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Inequality and Childhood Mortality: a Comparison of England and Wales, 1911, and the United States, 1900

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  03 March 2009

Abstract

An index of childhood mortality is proposed as a good measure of socioeconomic well-being and inequality. The index is used to investigate the relationship between childhood mortality and occupation and income of parents. The sources consist of the 1900 United States Census public-use sample and the published 1911 Census of Marriage and Fertility of England and Wales. Results revealed more inequality in mortality and income across social-class groupings in England and Wales than in the United States. The outcome arose more because of relatively higher childhood mortality for white-collar groups in the United States than because of a better situation for blue-collar groups.

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Articles
Copyright
Copyright © The Economic History Association 1985

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References

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26 As a check on the data for England and Wales, the differentials were compared to those from the first vital statistics tabulation (1911) of the infant mortality rate by this social class categorization. (Great Britain, Registrar General, Seventy-Fourth Annual Report of the Register General of Births, Deaths, and Marriages in England and Wales, 1911 [London, 1913], pp. 73, 88.) The results are as follows:Google Scholar

The comparison is quite close, despite the fact that the census results apply to children as well as infants, while the vital statistics results apply only to infants. Further, the vital statistics data come from only one year of experience (1911) and are thus subject to more variability. In addition, a zero- order correlation between 116 detailed occupational categories of the census mortality index and the 1911 vital statistics infant mortality rate gave a quite close relationship (r = 0.960)

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37 The difference between the child mortality indices was tested for statistical significance for these selected occupational groups. To do this, several steps were necessary. First, the index values were normalized so that the national average values were 1.0000. Second, these normalized values were converted to q(5) values by multiplying them by the q(5) value in the American model table (West model, level 13, both sexes combined assuming a sex ratio of 1.05 at birth; q(5) = .19119). This basically reduced both sets of differentials to a common mortality level. Third, it was assumed that these q(5) values approximately followed a binomial process where q(5) = p and σ = , where n was number of children ever born to that occupational group. Finally, the statistical difference of these values was tested using the formula: This yielded the following t-statistics:Google Scholar

All but textile workers and native white agricultural laborers showed differences which were significant at least at a 5 percent level (two-tailed test)

38 Preston and Haines, “New Estimates of Child Mortality,” pp. 278–79.Google Scholar

39 The index of dissimilarity and the Atkinson index are already weighted.Google Scholar

40 Higher fertility, of course, promotes higher child mortality through the adverse effects of close spacing and high parity on child survival.Google Scholar

41 The effect of social class mortality rates versus the distribution of children ever born (that is, the “weights”) may be seen in the following example:Google Scholar

The use of weights reduces but does not eliminate the gap in the inequality measure. On the other hand the use of English social class child mortality rates with American weights results in a coefficient of variation (.30) far above that for the case with English weights and American rates (.11). The same is true when the 1911 English classes are used to calculate the coefficient of variation.

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50 The groups actually included were: Farmer's Sons; Officers of Local Authorities; Goldsmiths and Silversmiths; Watchmakers and Clockmakers; Bakers and Confectioners. Missing were such groups as: Coffee and Eating House Keepers; Inn and Hotel Keepers; Publicans; Boarding and Lodging House Keepers; Dealers and Merchants in various products (for example, coal, timber, wood, cork, bark, boots and shoes, corn, flour, seed); Drapers; General Shopkeepers; Grocers; Greengrocers; Tobacconists; Milksellers and Dairymen; Cheesemongers and Buttermen; Fishmongers, Poulterers and Game Dealers; Clothiers and Outfitters.Google Scholar

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52 A more precise correction for heteroscedasticity is to use the square roots of children ever born as weights. This would be less valuable in obtaining weights representative of the population. The use of square roots actually makes little difference in the final results.Google Scholar

53 Regressions were run using the two different social class groups as independent variables and three earnings variables (earnings, inverse of earnings, and log of earnings) as dependent variables for both ordinary and weighted least squares. The results, in terms of R2, ranged from .452 to .867. Only I of the 12 equations had an R2 below 0.50.Google Scholar

54 The 1950 American occupational groupings were not included in Table 5 since the 1911 English social classes performed so well.Google Scholar

55 Regressions similar to those mentioned in footnote 53 were run for England and Wales using the 1911 social class group dummies as independent variables and three earnings variables (earnings, inverse of earnings, and log of earnings) as dependent variables, using both ordinary and weighted least squares. R2 values ranged from .546 to .707.Google Scholar

56 The coefficients of variation for the mortality index in the regression models were:Google Scholar

57 Grossman, Michael, The Demand for Health: A Theoretical Investigation (New York, 1972), pp. xiii–xvii.Google Scholar