaufbaus(1950–1958),” in Deutsche Bundesbank, Wirtschaft und Wahrung in Deutschland 1876–1975, (Frankfurt: Fritz Knapp Verlag, 1976), p. 600Google Scholar. A Bundesbank representative attends the meetings with the status of “guest.”.

67 Moesch and Simmert, pp. 70–71.

68 Geigei, Helmut, Bankpolitik (Stuttgart: Kohlhammer, 1975), p. 111Google Scholar.

69 Schlesinger and Bockelmann, p. 183. Our discussion of the 1961 revaluation is largely based on the excellend case study by kaufmann (fn.51) and the Schlesinger/ Bockelmann article.

70 Schlesinger and Bockelmann, p. 184.

71 Ibid., p. 187.

72 Emminger, , “Zwanzig Jahre deutsche Geldpolitik,” p. 19Google Scholar; Emminger, , “Deutsche Geld-und Wahrungspolitik im Spannungsfeld zwischen innerem und ausserem Gleichgewicht (1948–1975),” in Deutsche Bundesbank, Wirtschaft und Wdhrung in Deutschland, p. 495Google Scholar.

73 Wissenschaftlicher Beirat beim Bundeswirtschaftsministerium, Gutachten, 30 (April 1957), p. 25.

74 Ibid., p. 31.

75 Emminger, “Deutsche Geld-und Währungspolitik im Spannungsfeld zwischen innerem und ausserem Gleichgewicht (1948–1975),” p. 495Google Scholar.

76 Kaufmann, p. 199.

77 Ibid., p. 203.

78 Ibid., p. 205.

79 Ibid., p. 206.

80 Emminger, , “Deutsche Geld-und Wahrungspolitik im Spannungsfeld zwischen innerem und äusserem Gleichgewicht (1948–1975),” p. 505Google Scholar.

81 Kaufmann, p. 208.

82 Der Gewerkschafter3/1961, p. 3.

83 Kaufmann, p. 208.

84 Times (London), 6 03 1961, quotedfrom Kaufmann, p. 209Google ScholarPubMed.

85 Emminger, , “Deutsche Geld-und Wähiungspolitik im Spannungsfeld zwischen innerem und äusserem Gleichgewicht (1948–1975),” p. 518Google Scholar.

86 See Strange, p. 326.

87 See Willeke, Franz-Ulrich et al., “Die Aufwertungsdebatte in der BRD in den Jahren 1968 und 1969,” Hamburger Jahrbuch für Wirtschafts-und Gesellschaftspolitik 16 (1971), pp. 287316Google Scholar.

88 Strange, p. 327.

89 Kasper, pp. 283–84.

90 Emminger, , “Deutsche Geld-und Wahrungspolitik im Spannungsfeld zwischen innerem und äusserem Gleichgewicht (1948–1975),” p. 522Google Scholar.

91 Ibid., p. 487. For a discussion of the limits of protection through “floating,” see ibid. pp. 534–36.

93 OECD Economic Surveys, Germany (Paris: OECD, 05 1976), pp. 1213Google ScholarPubMed.

94 Data from Henry Krägenau, Internationale Direktinvestitionen 1950–1973 (Hamburg: Verlag Weltarchiv, 1975), pp. 32,139Google Scholar; and Herchenröder, in Handelsblatt 14–15 05 1976Google Scholar. The comparability of foreign investment statistics is discussed in Kragenau, pp. 3O–35.

95 Herchenröder in Handelsblatt. See also Jonas, Rainer, “Auswiikungen des weltwirtschaftlichen Strukturwandels auf die Arbeitsmarktentwicklung in derBundesrepublik,” in Wirtschaftsstruktur und Beschäftigung, Heidermann, Horst, ed., (Bonn-Bad Godesberg: Verlag Neue Gesellschaft, 1976), pp.9–28, 22Google Scholar.

96 Mennis, Bernard and Sauvant, Karl P., Emerging Forms of Transnational Community: Transnational Business Enterprises and Regional Integration (Lexington, Massachusetts: Lexington Books, 1976), p. 15Google Scholar.

97 Data from Jonas, pp. 23–24. The figures given on sectoral distribution refer to percentage shares of total direct foreign investment. Industrial investment accounts for 76.3 percent, investment in the service sectors for 21.2 percent of the total.

98 Jungnickel, R. et al. Die Deutschen Multinational Unternehmen, Holthus, M., ed., (Frankfurt: Athenäum Verlag, 1974), p.116Google Scholar.

99 For a concise treatment of the main theories on foreign investment see Gilpin, Robert, U.S. Power and the Multinational Corporation: The Political Economy of Foreign Direct Investment (New York: Basic Books, 1975), Chapter 5CrossRefGoogle Scholar.

