Hostname: page-component-78c5997874-j824f Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-11-07T20:43:10.575Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

Liquidity Constraints and Credit Card Delinquency: Evidence from Raising Minimum Payments

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  12 July 2017

Abstract

We use credit card data to estimate the impact of increasing minimum payments on delinquency, payments, spending, and write-offs. Our identification strategy exploits an unusual institutional feature: Borrowers can use their account to make purchases with both revolving loans (on which minimum payments increased) and term loans (on which there was no change). Payment increases by delinquent borrowers are insufficient to match increasing minimums, resulting in lower cure rates and an increase in write-offs. Affected borrowers migrate away from these accounts by decreasing charges and increasing payments, consequently lowering the interest earned by the bank.

Type
Research Article
Copyright
Copyright © Michael G. Foster School of Business, University of Washington 2017 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

1

We are grateful to Stephen Brown (the editor), Chris Carroll, Pierre-André Chiaporri, Keith Crocker, Glenn Harrison, Benjamin Keys, Theresa Kuchler (the referee), Maurizio Mazzocco, Kathleen McGarry, Corina Mommaerts, Noah Stoffman, and Tyson Van Alfen for helpful comments. We also thank seminar participants at the 2015 Cornell University Institute for Behavioral and Household Finance Symposium on Household and Behavioral Finance, the 2016 Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank Household Economics and Decision Making Conference, the 2015 Georgia State University Income Risk Workshop, the 2015 Financial Management Association Annual Meetings, and the 2015 Huebner PhD Colloquium in Seattle for their valuable suggestions.

References

Agarwal, S.; Chomsisengphet, S.; Mahoney, N.; and Stroebel, J.. “Regulating Consumer Financial Products: Evidence from Credit Cards.” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 130 (2015), 111164.Google Scholar
Agarwal, S.; Liu, C.; and Souleles, N. S.. “The Reaction of Consumer Spending and Debt to Tax Rebates: Evidence from Consumer Credit Data.” Journal of Political Economy, 115 (2007), 9861019.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Angeletos, G.-M.; Laibson, D.; Repetto, A.; Tobacman, J.; and Weinberg, S.. “The Hyperbolic Consumption Model: Calibration, Simulation, and Empirical Evaluation.” Journal of Economic Perspectives, 15 (2001), 4768.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Angrist, J. D., and Pischke, J.-S.. Mostly Harmless Econometrics. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press (2009).Google Scholar
Bottai, M.; Cai, B.; and McKeown, R. E.. “Logistic Quantile Regression for Bounded Outcomes.” Statistics in Medicine, 29 (2009), 309317.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Card, D.; Lee, D.; Pei, Z.; and Weber, A.. “Inference on Causal Effects in a Generalized Regression Kink Design.” Econometrica, 83 (2015), 24632483.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Carroll, C. D.A Theory of the Consumption Function With and Without Liquidity Constraints.” Journal of Economic Perspectives, 15 (2001), 2345.Google Scholar
Carroll, C. D., and Kimball, M. S.. “On the Concavity of the Consumption Function.” Econometrica, 64 (1996), 981992.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Carroll, C. D., and Kimball, M. S.. “Liquidity Constraints and Precautionary Saving.” Working Paper, Johns Hopkins University (2005).Google Scholar
Gross, D. B., and Souleles, N.. “Do Liquidity Constraints and Interest Rates Matter for Consumer Behavior? Evidence from Credit Card Data.” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117 (2002), 149185.Google Scholar
Jappelli, T.; Pischke, J.-S.; and Souleles, N. S.. “Testing for Liquidity Constraints in Euler Equations with Complementary Data Sources.” Review of Economics and Statistics, 80 (1998), 251262.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Jones, L. E.; Loibl, C.; and Tennyson, S.. “The Effects of the CARD Act Disclosures on Consumers’ Use of Credit Cards.” Working Paper, Cornell University (2014).Google Scholar
Keys, B. J., and Wang, J.. “Minimum Payments and Debt Paydown in Consumer Credit Cards.” Working Paper, University of Pennsylvania (2014).Google Scholar
Kuchler, T.“Sticking to Your Plan: Hyperbolic Discounting and Credit Card Debt Paydown.” Working Paper, New York University (2015).Google Scholar
Meier, S., and Sprenger, C.. “Present-Biased Preferences and Credit Card Borrowing.” American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 2 (2010), 193210.Google Scholar
Skiba, P. M., and Tobacman, J.. “Payday Loans, Uncertainty, and Discounting: Explaining Patterns of Borrowing, Repayment and Default.” Working Paper, Vanderbilt Law and Economics Research Paper No. 08-33 (2008).Google Scholar
Telyukova, I. A.Household Need for Liquidity and the Credit Card Debt Puzzle.” Review of Economic Studies, 80 (2013), 11481177.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Zeldes, S. P.Consumption and Liquidity Constraints: An Empirical Investigation.” Journal of Political Economy, 97 (1989), 305346.Google Scholar
Zinman, J.Household Debt: Facts, Puzzles, Theories, and Policies.” Annual Review of Economics, 7 (2015), 251276.Google Scholar
Supplementary material: File

d’Astous and Shore supplementary material

Appendix

Download d’Astous and Shore supplementary material(File)
File 738.7 KB