Hostname: page-component-84b7d79bbc-c654p Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-07-26T05:27:20.277Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false

OPTIMAL SAVINGS FOR RETIREMENT: THE ROLE OF INDIVIDUAL ACCOUNTS

Published online by Cambridge University Press:  07 July 2016

Julia Le Blanc*
Affiliation:
Deutsche Bundesbank
Almuth Scholl
Affiliation:
University of Konstanz
*
Address correspondence to: Julia Le Blanc, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre, Wilhelm-Epstein Str. 14, D-60431 Frankfurt am Main, Germany; e-mail: julia.le.blanc@bundesbank.de.

Abstract

We employ a life-cycle model with income risk to analyze how tax-deferred individual accounts affect households' savings for retirement. We consider voluntary accounts as opposed to mandatory accounts with minimum contribution rates. We contrast add-on accounts with carve-out accounts that partly replace social security contributions. Quantitative results suggest that making add-on accounts mandatory has adverse welfare effects across income groups. Carve-out accounts generate positive welfare effects across all income groups, but gains are lower for low income earners. Default investment rules in individual accounts have a modest impact on welfare.

Type
Articles
Copyright
Copyright © Cambridge University Press 2016 

Access options

Get access to the full version of this content by using one of the access options below. (Log in options will check for institutional or personal access. Content may require purchase if you do not have access.)

Footnotes

Previous versions of this paper were circulated under the titles “Pension Reform and Individual Accounts” and “Optimal Savings for Retirement: The Role of Individual Accounts and Disaster Expectations.” We thank two anonymous referees, Michael Haliassos, seminar participants at the Deutsche Bundesbank, and participants at the International Netspar Pension Workshop 2011, the Meeting of the Canadian Economic Association 2010, and the Meetings of the European Economic Association 2009 for very useful comments and suggestions. The usual disclaimer applies.

