Hostname: page-component-cd9895bd7-lnqnp Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-12-23T17:09:26.667Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

BANKS' PRECAUTIONARY CAPITAL AND CREDIT CRUNCHES

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  12 June 2013

Fabián Valencia*
Affiliation:
International Monetary Fund
*
Address correspondence to: Fabían Valencia, International Monetary Fund, 700 19th Street N.W., Washington, DC 20431, USA; e-mail: fvalencia@imf.org.

Abstract

This paper develops a bank model to study supply-driven contractions in credit or credit crunches. In the model, the bank is affected by financial frictions in raising external funds. These frictions imply that the bank repairs its balance sheet only gradually following a negative shock that weakens the bank's capital position. Consequently, there is persistency in the response of bank lending even when the original shock (productivity or interest rate) is i.i.d. The nonlinear nature of these financial frictions also generates (i) a precautionary motive even with risk-neutral shareholders: the bank increases its desired level of capital if risk increases; (ii) an asymmetric response of lending: negative disturbances can have a bigger impact than positive ones; and (iii) volatility clustering in risk spreads and the bank's share price.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2013 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

References

REFERENCES

Aliaga-Díaz, Roger and Olivero, María Pía (2012) Do bank capital requirements amplify business cycles? Bridging the gap between theory and empirics. Macroeconomic Dynamics 16, 358395.Google Scholar
Bernanke, Ben and Gertler, Mark (1987) Banking and macroeconomic equilibrium. In Barnett, William and Singleton, Kenneth (eds.), New Approaches to Monetary Economics, pp. 89112. New York: Cambridge University Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bernanke, Ben, Gertler, Mark, and Gilchrist, Simon (1999) The financial accelerator in a quantitative business cycle framework. In Taylor, John B. and Woodford, Michael (eds.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, vol. 1, pp. 13411393. Amsterdam: Elsevier.Google Scholar
Brunnermeier, Markus and Sannikov, Yuliy (2011) A Macroeconomic Model with a Financial Sector. Unpublished manuscript, Princeton University.Google Scholar
Carlson, Mark, Shan, Hui, and Warusawitharana, Missaka (2011) Capital Ratios and Bank Lending: A Matched Bank Approach. Working paper 2011-34, Federal Reserve Board of Governors.Google Scholar
Carlstrom, Charles and Fuerst, Timothy (1997) Agency costs, net worth, and business fluctuations: A computable general equilibrium analysis. American Economic Review 87, 893910.Google Scholar
Carroll, Christopher (2004) Theoretical Foundations of Buffer Stock Saving. Working paper 10867, National Bureau of Economic Research.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Carroll, Christopher (2006) The method of endogenous gridpoints for solving dynamic stochastic optimization problems. Economics Letters 91, 312320.Google Scholar
Chen, Nan-Kuang (2001) Bank net worth, asset prices and economic activity. Journal of Monetary Economics 48, 415436.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Chiu, Jonathan and Meh, Césaire (2011) Financial intermediation, liquidity, and inflation. Macroeconomic Dynamics 15, 83118.Google Scholar
Christiano, Lawrence, Motto, Roberto, and Rostagno, Massimo (2004) The Great Depression and the Friedman–Schwartz hypothesis. Working paper 10255, National Bureau of Economic Research.Google Scholar
Cover, James (1992) Asymmetric effects of positive and negative money-supply shocks. Quarterly Journal of Economics 107, 12611282.Google Scholar
Dell'Ariccia, Giovanni and Garibaldi, Pietro (2005) Gross credit flows. Review of Economic Studies 72, 665685.Google Scholar
Den Haan, Wouter, Sumner, Steven, and Yamashiro, Guy (2011) Bank loan components and the time-varying effects of monetary policy shocks. Economica 78, 593617.Google Scholar
Diamond, Douglas and Dybvig, Phillip (1983) Bank runs, deposit insurance, and liquidity. Journal of Political Economy 91, 401419.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Driscoll, John (2004) Does bank lending affect output? Evidence from the U.S. states. Journal of Monetary Economics 51, 451471.Google Scholar
Flannery, Mark and Rangan, Kasturi (2008) What caused the bank capital build-up of the 1990s? Review of Finance 12, 391429.Google Scholar
Gale, Douglas and Hellwig, Martin (1985) Incentive-compatible debt contracts: The one-period problem. Review of Economic Studies 52, 647663.Google Scholar
Gertler, Mark (1992) Financial capacity and output fluctuations in an economy with multi-period financial relationships. Review of Economic Studies 59, 455472.Google Scholar
Gertler, Mark and Karadi, Peter (2010) A model of unconventional monetary policy. Journal of Monetary Economics 58, 1734.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Gertler, Mark and Kiyotaki, Nobuhiro (2010) Financial intermediation and credit policy in business cycle analysis. In Friedman, Benjamin M. and Woodford, Michael (eds.), Handbook of Monetary Economics, vol. 3, pp. 547599. Amsterdam: Elsevier.Google Scholar
Giannetti, Mariassunta and Simonov, Andrei (2013) On the real effects of bank bailouts: Micro evidence from Japan. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 5, 135167.Google Scholar
Hancock, Diana, Laing, Andrew, and Wilcox, James (1995) Bank capital shocks: Dynamic effects on securities, loans, and capital. Journal of Banking and Finance 19, 661677.Google Scholar
Hirakata, Naohisa, Sudo, Nao, and Ueda, Kozo (2009) Chained Credit Contracts and Financial Accelerators. Discussion paper 09-E-30, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies.Google Scholar
Holmstrom, Bengt and Tirole, Jean (1997) Financial intermediation, loanable funds, and the real sector. Quarterly Journal of Economics 112, 663691.Google Scholar
Kashyap, Anil, Rajan, Raghuram, and Stein, Jeremy (2002) Banks as liquidity providers: An explanation for the co-existence of lending and deposit-taking. Journal of Finance 57, 3373.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Kiyotaki, Nobuhiro and Moore, John (1997) Credit cycles. Journal of Political Economy 105, 211248.Google Scholar
Kollmann, Robert, Roeger, Werner, and in't Veld, Jan (2012) Fiscal policy in a financial crisis: Standard policy vs. bank rescue measures. American Economic Review 102, 7781.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Laeven, Luc and Valencia, Fabián (2013) The real effects of financial sector interventions during crises. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 45, 147177.Google Scholar
Meh, Césaire and Moran, Kevin (2010) The role of bank capital in the propagation of shocks. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 34, 555576.Google Scholar
Modigliani, Franco and Miller, Merton (1958) The cost of capital, corporation finance and the theory of investment. American Economic Review 48, 261297.Google Scholar
Sandri, Damiano and Valencia, Fabián (2012) Balance-Sheet Shocks and Recapitalizations. Working paper 12/68, International Monetary Fund.Google Scholar
Sun, Hongfei (2011) Money, markets, and dynamic credit. Macroeconomic Dynamics 15, 4261.Google Scholar
Townsend, Robert (1979) Optimal contracts and competitive markets with costly state verification. Journal of Economic Theory 21, 265935.Google Scholar
Valencia, Fabián (2010) Bank Capital and Uncertainty. Working paper 10/208, International Monetary Fund.Google Scholar
Valencia, Fabián and Verrier, Jeanne (2013) Aggregate Uncertainty and the Supply of Credit. Unpublished manuscript, International Monetary Fund.Google Scholar
Van Den Heuvel, Skander (2006) The Bank Capital Channel of Monetary Policy. Unpublished manuscript, University of Pennsylvania.Google Scholar