100 Jungnickeletal., p. 158.

101 See Herchenröder in Handelsblatt, and Handelsblatt, 10 06 1976, p. 6Google Scholar.

102 Sachverständigenrat, , Jahresgutachten 1975, Bundestags-Drucksache 77sol;4326, Tabelle 17, p. 233Google Scholar.

103 See Kiägenau, Henry, “Entwicklung und Förderung der deutschen Direktinvestitionen,” in Forderung privater Direktinvestitionen,Schairer, Hans-Eckart, ed., (Hamburg: Verlag Weltarchiv, 1972), pp. 492597Google Scholar.

104 Ehrenberg, Herbert, “Strukturpolitik-zentrale wirtschaftspolitische Aufgabe der neuen Legislaturperiode,” WSI-Mitteilungen 11/1976, p. 664Google Scholar. This article was published shortly before its author became the new Minister of Labor in the second Schmidt government.

105 Krāgenau, in Schaxrer, pp. 492–97.

106 The law was replaced in 1974 by the “Entwicklungslandersteuergesetz” which favors especially investment in least developed countries. Tourism investment no longer qualifies for tax privileges. See Jüttner, Heinrich, Förderung und Schutz deutscher Direktinvestitionen in Entwicklungständer (Baden-Baden: Nomos Verlagsgesellschaft, 1975), pp. 116–19Google Scholar.

106 See Knieper, Rolf, Weltmarkt, Wirtschaftsrecht und Nationalstaat (Frankfurt: Suhrkamp Verlag, 1976), pp. 189–96Google Scholar.

108 See Jüttner, p. 139.

109 Knieper, p. 184.

110 Labor union experts in 1969 criticized proposals to encourage capital export through tax privileges. See Hölzel, Manfred, “Keine Förderung deutscher Direktinvestitionen im Ausland,” and Seitenzahl, Rolf, “Zahlungsbilanz, Kapitalexport and Auslandsinvestitionen,” both in Gewerkschaftliche Werkschaftliche Monatshefte, 06 1969, pp. 349–56Google Scholar.

111 Handelsblatt, 8–9 11 1974, pp. 1 and 3Google Scholar.

112 OECD Economic Surveys, Germany, p. 10, p. 34.

113 Jonas, p. 13.

114 See Schatz, Klaus-Werner, “Zum sektoralen und regionalen Strukturwandel in der Bundesrepublik Deutschland,” WSI-Mitteilungen 11/1976, pp. 653–60Google Scholar; Schatz, Klaus-Werner, Wachsturn und Strukturwandel der westdeutschen Wirtschaft itn internationalen Verbund, (Tübingen: J.C.B.Mohr [Paul Siebeck], 1974), pp. 198252Google Scholar;. Bülow, Hans, “Entwicklungstendenzen der internationalen Arbeitsteilung und Riickwirkungen auf die Industriestruktur der Bundesrepublik Deutschland,” WSI-Mitteilungen 5/1976, pp. 254–67Google Scholar.

115 Dicke, Hugo et al. , Beschäftigungswirkungen einer verstärkten Arbeitsteilung zwischen der Bundesrepublik und den Entwicklungslandern (Tubingen: J.C.B. Mohr [Paul Siebeck], 1976), pp. 34, 97, 146Google Scholar.

116 See Mehrländer, Ursula, “Zur politischen Konzeption der Ausländerbeschäftigung,” in Heidermann, , ed., Wirtschaftsstruktur und Beschüaftigung, p. 101Google Scholar.

117 See Schatz, , “Zum sektoralen und regionalen Strukturwandel in der Bundesrepublik Deutschland,” p. 659Google Scholar.

118 See Hauff, Volker and Schaipf, Fritz W., Modernisierung der Volkswirtschaft: Technologiepolitik ah Strukturpolitik (Frankfurt and Cologne: Europäische Verlagsanstalt, 1975)Google Scholar; and Hauff, Volker, “Sichere Arbeitsplätze durch Modernisierung der Volkswirtschaft,” Neue Gesellschaft, 6/1976, pp. 457–67Google Scholar.

119 Rogge, Peter of Prognos AG, according to Handehblatt, 6 05 1976, p. 4Google Scholar.

120 Ibid. For a different view of the dynamics of structural change see Handehblatt, 7 April 1976, the report on a study of DIW Berlin.

121 See Handehblatt, 6 may 19761, pp. 4–5.

122 See for example Sachverständigenrat, , Jahresgutachten 1975, pp. 125–27Google Scholar.

123 Evans, and Novak, , “Bonn's Role in Europe: A Dilemma,” International Herald Tribune (Paris), 25 11 1976, p. 6Google Scholar. See also the diatribe by Vigier, Jean-Pierre, “L'Europe sous une hegemonie germano-americaine?” Le Monde Diplomatique (Paris), 11 1976, pp. 1,7Google Scholar.

124 Duchene, Francois, “The United States and the EuropeanCommunity”, in America as an Ordinary Country. U.S. Foreign Policy and the Future Rosecrance, Richiard ed., (Ithaca and London: Cornell University Press,1976), p. 92Google Scholar.

125 See Hermes, p. 251.