References

REFERENCES

Agnew, Julie, Balduzzi, Pierluigi, and Sunden, Annika (2003) Portfolio choice and trading in a large 401(k) plan. American Economic Review 93 (1), 193215.Google Scholar
Alan, Sule (2006) Entry costs and stock market participation over the life cycle. Review of Economic Dynamics 9, 588611.Google Scholar
Alan, Sule (2012) Do disaster expectations explain household portfolios? Quantitative Economics 3, 128.Google Scholar
Amromin, Gene (2003) Household portfolio choices in taxable and tax-deferred accounts: Another puzzle. European Finance Review 7, 547582.Google Scholar
Auerbach, Alan J. and Kotlikoff, Lawrence J. (1987) Dynamic Fiscal Policy. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.Google Scholar
Barro, Robert J. and Ursua, Jose F. (2008) Macroeconomic crises since 1870. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 39 (1), 255335.Google Scholar
Bernartzi, Shlomo and Thaler, Richard H. (2001) Naive diversification strategies in defined contribution saving plans. American Economic Review 91 (1), 7998.Google Scholar
Bernartzi, Shlomo and Thaler, Richard H. (2004) Save more for tomorrow: Using behavioral economics to increase employee saving. Journal of Political Economy 112 (1), 164187.Google Scholar
Bernartzi, Shlomo and Thaler, Richard H. (2007) Heuristics and biases in retirement savings behavior. Journal of Economic Perspectives 21 (3), 81104.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Bernheim, Douglas, Fradkin, Andrey, and Popov, Igor (2015) The welfare economics of default options in 401(k) plans. American Economic Review 105 (9), 27982837.Google Scholar
Bodie, Zvi, McLeavey, Dennis, and Siegel, Laurence B. (2007) The Future of Life-Cycle Saving and Investing. The Research Foundation of CFA.Google Scholar
Bodie, Zvi and Treussard, Jonathan (2007) Making investment choices as simple as possible, but not simpler. Financial Analysts Journal 63 (3), 1617.Google Scholar
Calvet, Laurent E., Campbell, John Y., and Sodini, Paolo (2007) Down or out: Assessing the welfare costs of household investment mistakes. Journal of Political Economy 115, 707747.Google Scholar
Campbell, John Y. (2006) Household finance, presidential address to the American Finance Association. Journal of Finance 61 (4), 15531604.Google Scholar
Campbell, John Y., Cocco, Joao F., Gomes, Francisco J., and Maenhout, Pascal J. (2001) Investing retirement wealth: A life-cycle model. In Campbell, John Y. and Feldstein, Martin (eds.), Risk Aspects of Investment-Based Social Security Reform, pp. 439482. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Carroll, Christopher D. (1997) Buffer-stock saving and the life-cycle/permanent income hypothesis. Quarterly Journal of Economics 110 (1), 1–55.Google Scholar
Carroll, Gabriel D., Choi, James J., Laibson, David, Madrian, Brigitte C., and Metrick, Andrew (2009) Optimal defaults and active decisions. Quarterly Journal of Economics 124 (4), 16391674.Google Scholar
Choi, James, Laibson, David, Madrian, Brigitte C., and Metrick, Andrew (2002) Defined contribution pensions: Plan rules, participant decisions, and the path of least resistance. In Poterba, James (ed.), Tax Policy and the Economy, Vol. 16, pp. 67113. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Choi, James, Laibson, David, Madrian, Brigitte C., and Metrick, Andrew (2004) For better or for worse: Default effects and 401(k) savings behavior. In Wise, David A. (ed.), Perspectives in the Economics of Aging, pp. 81125. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Cocco, Joao, Gomes, Francisco, and Maenhout, Pascal J. (2005) Consumption and portfolio choice over the life cycle. Review of Financial Studies 18 (2), 491533.Google Scholar
Dammon, Robert M., Spatt, Chester S., and Zhang, Harold H. (2004) Optimal asset location and allocation with taxable and tax-deferred investing. Journal of Finance 59 (3), 9991037.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
De Menil, Georges, Murtin, Fabrice, and Sheshinski, Eytan (2006) Planning for the optimal mix of paygo tax and funded savings. Journal of Pension Economics and Finance 5 (1), 1–25.Google Scholar
De Nardi, Mariacristina, Imrohoroglu, Selahattin, and Sargent, Thomas J. (1999) Projected U.S. demographics and social security. Review of Economic Dynamics 2, 575615.Google Scholar
Fehr, Hans, Jokisch, Sabine, and Kotlikoff, Laurence J. (2005) Will China Eat Our Lunch or Take Us out to Dinner? Simulating the Transition Paths of the U.S., EU, Japan and China. NBER working paper 11668.Google Scholar
Feldstein, Martin and Samwick, Andrew (1998) The transition path in privatizing Social Security. In Feldstein, Martin (ed.), Privatizing Social Security, pp. 215260. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Geanakoplos, John and Zeldes, Stephen P. (2009) Reforming social security with progressive personal accounts. In Brown, Jeffrey R., Liebman, Jeffrey B., and Wise, David A. (eds.), Social Security Policy in a Changing Environment, pp. 73128. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Goda, Gopi Shah, Shoven, John B., and Slavov, Sita Nataraj (2011) What explains changes in retirement plans during the Great Recession? American Economic Review 101 (3), 2934.Google Scholar
Gomes, Francisco, Kotlikoff, Laurence J., and Viceira, Luis M. (2008) Optimal life-cycle investing with flexible labor supply: A welfare analysis of life-cycle funds. American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings 98 (2), 297303.Google Scholar
Gomes, Francisco and Michaelides, Alexander (2005) Optimal life-cycle asset allocation. Journal of Finance 60 (2), 869904.Google Scholar
Gomes, Francisco, Michaelides, Alexander, and Polkovnichenko, Valery (2009) Optimal savings with taxable and tax-deferred accounts. Review of Economic Dynamics 12, 718735.Google Scholar
Guiso, Luigi, Haliassos, Michael, and Jappelli, Tullio (2002) Household portfolios: An international comparison. In Guiso, Luigi, Haliassos, Michael, and Jappelli, Tullio (eds.), Household Portfolios, pp. 124. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.Google Scholar
Guiso, Luigi, Haliassos, Michael, and Jappelli, Tullio (2003) Household stockholding in Europe: Where do we stand and where do we go? Economic Policy 36, 123170.CrossRefGoogle Scholar
Haliassos, Michael (2008) Household portfolios. In Durlauf, Steven N. and Blume, Lawrence E. (eds.), New Palgrave Dictionary of Economics, 2nd ed., London: Palgrave Macmillan.Google Scholar
Helppie McFall, Brooke (2011) Crash and wait? The impact of the Great Recession on the retirement plans of older Americans. American Economic Review 101 (3), 4044.Google Scholar
Holden, Sarah, Ireland, Kathy, Leonard-Chambers, Vicky, and Bogdan, Michael (2005) The individual retirement account at age 30: A retrospective. Investment Company Institute Perspective 11 (1), 124.Google Scholar
Jagannathan, Ravi and Kocherlakota, Naryana R. (1996) Why should older people invest less in stocks than younger people? Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review 20 (3), 1123.Google Scholar
Kotlikoff, Lawrence J. (1998) Simulating the privatization of Social Security in general equilibrium. In Feldstein, Martin (ed.), Privatizing Social Security, pp. 265306. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Kritzer, Barbara E. (2005) Individual accounts in other countries. Social Security Bulletin 66 (1), 3137.Google ScholarPubMed
Love, David A. (2007) What can the life-cycle model tell us about 401(k) contributions and participation? Journal of Pension Economics and Finance 6 (2), 147185.Google Scholar
Lusardi, Annamaria and Mitchell, Olivia S. (2007) Financial literacy and retirement preparedness: Evidence and implications for financial education programs. Business Economics 42 (1), 3544.Google Scholar
Lusardi, Annamaria and Mitchell, Olivia (2011) Financial Literacy Around the World: An Overview. NBER working paper 17107.Google Scholar
Madrian, Brigitte and Shea, Dennis (2001) The power of suggestion: Inertia in 401(k) participation and savings behavior. Quarterly Journal of Economics 66 (4), 11491187.Google Scholar
Porterba, James, Rau, Joshua, Venti, Steven, and Wise, David A. (2010) Lifecycle asset allocation strategies and the distribution of 401(k) retirement wealth. In Wise, David A. (ed.), Developments in the Economics of Aging, pp. 1550. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
President's Commission to Strengthen Social Security. (2001) Strengthening Social Security and Creating Personal Wealth for All Americans: Report of the President's Commission. Washington, DC: President's Commission to Strengthen Social Security.Google Scholar
Pries, Michael J. (2007) Social security reform and intertemporal smoothing. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 31, 2554.Google Scholar
Sialm, Clemens, Starks, Laura, and Zhang, Hanjiang (2015) Defined contribution pension plans: Sticky or discerning money? Journal of Finance 70 (2), 805838.Google Scholar
Sunden, Annika (2006) The Swedish experience with pension reform. Oxford Review of Economic Policy 22 (1), 133148.Google Scholar
Turner, John (2006) Individual Accounts for Social Security Reform: International Perspectives on the U.S. Debate. Kalamazoo, MI: W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research.Google Scholar
Viceira, Luis M. (2007) Life cycle funds. In Lusardi, Annamaria, Campbell, John, and Porterba, James (eds.), Overcoming the Saving Slump: How to Increase the Effectiveness of Financial Education and Saving Programs, Chap. 5. Chicago: University of Chicago Press.Google Scholar
Vissing-Jorgensen, Annette (2002) Towards an Explanation of Household Portfolio Choice Heterogeneity: Nonfinancial Income and Participation Cost Structures. NBER working paper 8884.Google Scholar